Download - When machines think
Peter Cochrane
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s
ca-global.org
When
Machine
Think
cochrane.org.uk
Thursday, 10 November 2011
The majority of human knowledge has been derived from collaborating with machines
✦ Details of the cosmos✦ Details of the atom✦ Decoding the genome✦ Decoding proteins✦ Evolutionary science✦ Weather prediction✦ The spread of disease✦ Biological operations✦ Network traffic flows✦ The physics of flight✦ Power generation✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
That knowledge is now being shared by way of new mechanisms on a vast scale...
Această cunoaştere este acum împărtăşită prin intermediul unor mecanisme noi pe scară largă ...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Social networking
Other people:
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Social networking
* Read* Watch* Listen* Search* Think* Work* Solve problems* Try products* Find good services* Organise group purchases
Other people:
So I don’t have to !Thursday, 10 November 2011
Machines now manufacture more products and control more things than we do
✦ Integrated circuits✦ Hard drives✦ Displays✦ Computers ✦ Mobile phones✦ ++++✦ Food✦ Clothing✦ ++++✦ Production lines✦ Traffic flows✦ Aircraft✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We are creating a society of networked people and things...
✦ Cars✦ Trains✦ Planes✦ Homes✦ Offices ✦ Devices✦ Television✦ Services✦ Support✦ Supply✦ Sales✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
And we have started to understand the depth of something deep & fundamental
✦ The universe is unstable
✦ It is not well behaved
✦ It is not linear
✦ It is chaotic & non-linear
✦ It may be beyond our understanding
Thursday, 10 November 2011
What does this really mean?
Ce înseamnă aceasta cu adevărat?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We may never fully understand....
✦ Tsunamis✦ Ecologies✦ Earthquakes✦ Heart attacks✦ Power outages✦ Market collapses✦ Weather systems✦ Network instabilities✦ Socio-political problems✦ Genome - Protein interaction✦ +++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Responding in time saves lives, resources, time, money....and perhaps the planet...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We only have one prospective solution - a partnership with our machines...
✦ They store all our data
✦ They control our infrastructure
✦ They communicate with our sensors
✦ We totally depend on them
✦ They are slowly getting smarter
✦ But will they ever be intelligent ?
✦ Will they ever be more than super
adding machines & data repositories ?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
What we know for sure !
Ceea ce ştim sigur!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Continuing to increase computing power & memory/storage will not lead to intelligence
Thursday, 10 November 2011
How do we know ?
Cum ştim?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We have a model for intelligence that says that sensors & actuators are vital...
✦ No input = no intelligence
✦ No output = no intelligence
✦ Memory stores facts and experiences
✦ Processing power defines the time to solve
Ic ~ k log2[1 + KAS ( 1 + PM )] S = Sensor, A = Actuator, P = Processor, M = Memory
Thursday, 10 November 2011
The primary reason that my laptop is dumb is that it has no sensory system....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But we are building extensive networks of sensors and that is the first step....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But we are building extensive networks of sensors and that is the first step....
These only number in
the 1000’s
Thursday, 10 November 2011
However, our biggest network of sensors numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
However, our biggest network of sensors numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....
Smart phones could be the ultimate sensor network
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
So, how about that Meta-Data ?
Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
What does it know
about you?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
What does it know
about you?
Where you are ?Where you have been ?Where you are likely to be going to ?Who you have met ?Who you are going to meet ?Who you call ?Who calls you ?Who you TXT - IM - Link ?All your contactsAll your urlsAll you passwordsWhat you are doing now ?What have you done in the past ?What games you play ?What apps you use ?What music you listen to...?What you watch...?What you read...?++++++++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Soon to be enhanced with more sensors!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Soon to be enhanced with more sensors!
Enhance 2D/3D CameraEnhanced microphoneEnhanced GPSAir pressureHumidityPollutant detectionWiFi triangulationMedical/Care extensionsRFID
++++++++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Incramentalism ?
This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Incramentalism ?
The banks/card companies are gearing up to do this !!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
IDPass
DebitCreditGuidesLoyaltyMedical
LicencesInsurancesInstitutions
Quick NotesMemberships
++++++++++
How many more can you cope with?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
IDPass
DebitCreditGuidesLoyaltyMedical
LicencesInsurancesInstitutions
Quick NotesMemberships
++++++++++
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
Just manage my life for me!
iCards
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
Just manage my life for me!
iCards
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Much of this technology will be extended to other vehicles...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
At a lower technology level we will also see tagging for life
Thursday, 10 November 2011
At a lower technology level we will also see tagging for life
Chunky technology
PrettyJewellery
Limited information
Cradleto Grave
Data
Chips and tags on and in everythingincluding goods, animals & people
Thursday, 10 November 2011
So, what’s the big deal ?
Deci, ce-i mare scofală?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Our logistic systems waste a significant % of the global GDP...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Data, admin, dosage, treatment errors kill 1000’s or sees serious disablement !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Modern farming sees tagged crops and animals + vehicles and supplies !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Industrial and personal recycling and reuse could be vastly improved to reduce waste !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
• There is $$ in data• Even more $$ in meta data
But it all requires even more attention to data...
Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai mult la datele ...
• Există $ $ în date• Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-date
Thursday, 10 November 2011
• There is $$ in data• Even more $$ in meta data
But it all requires even more attention to data...
Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai mult la datele ...
• Există $ $ în date• Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-date
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Ultimately this is all about sustainability and survivability!
✦ Not more for the few✦ But sufficient for all
✦ Using what is plentiful✦ Not fighting over the scarce
✦ Creating less waste✦ Helping nature not fighting her
✦ Living in a way the planet can support
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Other implications ?
Alte implicaţii?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We understand a lot about the sociology of people, but nothing about the sociology of machines !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
But as everything is more and more networked...then we can assume that new levels of intell igence will also emerge...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
An early arrival - the 3D printer, replication at a distance, and machines designing machines...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
What can we do with AI & AL now?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
This was not designed by man.....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Atomic manipulation has been a reality for some time…
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We have decoded the genome and have made a start on proteins…we can manipulate both...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
A new ability to program materials to form 3D objects of a predefined shape and function...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
A new ability to program materials to form 3D objects of a predefined shape and function...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Still at an infantile stage - part magic - part reality...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
And then there are sensors !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Creativity is moving to the edge.... out of control, open, and distributed...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
We will then see new:
✦ ways of thinking✦ discoveries✦ perceptions✦ understanding✦ capabilities
Society and companies will be changed...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Final Word
The £ $ € is in the ʻMeta Dataʼ
$ £ € este în zona "Date Meta"
Thursday, 10 November 2011
Thank You
ca-global.orgcochrane.org.uk
COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s
1995
mulţumesc
Thursday, 10 November 2011