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Vast lands & variable data:systematic analyses to understand the patterns and processes of mammal decline
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Small-mammal declines in northern Australia
Alex Kutt, CSIROChris Johnson, JCU/UTasDiana Fisher, UQMichael Lawes, CDUSusanne Fritz, BiK-F GermanyHamish McCallum, UQJeremy VanDerWal, JCU
Colette Thomas, CSIROAlaric Fisher, NT DLRMIain Gordon, CSIROBrett Abbott, CSIROAnke Frank, JCU/UTasSarah Legge, AWCMichael Letnic, UNSW
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Small mammals in Kakadu NP, Woinarski et al. (2011) Cons Lett
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Problems in diagnosing cause
Lots of contenders: fire, grazing, cats, climate/weather, disease, toads…Patchy survey, observational & historical data, spread unevenly over a vast areaAlmost no in-depth study of declining populationsDeclines happening fast
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Our aims:
Collate and analyse existing data & evidence
Evaluate hypotheses/formulate new hypotheses
Guide new policies for land management
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Some results and impacts
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1. Review of hypothesis set, through a formal deliberative process
Interaction of factors crucial:predation by feral cats, interacting with fire and grazing
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2. Comparative analysis of traits associated with mammal decline, north and south [size, life history, ecology, climate etc]
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Small body size and open habitat predict declineSimilar to past declines in the southBut smaller species affected in the north
The main results:
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3. Improved distribution/abundance database for Australian mammals
Data from fauna surveys, added to museum (etc) data; > 600,000 records
Better models of distribution & change due to climate/weather – work continuingsee mammal distribution visualisation portal
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Thanks ACEAS
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