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Draft: Do not circulate this version Page i DRAFT: For Discussion Purposes Only Information, Technology and Information Worker Productivity: Task Level Evidence Sinan Aral, MIT Sloan School Erik Brynjolfsson, MIT Sloan School and Harvard Business School Marshall Van Alstyne, MIT Sloan School and Boston University May 6, 2005 Abstract: Past research has typically looked at fairly aggregate data on the relationship between IT and business value. In an effort to reveal the fine-grained relationships between IT use, information flows, and individual information-worker productivity, we study task level practices of information workers at a midsize executive recruiting firm. We analyze (1) detailed accounting data on revenues, completion rates, team participation and compensation for 1300+ projects over 5 years, (2) data on a matched set of individual workers self-reported information technology skills, use and information sharing, and (3) direct observation of over 125,000 e-mail messages over a period of 10 months by these same workers. These data make it possible to develop and econometrically test a multistage model of production and interaction activities at the firm, and to analyze the correlations among key technologies, work practices, and output. We find that (a) information technology use is positively correlated with increased revenues and project completion; (b) asynchronous information seeking such as email and DB access promote multitasking while synchronous information seeking such as phone and face-to-face contact show a negative correlation and (c) the structure and size of a worker’s communication network, including such social network metrics as betweeness and constraint are highly correlated with performance. Overall, these data show a statistically significant and positive relationship among technology use, social network characteristics, completed projects and revenues for project-based information workers. The strong results are likely due to the fine grained detail of daily communications activity and task level revenues and are consistent with simple models of queuing and multitasking. The methods in this paper can be replicated in other settings, suggesting a new frontier for IT value research. Keywords: Productivity, Information Worker, Task-Level Evidence, Social Networks, Multitasking, Production Function, Econometrics. Acknowledgements: We are grateful to the National Science Foundations (grants ISS-9876233 and IIS-0085725), Intel Corporation, the Marvin Bower Fellowship, and the MIT Center for eBusiness for generous funding for this research. We thank Abraham Evans-El, Jia Fazio, Saba Gul, Davy Kim and Jennifer Kwon for their remarkable and tireless research assistance.

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Draft: Do not circulate this version Page i

DRAFT: For Discussion Purposes Only

Information, Technology and Information Worker Productivity:

Task Level Evidence

Sinan Aral, MIT Sloan School Erik Brynjolfsson, MIT Sloan School and Harvard Business School

Marshall Van Alstyne, MIT Sloan School and Boston University

May 6, 2005

Abstract: Past research has typically looked at fairly aggregate data on the relationship between IT and business value. In an effort to reveal the fine-grained relationships between IT use, information flows, and individual information-worker productivity, we study task level practices of information workers at a midsize executive recruiting firm. We analyze (1) detailed accounting data on revenues, completion rates, team participation and compensation for 1300+ projects over 5 years, (2) data on a matched set of individual workers self-reported information technology skills, use and information sharing, and (3) direct observation of over 125,000 e-mail messages over a period of 10 months by these same workers. These data make it possible to develop and econometrically test a multistage model of production and interaction activities at the firm, and to analyze the correlations among key technologies, work practices, and output. We find that (a) information technology use is positively correlated with increased revenues and project completion; (b) asynchronous information seeking such as email and DB access promote multitasking while synchronous information seeking such as phone and face-to-face contact show a negative correlation and (c) the structure and size of a worker’s communication network, including such social network metrics as betweeness and constraint are highly correlated with performance. Overall, these data show a statistically significant and positive relationship among technology use, social network characteristics, completed projects and revenues for project-based information workers. The strong results are likely due to the fine grained detail of daily communications activity and task level revenues and are consistent with simple models of queuing and multitasking. The methods in this paper can be replicated in other settings, suggesting a new frontier for IT value research. Keywords: Productivity, Information Worker, Task-Level Evidence, Social Networks, Multitasking, Production Function, Econometrics. Acknowledgements: We are grateful to the National Science Foundations (grants ISS-9876233 and IIS-0085725), Intel Corporation, the Marvin Bower Fellowship, and the MIT Center for eBusiness for generous funding for this research. We thank Abraham Evans-El, Jia Fazio, Saba Gul, Davy Kim and Jennifer Kwon for their remarkable and tireless research assistance.

Draft: Do not circulate this version Page 1

“In the physical sciences, when errors of measurement and other noise are found to be of the same order of magnitude as the phenomena under study, the response is not to try to squeeze more information out of the data by statistical means; it is instead to find techniques for observing the phenomena at a higher level of resolution. The corresponding strategy for [social science] is obvious: to secure new kinds of data at the micro level.” -- Herbert Simon

1. Introduction

We now see the computer age everywhere, including in the national productivity

statistics. Over the last decade, studies of the relationship between information technology (IT)

and economic productivity have examined empirical evidence at the country (e.g. Dewan &

Kraemer 2000), industry (e.g. Jorgenson and Stiroh, 2000), and firm (e.g. Brynjolfsson & Hitt

1996) levels. However, a number of important questions remain unanswered. The mechanisms

by which information technology (IT) affects productivity are not well understood. In particular,

the output and production function for information workers such as managers, consultants,

researchers, marketers, lawyers and accountants remain poorly modeled and measured.

Accordingly, the new frontier for IT productivity research requires opening the black box of the

traditional firm to understand how IT affects information work.

Information workers now account for as much as 70% of the U.S. labor force and

contribute over 60% of the total valued added in the U.S. economy (deleted per rules). Ironically,

as more and more of the workforce focuses on processing information, researchers have less and

less information about how they create value. Unlike bushels of wheat, tons of steel or even

desktop computers, the real output of most information workers is difficult to measure. Counting

meetings attended or memos filed is not closely linked to the value these activities may, or may

not, create. Yet if IT is to have a significant effect on the economy, it almost surely must be via

its use by information workers and the tasks they perform. Does the use of IT lead professionals

to complete their tasks more quickly? Does it allow a given worker to do more tasks in a given

time? Can information work be explicitly linked to revenues? How do skill levels affect these

relationships? If an important role of IT is its use in obtaining and sharing information, how are

social networks and communications flows affected by IT’s use?

In seeking answers to these questions, we concluded that existing data sets were

inadequate. Even firm or establishment level data are at too high a level of aggregation for our

purposes. Instead, this research is inspired by studies such as Ichniowski, Shaw and Prennushi’s

(1997) landmark study of steel finishing lines. By focusing on a single industry, they were able

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to specify a very precise production function and measure the effects of particular work practices

and technologies. The corresponding strategy for comprehending information work is clear: to

secure task-level data for a specific group of information workers.

Fortunately, while much information work focuses on producing intermediate output that

only indirectly affects a firm’s revenues, some information workers are very project-oriented. In

this study we focus on executive recruiters, or head hunters, whose primary work involves filling

specific job openings. Because projects completed by each recruiter, and the corresponding

revenue impact, are explicitly measured in the firm’s accounting statements, the problem of

output observability can be largely addressed in this setting. These data include complete project

level and individual level accounting records of revenues generated per person per project, the

number of projects completed, project duration, the number of simultaneous projects, and project

and individual level characteristics. Furthermore, we obtained the express cooperation of the

recruiters themselves and their employers to allow us to monitor their email usage and conduct

detailed surveys of their activities, skills, technology use and behaviors. Our IT variables focus

on the use of the technology, not merely its presence, and include direct, message-level

observation of communications volume, the size and shape of email contact networks, professed

ability to use database technology, and relative time spent on various tasks. When combined with

interviews and visits, these data enabled us to specify and estimate several equations relating

technology, skill, worker characteristics, task completion and revenue generation. The narrow

focus on one industry allowed us to precisely define the production process and our concentrated

data collection from one firm eliminates many sources of heterogeneity that confound

productivity estimation at more aggregate levels of analysis.

Although our analysis is preliminary, our findings suggest that using IT to manage human

contacts and data has a statistically significant correlation with individual productivity as

measured by increased revenues and completed projects.

Using new and more detailed data provides a better understanding of internal work

practices in a group of firms that rely heavily on information work and information workers.

Correlations among key variables illustrate ways that IT can affect intermediate and final stage

output. This approach, however, also has its weaknesses. In particular, since our data cover such

a small fraction of the economy, findings may not be generalizable. The results should be

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interpreted as descriptive of the firms, workers, technologies and practices in our sample, but are

not necessarily valid outside our sample.

2. Background and Data

2.1 Research Setting and the Role of IT

We studied one medium sized executive recruiting firm over five years. The firm is

headquartered in a large mid-western city and has thirteen regional offices throughout the United

States. The employees occupy three basic positions – partner, consultant and researcher, and

conduct their ‘searches’ in teams. While the difficulty or complexity of projects differ based on

project characteristics, the primary service offered to clients is fairly uniform: to find and deliver

suitable candidates for upper level executive positions. Our interviews indicate that the process

for securing and executing a contract is relatively standard and can be described as follows: A

partner secures a contract with a client and works to assemble a project team (team size µ = 2,

min = 1, max = 5). In assembling the team, the partner must determine employees’ availability

by assessing the current project portfolios of potential team members and request approval of

team assignments from the regional directing partner, who also examines employees’ availability

and approves the assignment of each team member to the project. Once the team is assembled,

the search follows a staged process. First, the team establishes a universe of potential candidates

based on (i) identifying candidates in similar positions at other firms and (ii) their internal

database of resumes and other leads. These candidates are vetted on the basis of perceived

quality, their match with the job description and other factors. After conducting this initial due

diligence, the team chooses a subset of candidates for internal interviews. After internal

interviews and more detailed evaluation, a final pool of approximately six potential candidates

are presented to the client along with detailed background information, notes and the results of

the team’s due diligence presented in a formal report to the client. The team then facilitates the

client’s interviews with each candidate and the client, if satisfied with the pool, makes offers to

one or more candidates.

Based on several detailed interviews with the CIO and other employees, we determined

that the firm uses IT in essentially two ways: as a communication vehicle (e.g. phone, voicemail

and email) and as a central repository of information and knowledge about ongoing projects,

potential candidates and internal task coordination embodied in the Executive Search System

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(ESS), a proprietary database and knowledge management system. Both of these functions

contribute to the execution of work tasks and facilitate the information exchanges teams require

to systematically assemble, analyze, codify and share knowledge about candidates and clients.

The Executive Search System (ESS) is a proprietary knowledge repository built into an

off the shelf relational database. It contains information on current and past projects, the firm’s

own employees (e.g. contact information, areas of expertise, work history and current

assignments), clients and potential candidates (e.g. resumes, prior due diligence, and notes or

work ups on their previous jobs).1 Not only does the ESS serve as the basis of candidate

searches, providing a repository of firm knowledge about potential candidates and previous due

diligence, but it also helps employees coordinate and manage dependencies across projects. For

example, when searching for potential candidates, employees must honor contractual obligations

that prevent poaching the employees of past clients for a specified time. The ESS maintains an

up to date record of the potential candidates that are ‘frozen’ due to prior client obligations and

employees use this information in selecting candidates at various stages of the search process.

When assembling a project team, the ESS is used to determine employees’ current workloads

and their availability for assignment to a new project. Employees rely on the information in the

ESS to help them manage project dependencies and make decisions on team composition and

candidate pools during the search process.

2.2 Data

Placement contracts involve well-defined criteria for locating and vetting high quality

executives on behalf of a client. Information flows and access also affect project success rates.

Data for this study include three data sets from the firm and one data set from outside the firm.

The first is exact internal accounting records of: (i) revenues generated by individual recruiters,

(ii) contract start and stop dates, (iii) projects handled simultaneously by each recruiter, (iv) labor

costs and compensation, (v) project team composition, (vi) job level of recruiters, and (vii) job

level of placed candidates. Accounting data cover the period 2000-2004. These provide

excellent output measures that can also be normalized for quality.

1 “Client” refers to a firm that needs to hire one or more executives; “candidate” refers to a potential hire; and “recruiter” refers to someone expert in locating, vetting, and placing candidates.

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The second set of data covers 10 months of complete email history captured from the

corporate mail server. We wrote and developed capture software specific to this project then took

multiple steps to maximize data integrity and levels of participation. New code was tested at

Microsoft Research Labs for server load, accuracy and completeness of message capture, and

security exposure. To account for differences in user deletion patterns, we set administrative

controls to prevent data expunging for 24 hours. The project went through nine months of

human subjects review prior to launch and content was masked using cryptographic techniques

to preserve individual privacy. Spam messages were excluded by focusing on internal

communications or on external contacts who had received at least one message from anyone

inside the firm. Based on an opt-out policy, participants received $100 in exchange for

permitting use of their data, resulting in 87% coverage of recruiters eligible to participate and

more than 125,000 email messages captured.2

The third data set is collected survey responses on information seeking behaviors,

perceptions, experience, education, human factors, and time allocation. Survey questions were

generated from a review of relevant literature (Bulkley & Van Alstyne, 2004) and interviews

with multiple recruiters. Experts in survey methods at the Inter-University Consortium for

Political and Social Science Research vetted the survey instrument, which was then pretested for

comprehension and ease-of-use. Individual participants received $25 for completed surveys.

Participation exceeded 85%. Depending on the model tested, preliminary analyses are reported

for 40-71 individuals based on complete observations for participation consent, survey response,

and accounting records for more than 1300 projects.

The fourth data set involves independent controls for placement cities to normalize for

project difficulty and will be described below. Together, these data provide a desktop level view

of how different professional workers use IT in conjunction with measures of individual

performance. The sum of individually secured contracts also provides a complete picture of firm-

level revenues.

Following our qualitative assessment of the role of IT in the firm’s production process,

we concentrated our measurement of IT around (a) the intensity and skill with which employees

used the ESS system, and (b) the frequency of use of different modes of communication in

2 A joint F test comparing performance means of those who opted out with those who remained did not show statistically significant differences. F (Sig): Rev02 2.295 (.136), Comp02 .837 (.365), Multi .386 (.538).

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maintaining contacts and seeking information. In measuring ESS skill, we asked respondents to

evaluate their personal effectiveness using the ESS system and their ability to find, add and

modify the records it contains. As these two factors were highly correlated (Spearman = .88***,

α = .94), we combined them into a single measure. To measure ESS use intensity, we asked

respondents to estimate the proportion of time they spent gathering information from the ESS in

order to perform their work. Finally, we asked respondents to estimate the number of people they

communicated with in a typical day face to face, over the phone and over email.3

Defining “Information Flows”: The Email Network

Email traffic was measured over two separate continuous 5 week pEmail traffic was measured over two separate continuous 5 week periods:eriods:October 2002 October 2002 –– February 2003 & October 2003 February 2003 & October 2003 –– February 2004February 2004

PartnerConsultantResearcher

Near whole network data coverageOnly a few employees opted out

Figure 1: The complete email network of the firm. [xx EB: I prefer the sparser network from the ppt pack]

To capture the role of the flow of information we constructed variables that measure both

the relative levels and structure of the information flows observed in the email traffic of the firm.

The social network analysis literature has established a strong body of work useful for measuring

the flow of information (e.g. Granovetter 1973, Burt 1992). But, while this literature links

networked relationships and topology to performance, studies with actual output data in the

social networks field are rare. We combine social network analysis and productivity research to

measure information flows in our setting. Measures of the level of email traffic count the total

number of emails sent and received, the individual’s network size, and their in-degree and out-

degree. Measures of communication structure include the ‘betweeness centrality’ of an

3 The survey responses indicating the number of email contacts were very similar to actual email logs. Respondents reported a mean number of email contacts equal to 34.9, while the actual data revealed a mean of 33.5. Although we could not reject the hypothesis that these were not equal, their similarity gave us confidence in our survey answers.

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individual’s email network (Freeman 1979), which measures the probability that the individual

will fall on the shortest path between any two other individuals linked by email communication

and the ‘constraint’ of the network (Burt 1992), which measures the degree to which an

individual’s contacts are connected to each other (a proxy for the redundancy of contacts).

3. Models and Hypotheses

Our data afford the opportunity to construct a detailed model of the production process of

executive recruiters and to test the relationship between IT and information flows on

intermediate process metrics and final output measures. We conduct both individual and project

level analyses that test the broader relationship between IT, information flows and output, and

the specific mechanisms through which IT and information may impact the production process

of information workers.

3.1 A Production Model of Revenue and Project Output for Executive Recruiting

A decade ago, moving from aggregate data to more fine grained data at the firm level

helped resolve the ‘IT productivity paradox’ (Brynjolfsson & Hitt 1996). Explorations at the firm

level, however, are constrained by the coarse granularity of the data and still tend to

conceptualize the relationship between IT and productivity in terms of ‘black box’ production

functions. Estimations of firm level production functions help explain whether IT increases

productivity, but cannot address how IT increases productivity. We believe that to extend the

frontier of IT-productivity research, we must open the black box and examine measurable

individual and project-level evidence on IT and productivity.

RevenueCompletedProjects

Multitasking

ProjectDuration

IT

IT variables Final Output

Production Function321 βββα ITLKY =

Figure 2: A “Black Box” production function relationship between IT and output

As a first step in the model development, we took a more traditional approach and

examined the relationship between IT and revenues directly. We also tested a popular conception

of how IT may improve productivity: by increasing the pace of work. All else being equal, faster

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completion of projects should lead to more revenues and there has been much discussion of how

IT speeds work activities into the “fast lane” and drives business at “internet speed.” Indeed, in

our exploratory analysis, we did find a positive correlation between IT and revenue. However, to

our surprise, we also found that our IT variables were actually correlated with longer project

duration on average.4 This seeming paradox indicated that our simple model of production at

recruiting firms was not accurate. All else was not equal. While IT seemed to be helping

individual workers bring more revenue to the firm, it was not simply speeding up their work.

After further interviews and analysis we revised our hypotheses and developed a more complete

production model. Specifically, we found that employees often vary the number of projects they

work on at a time such that workers’ revenues and project completion rates are a function not

only of how fast they work, but also of how much multitasking they do. Furthermore, not all

projects are equal. Some are more difficult than others, and take somewhat more effort.

Accordingly, we refined a more comprehensive model and collected new data to control for

project difficulty with an array of project variables.

In our production model, employees take on projects (contracts to locate candidates for

specific clients), and the number and duration of these projects determine the total dollar

“bookings” (contracts landed) and “billings” (contracts executed). These represent firm revenues

and equal one third of a placed candidate’s final salary. If we consider white collar workers as

managing queued tasks, each with distinct start and stop points, we can measure the relationship

between IT, information flows and intermediate measures of output. In particular, data on

project multitasking and start and stop times over the sample period index the rate at which

projects are completed. These relationships are depicted in Figure 3.

Figure 3: Our model of the production function represents a set of queued job tasks. The influence of IT and Information Flows can then be examined at the task level.

4 Higher ESS skill and more internal email contacts were correlated with higher revenue for individual workers (p > .10 and p> .001 respectively) yet both these metrics were weakly correlated with longer project duration (p < .10).

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An aggregate model of production activity can be specified as in equation (1). This

specification resembles that of Ichniowski, Shaw & Prennushi (1997), and increment to R2, PE

and Box-Cox tests indicate this additive form is preferred to a multiplicative Cobb-Douglas

specification.

(1) iiiiiQ εα ++++= δYγXβH

The determinants of productivity (Qi) in eq. (1) include dummy variables (Hi) for the job level of

individual workers, human capital (Xi) reflected in recruiters’ age, gender, educational

attainment and years of experience, IT and information flow variables (Yi), constant (α) and error

terms. In different models, Qi represents revenues, completed projects and the number of

simultaneous projects depending on the hypothesis. In contrast to earlier work, capital is constant

across all observations (i.e. recruiters) and is thus included in the constant term. Instead, the IT

variables of interest pertain to skill and use of the technology, not its mere presence. Dummy

variables that were found to be statistically significant in any of the regressions were kept and

used in all regressions while the others were discarded to preserve degrees of freedom.

3.2 A Model of Project Level Multitasking

We developed measures of multitasking based on the multitasking profiles of each

individual employee over every day of the five year time span of the study. A multitasking

profile characterizes the other projects an employee is engaged in while working on a given focal

project. This profile not only accounts for the number of simultaneous contracts assigned to an

employee during a given day, but also tracks an employee’s relative share of project effort, the

job types of other projects they are working on (e.g. the job classes of the projects and the cities

in which they are based), and the dollar value of each project to the firm.

We were privileged to have access to specific data about the project profile of each

individual employee on each day of the five year study period and objective proxies for the share

of effort devoted to bookings and billings revenue for each employee and each project portfolio.

With these data we constructed a measure of multitasking that tracks the average number of

other projects a project team is working on during the focal project. Using equation (1) as our

estimating equation, we measured the relationship between IT, information flows and

multitasking to determine whether heavy IT users or those more skilled at using IT were

multitasking more or shortening their project duration. We also examined whether the level and

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structure of email traffic predicted the number of simultaneous tasks a project team conducted

during a given focal project. We also used this variable to examine the relationship between

greater multitasking and project duration in our third and final model specification. Figure 4

displays a multitasking profile for one employee during the period 9/05/2002 to 11/26/2002.

3.3 A Model of Project Duration

To test whether IT, information flows and the level of multitasking are related to the

speed with which teams execute projects, we conceived a parsimonious model of project

completion rate. As the dataset contains right censored data (projects that did not complete

during the window of observation), ordinary least squares regression analysis is problematic

(Tuma and Hannan 1984), but the problem of right censoring can be overcome by using a hazard

rate model of the likelihood of a project completing on a given day, conditional on it not having

been completed before that day. Hazard rate models are frequently used by epidemiologists and

medical researchers to estimate the impacts of medical treatments or diseases on patients’

survival rates. Here, we employ the same concept to estimate the relationship between IT use and

information flows on the completion rate of projects. We employ a Cox proportional hazards

model specification formalized in equation (2):

(2) Xb etrtR β)()( =

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where R(t) represents the project completion rate, t is project time in the risk set, and r(t)b the

baseline completion rate. The effects of independent variables are specified in the exponential

power, β is a vector of estimated coefficients and X is a vector of independent variables. The

coefficients in this model have a straightforward interpretation:β represents the percent increase

or decrease in the project completion rate associated with a one unit increase in the independent

variable. Coefficients greater than 1 represent an increase in the project completion rate equal to

β -1, and coefficients less than 1 represent a decrease in the project completion rate equal to 1-

β . Specification tests reveal no significant duration dependence in any of our explanatory

variables and the proportional hazards assumption is shown to be valid using both statistical and

graphical tests.5

4. Alternate Hypotheses and Control Variables

Based on our interviews, we posit four broad factors that could influence our dependent

variables besides the independent variables of interest:

Characteristics of Individual Recruiters. We included controls for traditional human

capital variables (e.g. age, level of education, industry experience and managerial level) to

control for differences related to worker education, skill and experience.

Team Size. Adding more labor to a project may speed up work or slow it down depending

on tradeoffs between the added complexity of a larger team and the output contribution of

additional labor. We controlled for this effect by including a variable for the size of each team.

Job Type. Certain positions may be easier or harder to fill. For instance, firms may be less

willing to tolerate long vacancies at the CEO position while allowing a longer search period for

positions lower in the organizational hierarchy. More senior executives also have more

experience with recruiters and with job mobility. To control for the effect of Job Type, we

include a dummy variable for the eight job classes the firm recognizes in its own records: CEO,

5 Two alternative measures of project completion time appear in the literature. First, some measure completion time as the degree to which projects are finished on schedule (Ancona and Caldwell 1992). The reason is to attempt to control for inherent differences in projects’ difficulty and scope. In our setting, project completion dates are not formally scheduled. Fortunately, our data allow direct measures of project difficulty via a set of control variables. Second, completion time has also been measured as the deviation from the mean completion time of a group, as an alternative proxy for project difficulty (Eisenhardt and Tabrizi 1995). Given our ability to use control variables for project difficulty, we chose to measure project completion time directly as the number of days between the start and end of a contract. These are cleanly defined as the dates that a client signs a contract (start) and that a candidate accepts a job (end).

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COO, CIO, Medical Executive, Human Resources Executive, Business Development Executive

and a category called ‘Other.’6 We also include control variables on Task Characteristics for

similar reasons. We measure these by survey responses about the routiness of employees’ tasks

and the interdependence of their tasks with other people and teams. These variables help control

for differences between projects’ interdependence and complexity.

City Characteristics. The characteristics of the city in which a position is to be filled can

influence contract completion speed. Crime rates, weather conditions, the cost of living and

other city characteristics may increase or decrease the attractiveness of a position in a given city

from the perspective of the candidate pool. In order to control for variance explained by these

factors we collected a large independent data set on city characteristics for all the cities in our

sample from the web site Sperling’s Best Places.7 Results of a factor analysis revealed four

underlying factors that showed significant results in our models: cost of living, crime rates

(violent crime and property crime per capita), weather conditions (number of sunny days per

annum) and commute time. We therefore included these controls in project level analyses.8

5. Results

5.1 Drivers of Production

Just as Ichniowski, Shaw and Prennushi (1997) found that line uptime was the key driver

of production in steel finishing plants, we determined through interviews and statistical analysis

that in our setting, the key driver of production is the number of completed projects per unit time.

As recruiting teams complete projects, they generate revenue for the firm. Our model of the

production process therefore hypothesizes that the first intermediate variable in the ‘black box’ is

completed projects: Completed Projects Revenues.

We tested this hypothesis by examining the relationship between completed projects and

revenue generation per person per day over the five year period. The results in Model 1, Table 1

6 To check whether the “other” category contained clusters of similar projects, we also ran specifications controlling for sub-categories of ‘Other’ jobs clustered by their project descriptions. These specifications did not return different results from our final models. We therefore retained the firm’s original classification. 7 http://www.bestplaces.net/ 8 We collected city level data on tax rates for sales, income and property, the aggregate cost of living, home ownership costs, rate of home appreciation, air quality, water quality, number of superfund sites near the city, physicians per capita, health care costs per capita, violent and property crime per capita, public education expenditures per capita, average student to teacher ratio, an index of ultraviolet radiation levels, risk indices for earthquakes, tornadoes and hurricanes, the average number of sunny, cloudy, and rainy days per year, average number of days below freezing per year and average commute time to work.

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demonstrate strong support for our basic model. The number of completed projects per day is a

strong driver of individual information worker revenue generation. The coefficient indicates that

the individual worker’s share of the revenue generated from a day’s work on an (eventually)

completed team project is worth on average $2,048.67 dollars per day for the firm.

We then tested the second fundamental hypothesis of our model, that both revenues and

completed projects are driven by the number of projects an individual works on per unit time and

the length of time it takes that individual to finish projects on average. We examined the

relationship between multitasking, average duration, revenues and completed projects in Models

2 and 3 in Table 1. The results demonstrate that more simultaneous projects and faster

completion times (shorter duration) are associated with greater project completion and revenue

generation per person per day.9

5.2. The Relationship between IT, Information Flows and Multitasking

9 As the variables for multitasking and duration are normalized with mean = 0 and s.d. = 1, the coefficients can be interpreted as follows: a one standard deviation increase in multitasking is associated with a .64 standard deviation increase in completed projects and a .92 standard deviation increase in revenues. Duration can be interpreted analogously.

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The purpose of our work is to understand the role of information and information

technology in the information worker production process. So, in order to test whether IT use and

skill, and properties of the flow of information in workers’ email traffic had any relationship to

the intermediate output variables shown to drive production, we first tested the relationship

between our IT and information flow variables on the amount of multitasking project teams

engaged in during their projects. Our project level analysis included controls for team

characteristics and the job class of each individual project, but did not include controls for city

characteristics, which are potentially salient for project duration but should not influence how

many projects teams work on. The results, reported in Table 2, Models 1-5, reveal some

interesting relationships.10

The coefficients in Models 1-3 demonstrate that teams whose members were heavy

multitaskers communicated with more people over email and significantly less people through

face to face interaction or over the phone. As the variables are normalized, they can be

interpreted as follows: a one standard deviation increase in the number of email contacts is

associated on average with a .637 standard deviation increase in the number of simultaneous

10 The models include a dummy variable for whether the project was right censored or did not finish during the observation window.

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projects the team is working on during the focal project. We also see, from the coefficients in

Models 4 and 5, that those teams more skilled at using the ESS and who use the system more to

gather information work on more projects simultaneously.

We also tested the analogous relationships between properties of the flow of information

in workers’ email traffic and their amount of multitasking. The results for both the levels and

structure of information flows in teams’ email traffic are reported in Table 3, Models 1-7.11

The four different measures of the levels of communication flowing into and out of

worker’s email boxes all demonstrate strongly that heavy multitaskers communicate more over

email. These results strengthen and extend the result from the survey measure of email contacts

reported in Table 2. When considering the structural properties of worker’s email traffic, more

multitasking is associated with greater betweeness centrality of workers in the firm’s network of

communication. Betweeness centrality is a proxy for the probability of being privy to a given

11 The models include a dummy variable for whether the project was right censored or did not finish during the observation window.

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piece of information flowing through the communication network of the firm. Heavy

multitaskers are in the ‘thick’ of the flow of information and are likely to be ‘in between’ a larger

number of pairs of other employees in terms of their communication structure. The results also

demonstrate that employees with ‘redundant contacts’ multitask less. The coefficient on the

constraint variable shows that those who are entangled in closed networks (networks whose

members are all closely tied to each other) work on less projects simultaneously. These workers

need not communicate with diverse contacts in diverse parts of the organization because their

work is self contained in a small social circle of recurring teammates. It is not surprising that

employees working on more projects at once need to be aware of more lines of communication

and information and thus appear in these structural positions. However, it should be noted that

we cannot make causal claims about the results reported in this table. It could be that heavy

multitaskers seek more information and position themselves in the thick of information flows or

that highly central employees are more likely to be chosen to conduct more tasks or chose to

conduct more tasks on their own. Nevertheless, the results demonstrate that information flows

are associated with the multitasking behavior of information workers.

5.3 The Relationship between IT, Information Flows, Multitasking and Project Duration

To test the relationships between multitasking, IT, information flows and project

duration, we estimated the hazard rate model of project completion time. Our specification tests

the relationship between explanatory variables and projects’ instantaneous transition rate – a

measure of the likelihood of project completion at time t, conditional on the project not having

completed before t. In these analyses, we include control variables for city characteristics to

control for the relative attractiveness of cities. We also include controls for the job type, and task

characteristics. Table 4 shows the analysis of the relationship between IT, multitasking and

project completion rates.

In examining the results, we see that the cost of living, crime rates, and greater commute

times all reduce the project completion rate on average, meaning that cities with more crime,

higher costs or longer commute times to work may be less attractive to potential candidates,

while good weather seems to boost the completion rate. Multitasking is strongly associated with

longer project duration and slower completion rates. A one standard deviation increase in project

level multitasking (~ 3 extra projects, s.d. = 2.8) reduces the completion rate on average by about

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15%. Holding the level of multitasking constant, teams that use the ESS to gather information

more complete projects about 10% faster on average, and teams that use the phone more also

seem to execute projects faster, although the significance level is weak at the 90% confidence

level. Finally, we include a set of interaction terms between multitasking and ESS Use. We split

both variables at the mean and created dummy variables for the high and low categories for each

variable. The “high multitasking” and “high ESS Use” dummy variables imply that project team

members multitask and use the ESS to gather information more than average (1 if above the

normalized mean and 0 if below the mean). This categorization creates four quadrants of project

teams (high multitasking/high ESS use; high multitasking/low ESS use; low multitasking/high

ESS use; and low multitasking/low ESS use teams). We normalized the omitted category

“low/low” to zero, so coefficients can be interpreted as how each quadrant performed compared

to the “low/low” quadrant. We expect teams that multitask heavily and use the ESS less than

average will take longer to complete projects and that “high multitasking” teams who use the

ESS more than average will mitigate the negative impact of multitasking on project duration.

The coefficients on the interaction terms demonstrate just that: teams high in multitasking but

low in ESS use take 15% longer to finish projects than teams low in multitasking and low in ESS

use. The insignificant result on the high ESS Use/high multitasking interaction is actually also a

significant finding. Teams high in multitasking and high in ESS Use do not decrease their

project completion rates relative to teams low in multitasking and ESS Use. While the final

interaction term between high ESS use and low multitasking has the expected sign, it is not

statistically significant.

Finally, we tested the relationship between information flows, multitasking and project

completion rates in the same model as the IT variables just described. All control variables and

the multitasking variable display significant results of almost identical magnitude as reported in

Table 4. However, of the six information flow variables (total emails, network size, in-degree,

out-degree, betweeness and constraint) only in-degree returned a significant parameter estimate

at the 95% level (β = 1.064, SE = .034). It seems that while information flows and network

structure are strongly associated with multitasking behavior, they are not related to the speed

with which projects are completed, controlling for multitasking. Although, having more frequent

incoming email from more people seems weakly associated with faster completion times, no

other information flow variables are related at greater than 90% confidence.

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6. Discussion and Conclusion

In recent years, important advances in the study of IT value have been made by using

successively more sophisticated econometric methods, including panel data techniques, and

instrumental variables. However, in this paper, we seek to open two new frontiers: detailed task-

level evidence from project-level accounting data and social network analysis using direct

measurement of information flows. The new tools and techniques we employ provide a powerful

microscope which reveals the relationships among information, technology, and individual

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information worker productivity in a way that would be impossible with any amount of firm,

industry or country-level data.

The contributions of this research appear at four different levels. First, we show that

information work need not defy measurement. On the contrary, we identify a context with

objective measures of white collar output as well as IT use and information flows associated with

that output. In this setting, we gathered data in exacting detail on 1300 projects over five years,

125,000 point-to-point email messages over ten months, and employee perceptions through the

use of interactive online surveys. These data include contract dates, effort levels of individual

people on individual contracts, team composition, multitasking, and project quality controls such

as jobs levels and placement city attributes. We negotiated access, wrote and developed the tools

to gather unbiased email exchanges, and collected these data live inside a working firm.

Second, we use this increased detail to peer inside the black box production function of

information workers. We develop and validate a multitasking and duration model of individual

projects that allows us to examine the associations between information, technology and the

intermediate steps in performing white collar tasks. We also develop and validate a hazard rate

model of project completion. Thus we directly explore the association between using technology

and the ability to juggle more tasks and complete them faster.

Third, we find statistically significant evidence that use of IT correlates with

performance. This is measured by completed projects, which shows a direct correspondence with

revenues. Specifically, with all other variables equal, those workers with an increased use of

email and ESS tools are able to handle substantially more simultaneous projects than those who

do not make use of this technology. In contrast, traditional modes of communication such as

face to face meetings and phone calls are correlated with a decline in multitasking. Controlling

for multitasking, heavy ESS users who multitask finish projects faster, while light ESS users who

multitask finish them more slowly.

Fourth, we apply social network analysis methods to our email data and find that position

and flow matter. Betweenness centrality shows a positive association with ability to multitask as

do in-degree, out-degree, and network size. The total volume of communication is also

statistically significant as is the measure of constraint, which shows that constrained networks

and redundant contacts correspond to reduced multitasking.

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In sum, we demonstrate a substantial program of correspondence among information,

technology, and output in this setting. The tools and techniques developed for this paper can be

readily applied to other settings where email or ESS are used and project level information work

is performed, including sales, consulting, law, medicine, software development, venture capital,

investing, underwriting and architecture, among others. This portends a radical improvement in

the coming decade in our understanding of the relationship between IT, information work and

value creation.

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