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Assessingthe impacts
Conclusions gathered Modal shift rates on all proposed Surrey Rapid Transit
clearly inferior to Vancouver achievements
Surrey-wide achievements after 20 years of rapid trancompletely inferior to what Vancouver has achieved ayears
Auto use to remain dominant in the City of Surrey whVancouver has already met goals and other cities withrapid transit will follow.
Vehicles entering/within Surrey will increase with popjobs, and the city will require millions of dollars to addissue as a tradeoff for not enough investment in rapi
Comparing the plannedimpact of the Surrey
Rapid Transit alternativesvs. what rapid transit hasdone in Vancouver
Scroll down for more inf
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Modal shift inVancouver1996-2006
During this period, the MillenniumLine SkyTrain line as well as the 99and 98 B-Lines were introduced.As well, Mark II train service wasinitiated on the Expo Line toimprove service and ride quality.
Source: Vancouver Transportation Plan Updatehttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf
http://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdfhttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf -
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Modal shift inVancouver1996-2006During this period, the 99 B-Line, 98B-Line and Millennium LineSkyTrain line were introduced. As
well, Mark II train service wasinitiated on the Expo Line toimprove service.
Source: Vancouver Transportation Plan Updatehttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf
http://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdfhttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf -
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Surrey rapidtransit modalshift expectation2021-2041
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
BRT
network
LRT to
Langley +
BRT
Full LRT
network
RRT to
Langley +
BRT
Study area mode share
(to/from/within)
2021 (opening year) to 2041
Mode share in 2021 (opening day) Mode share in 2041
3.18 3.28
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
BRT network LRT to
Langley +BRT
Study area m
2021 (opening y
Additional mode sha
26.72%27.80%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
BRT
network
LRT to
Langley +
BRT
Study area m
2021 (opening y
Mode-share
Source: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344
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Comparison 1Surrey 2021-2041 vsVancouver 1996-2006
3.01
3.183.28
3.21 3.17
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Vancouver
1996-2006
Surrey 2021-
2041, BRT1
Surrey 2021-
2041, LRT5a
Surrey 2021-
2041, LRT1
Surrey 2021-
2041, RRT1
Expected modal shift to transit
Additional transit mode-share captured in %
Vancattracomshiftcomexpeappr
afterany r
Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344,
Vancouver Transportation Plan Update
TDM adjustments are not included in this comparison as such measures had not been implemented
of Vancouver. See report: Assessing the potential for road and parking charges to reduce demand focommuting in the Greater Vancouver region, page 9 - http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/Washbroo
http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdfhttp://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdf -
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Comparison 2Surrey 2021-2041 vsVancouver 1996-2006
0.3
0.159 0.164 0.1605 0.1585
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
Vancouver1996-2006
Surrey 2021-2041, BRT1
Surrey 2021-2041, LRT5a
Surrey 2021-2041, LRT1
Surrey 2021-2041, RRT1
Average yearly modal shift to transit
Average yearly additional transit mode-share captured in %
PreviotransitcapturtwiceannuatransitSurreyoption
Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344,
Vancouver Transportation Plan Update
TDM adjustments are not included in this comparison as such measures had not been implemented
of Vancouver. See report: Assessing the potential for road and parking charges to reduce demand focommuting in the Greater Vancouver region, page 9 - http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/Washbroo
http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdfhttp://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdf -
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Comparison 3Surrey 2021-2041 vsVancouver 1996-2006
1.73%
1.34%1.39% 1.36%
1.29%
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
1.80%
2.00%
Vancouver
1996-2006
Surrey 2021-
2041, BRT1
Surrey 2021-
2041, LRT5a
Surrey 2021-
2041, LRT1
Surrey 2021-
2041, RRT1
Average yearly modal shift
Average yearly transit mode share growth
Surreyannuawith atransitVancoseen p
Canad
Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344,
Vancouver Transportation Plan Update
TDM adjustments are not included in this comparison as such measures had not been implemented
of Vancouver. See report: Assessing the potential for road and parking charges to reduce demand focommuting in the Greater Vancouver region, page 9 - http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/Washbroo
http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdfhttp://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdf -
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Sub-area transitmode-shares inSurrey andLangley
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
Transit mode-shares for study sub-are
with BRT network with LRT to Langley + BRT with full LRT network with
Source: Final Analysis PDF page 87
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Modal shift inDowntownVancouver
1996-2006
Vancouver has sreduced amountentering downtoin 15 years, desppopulation and j
Opened in this pMillennium LineSkyTrain, 99 and
Line up until intrCanada Line
Source: Vancouver Transportation Plan Updatehttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf
http://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdfhttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf -
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Modal shift inDowntownVancouver
1996-2006
Source: Vancouver Transportation Plan Updatehttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf
http://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdfhttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf -
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Comparison 4Downtown Surrey 2041 vsDowntown Vancouver 2006Both cases are measurements 20years after rapid transit
41.28%
26.60% 26.60% 26.50% 26.90%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
Downtown
Vancouver
2006
Downtown
Surrey 2041
with BRT1
Downtown
Surrey 2041
with LRT5a
Downtown
Surrey 2041
with LRT1
Downtown
Surrey 2041
with RRT1
Measurement of transit mode-share
Transit mode share* (see note)
Downtoto have mtransit mDowntow
* Downtown Surrey estimates consider trips leaving City Centre (i.e. onthe Expo Line towards Burnaby and Downtown Vancouver, or reversecommutes), whereas Downtown Vancouver numbers do not. Downtown
Vancouver numbers average to/within trip mode share.
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Most pedestrianfriendly city inCanada
These argood trareductio
Vancouvpedestrin Canad
Of all ne
downtowpedestrineighboVancouv
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Comparison 5Proposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)
All rapid transit alternatives to be complemented with BAU trSource: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245
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Comparison 5Proposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)
Surrey 2041 bus nbe far more estabVancouvers 2006routes to maintaservice within 15Surrey/SOF after transit.
Busy Vancouver bof frequent transi2006 (i.e. 20 yearsincluded: 17, 25, 4
Vancouver bus ronot existbefore 2
Many Vancouver years after rapid tprovide service wpeak hour (26, 27,
Mode share goalsVancouver for intin 2006 are not myears of rapid tranmore established Source: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245,
TransLink 2008 press releaseCPTDB Wiki on CMBC bus routes
Full tables on final analysis PDF page 242-245