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Reducing CO2 Emissions in the U.S. Electric Power
SectorPaul L. Joskow
Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and MIT
The views expressed here are my own and are not the responsibility of the Sloan Foundation or MIT
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2005
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U.S. CO2 Emissions Electricity Generation
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70%
28%
1%1%
CO2 EMISSION FROM ELECTRICITY 2015
COAL
NATURAL GAS
PETROLEUM
OTHER
COALNATURAL GAS
Petroleum
Based on EIA Data 2016
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Source: EIA with lines drawn in
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GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN GERMANY1990‐2015
Source: Clean Energy Wire, March 17, 2016, Figure 2
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Source: EIA
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0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1,600.00EIA Renewable Electricity 2015‐2040
Conventional Hydroelectric Power Geothermal
Municipal Waste Wood and Other Biomass
Solar 5/ Wind
Total Renewable Electricity
TOTAL RENEWABLES
WIND
CONVENTIAL HYDRO
SOLARWood, Waste, Geothermal, Other
Data from EIA 2016
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‐
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016 5/1/2016 6/1/2016 7/1/2016 8/1/2016
ERCOT WIND GENERATION1/1/16‐8/31/16
Data from PlattsMW Daily
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0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016 5/1/2016 6/1/2016 7/1/2016 8/1/2016
ERCOT WIND SHARE OF SUPPLY1/1/16‐8/31/16
Data from PlattsMW Daily
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LBNL, Electricity Policy and Markets Lab Annual Solar Reports 2016
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Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Utility Scale Solar 2015, Figure 3
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‐
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016 5/1/2016 6/1/2016 7/1/2016 8/1/2016
MWh
Axis Title
CALIFORNIA SOLAR PV (CAISO)1/1/16‐8/31/16
Data from PlattsMW Daily
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Source: Unknown UK
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Source: Unknown UK
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From Bornstein and Davis July 2015
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Nuclear vs. Wind + Solar 2014‐2040Billion KWh
nuclear wind + Solar
NUCLEAR
WIND + SOLAR
Data from EIA 2016 Long‐term Outlook
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M. Morey and L. Kirsch, Christensen Associates, February 2016
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M. Morey and L. Kirsch, Christensen Associates, February 2016