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THE DATA FOOTPRINT OF OUR STUDENTS
Mike Martineau, Ph.D.
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THE QUESTIONS
Who are the students who do not persist past their sophomore year?
What factors help explain differences in outcomes?
What are the threats to completion?
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DATA = CONTEXT
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MY LENS
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THE DATAThe next 3 slides compare 2 groups of
freshmen who started their 2nd year, and were:
RETAINED TO YEAR 3
NOT RETAINED
- vs -
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% WITH A TERM GPA UNDER 2.0
7%
26%
Retained Group
Not Retained Group
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% ENROLLING PART TIME
8%
23%
Retained Group
Not Retained Group
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% UNDECLARED AT YEAR 2
17%
20%
Retained Group
Not Retained Group
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% FULFILLING WR2 REQUIREMENTthrough year 2
88%
69%
Retained Group
Not Retained Group
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% FULFILLING QA REQUIREMENTthrough year 2
87%
68%
Retained Group
Not Retained Group
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BOTTOM LINEStudents are complicated, but we can observe a few things
In relation to sophomore retention, the data suggest:
• Credit load matters (not always causal)• Course choices + academic pathing matters• Academic performance at the U really matters
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WHAT MAKES US DIFFERENT?
Clemson UniversityOhio State University-Main Campus
SUNY at AlbanyUniversity of California-Irvine
University of California-Santa BarbaraUniversity of Delaware
University of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignUniversity of Maryland-College Park
University of Missouri-ColumbiaUniversity of Pittsburgh-Pittsburgh Campus
University of Virginia-Main CampusVirginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Georgia Institute of Technology-Main CampusIowa State University
Michigan State UniversityStony Brook University
Texas A & M University-College StationUniversity of Arizona
University of California-Los AngelesUniversity of California-Santa Cruz
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Kansas
University of Massachusetts-AmherstUniversity of Mississippi
University of OregonWashington State University
Arizona State University-TempeGeorgia State UniversityOregon State University
Texas Tech UniversityUniversity of Arkansas
University of Cincinnati-Main CampusVirginia Commonwealth University
The University of Texas at DallasUniversity of Central Florida
University of LouisvilleUniversity of South Florida-Main Campus
University of North TexasRutgers University-New Brunswick
Wayne State University
Jump from 6 to 8 year rate:
1% pt
2% pts
3% pts
14% pts
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WHAT MAKES US DIFFERENT?
Last year, we had 3,601incoming freshmen
Historically,approximately
1,100will graduate in 4 years
4 YRS 5-6 YRS 7-8 YRS
Historically,approximately
1,200will graduate in 5-6 years
Historically,approximately
400will graduate in 7-8 years
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BOTTOM LINE:
We have an disproportionate amount of students graduating after 6 years
Completion is not the issue
Time to completion is the issue
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DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ!Each and every one of our 32,770 students have a unique set of challenges and circumstances
As University staff and faculty, we are
“committed to helping students excel”
Data can help inform students’ decisions and experience at the U
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WHY DOES IT MATTER?
Costs of taking 1 additional year to graduate:TUITION + FEES• $6,000 - $9,000 (residents)
• 3%-4% increases in tuition each year
OPPORTUNITY COSTS• Foregoing salary with 4 yr degree
• Median salaries (BLS figures):
• Some college: $39,312
• Bachelor’s degree: $60,112
On average, students are foregoing an additional
$20,000 in earnings each year they do not graduate
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WHAT CAN WE DO? [inform]
7
5
4
9
12
15
YEARS TO GRADUATECredits / Term[fall + spring only]
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$-
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7YEAR
COST BY YEAR: ELIZA + ALEXANDER ELIZA
ALEXANDER
enrolls 15 credits per term
enrolls 9credits per term
Eliza’s total monetary costs:
$37,572
Alexander’s total monetary costs:
$47,913
Assumes resident tuition with 3.5% increase
+ $20k per year in foregone salary
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WHAT CAN WE DO?
In addition to the monetary and opportunity costs, the risk of attrition is significant for part-time students
ALEXANDER Alexander should at least know:Historically, only about 55% of freshmen who begin part-time make it to their 2nd year
And only 23% of them graduate
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WHAT CAN WE DO?
1. Online course offerings
2. Advisors
3. Scholarships
4. Schedule Builder
5. Civitas partnership
5 areas in which the University has invested:
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ONLINE OFFERINGS
109
379
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2005
-200
6
2006
-200
7
2007
-200
8
2008
-200
9
2009
-201
0
2010
-201
1
2011
-201
2
2012
-201
3
2013
-201
4
2014
-201
5
2015
-201
6
2016
-201
7
# of credit-bearing courses
offered online
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ADVISORS
In less than 4 years, the student-to-advisor ratio for the University:
2013
2016
349 to 1
248 to 1
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SCHOLARSHIPS
$26 $25
$37 $42
$55 $52 $53
$70
$81 $85
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TOTAL AID AWARDED TO UNDERGRADUATES[in millions]
Total scholarships and grants, all sources, excludes tuition waivers. OBIA common data set table H1
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SCHEDULE BUILDER
% of seniors working 20+ hours / week:
11%
23%
Peers
U
2016 NSSE survey results
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CIVITAS
Behavior that drives outcomes
Students that need help
Civitas helps us identi fy:
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what will be different?
You’ve now had a drone-level view of our students
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Mike Martineau, Ph.D.
obia.utah.edu