The effects of Climate Change on land use for Panamanian Indigenous Tribes
Kara Mariano
CayugaCommunity
college
January 8, 2010
Outline
• Indigenous tribe locations
• Land use specifics
• Temperature anomalies: 2020 & 2050
• Precipitation anomalies: 2020 & 2050
• Observations
• What can this lead to?
• Further study
• Acknowledgements
Comarcas
• Ngobe Bugle
• Kuna Yala
• Embera
Three Main Indigenous Tribes
Panama Indigenous Land
Land Use
Major Land Use Purposes
• Housing
• Location
• Materials
• Occupations
• Materials for handcrafts
• Tourism attractions
• Food Source
• Fishing
• Forest Crops
Temperature Anomaliesdry season
2050s
2020sJanuary
Degrees C
Temperature Anomalies wet season
July2020s
2050s
Temperature Observations
Ngobe Bugle
• 1 degree C increase for 2020
• 2.2 degree C increase for 2050
Wet SeasonDry Season
• 0.7 to 1 degree C increase for 2020
• 1.2 degree C increase for 2050
Kuna Yala
• 0.7 degrees C increase for 2020
• 1.8 degrees C increase for 2050
Dry Season
•0.7 to 0.9 degree C increase for 2020
•0.7 to 1.1 degree C increase in 2050
Wet Season
Embera
• 0.7 to 0.9 degree C increase for 2020
• 1.7 to 2.2 degree C increase for 2050
Dry Season Wet Season
• 0.7 to 1.2 degree C increase for 2020
• 1.2 to 1.3 degree C increase for 2050
Precipitation Anomaliesdry season
2020s
2050s
January
Precipitation Anomalieswet season
July 2020s
2050s
Precipitation Observations
Ngobe Bugle
• -4.3 to a -21.6 mm decrease in 2020
• -4.3 to a 77.7 mm decrease in 2050
• 0.9 to a -10.5 change in 2020
• 0.9 to a -10.5 change in 2050 (majority is a mm decrease)
Wet SeasonDry Season
Kuna Yala
• -1.3 to -10.5 mm decrease in 2020
• -4.4 to -41.6 mm decrease in 2050
Wet SeasonDry Season
• 0.9 to -10.5 mm change in 2020
• 0.9 to -10.5 mm change in 2050 (majority -4.4 to -10.5 mm)
Embera
• -1 to -10.5 mm decrease in 2020
• -4.4 to -21.6 mm decrease in 2050
Wet SeasonDry Season
• 5.4 to 0.8 mm change in 2020
• 0.8 to 1.9 mm change in 2050
Observations
• It appears that the temperature anomalies for the wet and dry season continue to show an
increase in 2020 and 2050
• It appears that precipitation anomalies for the wet and dry seasons show a decrease in 2020 and 2050
In Theory
• The increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation in 2020 and 2050 can cause drought, severe heat exhaustion, deforestation, desertification, inability to survive within the land
Negative effects
• Decrease in:
• Availability of resources
• Housing supplies
• Craft supplies
• Decrease in usable land
• Agriculture
• Housing
• Limiting growth
• Decrease Profits
• Limited handcraft supplies
• Decrease in time
• Decrease Tourist attractions
Complete Change in Natural Lifestyle
Societal Catastrophic Example
Decrease in
Lower Sea Levels would Cause a
Which is the tribes main food
source
This would cause a need to purchase fish or meat to store at the sights. The Para Puru community within Embera powers refrigerators through solar panels. Once, the battery life depletes, they will have to find other ways to power the
refrigerator. Without the money to purchase energy, from tourism or crafts, they would have to change their complete
livelihoods
What can this lead to?
• Eventually, I theorize that the indigenous tribes will be forced to migrate away from there homeland
• The climate changes could potentially cause severe chaos and lead to a disastrous destruction of the ancestral indigenous tribes
Recommendations for Further Study
• Create anomaly maps for: land use, deforestation, drought
• Expand location
• Expand anomaly years
• Add the two recent indigenous tribes of Panama
Acknowledgements• IAGT
• USAID
• Eric Anderson
• Africa Flores
• John Flores
• Emil Cherrington
• Francisco Delagado
• Joel Perez
• Eloisa Dutari
• Lilian Suarez
• Betsy Hernandez
• Roxana Segundo
• Valerie Garrish
• Mr. G
Special Thanks to Amy Work, Nate Krause, Mariana Escamilla, and CATHALAC