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WARNING:When this talk begins, you will find yourself at ETech 2019.**and you will be asked to move seats
Jane McGonigal, PhDU.S. Secretary of Games(former director of game research &
development for the Institute for the Future)
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SURVIVAL, REINVENTED:SURVIVAL, REINVENTED:ETech 2019
Technologies for Technologies for SUPERSTRUCTING
March 12-15, 2019 March 12-15, 2019 Portland, Oregon
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
SEPTEMBER 22, 2018 Humans have 23 years to
go
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GEAS World Run Supercomputer
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CATASTROPHIC
SPECIES
COLLAPSE
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Breaking news• Solar is Civil Defense: Solar
Power advocates offer demonstrations, advice
• Survey shows that governments, corporations not trusted as energy information resources: May make public more susceptible to energy scams
• Sea Power Piracy: Portuguese wave power system hijacked
• TransAfrica CrowdPower Backbone Begun: Individuals help generate power from Cairo to Pretoria
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Breaking news• 75% of New Trees Must Be
Fruit-Bearing: Washington DC adopts local-food ordinance to replace ornamental trees
• • UN "Carbon for Food" proposal meets resistance from both food exporters and importers.
• US Wheat Crop Shows Signs of Blight Infection: A wheat blight Ug99 outbreak has been confirmed in the US harvest for the first time
• Bee colony forecast for Spring 2020 pushes food prices up.
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• Indonesia declares "viral sovereignty," denies UN access to local ReDS variant genome.
• US Supreme Court to hear case against employer who fired staff for staying home on "suggested isolation" days.
• Productivity per-worker seeing steady decline due to pandemic effects, say OECD economists.
• Biowarfare Claims in Pakistan-India Tensions: Guerilla groups use asymptomatic carriers as "Bio-Bombs"
Breaking news
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Breaking news • Deportation of Malaysian refugees
from Singapore continues, despite protests. Official cite public safety, national security.
• US Congress set to debate exurban reclamation bill, extending eminent domain to abandoned communities.
• African Union study declares over 20% of the continent's population "displaced persons."
• Bangalore software studio Indus River now offering "Diasporas" training simulation, based on Indian experience integrating Bangladeshi refugees.
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Breaking news• Coordinated “transparency mobs"
fallout continues: three more Fortune Global 500 CEOs resign in disgrace, facing corruption charges.
• Baseball star MikoYamamoto denies exceeding Japanese carbon limits, claims intentional "data pollution" by rivals.
• Apple denies rumors of new version of "iKnow" data gathering device.
• MR5ive issues recall on NuView augmented reality glasses due to security flaw allowing outside control of user vision.
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Hello @janemcgWE CAN EVEN H4X Ur ETECHs! - transfer 10 million starquest gold pieces via the MMO Exchange or we pwn your slides - acc# 01922811002 1ntrud3rs fr0m sp4cep.s. thanx 4 microc4sting your net coords sucka
Breaking UR SLIDES
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“Most GEAS WorldRun simulations show the human population going from 7 billion to 1.5 billion in the course of five years, once collapse sets in, then down to under 500 million in another ten years.”
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“The best-case scenarios, assuming that we do nothing to alleviate the superthreats, leave about 20 million people alive, worldwide, by 2070, and under a million by 2100.”
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Reinventing Survivability with
WORK THAT MATTERS
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WORK THAT MATTERS:Which superthreat did you choose?
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Now please arrange and reseat yourselves accordingly – in less than
60 seconds.
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It’s 2019, and you’re doing WORK THAT MATTERS.
What’s YOUR superthreat-fighting job title?
Jane McGonigal
U.S. Department of Games
SPEAKER
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The thing is:
It’s not just the ETech community that wants to do work that matters.
We are desperately in need of ways to help the rest of the
world do work that matters.
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“We must collaborate or perish.”
- Wikinomics
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Fortunately, we have the vast, global “social surplus”
to draw on.*
*(See Clay Shirky’s historic 2008 Web 2.0 talk “Gin, Television, and the Social Surplus”)
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GAME DEVELOPERS nominated for a NOBEL
PRIZE by 2034
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“Games are the most elevated form of investigation.” –Albert Einstein
(a hard-core gamer!!)
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World Without Oil
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How we learned from World Without Oil
1. We can imagine the ripples of potential events across massively multiple domains
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How we learned from World Without Oil
2. Together, we can envision the “hard to see” (but theoretically possible) future
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How we learned from World Without Oil
3. Playing a forecasting game forces us to “build calluses” for our own personal benefit
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STILL LOOKS PROMISING!!
!
but….
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“We’re going to need a bigger game.”
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it’s time for SUPERSTRUCTING.
to build on top of an existing foundation;
to strengthen by extending and developing above the basic
structure
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superstructgame.org
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OUR SECRET
MISSION:
Create a league of
Super-Empowered Hopeful
Individuals (SEHIs)**see Jamais Cascio at openthefuture.com
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My Superstructure:
GAMEDEMIC!Game developers
+ CDC and other epidemiologists
+ cognitive scientists
=
Survival of the most gameful
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“Going out in the 2019 Quarantine”
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Dancing together = Happy
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participation outputs in 6 weeks:
a community of >7500 SEHIs > 1000 stories about the superthreats > 500 active strategy forums > 550 collaborative superstructures
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TOP SUPERSTRUCTURES
TIM KRING: The most heroic
award goes to the members of Lifeliners: embedded tech-savvy humanitarians, who go to countries where the social safety net usually provided by governments has broken down and bootstrap high-tech solutions.
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TOP SUPERSTRUCTURES
TARA HUNT: The most whuffie
award goes to the members of Educycle, which open sources education by helping anyone, anywhere “freecycle” what they know.
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TOP SUPERSTRUCTURES
WARREN ELLIS: The Strangestruct
award goes to Insects4Food, designed to help solve the "peak protein" dilemma by mass manufacturing insect protein for food.
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TOP SUPERSTRUCTURES
CHRIS DiBONA: The Pandora Award
goes to the members of The Society for Creative Breaking of Shit, designed to harness the talents of griefers and hackers for good.
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early findings from 2019
ambient collaboration systems and “facilitators” are likely to become the most important IT and human resources to invest in
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early findings from 2019
alternate currencies will help reverse scarcity & scaffold extreme-scale solutions
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early findings from 2019
virtual worlds will broadcast real-time, real-world data to coordinate personal micro-contributions
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early findings from 2019
“immune systems” become a driving metaphor for developing all kinds of resiliency and avoiding “the brittle”
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early findings from 2019
“cradle to grave” is the new green and both producers and consumers are responsible for un-making and re-making everything
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GET THE FULL REPORT
www.IFTF.orgThe next
Ten Year Forecastis revealed
April 20, 2009
Follow @IFTF on Twitter
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SUPERSTRUCT PLAYER:
“This is my favorite vision of the future, because it’s the first one I can actually
imagine myself doing something important in.” –
Andrew F.
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I believe that by gaming together,
we can start solving hard problems,
help re-invent society, give more people work that
matters, and improve our collective
survivability.
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lab.signtific.org
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WARNING:When this talk ends, you will find yourself back at Etech 2009.**and you will be asked to help invent the future
Jane McGonigal, PhD future U.S. Secretary of
Games?(current director of game research &
development for the Institute for the Future)
IFTF.ORG / follow me on Twitter: avantgame