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Australian Homeland Security Research Centre
The big trends: What the next 2 years will look like
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Topics1. Trends for risks
2. Trends for PPRR activities
3. Changes to work of practitioners
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1. Trends for risks
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• Failure to manage the rating process will cause the risks to spiral out of control
Trend 1: Increasing number of risks
Implication:
1. Trends for risks
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• Pressure on practitioners will increase• Practitioners will avoid the risk rating
process
Trend 2: Increasing demand for immediate response to new risks
Implications:
1. Trends for risks
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• Risk perception and reality must be addressed by practitioners
Trend 3: Growing gulf between risk perception and risk reality
Implication:
1. Trends for risks
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• Practitioners must work across boundaries on institution-wide risks
Trend 4: Growing need to have focus on cross-boundary risks
Implications:
1. Trends for risks
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• Prepare for pandemic influenza: refer to Gaye Cameron’s and Dr. Michael Hills’ presentations
Trend 5: Growing need to address non-traditional risks
Implications:
1. Trends for risks
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• Engage with the Muslim Community
Trend 6: Growing need to address non-traditional risks
Implications:
1. Trends for risks
Members of the local Muslim community pray at Monash as part of the Eid-ul-Fitr festival.
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• Prepare for a terrorist incident
Trend 7: Growing need to address non-traditional risks
Implications:
1. Trends for risks
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2. Trends for PPRR activities
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• Educate stakeholders on catastrophic incidents
• Practitioners review assumptions in business continuity plans
Trend 8: Growing attention given to catastrophic incidents
Implications:
2. Trends for PPRR activities
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• Institution must improve their response time and expect mis-information
• Practitioners must improve PR skills
Trend 9: Accelerating speed of information flows at incident
Implications:
2. Trends for PPRR activities
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• Drills should be realistic and engaging• Different procedures should be prepared to
reflect change threat levels
Trend 10: Changes to preparation arrangements
Implications:
2. Trends for PPRR activities
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Changes to preparation arrangements
2. Trends for PPRR activities
A commuter fleeing the scene of an explosion on a bus in London's Tavistock Square stopped to take this picture with his camera phone. Images like this were among the first to reach the public immediately following the July 7 terrorist attacks.
The London Guardian newspaper said the use of camera phones in aiding coverage of the attacks marked "the true birth of the 'citizen reporter.'"
Photograph by Harel Seligmann
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• Minimise frequency of unnecessary evacuations and their impacts
Trend 11: Changes to response arrangements
Implication:
2. Trends for PPRR activities
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3. Changes to the work of practitioners
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• Keep up-to-date with risk and technical changes
• Improve interpersonal skills• Deliver big picture value
Implications:
3. Changes to the work of practitioners
Trend 12: Changes to work
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• Prepare for a review
Trend 13: Questioning the benefits of the security dollar
Implications:
3. Changes to the work of practitioners
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More information
2006
The big trends for tertiary institutions’ security
www.homelandsecurity.org.au