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D RIVERS OF AGRI - FOOD SYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION Thomas Jayne Presentation at Food Security Innovation Lab Reflection Workshop March 5 - 6, 2019 Washington, DC

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Page 1: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

DRIVERS OF AGRI-FOOD SYSTEMSTRANSFORMATION

Thomas Jayne

Presentation at Food Security Innovation Lab Reflection WorkshopMarch 5-6, 2019Washington, DC

Page 2: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

YY A

---- = -----L L

A

Ag labor productivity

Labor input per hectare

Value ag output per hectare

Page 3: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

Y/L (value of output per labor day) Y/A (value of output per hectare)

L/A (ag labor per cultivated hectare)

100

108

113

105

10097

92

85

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15

Inde

x (2

008/

09=1

00)

output per hectare labor per hectare

Tanzania

Page 4: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

Y/L (value of output per labor day)

100

111

121 120

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15

Inde

x (2

008/

09=1

00)

Y/A (value of output per hectare)

L/A (ag labor per cultivated hectare)

100

108

113

105

10097

92

85

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15

Inde

x (2

008/

09=1

00)

output per hectare labor per hectare

Tanzania

Page 5: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

YY A

---- = -----L L

A

Page 6: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

Drivers of agri-food system transformation1. Policy reforms – agricultural and macroeconomic2. Relatively high world food prices since 20063. Rapid investment in medium-scale and large-scale farms4. Farm labor productivity growth5. Agri-food system response: investment in input supply, downstream6. Rapid growth in off-farm employment 7. Rising per capita incomes, urbanization8. Dietary change9. Entrepreneurial mindset of young Africans

All this à

agri-food syste

ms transfo

rmation

Page 7: DRIVERSOFAGRI FOODSYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION...97 92 85 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15) output per hectare labor per hectare Tanzania Y Y A----= -----L

DRIVERS OF AGRI-FOOD SYSTEMSTRANSFORMATION

Thomas Jayne

Presentation at Food Security Innovation Lab Reflection WorkshopMarch 5-6, 2019Washington, DC