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www.meetmed.org Mitigation Enabling Energy Transition in the MEDiterranean region ENERGY EFFICIENCY OPPORTUNITY IN LIBYA Dr. Alkishriwi, Nouri, REAoL 03.10.2018

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Page 1: Dr. Alkishriwi, Nouri, REAoL - meetMED · Winter peak demand by end use Demand side management (DSM) ... Commercial Public service Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings

www.meetmed.org

Mitigation Enabling Energy Transition in the MEDiterranean region

ENERGY EFFICIENCY OPPORTUNITY IN

LIBYA

Dr. Alkishriwi, Nouri, REAoL

03.10.2018

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Contents

Introduction

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

Libyan power generation overview

Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings: Case study

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Area 1,759,541 km2

Capital Tripoli

Independence 24 Dec. 1954

Population 6,400,000

Growth rate 2%

Age groups

1-14 years (32%)15-64 (63%)

Above 65: (5%)

Gross domestic

product85 Billion USD

(2009)

Libya

Introduction

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Libyan power generation overview

• Libya has invested heavily in its electricity infrastructure over the pastdecades.

• Although these investments have been directly funded by the Libyangovernment through its development budget, GECOL, the GeneralElectricity Company of Libya and its sole national power utility, has beenthe key player planning and orchestrating these investments.

• The combination of an oil rich nation with a policy of universalelectrification and a power utility with stringent criteria on the expansionplanning of its system, the result has been a robust power transmissionnetwork and ambitious undertaking of generation plant constructionprojects.

Introduction

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Libyan generation sector today is fully managed by GECOL, who

produces electricity through 15 thermal power plants

The main power stations

Libyan power generation overview

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

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Location of GECOL generation plants

Libyan power generation overview

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

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Libyan transmission system overview

The transmission system today is fully operated by GECOL and

is composed of ~16,000km of 220kV and 400kV lines

Libyan power generation overview

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

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Overall electricity generation has remained mostly stable

since 2012, ranging between 36 and 38 TWh

Libyan power generation overview

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

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Elec

tric

En

ergy

pro

du

ced

in T

Wh

Year

تجةالطاقة الكهربائية المن

The current state of electricity in Libya

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Compared to its regional peers, Libya shows the highest

pro-capita and residential electricity consumption

Libyan power generation overview

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Page 10: Dr. Alkishriwi, Nouri, REAoL - meetMED · Winter peak demand by end use Demand side management (DSM) ... Commercial Public service Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings

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42%

17%

41%

Electricity Generation in Libya by Fuel Type (2010)

LFO

HFO

GAS

Efficiency and affordability improvements through gas

Average fuel used to produce electricity %, 2010

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Libyan power generation overview

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12

13%

7%

80%

Electricity Generation in Libya by Fuel Type (2016)

LFO

HFO

GAS

Average fuel used to produce electricity %, 2016

Efficiency and affordability improvements through gas

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Libyan power generation overview

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Gas has progressively substituted LFO and HFO as power

generation fuel

Average fuel used to produce electricity %, 2010-2016

Efficiency and affordability improvements through gas

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Libyan power generation overview

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165.93

89.2

67.8

43.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2014 2015 2016 PV power plant(2017)

LD/M

Wh

MWh price - LD/MWh

Comparison of the cost of megawatts per hour for

conventional stations and PV stations

Efficiency and affordability improvements through gas

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Libyan power generation overview

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• Current power generation fuel mix is mostly basedupon natural gas (~80%)

• Power generation from oil (marine oil and diesel) areexpected to phase out due to its high cost ofproduction and import

• Certainty on upstream investment and improvedphysical infrastructure are crucial to enabling gasrole in national power generation mix

• RE must be in Energiy Mix.

Efficiency and affordability improvements through gas

Libyan power generation overview

Page 15: Dr. Alkishriwi, Nouri, REAoL - meetMED · Winter peak demand by end use Demand side management (DSM) ... Commercial Public service Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings

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Peak demand growing but at lower rate Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

Libyan power generation overview

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Winter peak demand by end use

Demand side management (DSM)

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

H.Industrial2%

Light Industrial4%

Irrigation15%

Freezer2%

HVAC7%

Lights25%

Miscelleaneous4%

Plug Load8%

Pumps6%

Refrigerator4%

Water Heat10%

Govermental13%

Winter System Demand at Peak Hour by End-Use

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Summer peak demand by end use

Demand side management (DSM)

Source: GECOL data collection, Strategy& analysis

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Distribution of one million energy saving lamps in 2015 & 2017

Replacement of electric heaters with solar heaters

Energy Management Programs inGovernment Buildings

Preparing a Strategic Plan for RenewableEnergies development

In addiation to the efficiency and affordabilityimprovements through gas, GECOL with REAoL have done:

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Strategic Plan for Renewable Energies

2018 - 2030

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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20302018

Electricity mixture produced by the end of 2030

Renewable Energy

0%

Convential Energy100%

Renewable Energy Convential Energy

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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NowYear - 2018

2019-2021

2022-2024

2025-2027

2027-2030

0%

5%850 MW

300 MW

11%1750 MW

500 MW

17%2800 MW

700 MW

100 MW

22%3350 MW

850 MW

400 MW

Pentration Rate

Proposed Capacity

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

Proposed Strategy for Renewable Energy Development in Libya

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Cap

acit

y in

MW

Year

Proposed Strategy for Renewable Energy Development in Libya 2018 - 2030

Wind Energy PV CSP

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Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan- NEEAP

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• Coming up with the National Energy Efficiency Action Plan(NEEAP)

• Propose the necessary laws, regulations, incentives and getit approved by the goverment

• Increase people's awareness and public acceptance of theimportance of energy conservation

• Benefit from the experiences of other countries in the fieldof energy efficiency

Reaol has been given the job of carrying out the work ofEnergy Efficiency to the stage of implementation:

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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An overview of the National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, 2014-2016

Item Cost Datecumulative saving upto

2016

1Replacement of Electric Heaters

with Solar Water Heaters225,000,000 2016 490.56 GWh

2 CFL 5,000,000 2016 438 GWh

3Energy Management in

Government Buildings

5,000 L.D. for training of

Energy Managers2016 Supportive

4construction of 3 energy efficient

building (Government)2,000 L.D. / m2 2016

60% reduction in energy

consumption

5executing 60 energy auditing

studies

5,000 L.D (training of

energy auditing specialist)2016 supportive

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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Item Cost Datecumulative saving upto

2016

6 reduction of commercial losses 125 L.D. per meter 2016Card meters, public

awareness, incentives

7 EE labels to be set 2016 supportive

8 Building Energy Code 300,000 2016 supportive

9 Award of Arab EE day 40,000 2016 supportive

An overview of the National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, 2014-2016

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings

Libyan National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

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• The built environment accounts for over 40%of delivered energy consumption

• The majority of energy consumed is for spaceand water heating, not electricity in mostbuildings

• The domestic sector in the Libya accounts foralmost 39% of final energy consumption

• The energy efficiency of the bulk of thehousing stock is poor

• There is significant scope for energy efficiencyimprovements with savings in space heatingof up to 90% achievable

39%

13%9%9%

16%14%

Residential AgricultureIndustry Street lightingCommercial Public service

Preparing energy efficiency code for buildings

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Case Study

➢Motivation and Defining the Building

• The building is a typicalresidential building for a familylocated in Abonjeam Village, aresidential complex located inthe Central Region in Libya.

• The building is made of onestory building. The set pointtemperature is defined for thisanalysis in 24°C. The buildinghas a total volume of 594 m3

and a treated floor area of 198m2 per house.

• Improve the energy performance ofbuildings and raise the level ofthermal satisfaction.

• Reduce energy consumption in thebuilding sector.

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0

5

10

15

20

25

0.00E+00 1.00E+03 2.00E+03 3.00E+03 4.00E+03 5.00E+03 6.00E+03 7.00E+03 8.00E+03 9.00E+03 1.00E+04

Load

-kW

Time - Hours

Cooling and Heating Load

H_QHEAT H_QCOOL

A TRNSYS software was to used to create a deck file with all the information about thebuilding regarding architecture, materials, and cooling loads.

Case Study

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COOLING LOAD

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

kWh

Cooling load in the building. Reference case, 29.3 MWh/year, 155 kWh/m2

QCOOL-REF

Case Study

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COOLING LOAD

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

kWh

Cooling load in the building. Reference case+Target case

QCOOL-REF QCOOL-Target

Case Study

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COOLING LOAD

Walls, roofs and ground

63%

Internal gains5%

Transparent surfaces27%

Outside air (Infil. + Vent.)

5%

Cooling loads distribution in the house Reference case

Walls, roofs and ground Internal gains

Transparent surfaces Outside air (Infil. + Vent.)

Case Study

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Accumulated energy required for cooling and heating load in the house in kWh

Ref. Case Target Case

Reduction in required energy for cooling by 63%

11700 kWh30000 kWh

60 kWh/m2155 kWh/m2

Case Study

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Cooling load = 155 kWh/m2 per year – 60 155 kWh/m2

Hot water production = 82 % per year by solar energy

Saving up tp 30% from the old systems

PV system = 15700 kWh per year

Initial energy

performance

Final energy

performance

63% savings for

cooling load only

Envelope optimisation

DHW System

Efficient AC System

PV System

Case Study

➢ our studies have shown that proper wall insulation alone can save up to 60% of theenergy used in MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region, especially in the residentialsector

➢ The potential for energy efficiency in buildings is very large both in new and in existingbuildings. Over time the energy efficiency in buildings can be reduced by more than 60 %alone with measures, which are feasible already today.

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Dr. Nouri Alkishriwi

Renewable Energy Authority of Libya- REAoL

Assist. Prof. at University of Tripoli

Contacts:

Mobile : +218 91 8409205

E-mail : [email protected]