Draft Plots/content

Some plots are still inconsistent with others …but the basic

content of the talk here

Uncertainty due to MC Statistics versus HT cut

1.00E+03

1.00E+04

1.00E+05

1.00E+06

1.00E+07

1.00E+08

0 1000 2000 3000

Uncertainty due to Jet Energy Scale versus HT Cut

10000

100000

1000000

10000000

100000000

1000000000

10000000000

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

Uncertainty due to Jet Energy Resolution versus HT cut

1.00E+04

1.00E+05

1.00E+06

1.00E+07

1.00E+08

1.00E+09

1.00E+10

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

Significance versus HT cut(assuming no systematics)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

Significance versus HT cut(with systematics)

0

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

0.035

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

No HLT, No Cuts

HLT & at least 1 GL Muon

No HLT, No Cuts

HLT & at least 1 GL muon

No HLT, No Cuts

HLT & at least 1 GL muon

MET > 300

Dphi < 160

Muon PT < 150

1st four leading jets ET > 50

Significance versus HT cut

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1250 1450 1650 1850 2050 2250 2450 2650 2850

Note: this slide is inconsistent with the other slides at the end (wrong cut order whichAffects the value of the final HT cut 1400 versus 1800) I will fix it

Assuming no systematicuncertainties in significancecalculation

Including systematicUncertainties in significance calculation

Number of Expected Events for 10 fb-1

LM-1 Sig. QCD Wjets Zjets ZZjets ZWjets WWjets TTbarNo cuts 5.E+05 6.E+14 7.E+08 7.E+07 3.E+05 2.E+06 5.E+06 5.E+06HLT 2.E+05 3.E+09 2.E+08 2.E+07 4.E+04 4.E+05 1.E+06 1.E+06Nmu > 0 1.E+05 2.E+08 1.E+08 1.E+07 2.E+04 3.E+05 9.E+05 9.E+05MET > 300 3.E+04 3.E+03 6.E+04 9.E+03 0.E+00 1.E+03 2.E+03 2.E+03dphi < 160 2.E+04 4.E+02 5.E+04 6.E+03 0.E+00 1.E+03 2.E+03 2.E+03mu pt < 150 2.E+04 2.E+00 1.E+04 1.E+03 0.E+00 0.E+00 2.E+03 2.E+03jet1 > 50 2.E+04 2.E+00 1.E+04 1.E+03 0.E+00 0.E+00 2.E+03 2.E+03jet2 > 51 2.E+04 2.E+00 1.E+04 1.E+03 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00jet3 > 52 2.E+04 2.E+00 3.E+03 7.E+01 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00jet4 > 53 1.E+04 2.E+00 2.E+03 7.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00HT > 1400 8.E+03 2.E+00 2.E+02 4.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00 0.E+00

Relative Acceptance

LM-1 Sig. QCD Wjets Zjets ZZjets ZWjets WWjets TTbarNo cuts 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00HLT 0.37 0.00 0.23 0.33 0.13 0.23 0.27 0.27Nmu > 0 0.51 0.05 0.58 0.60 0.56 0.60 0.70 0.70MET > 300 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00dphi < 160 0.84 0.12 0.86 0.62 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00mu pt < 150 0.96 0.00 0.30 0.20 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00jet1 > 50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00jet2 > 51 0.98 1.00 0.70 0.89 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00jet3 > 52 0.77 1.00 0.29 0.06 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00jet4 > 53 0.66 1.00 0.71 0.10 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00HT > 1400 0.72 1.00 0.07 0.55 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00