dr palitha karunapema consultant community physician ncd unit · explaining the fall in chd deaths...
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Dr Palitha Karunapema
Consultant Community Physician
NCD unit
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Disease burden
Economic cost
Social cost
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What is the definition of NCDs All diseases that are not communicable
This includes acute and chronic NCDs
Acute NCDs- injury and violence
Chronic NCDs- cardiovascular diseases, Chronic respiratory diseases, diabetes ,cancer
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Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases
Cardiovascular diseases ( affecting heart and brain )
Diabetes
Chronic respiratory diseases,
cancer
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Magnitude NCDs are accounted for 70 % of all deaths in Sri
Lanka ( 600 deaths )
about 400 deaths per day
Compare with dengue deaths
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Deaths by all causes
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Half of the people died due to
chronic NCD are less than 70 years
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Comparison of age adjusted death rates
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Social cost Reduction in quality of life ( healthy life expectancy is
about 60 years )
Disruption of family life
Cost of care
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Increasing trend of heart diseases and other major NCDs has been observed over last 3 / 4 decades
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Government hospital admission due cardio-vascular diseases
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Hospital deaths due to cardiovascular diseases
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life expectancy might be stagnated or reduced Female – 76
Male – 70
Future life expectancy gains could be achieved mainly through NCD prevention and control
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Determinant of NCD
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Hypertension Prevalence is around -`20 – 25 %
20 % among 18-65 adult population ( Wijewardana et al 2005)
25 % among 18-70 ( Katulanda personal communication)
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Diabetes Prevalence – 10.2 %
Among urban / semi urban population – around 18%
Rural population – around 8%
Has shown a rapid increase over last 20 years according to several studies conducted.
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Prevalence of modifiable risk factors Smoking
Alcohol
Unhealthy diet
Physical inactivity
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Prevalence of NCD risk factors among adult population ( 18-65 Years)
22.80%26.00%
81.40%
18% 20%
0.30% 1.20%
83.30%
31.90% 30.40%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
Current smokers Alcohol users Unhealthy diet Physical inactivity Over weight and Obese
Perc
en
tag
e
Present situation with respect to major risk factors
Male
Female
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Cigarette sales drops
FCTC - ImplementationNATA Act
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Per capita alcohol consumption has increased
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Heart diseases and other chronic NCDs are preventable This is by reduction of major risk factors
namely at individual and community level-
Smoking ,
Alcohol use ,
Unhealthy diet ,
Physical inactivity
Behaviour change is required -
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Explaining the fall in CHD deaths in USA 1980-2000 : RESULTS
- 50000
- 30000
- 10000
10000
Capewell
274,275 fewer deaths
Risk Factors worse +15%Obesity (increase) +9%Diabetes (increase) +6%
Risk Factors better -67%Population BP fall -25%Smoking -24%Cholesterol (diet) -12%Physical activity -7%
Treatments -46%AMI treatments -8%Secondary prevention -15%Heart failure -9%Angina:CABG & PTCA -4%Hypertension therapies -2% Statins (primary prevention) -4.5%
Unexplained -2%20001980
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Thank you