dr. armin ardone, stuttgart may 11 - smartgrids bw and logicitics (prof. frank schultman) about 25...
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KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and
National Research Center of the Helmholtz Association
Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
www.kit.edu
smart grids: a spotlight on current research activities at KIT
Dr. Armin Ardone, Stuttgart May 11th
2 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Million € annual budget
KIT in numbers
9.254Employees
359Full professors
23.905Students
785532 Incoming exchange students
08.09.2015
3 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
The IIP at the KIT faculty of economics
IIP
(Rimbon, Jérémy)
EnergyEconomics (Prof. Wolf Fichtner)
Renewablesand
E-Efficiency(Dr. Russell McKenna
E-Markets(Dr. Dogan
Keles)
Distributed Energy Systems
and Networks (Dr. Armin Ardone)
Energyand
Transport (Dr. Patrick
Jochem)
SCM andLogicitics
(Prof. Frank Schultman)
About 25 „research assistants“
(i.e. „PhD-students“ working mainly as policy consultants)
plus other master and bachelor students
Institute
Chair
Research
group
Meta
institutes:
• Energy Center
• KSRI
08.09.2015
4 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: Installed capacities Germany
6 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: Volatile share of total electricity production (GER)
RES-E share in 2015: 32,6%
Target 2025: 40-45%
Target 2035: 55-60%
7 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: Hourly power generation December 2015
Exports solve issue of excess production (for now)
8 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: … but Wholesale Power Prices collapse
9 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: Electricity generation in August 2015 (GER)
PV impact now visible, too
10 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Motivation: Solution requires a Smart Energy System
Source: Prof. Dr.-Ing. Matthias Luther, The Transition of the Electrical Energy Systems: Perspectives, Challenges and Research
+Smart Markets
11 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Thermal power plant park
(e.g. Germany, Europe: Inst.
Capacities, Efficiencies…)
Hydro storages
(Volumes, discharge
rates)
Power
transmission
lines
Existing assets and decided projects
External (policy-driven) developments
(e.g. nuclear phase-out in Germany)
Results
• (Regional)
power plant
park
development
• Transmission
grid
development
• Fuel
consumption
• CO2 emissions
• (Nodal)
marginal prices
(short-run and
long-run
marginal costs)
• Total system
expenses
Market Model
Minimisation of system expenses for load coverage
System (residual) load –
Var. Costs
(€/MWh)
Av. Capacity
(GW)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91
EU
R/M
Wh
Available capacity (GW)
Nuclear
Lignite
Hard coal
CCGT
OCGT
Renewables
World market fuel price
scenarios (e.g. hard coal, gas,
oil)
CO2 certificate limits or prices
Domestic fuel price scenarios
(e.g. lignite)
Power plant technology
development (convention-al
expansion candidates: capex,
opex, efficiency...)
Technology development data
for Renewables (capex, opex)
(Regional) renewable
potentials and generation
profiles
(Regional) electricity
consumption (amount and
profile)
Macroeconomic
developments (GDP, inflation,
exchange rates…)
Sce
na
rio
assu
mp
tio
ns / e
ne
rgy e
co
no
mic
ma
rke
t vie
w
Transmission grid technology
development (AC and HVDC
gridlines expansion options:
capex)
Smart Transmission Grid: Endogenous and simultaneous
optimization of power plant and grid extension
12 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics16Präsentation Projektskizze LiLa Walldorf am 20.01.2015
Additions near to off-shore
grid connections
Two locations
Bentwisch
Lubmin
Moderate reduction of
curtailment
Scenario w/o PtG: 8,5%
Scenario with PtG: 8,4%
Much higher impact
expected in 100% RES-E
case
Smart Transmission Grid: Power to Gas results for 85%
RES-E case (2050)
13 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Smart Grids may include gas infrastructure
Grid
ModelMarket
Model
Market
Model
Excess Electricity
Gas ProductionElectr. Generation
Gas to Power
Technical
Restrictions
Technical
Restrictions
Financial
Flows
Financial
Flows
Coupling of Electricity and Gas Grid (and System)CHP new build
RES-E new build + feed-in
Grid expansion
Electricity Storage
Power to Gas
P2G new build
Gas grid expansion
Gas storage
g2P new build
Development Power
Development Gas
Distribution
Model
Transmission
Model
Eletricity Grid
Gas Network
14 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Distributed energy systems and networks
research focus:
- Market design of distributed energy systems
- Analysis of load shifting potential and user acceptance of (price-based) demand side management
- Stochastic approaches for layout planning, energy management and forecasting in distributed
energy systems
related project: Energy Supply Cooperative (https://www.iip.kit.edu/1064_2055.php)
Development of energy-efficient, environmentally
friendly residential quarters:
- Reduction of energy consumption to a minimum
by modern passive house technologies
- Provision of a large part of the required energy
by photovoltaic (PV) systems
- Optimisation of PV self-usage by heat pumps
with storages and intelligent load shifting
problem: resulting in large-scale
optimization problems
30.05.2016
Hannes
Schwarz
15 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Distributed energy systems and networks
Collaborative project of UBC, KIT and ESRI
Development and application of optimization methods
for stochastic programs for decentralized energy systems
30.05.2016
Project member name Organization
1. Prof. Dr. Holger Hoos University of British Columbia (UBC), Canada
2. Dr. Lars Kotthoff University of British Columbia (UBC), Canada
3. Prof. Dr. Wolf Fichtner Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany
4. Hannes Schwarz Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany
5. Valentin Bertsch The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Ireland
focus on: optimization of decentralized energy systems under uncertainty: residential quarter are modeled as a two-
stage stochastic, mixed-integer linear program (SMILP) where the investment and operation of the
integrated photovoltaic system, the heat pumps and storages are optimized
current state: optimization requires several days, weeks or even months
improvement of the optimization process by:
- using the optimization decision procedure SMAC developed by the UBC that automatically tunes the
possible solving options to accelerate the optimization process
- substitute the time-consuming solving procedure by new heuristic approaches
16 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Distributed energy systems and networks
30.05.2016
Stochastic
Optimization
Restrictions fulfilled
in all scenarios
größerer Heizungsspeicher im Vgl. zur
Speichergröße der max. Auftrittshäufigkeit
Bigger heat storage in comparison to result
based on average whether data
29800
30600
31400
32200
33000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0 4 812 16 20
2428
3236
4044
4852
5660
6468
minimaleKosten in €
Häu
figk
eit
Speichergröße in kWh
6-7
5-6
4-5
3-4
2-3
1-2
0-1
stoch.opt. Lösung:min. costs* = 31 147€> mit sH
max = 17,7 kWh> mit sWW
max = 45,3 kWh
Dichtefunktion der minimalen Kosten und der SpeichergrößeDensity function of minimal cost and heat storage size
Storage size in kWh
Occure
nce
17 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Utility balancing scheduling with HH-storages
Pb1 (Benchmark): N users with storages that “want to help” the utility. The utility has a
plan B to match supply with demand but wants to use the N users as a “cheap” plan A.
Min. of the deviation from projected supply Si
NLP, centralized, all info available
Pb2: Scheduling prices Pi1 and Pi2 (s.t. Pi1<Pi2ηc ηd) to each user in each timeslot so
as to minimize the use of plan B.
Min. of the deviation from projected supply Si
NLIP (charging/discharging decision is min.function) linearization
The solution is not “fair”
Introduction of fairness by adding (Catherine Rosenberg,
ece.uwaterloo.ca)
ε has to be small (not easy to select)
18 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Reflex (EIFER, European Institute for Energy Research)
Full name: Replicability concept for Flexible Smart Grids
Funding: BMWi through Era Net SG+ program (though PTJ)
Time period: 04/2016 – 04/2019, Consortium: 5 partners
Scope: Even though many smart grid projects showed the potential for replication, neither guidelines nor concept exist on how to transfer demos and pilots to other electrical grids in a systematic way and to develop transferable business models for the industry.
The ReFlex project will build on finalized or ongoing demo and pilot projects from DE, AT, SE and CH, desk research and simulation studies. It will consist in identifying and understanding the most relevant dimensions of replicability: socio-political acceptance, design of market and interoperability issues.
Reflex aims at developing a replicability concept and guidelines for the deployment of technologically feasible, market based and user friendly solutions for smart grids
EIFER’s contribution tackles technology assessment and comparison through simulation models as well as the development of communities of practice and knowledge exchange.
19 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Project: Sim4Blocks (EIFER)
Funding: EU Horizon 2020 research innovation programme
Time period: 04/2016 – 04/2020, Consortium: 17 partners
Scope: Sim4Blocks is a four-year, EC-funded project that focuses on the development of innovative Demand Response (DR) services for residential and commercial applications. The project combines decentralised energy management technology at the blocks-of-buildings-scale to enable DR.
The DR systems and services will be tested in three pilot sites in DE, ES and CH, and tested together with interfaces for intuitive user interaction. Successful models will be transferred to the customers of project partners in further European countries (BE, FR, UK). The pilot sites are blocks of highly energy-efficient buildings with diverse energy systems and, most importantly, the infrastructure necessary for testing DR strategies.
EIFER’s contribution is related to a simulation-supported exploration and analysis of market access strategies and business models, and their relevance under current and upcoming regulation schemes across the EU. EIFER leads the WP7.
20 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics6
LiLa Walldorf: An existing region with interesting flexibility
options
21 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
Markets for IT and CommunicationTtechnologies
Electricity Market
Infr
astr
uctu
reTari
ffs
Basic price depends on internet speed
Unlimited data volume
New tariffs also applicable here?
Today‘s tariffs independent of
maximum load/capacity
Charging only per kWh
Future concept may include
capacity-driven fixed price
14
Testing new tariff systems similar to IT/mobile communication
22 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics16
Power Plant
Operators
Electricity Seller
Power plants
Investment
planner
Load Profiles
TSO/DSO
RES-E Profiles
Bids
Results
Demand
Demand Electricity
Buyer
Spotmarket
Futures
Reservemarkt
Offer
Capacity Market
Utility
Demand
Demand
Earnings
Electricity
Buyer
Regulator
Bids
Demand
Power plant new
builds
Capacity payments
Multi-Agent-Power System Model (Power ACE)
23 Institute for Industrial Production (IIP)
Chair of Energy Economics
C/sells – Research and Demonstration
16Präsentation Projektskizze LiLa Walldorf am 20.01.2015
Thank you for your attention