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Corporate Control, Mergers and Acquisitions
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PART A: QUAKER OATS’ ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE
BACKGROUND OF THE COMPANIES
ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE BY QUAKER OATS
VALUATION OF SNAPPLE BY QUAKER OATS
ANALYSIS OF THE ACQUISITION
PART B: TRIARC’S ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE
BACKGROUND OF THE COMPANIES
ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE BY TRIARC
VALUATION OF SNAPPLE BY TRIARC
ANALYSIS OF THE ACQUISITION
PART C: CONCLUSION
CONTRASTING THE DEALS
KEY LEARNINGS
ANNEXURES
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PART A
QUAKER OATS’ ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE
BACKGROUND OF THE COMPANIES
THE QUAKER OATS COMPANY: Quaker Oats is an American food conglomerate. The story of
Quaker Oats’ success is one of a company led by a strong management effectively growing in
the face of increasing competition and economic cycles through internal and inorganic growth.
See Annexure A1 for details about Quaker Oats.
SNAPPLE BEVERAGE CORPORATION: Snapple is an American beverage company, known for its
natural juices and fruit drinks. From a business run part-time by its founding members, Snapple
grew to become one of the leading producers of non-alcoholic drinks in North America within a
few decades. Annexure 1 provides the background of the company.
ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE BY QUAKER OATS
A. REASONS FOR THE ACQUISITION
With an increase in competition, the Snapple stock price had halved, from $60 in 1993 to $30 in
1994. This fall in the share price of Snapple was seen by Quaker Oats as an opportunity to
increase its market share in the non-alcoholic beverage market. The acquisition would cement its
position as a prominent player in the North American non-alcoholic beverage market. The
market was growing at a rapid rate. The acquisition of Snapple was considered necessary by
Quaker Oats to remain a competitive player in the market. Yet another reason in favor of an
acquisition was that Quaker Oats expected to gain operating synergies from buying Snapple.
B. EXPECTED SYNERGIES FROM THE ACQUISITION
¾ Distribution synergy: Gatorade, positioned as a mass product, and was sold through
supermarkets and convenience stores. Snapple products were sold largely through independent
retailers, vending locations, and restaurants. Quaker Oats expected to utilize each of these
distribution channels to bolster the sale of the other product.
¾ Learning curve effects: With the sales of Gatorade rising from $122 million in 1984 to
about $1.20 billion in 1994 (22% compound annual growth rate), Quaker Oats felt that it could
use economies of scope from its Gatorade experience to boost sales for Snapple.
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¾ Common activities: The Quaker Oat management believed that there were significant
synergies to be achieved in common areas such as R&D, manufacturing and marketing.
¾ Geographic expansion: Snapple generated only 1% of its sales outside North America,
while over 31% of Quaker Oats’ sales revenue came from its foreign operations. This provided a
strong platform for Quaker Oats to offer Snapple products to a wider customer base.
SOURCE OF SYNERGY
EXPECTED SYNERGY DESCRIPTION
Revenue improvement
18% sales growthInternational launch of Snapple would generate significant revenues (0% for Snapple currently vs 31% for Quaker).
Operating margin improvement
Higher EBITDA Margin
As manufacturing facilities and distribution networks are merged, costs would reduce and profit margins would increase
DEAL VALUATION
Quaker paid $1.7 billion to acquire Snapple in December 2004. Snapple, at that point was trading
at $14 per share. Its market capitalization was $1.7024 billion. For a 96.50% shareholding, the
Quaker Oats paid $1.642 billion. The effective premium to market valuation was 3.00%.
However, on calculation of intrinsic value, we find that the market had overvalued the stock.
Further, the market was in a correction phase. The price of Snapple stock oscillated from $9.38
in June 1993 to $32.25 in March 1994 to $13 in Sept 1994.This volatility reflected the inherent
changes in the industry and consequently the market reaction to these fundamental changes;
namely increased competition and potential slowdown in the revenue growth rate and margins
and therefore the outlook on Snapple.
Our basic assumption for valuation is that
since the industry is in a highly competitive
phase, the Free Cash Flow for the next year
would decrease and then get into a stable
growth rate of 15% for the next five years. The
terminal value is calculated at 5.00% growth
rate. A sensitivity analysis on the growth rate
predicts a valuation in the range of $1.186 Source: www.optimumcapital.com
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billion $1,418 billion. Clearly, the future decline in growth of the company was not yet
completely factored in the market value since the market was in the correction phase. As per our
valuation, Quaker Oats expected operational synergy of greater than $600 million in the
optimistic scenario and greater than $300 million in the alternative scenario from the acquisition
of Snapple. See Annexure A2 for the valuation model.
ANALYSIS OF THE ACQUISITION
A. OUTCOME OF THE DEAL
The acquisition was a failure right from the start. To finance the purchase, Quaker Oats sold two
of its profitable divisions. The company had to pay a huge capital gains tax on the consideration.
To make things worse, Quaker Oats could not realize the anticipated synergies with Snapple due
to many factors (detailed below). Due to the acquisition, the revenues of Snapple plummeted by
$35 million, from $657 million in 1994 to $640 million in 1995.
B. REASONS FOR THE FAILURE
1. Inappropriate assessment of product complementarities
Quaker Oats failed in their assessment of the similarities between Gatorade and Snapple. In
particular, the following were the key differences between the products:
¾ Nature of the product: Gatorade was a sports drink, while Snapple was fruit-based
¾ Production: Quaker produced Gatorade at company owned bottling facility. Snapple
outsourced the production to co-packers.
¾ Distribution and Marketing: Gatorade was a warm drink sold through mass retail
distribution channel such as hypermarkets. It provided comparatively lower margins at of USD 2
per case. Snapple was a cool drink sold through cold chain at Mom and Pop stores and
supermarkets. It provided very high margins to the distributors at USD 4 per case. Distributors
had a license for specific regions.
2. Conflict with the distribution channels and bottling vendors
A major reason of Quaker Oats’ failure to realize operational synergies was its conflict with the
existing distribution network. Immediately after the acquisition, Quaker Oats implemented
changes in Snapple’s distribution channels by asking the existing dealers to stock Gatorade in
equal proportion to Snapple. The distributors were not receptive to these changes, since the
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margins were higher for Snapple than for Gatorade. This resulted in a strained relationship
between Quaker Oats and the distributors of Snapple, with the latter beginning to distrust Quaker
Oats. Similarly, Snapple’s contractual arrangements with its co-packers prevented Quakers from
using its own bottling plant to achieve the anticipated cost synergies in the bottling operations.
3. Overpayment of purchase consideration
During the period 1993-1994, Snapple was in a very volatile phase. While it grew at a
tremendous rate from 1990 to 1994, it faced an increase in competition from established players
such as Pepsi, Coke and Lipton. Snapple’s profitability was expected to reduce and the stock
price volatility of Snapple reflected this sentiment. The price of the stock moved from $60 to $14
in a short period of a few months. Quaker Oats looked at this as an opportunity to buy Snapple at
a lower valuation. However, as per our calculations the stock should have been in the price range
of $8 to $11 a share, as against $13 a share that Quaker Oats paid for Snapple. Annexure A2
shows the valuation calculations.
4. Management hubris
As per a study conducted by Mathew Hayward and Don Hambrick of Columbia University,
managerial hubris was a major cause of the high premiums that was paid for the acquisition.
Under the leadership of CEO William Smithburg, Quaker Oats made a successful buyout and
integration of Gatorade in 1983. Smithburg was convinced that he could recreate the magic with
Snapple as well. Due to this confidence, he disregarded many of the above-mentioned
dissimilarities between the products and acquired Snapple at a price which, as per Wall Street,
was at least $1 billion above the intrinsic value.
PART B
TRIARC’S ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE
ABOUT TRIARC COMPANIES INC
Triarc was a consumer products company with operations in beverage and restaurant businesses.
Triarc was formed when the New York-based investment partnership led by Nelson Peltz and
Peter May acquired DWG Corp which comprised a jumbled mass of unrelated businesses.
Triarc’s new management brought in strategic focus and created a much narrower operating
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scope. By 1997, Triarc operated well known beverage brands such as Mistic and Royal Crown
Cola, and the fast food restaurant chain, Arby's. The company was acclaimed for its relations
with distributors, its flair for marketing, and its shrewdness in developing new products for an
established brand.
ACQUISITION OF SNAPPLE BY TRIARC
A. REASONS FOR THE ACQUISITION
By 1997, Triarc Companies Inc had further refined its core businesses and focused on two
business segments: beverages and restaurants. It had a strong resolve to turn Triarc into a
branded consumer products company. The acquisition of Snapple Beverage Corporation was
expected to contribute substantially to the branded beverage side of its business. Along with its
Mistic brand of beverages, Triarc could become the market leader in the premium beverage
category. Quaker Oats' mismanagement of the Snapple brand had lowered its bargaining power,
enabling Triarc to purchase Snapple at an acutely reduced price of $300 million for a brand with
over $500 Million in sales. Further, Triarc’s divestiture of its inherited businesses from DWG
Corp. provided it sufficient financial leeway to capitalize its acquisition of the popular brand.
B. EXPECTED SYNERGIES FROM THE ACQUISITION
Operating Synergies
Triarc’s success with the Mistic brand of beverages, which it restored to profitability from a
relatively impaired stage, had helped it to develop key capabilities. It had demonstrated its talent
for improving relations with distributors. In an extremely marketing intensive business, it had
developed a flair for marketing; from packaging innovations to consumer targeting. It had also
stepped up the pace of innovation by regularly introducing new product lines. Snapple, on the
other hand had great brand equity; everybody knew the Snapple brand. An analysis of the
sources of value that are key to achieving the acquisition objectives is given in Annexure B1.
Source of Synergy Expected synergy Description
Revenue improvement 12% sales growth
Mistic sales had seen improvement of 12% in past 2 years. Also, beverage industry was expected to grow at an average of 15%.
Operating margin improvement 10% EBITDA margin Triarc expected to extend its improved margins to the entire
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beverage line
DEAL VALUATION
By 1997, Quaker had racked up roughly another estimated $90 million in Snapple losses, further
cutting the unit's value. Snapple sold out to Triarc for a stunningly low price of $300 million.
The deal value was just over half of Quaker’s Snapple unit's $550 million in sales. Most industry
experts considered the final deal value a fire-sale price and not to be based on actual valuation.
Triarc's offer represented not only the highest bid to buy Snapple outright but one that brought
with it substantial cash and no antitrust problems. Facing stiff shareholder pressure to put the
debacle behind them, Quaker went with the sure thing. Triarc had plans to issue an IPO for its
beverages division before the acquisition of Snapple. Hence it would be reasonable to assume
that the investment partnership that owned Triarc was interested in the exit value of the business
at the end of 3-4 years, rather than in its value as a going concern. Thus the expected returns
from the deal to Triarc is done using EV/EBITDA multiples. See ANNEXTURE B2, B3
Value of control: To determine the terminal value of Snapple
business at the end of 2000, revenue and cost synergies are
assumed to be as given in the section- operational synergies. EV/EBITDA multiple of
comparable firms are used to arrive at terminal enterprise value for Snapple beverage unit. The
IRR for the investment is computed and is compared with the cost of equity, which is used as the
hurdle rate. Cost of equity is computed per CAPM using beta of the beverage industry in 2000.
Thus we can see that Triarc could expect to get significantly high returns from its investment in
Snapple. Sensitivity analysis around expected revenue and cost synergies is performed in later
section to analyze deal risk. See ANNEXTURE B4
Deal structure: On May 22, 1997 the Company acquired Snapple, from Quaker for $311.9
million consisting of cash of $300.1 million, $9.3 million of fees and expenses and $2.5 million
of deferred purchase price. The purchase price for the Snapple acquisition was funded from (i)
$75.0 million of cash and cash equivalents on hand and contributed by Triarc to Triarc Beverage
Holdings Corp. ("TBHC"), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company and the parent of
Snapple and Mistic, and (ii) $250.0 million of borrowings by Snapple on May 22, 1997 under
a $380.0 million credit agreement, as amended (the "Credit Agreement"), entered into by
Snapple, Mistic and TBHC (collectively, the "Borrowers").
Cost of equity IRR
22.13% 37.08%
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Triarc’s decision to make an all-cash purchase offer for full equity holding of Snapple gave it a
favorable position since Quaker was looking for a quick exit. The all-cash offer also enabled
Quaker to register benefits from capital losses.
¾ DEAL RISKS
Financial risks: The financial valuation assumes YoY revenue growth of 12% and EBITDA
margin of 10%. Due to market uncertainties or other unexpected events, actual values may be
different. Sensitivity analysis is performed on these assumptions to assess their robustness.
Sensitivity is assessed for revenue growth projections and EBITDA margins to see its impact on
the expected IRR. See ANNEXTURE B5
Hurdle rate=22% Revenue growthEBITDA margin 0% 2% 5% 10% 12%
5% -2.86% -0.92% 2.00% 6.86% 8.80%7% 8.67% 10.84% 14.10% 19.54% 21.71%9% 18.17% 20.53% 24.07% 29.98% 32.35%
10% 22.39% 24.84% 28.51% 34.63% 37.08%12% 30.06% 32.66% 36.56% 43.07% 45.67%
Beverage industry overall growth rate for the period 1997-2005 was expected to be 18%. Also
Triarc had EBITDA margin of 40% for its Mistic line of beverages. From the analysis, it is clear
that even with very conservative assumptions, the deal for Snapple at $300 million is highly
attractive for Triarc.
Integration risks: Operational synergies originate by integrating sources of value of the acquirer
and the target. The success of an acquisition would ultimately depend upon the degree of
integration achieved between key sources of value. The complexity involved in integrating these
sources of value is analyzed in ANNEXTURE B6
Market risks: The competition in the non carbonated segment was consolidating with the
leading players focusing on groundbreaking innovation to meet consumer demands for hydration
and variation in taste. Snapple had a competitive edge due to its substantial market share.
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ANALYSIS OF THE ACQUISITION
A. Outcome of the deal
¾ Snapple’s Distributor Relationships –Triarc realized the importance of the distribution
network and the Snapple brand's remarkable success in smaller retail formats, such as
delicatessens and convenience stores and promised a renewed commitment to this network. And
this was all the more easier for Triarc since it had a good rapport and reputation of its own,
thanks to its own drink Mistic.
¾ Renewed Focus on Promotion –The focus was on bringing back the quirky image of
Snapple and for that they brought back Snapple’s spokeswoman Wendy “Snapple Lady”. Use of
innovative advertising and promotions helped increase sales drastically and this was a strategy
Triarc used to continue to enhance their brand equity;
¾ Product Innovation – Triarc had to understand the consumers well enough and expand
their product line systematically and which they did. Two weeks after their acquisition they
introduced three exotic tea flavors, a line of Snapple Farms 100% juice products and a smoothie
like beverage in six flavors called White Snapple. All these innovative product line extensions
had a significant impact on sales. Due to the in-house product development and packaging
capabilities, Triarc could bring these products to market quickly and with minimal investment
B. A Successful Merger
Financial and Operating results (See ANNEXTURE B6)
1997 1998 19990
200400600800
Triarc Beverage Division revenue growth
Revenue growth
Reve
nue
in $
mill
ions
In June 2000, Triarc Management announced an initial public offering (“IPO”) of the beverage
group. When they were contemplating this decision Cadbury Schweppes plc offered to buy the
Snapple Beverage Group. As Cadbury’s purchase price included a significant premium over the
value that they had expected to achieve through the IPO, they accepted Cadbury’s offer and
completed the sale of the Snapple Beverage Group in October 2000.
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The deal was successfully completed at a price of 1,725,779.58 Euros. This definitely is a very
successful deal as the turnaround was executed out in less than 3 years time and especially of a
company which was in distress and bought at $300 million. Minus all the debt a pre-tax gain in
excess of $ 700 million was recorded.
PART C
¾ CONTRASTING THE DEALS
QUAKER-SNAPPLE
TRIARC-SNAPPLE
Risky
HighHighHigh
Valuation of the dealIntegration risksFinancial risksMarket risks
AttractiveLowLowLowOverall
deal attractiveness
LOW
Pre-merger due diligence
Post-merger analysis
Performance of Quaker Oats post acquisition and subsequent sale
Valuation of the dealIntegration risksFinancial risksMarket risks
Risky
Attractive
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
Overall deal attractiveness
HIGH
Pre-merger due diligence
Post-merger analysis
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KEY LEARNINGS
The deals studied in this report provide an excellent contrast to understanding the strategic and
financial aspects of implementing M&As. The best practices to be followed in various stages of
the deal can be summarized as follows:
Pre-merger
Strategic due diligence: This involves clear understanding of the sources of value that contribute
to operating synergies of the combined firm. The complexity involved in integrating the sources
of value should be carefully analyzed and market uncertainties that may hamper key synergy
expectations should be factored in.
Financial due diligence: This involves clear understanding of the sources of financial synergies
like debt capacity, tax benefits etc. The intrinsic value of the firm and the value from synergies
should be carefully modeled and the premium offered should not exceed the synergy value.
Post-merger
Integration Strategy: The integration strategy should determine the level of integration for assets,
processes and human resources of the acquirer and target firms. The strategy should be designed
to extract synergies while preserving the key sources of values of the combining firms.
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ANNEXURE A1: ABOUT THE COMPANIES
THE QUAKER OATS COMPANY1
The Quaker Oats Company was founded in 1901 as a result of merger of four oat mills in North
America. In within a period of eighty years, the sales of the company grew over a hundred-fold,
from $16 million in 1901 to $2 billion in 1979. Over this period, Quaker Oats further diversified
its product line and geographic spread. The company invested in foreign markets by establishing
self-supporting overseas subsidiaries in Europe, South America and Asia. In 1942, Quaker Oats’
sales reached $90 million. In the later part of the century, Quaker Oats expanded in the industry's
fastest-growing areas: pet foods, convenience foods, and ready-to-eat cereals. The slow growth
of the food industry in the 1960s caused the company to make acquisitions outside the food
industry. One such was the Fisher-Price Toy Company, purchased in 1969. By 1979, Quaker
Oats had a return on capital of 12.30%, higher than the industry, but below Kellogg's 19.40%.
Quaker Oats actively managed its acquisitions: it sold its stake in its subsidiaries involved in
businesses such as cookies, restaurants, toys, chemicals and the specialty retailing space. The
company exited its investments at high valuations. By 1987, Quaker Oats’ return on shareholder
equity matched Kellogg's. In 1983, Quaker Oats acquired Stokely-Van Camp, the maker of
Gatorade sports drink. The company concentrated on three major divisions: American and
Canadian grocery products; international grocery products; and Fisher-Price toys. The company
hived off Fisher-Price Toys in 1991. Sales that year reached a record $5.50 billion. The
company’s international sales continued to be a significant percentage of the company's total.
In 1994, Quaker Oats was a strong player in the global food industry. Gatorade had been a star
performer for the company. The company saw a unique opportunity to expand its presence into
the non-alcoholic beverages by acquiring the Snapple Beverage Corporation. The acquisition
would launch the company in the league of the largest manufacturers of non-alcoholic beverages
in North America.
1 All data in this section is sourced/verbatim from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quaker_Oats_Company and from http://www.fundinguniverse.com/company-histories/The-Quaker-Oats-Company-Company-History.html
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SNAPPLE BEVERAGE CORPORATION2
In 1972, childhood friends Hyman Golden, Arnold Greenberg and Leonard Marsh founded the
Unadulterated Food Products Inc. in New York. Subsequently, the name of the company was
changed to Snapple Beverage Corporation. Due to marketing budget constraints, the company
adopted an unconventional 'anti-establishment' approach to market its products. This approach
set the Snapple brand apart from traditional beverage brands, and won it loyal customers.
In 1982, the company forayed into selling natural sodas. By 1986, the company had started
distributing juices and health drinks through health stores. In 1987, the company introduced
Snapple iced tea, manufactured using a unique process, which became an instant success. In
1991, Snapple's revenues more than doubled to $95 million, with 55 percent of its sales coming
from the iced tea segment. The company had attained a solid second place in this market with
19.30% of sales, closing behind long-time market leader Lipton, with 37.20% of the market.
In January 1992, the investment banking firm, the Thomas H. Lee Company invested in Snapple.
With this deal, Snapple gained the resources to pay for nationwide distribution of its products.
Snapple expanded its distribution to every major city in North America. It also launched an
initiative to sell its products in foreign markets. By the fall of 1992, Snapple pulled ahead of
Nestea to become the leader in the ready-to-drink iced tea market.
Snapple announced its IPO in December 1992. On December 15, the stock was offered at $20 a
share. The four million shares were quickly bid for, and the stock price quickly rose to $33. In
1993, sales were up 119% from the previous year - the third year in a row in which sales of
Snapple drinks had more than doubled. By 1994, sales had begun in Canada, Mexico, the United
Kingdom, Greece, Norway and Hong Kong. Snapple was considering investing in Australia,
Singapore and the Philippines for expansion. At this point in time, the stock of the company was
trading at around $30 per share, nearly half of its price of about a year ago, and was considered
an attractive takeover target by the industry.
2 All data in this section is sourced / reproduced ad-verbatim from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snapple, from http://www.fundinguniverse.com/company-histories/Snapple-Beverage-Corporation-Company-History.html and from http://www.icmrindia.org/casestudies/catalogue/Marketing/MKTG148.htm
ANNEXURE A2: VALUATION MODEL
Valuation of Snapple and Synergy calculation Pre Acquisition Post Acquisition Analysis 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001Net Sales $95.00 $231.90 $516.00 $697.60 $837.12 $1,004.54 $1,205.45 $1,446.54 $1,735.85 $2,083.02 TV
% Increase 244.11 222.51 135.19
Cost of Goods Sold 58.9 143.2 298.7 402.9 $502.27 $602.73 $723.27 $867.93 $1,041.51 $1,249.81 % of Sales 62.00 61.75 57.89 57.76 $334.85 $401.82 $482.18 $578.62 $694.34 $833.21 Sell, Gen & Admin 20.4 66.3 115.2 168.5 $292.99 $351.59 $421.91 $506.29 $607.55 $729.06 SGA % Of Sales 21.47 28.59 22.33 24.15 Operating Income 15.8 22.4 102.1 126.2 $41.86 $50.23 $60.27 $72.33 $86.79 $104.15 % of Sales 16.63 9.66 19.79 18.09 % Increase 141.772 455.804 123.604 EBIT(1-Tax Rate) 61.26 $126.20 Add Depreciation 0.2 6.9 0.5 Change in WC -32.2 Capex 0 10 FCF 1 83.96 100.752 115.865 133.24452 153.2312 176.21588 202.64826 233.0455 2878.8
PV of FCF 2 1819.52 102.084 103.43265 104.7996 106.18461 107.58793 109.0098 1186.42Value Per Share 14.96321 Growth rate of 20% from 1995 based on Gatorade growth rate 2 Discount Rate of 13.50% based on WACC calculation
Analysis of Premium Paid
Stake Acquired 96.50%
Number of Shares acquired (in Millions) 117.344
Value of 96.5% stake based on DCF 1368.80
Amount Paid (in Millions) 1700
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Premium Paid % 24.20
Calculation of WACCValue per share based on DCF Projection 14.96Cost of Debt 0.05After Tax cost of Debt 0.0325Cost of Equity CAPM 0.1389Rf 0.05Market Premium 0.07Be 1.27Value of Debt on the books 69.5Market Value Equity @ USD 14 per share 1702.4Enterprise Value 1771.9
WACC 0.135Beta Equity taken at 1.27 as the stock was very volatile compared to the market
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Valuation of Snapple in December 2004 Growth Phase for 05 years at 20%
Pre Acquisition Post Acquisition Analysis 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Net Sales $95.00 $231.90 $516.0
0 $697.6
0 $837.1
2 $1,004.54 $1,205.45 $1,446.54 $1,735.85 $2,083.02 TV
% Increase 244.11 222.51
135.19
Cost of Goods Sold 58.9 143.2 298.7 402.9$502.2
7 $602.73 $723.27 $867.93 $1,041.51 $1,249.81
% of Sales 62.00 61.75 57.89 57.76 $334.8
5 $401.82 $482.18 $578.62 $694.34 $833.21
Sell, Gen & Admin 20.4 66.3 115.2 168.5$292.9
9 $351.59 $421.91 $506.29 $607.55 $729.06 SGA % Of Sales 21.47 28.59 22.33 24.15 Operating Income 15.8 22.4 102.1 126.2 $41.86 $50.23 $60.27 $72.33 $86.79 $104.15
% of Sales 16.63 9.66 19.79 18.09
% Increase 141.772455.80
4123.60
4
EBIT(1-Tax Rate) 1 61.26$126.2
0 $41.86 $50.23 $60.27 $72.33 $86.79 $104.15 Add Depreciation 0.2 6.9 0.5 Change in WC -32.2 Capex 0 10
FCF 83.96100.75
2 75.564 90.6768108.8121
6130.5745
9156.6895
1188.0274
12322.6
9
PV of FCF 2 1418.45 66.576
270.38894
674.42003
178.68197
183.18798
787.95205
7957.23
9
Value Per Share 11.6649
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Valuation of Snapple in December 2004 Sensitivity Analysis Growth Phase for 05 years at 15% Pre Acquisition Post Acquisition Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Net Sales $95.00 $231.90 $516.0
0 $697.6
0 $837.1
2 $1,004.5
4 $1,205.4
5 $1,446.5
4 $1,735.85 $2,083.02 TV
% Increase 244.11 222.51
135.19
Cost of Goods Sold 58.9 143.2 298.7 402.9$502.2
7 $602.73 $723.27 $867.93 $1,041.51 $1,249.81
% of Sales 62.00 61.75 57.89 57.76 $334.8
5 $401.82 $482.18 $578.62 $694.34 $833.21
Sell, Gen & Admin 20.4 66.3 115.2 168.5$292.9
9 $351.59 $421.91 $506.29 $607.55 $729.06 SGA % Of Sales 21.47 28.59 22.33 24.15 Operating Income 15.8 22.4 102.1 126.2 $41.86 $50.23 $60.27 $72.33 $86.79 $104.15 % of Sales 16.63 9.66 19.79 18.09
% Increase 141.772455.80
4123.60
4
EBIT(1-Tax Rate) 1 61.26$126.2
0 $41.86 $50.23 $60.27 $72.33 $86.79 $104.15 Add Depreciation 0.2 6.9 0.5 Change in WC -32.2 Capex 0 10
FCF 83.96100.75
2 75.564 86.8986 99.93339 114.9234132.1619
1151.9861
91877.4
8PV of FCF 2 1186.65 66.58 67.46 68.35 69.25 70.17 71.09 773.76Value Per Share 9.75859
ANNEXURE B1: OPERATING SYNERGIES FROM TRIARC – SNAPPLE MERGER
Synergies*Assets *Wide array of products in premium beverage category*Processes *Integrated manufacturing *Integrated distribution chnls*People *Industry aclaimed mgmt
Sources of value - TriarcAssetsComplimentary beveragesProcessesInnovative marketing Distributor relationshipsPeopleEfficient management team led by industry leader Mike Weinstein
Sources of value - SnappleAssetsSnapple brand of beveragesProcessesSmall retail channel network
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ANNEXURE B2: IRR CALCULATION FOR SNAPPLE INVESTMENT
$ millions 1997 1998 1999 2000
Revenues1
550 616 689.92 772.71Operating margin 10%EBITDA 77.27104
EV/EBITDA 10
Enterprise value (2000) 772.7104Purchase price (1997) 300IRR 37.08%1 Assume revenue growth of 12%
ANNEXURE B3: COMPUTING COST OF EQUITY FOR TRIARC
Computing cost of equity
rf (30 yr Treasury rate) 6.35%
rm (5 yr S&P 500 returns) 18.00%
β unlevered (beverage industry1) 0.85
D/E for Triarc after acquisition2
0.99
Tax rate 40.00%
β levered for Triarc3
1.35Cost of equity 22%
1 Source: www.damodaran.com
2 D=Long term debt for Triarc, E=Triarc share price after announcement*No.of shares outstanding
3 Assume βd=0 for Triarc, since its debt was not traded and it had identifiable assets more than its outstanding debt
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ANNEXURE B4: SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ON REVENUE GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS AND EBITDA MARGINS
5% 7% 9% 10% 12%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
Rev Growth=0Rev Growth=2%Rev Growth=5%Rev Growth=10%Rev Growth=12%
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23
ANNEXURE B5: INTEGRATION COMPLEXITIES OF TRIARC – SNAPPLE MERGER
Synergy Description Sources of synergyComplexity of
integration
Increased revenues
Increased sales volumes due to an extended product portfolio
Integrated product portfolio MEDIUMCultural integration of brands MEDIUMTargeted promotion campaigns LOWRegular product line extensions HIGH
Optimize Snapple’s operating margin
Improve operating cost drivers through product synergies
Rationalized manufacturing costs by leveraging complementary product synergies
HIGH
Scaled national distribution network by leveraging relations with small retail channels
HIGH
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24
ANNEXURE B6: FINANCIAL AND OPERATING RESULTS OF TRIARC-SNAPPLE MERGER
19941996199820002002
($1.40)
($1.00)
($0.60)
($0.20)
$0.20
$0.60
Earnings per share
EPS
Axis Title
1997 1998 19990
200
400
600
800
Triarc Beverage Division revenue growth
Revenue growth
Reve
nue
in $
mill
ions
1997 1998 19990.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
Triarc Beverage Di-vision EBITDA mar-
gin EBITDA margin
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25
References:
1. http://www.brandchannel.com/features_profile.asp?pr_id=107
2. Paper no. 1-0041 – Tuck School of Business
3. http://www.mindfully.org/Plastic/Recycling/Noncarbonated-Beverage-Containers1feb07.htm
4. damodaran.com
5. Triarc Annual Reports 97, 98, 99, 00
6. "How Snapple Got its Juice Back," Harvard Business Review, January 2002, Vol. 80, No. 1