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The Fork in the Road
“Expect the unexpected”
Troy Phillips©2010
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Life is series of daily journeys…
At School
At Work
At Home
On Vacation
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What’s your goal?
Win a Race?
Take a Family Vacation?
Finish a Degree?
Lose Weight?
Go to the Moon?
Take a 3 hour tour?
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What do you need?
Identify the critical things you need to be successful.– How will you get them?– What will you do if you can’t get everything
you need?
Let’s Check our list….
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How Prepared are We?
Exceedingly Intelligent and Talented
Highly Educated
Expertly Trained
Well Practiced
Superbly Equipped and Funded
Forecast is Favorable
How can we fail?
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Step #1: Preparation = Anticipation
Anticipate what you need– Make a checklist!
Anticipate what may happen– Has anyone done this before?
Anticipate how to prevent it?– Risk Mitigation
Anticipate what you would do if it does?– Contingency Planning
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What you need!
ON THE ROADSigns/SignalsMaps/GPS/OnStarPassenger/Cell PhoneSense of DirectionPolice
AT WORKPolicies & ProcessesPeers/MentorsSupport– Help Desk– HR Generalist– Buyer
SystemsKnowledge & ExperienceGut
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Risk Assessment
The Elements– Description– Chance of Happening– Possible Consequences– Mitigating Factors– Action/Solution if needed
Document it!
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Step #2:Anticipation by Categorization
Within your Control– Education & Training– Preparation & Planning
Outside of your Control– Regulatory Changes– Unforeseen Failures
What indicators will reveal something is wrong?
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Categorization Metric
Risk In-Control Out-Control
Education
Technology
Time Contraints
Staffing
Experience
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Step #3:Contingency Planning
Plan a course of action for each category
Identify any “go” / “no-go” points
Risk Identification and Mitigation
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Check your spare tireDevelop a support system
Know your Business
Know your staff
Know Yourself
When you get a flat, it’s too late!
Is it there?Does it have air?Do you know how to use the jack?Are the bolts frozen?Will it fit?Your car is different!
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Are you ready?
Bags are packed
Destination Identified
Route Plotted
Tune-up complete
Physically Ready
Get Going!!!!
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“It Happens”-Forrest Gump
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Something or Someone gets in the way…
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What are your “forks”?
What are the obstacles that derail us?
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You don’t even know you’re lost!
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Step #4: Early Identification & Accurate Assessment
Check your equipment
Watch those indicators!
Assess possible causes– "If you eliminate the impossible, whatever
remains—however improbable—must be the truth." - Sherlock Holmes
Be Thorough, but be quick!
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What do they have in common?
Negatives:– Unscheduled & Unplanned– Create more or “unnecessary” work– Delay or Prevent reaching the destination– May reveal other weaknesses
Positives:– Opportunities for exercising your skill at
improvising, adapting and overcoming obstacles!
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The Typical Reaction:The Typical Reaction:– Initial Denial: “Is this Happening?”– Shock: “OH NO!”– Denial: “This is not happening”– Anger: “Why is this happening to me?”– Bargaining: “If you get me out of this, I will…”– Acceptance: “What will I do about it?”
Success depends on how quickly you get to Acceptance.
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Step #5:Adapt the Plan and Execute
Is there a plan to address this issue?– If not, is there one that’s close?
What factors are assumed in the plan?– Are they the same?
Any significant factor difference– Impacts or changes the plan
What more do we know now that it happened?
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Prepare to REACT Spontaneously
Unintentional– Unplanned
– Reactionary
– Improvised
Intentional– Planned
– Practiced
– Precise
– Researched
– Approved
– Policy
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Formulate your Action Plan
Stay Calm
Get the Whole Story
Be or Become Knowledgeable
Draw on Experience (not necessarily yours)
Communicate Clearly
Make the Decision!
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Call for Help
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Step #6: Time to Act!!
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Actions have Consequences...
Intended– Move Forward– Fix the issue– Solve the Problem
Unintended– More Cost– More Time– More Grief!!!
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Step #7: Reassess and Adapt
Identify expectations
Monitor progress
Revise the Plan
Revise the expectations
Communicate!!!
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What’s in your Scrapbook?
Detours can make the trip memorable
Reflect on your trips and decisions
Chose your Reaction
Learn from the experience!
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“If you come to a Fork in the Road, TAKE IT!”
-Yogi Berra