EU Energy Policy after Fukushima
Olga Sihmane, Directorate General for Energy, European CommissionEU-Japan Policy Seminar, Tokyo, Japan
2 December 2011
G h E g R bl
The 20-20-20 EU policyBy 2020
Greenhousegas levels
Energyconsumption
Renewablesin energy mix
100%
-20% -20%
+20%
2
SEnergy Strategy 2020
5 P i iti5 Priorities:Efficient use of energyEfficient use of energy
Integrated energy marketIntegrated energy market
Secure, safe and affordable energySecure, safe and affordable energy
Technological leadershipTechnological leadership
Strong international partnership3
Strong international partnership
PRIORITY 1: EFFICIENT USE OF ENERGY
Use energy better: multi-sector plan to boost energy efficiency
Savings expected to be achieved with already existing measures
Remaining saving potential to beRemaining saving potential to be addressed with new measures
4Source: European Commission
ff f
PRIORITY 1: EFFICIENT USE OF ENERGY
What improving energy efficiency means for a single family house of the 70s (150 m2 in D)
No Renovation to Renovation toNo renovation
Renovation to new build standard
Renovation to low energy
house standard
Annual CO2 emissionsi tin tonnes
ConsumptionConsumption of heating oil per year
5
÷2,5
÷ 2
PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE
Complete the internal energy market by 2014
.Energy markets remain highly concentrated:» need to encourage new entrants andneed to encourage new entrants and
independent suppliers» need to give consumers (business and g (
households) a choice.Private actors need legal certainty and g yadequate market design to plan and invest.EU needs:» Integrated and competitive energy markets» interconnected and smart infrastructure
6
EU strongest renewable
PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE
EU strongest renewableenergy potentials
Wind energy onshore
Solar energy
Wave energy
Si lifi d M
7
Simplified Map
PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE
Energy system investment needs
Total investment needs in the electricity and gas sector y gbetween 2010-20: over 1 trillion €
Power generation: ~ 500 bn Transmission and distribution: ~ 600 bn
Distribution: ~ 400 bn
T i i 200 b
RES: ~ 310-370 bn
Transmission: ~ 200 bn
NB: approximative figures mainlyNB: approximative figures, mainly from DG ENER calculations based on data from PRIMES, ENTSO-E,
KEMA, ECOFYS etc.
8
f
PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE
European infrastructures priorities
Southerngas corridor
LNG terminals
Baltic inter-connection plan
Mediterraneanenergy ring
North southelectricity & gasinterconnectionsin central-southEurope
9
North Seaoffshore grid
D l t f bli di R&D
PRIORITY 4: TECHNOLOGICAL LEADERSHIP
Development of public spending on energy R&Din selected EU Member States, the USA and Japan - 1991-2005
EU (17 MS) USA JAPANin 2005 in %
20
10 +22%
-10
1991=100
-13%10
-20
-13%
-30
-40 -40%
10
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and own calculations
C f
PRIORITY 3: SECURE, SAFE AND AFFORDABLE ENERGY
Continuous improvement in safety and security
.Nuclear risk and safety assessments» Commission Interim Report to be presented to p p
the European Council on 9 December» Peer review process in 2012» Review of the legal and regulatory framework» Review of the legal and regulatory framework
for the nuclear safety installations.Offshore safety regulation» Ensure best practices are applied by industry y y
and public authorities» Promote better compliance
11
EU-27 Import dependency(based on 2009 baseline scenario)
2005 2008 2020 2030 2005 2008 2020 2030in %
100
80 84 3%
92,7%84,1%
80
60
82,4%84,3%
62,3%
75,9%
82,8%
40
57,7%
20
12
GASOIL
Th J 2009 i i d it i t
PRIORITY 5: STRONG INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIP
The January 2009 gas crisis and its impact(6-20 January 2009)
> 75 %
% of missing gas supply – 300 mcm/d for 14 days
50 - 75 %
25 – 50 %
< 25% 25%
0%
Ukraine
13| 13
CLow-Carbon Economy Roadmap 2050
100% 100%
80%
100%
80%
100%
Power Sector
60%
80%
60%
80%Current policy
Residential & Tertiary
40%
60%
40%
60%
Industry
20%
40%
20%
40%
Transport
0%
20%
0%
20%
Non CO2 Other Sectors
Non CO2 Agriculture
14
0%1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
0%
A longer term strategy
Upcoming Energy Roadmap 2050.Consider direction speed and milestones.Consider direction, speed and milestones.Put together national energy mixes.Assess the infrastructure implications and.Assess the infrastructure implications and look for the most cost-effective pathways
15
f fFor further information
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/index_en.htm
16