Download - Trading Strategies & Simulation
Trading Strategies &Trading Strategies &SimulationSimulation
Working Basic ProfilesWorking Basic Profiles►Buy CallBuy Call►Sell CallSell Call►Buy PutBuy Put►Sell PutSell Put
First ApplicationsFirst Applications►Protective PutProtective Put
►Covered CallCovered Call
Protective PutProtective Put► Combine Combine Long StockLong Stock with with Purchase of PutPurchase of Put► Choose Expiry to match horizon of desired Choose Expiry to match horizon of desired
protection of downside.protection of downside.► Choose Strike around (usually just above) Choose Strike around (usually just above)
current Stock Pricecurrent Stock Price► Protects Stock Price from loss beyond put Protects Stock Price from loss beyond put
premiumpremium► Very Similar to Car Insurance Very Similar to Car Insurance (although (although
everyone’s strike is below the current car everyone’s strike is below the current car value due to deductibles)value due to deductibles)
Covered CallsCovered Calls►Combine Combine Long StockLong Stock with with Sale of Sale of
CallCall►Choose Strike around (usually just Choose Strike around (usually just
above) current Stock Priceabove) current Stock Price►Protects Stock Price from loss less Protects Stock Price from loss less
than call premiumthan call premium►Guarantees Sale Price (X + Prem Guarantees Sale Price (X + Prem
Recv’d)Recv’d)
Writing Calls to Writing Calls to Generate IncomeGenerate Income
►Can be very conservative or very Can be very conservative or very risky, depending on the remainder risky, depending on the remainder of the portfolioof the portfolio
►An attractive way to generate An attractive way to generate income with foundations, pension income with foundations, pension funds, and other portfolios that will funds, and other portfolios that will always hold the stock used in the always hold the stock used in the covercover
►A very popular activity with A very popular activity with individual investorsindividual investors
Writing Calls to Generate Writing Calls to Generate Income (cont’d)Income (cont’d)
►Writing calls may not be Writing calls may not be appropriate whenappropriate when
Option premiums are very lowOption premiums are very low The option is very long-termThe option is very long-term
Simulation Simulation
►Brokerage Account and Delayed Brokerage Account and Delayed Data from ExchangesData from Exchanges
►Activate Some StrategiesActivate Some Strategies►Document Intent, Execute and Document Intent, Execute and
ResolveResolve►Make Some Money, Have Some Make Some Money, Have Some
Fun!Fun!
SimulationSimulation
ExchangesExchanges► Chicago Board of TradeChicago Board of Trade
www.cbot.comwww.cbot.com► Chicago Merchantile ExchangeChicago Merchantile Exchange
www.cme.comwww.cme.com► New York Board of TradeNew York Board of Trade
www.nybot.comwww.nybot.com► New York Merchantile ExchangeNew York Merchantile Exchange
www.nymex.comwww.nymex.com
CBOTCBOT► AgriculturalAgricultural
Corn (C), Soybeans (S), Soybean Oil (BO), Corn (C), Soybeans (S), Soybean Oil (BO), Soybean Meal (BM), Wheat (W), Oats (O)Soybean Meal (BM), Wheat (W), Oats (O)
► Interest RatesInterest Rates 10y Notes (TY), 30y Bond (US)10y Notes (TY), 30y Bond (US)
► IndexesIndexes Dow Jones 30 (DJ)Dow Jones 30 (DJ)
CMECME► MeatsMeats
Live Cattle (LC), Feeder Cattle (FC), Lean Hogs Live Cattle (LC), Feeder Cattle (FC), Lean Hogs (LH), Pork Bellies (PB)(LH), Pork Bellies (PB)
► Lumber (LB)Lumber (LB)► IndexesIndexes
Equity: S&P 500 (SP), NASDAQ 100 (ND)Equity: S&P 500 (SP), NASDAQ 100 (ND)► Foreign ExchangeForeign Exchange
British Pound (BP), Canadian $ (CD), Japanese Yen British Pound (BP), Canadian $ (CD), Japanese Yen (JY), Swiss Franc (SF), Euro (UR)(JY), Swiss Franc (SF), Euro (UR)
► Interest RatesInterest Rates Euro$ (ED), T-Bill (TB)Euro$ (ED), T-Bill (TB)
NYBOTNYBOT►Food & FiberFood & Fiber
Cocoa (CC), Coffee (KC), Sugar-World Cocoa (CC), Coffee (KC), Sugar-World (SB), FCOJ (OJ)(SB), FCOJ (OJ)
Cotton (CT)Cotton (CT)► Indexes (NYFE)Indexes (NYFE)
US$-Index (DX)US$-Index (DX)
NYMEXNYMEX► EnergyEnergy
Light, Sweet Crude Oil (CL), Heating Oil (HO), Light, Sweet Crude Oil (CL), Heating Oil (HO), Unleaded Gasoline (HU), Natural Gas (NG)Unleaded Gasoline (HU), Natural Gas (NG)
► MetalsMetals Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Copper (HG)Gold (GC), Silver (SI), Copper (HG)
PositionsPositions► $500,000 portfolio$500,000 portfolio► No more than $150,000 in any one positionNo more than $150,000 in any one position► At least 4 option and 2 futures tradesAt least 4 option and 2 futures trades
4 options as we discuss options4 options as we discuss options 2 futures as we discuss futures2 futures as we discuss futures
► Each position must have:Each position must have: Documented opinionDocumented opinion Documented Security informationDocumented Security information Initial Trade PriceInitial Trade Price Daily Closing PricesDaily Closing Prices Final Closing PriceFinal Closing Price
Documented Security Documented Security InformationInformation
►Contract/Position SizeContract/Position Size►Contract/Position ValueContract/Position Value►Last Trading Day of ContractLast Trading Day of Contract►Contract/Position Initial Margin DepositContract/Position Initial Margin Deposit
Multi-Option Trading Multi-Option Trading StrategiesStrategies
Take a position in: Take a position in: ►A mixture of calls & putsA mixture of calls & puts
This is known as a This is known as a combinationcombination►2 or more options of the same 2 or more options of the same
typetype This is known as a This is known as a spreadspread
Trading StrategiesTrading Strategies
A Long Straddle CombinationA Long Straddle Combination• Figure 4-1: Buy 1 Call & 1 Put @
Same XProfit
STX
Prices are expected to move, but don’t know which way.
A Short Straddle CombinationA Short Straddle Combination
Profit
STX
Prices are not expected to move, either way (RISKY!!!). Get to keep premiums, but possible unlimited losses.
• Figure 4-2: Sell 1 Call & 1 Put @ Same X
A Long Strangle A Long Strangle CombinationCombination
X1 X2
ST
• Figure 4-3: Buy 1 Call @ Hi X& Buy 1 Put @ Low XProfit
Prices are expected to move BIG, but don’t know which way, and willing to give up some profit to pay less for position.
A Short Strangle A Short Strangle CombinationCombination
X1 X2 ST
• Figure 4-3: Sell 1 Call @ Hi X& Sell 1 Put @ Low XProfit
Prices are not expected to move beyond X1 or X2, but not willing to bet they might movebetween. Get to keep premiums, but unlimited possible losses.
Bull Spread Using CallsBull Spread Using Calls►Figure 4.7: Buy 1 Low X Call, andFigure 4.7: Buy 1 Low X Call, and
Sell 1 Hi X CallSell 1 Hi X Call
X1 X2
Profit
ST
Prices are expected to rise, but only modestly(not above X2). Willing to give up “above X2”to pay less for position (compare to naked call).
Bull Spread Using PutsBull Spread Using Puts
• Buy 1 Low X Put and Sell 1 Hi X Put
X1
X2
Profit
ST
Bear Spread Using PutsBear Spread Using Puts• Sell 1 Lo X Put and Buy 1 Hi X Put
X1 X2
Profit
ST
Again, as you are willing to give up move “below X1”, position costs less than naked put.
Bear Spread Using CallsBear Spread Using Calls• Figure 4-8 : Buy 1 Hi X Call, and
Sell 1 Lo X Call
X1 X2
Profit
ST
Prices are expected to fall, but only modestly(not below X1). Willing to give up “below X1”to pay less for position (compare to naked put).