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Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes” !

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Page 1: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace“Getting to Yes”

!

Page 2: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Committed to improving the state of the world

World Economic Forum ®

Our mission statement

The World Economic Forum, committed to improving the state of the world, is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation.

The Forum engages the foremost political, business and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas.

Our motto

Entrepreneurship in the global public interest

!

Page 3: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Page 4: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Page 5: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Infrastructure as an Example Unique Challenges Require Novel Solutions

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Page 6: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Timeline! September 2017: Government

of Rwanda partners with C4IR to co-design new drone regulation.

! January 2018: Rwandan cabinet approves new regulation.

! June 2018: Drone Innovators Network launch event

! September 2019: Broad circulation of updated framework.

New Paradigms for Drone RegulationHow can regulators unlock the potential of drones for data, delivery, and transportation?

Impact! Co-Designed and Implemented

national drone regulation in Rwanda, now being tested.

! Drone Innovator’s Network (DIN) established and the 1st Toolkit is being developed for publication.

! Iteration and Implementation of regulation and policy in second test.

!

GoalOutdated policies are impeding both life-saving and economically impactful uses cases for drone. This project is enabling regulatory innovation to keep pace with technical innovation.

Page 7: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Draft Regulations were shared with WEF, by the Rwanda Civil Aviation Authority (RCAA)

Draft Regulations were co-curated by incorporating and evolving Best Practice Standards (ASTM), EASA Prototype Regulations, JARUS SORA, and energy based guidance from UK CAP 722.

Sets up a risk based framework with 3 major categories similar to EASA

• Basic – No authorization, just notification within operational scope• Specific – Aligns with EASA specific category•Complex – BVLOS, Multiple Vehicles per Operator, Highly Autonomous, etc.

Rwandan Pilot ProjectRegulatory Recommendations

Page 8: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Rwandan Pilot ProjectStakeholder Engagement & Learning

!

!

Core Stakeholders! Rwanda Civil Aviation Authority (RCAA)! Ministry of Infrastructure (MININFRA)! Ministry of Youth & ICT (MYICT)! Office of the President (OTP)! Rwanda Utilities Regulatory Authority (RURA)! Private Sector Federation – ICT Chamber

Direct Stakeholders! Rwanda Bureau of Standards (RBS)! Ministry of Local Government (MINALOC)! Ministry of Justice! Ministry of Health (MINISANTE)! Ministry of Agriculture (MINAGRI)! Rwanda Insurers Association (RIA)! Smart Africa Secretariat! Charis Drones! FabLab Rwanda

Page 9: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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How do you Operationalize it?Permitting and Licensing Flowchart

Page 10: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

!"

Toys – Under 250g

Basic – Size, Location, Affiliation with Sports Club.

Specific – Commercial, Medium Risk characteristics.

- speed, size, purpose,

Complex – Commercial, High-Risk characteristics.

- Autonomous, multiple vehicle per operator, BVLOS, urban environments, near airport

What are the Requirements?

World Economic Forum ® !"

Page 11: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Policy ChallengesPast, Present, Future

World Economic Forum ®

Present (Integrate)

! Identification and Tracking! Over People! Beyond Visual Line of Sight! Autonomous Flights ! Certification processes Re-imagined! Multiple Vehicles per Operator! Commercial Expansion! Software Design Assurance ProcessPast (Accommodate)

! Pilotless Vehicles! Low Altitude! Rural Operations! Small Drones! Within Visual Line of Sight! Data Capture Only! Public Operations Only

Future (Evolve)

! Full-Scale Delivery! “Autonomoation”! Hybrid Designs ! Certification Processes! Data Ownership, Migration,

Consumption ! Privacy! Mixed-Traffic (UTM) ! V2V, V2I, V2x

!!

Page 12: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

The Challenge According to Government

Government Perspective

• Safety – What safety data do I need?

• Security – How do you maintain security?

• Reliability – Are these systems capable?

• Resilience - What are the cyber threats?

• Enforcement – How can regulations be enforced?

• Reality vs. Fiction – What is real and what isn’t?

12

Page 13: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Societal Perspective

• Access to Airspace – Where can I fly legally?

• Standards and Best Practices – What will be accepted by

CAAs?

• Licensing and Training Requirements – What licenses are

recognized?

• Opportunities – Which use cases are approvable?

• Stability – Are the rules today the same as tomorrow?

• Transparency - Decision making should be easy to

understand

The Challenge According to Industry & Academia

Page 14: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Getting to Yes – Step 1Regulations and Compliance

World Economic Forum ®

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Page 15: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

1515

Operational Risk Assessment for sUAS Standard (ASTM WK4679-16)

FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations

Severity of Occurring Hazard

Severity Level Definition Value

Catastrophic

Non-sUAS Equipment destroyed (such as electrical

transmission lines, substation, water treatment facility,

etc); multiple fatalities

5

Hazardous

Large reduction in safety margins; vast reduction in ability

to complete duties accurately; single fatality or serious

injury; major equipment damage.

4

Major

Significant reduction in safety margins; reduction in the

ability of pilots to cope with adverse operating conditions

as a result of increased workload; serious accident; injury

to persons.

3

Minor Nuisance; minor incident; 2

Negligible Little or no negative consequence 1

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1616

Likelihood of Hazard Occurring During an Operation

Likelihood Level Definition Value

Frequent Likely to occur many times 5

Occasional Likely to occur sometimes 4

Remote Unlikely, but possible, to occur 3

Improbable Very unlikely to occur 2

Extremely Improbable Almost inconceivable to occur 1

Operational Risk Assessment for sUAS Standard (ASTM WK4679-16) FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations

Page 17: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Specific Operational Risk Assessment

Likelihood of Fatal injuries to third parties on

ground

=

Likelihood of having UAS

operation out-of-control

X

Likelihood of person struck by

the UA if the operation is out of

control

XLikelihood

that, if struck, person is killed

Likelihood of Fatal injuries to third parties in

the air

=

Likelihood of having UAS

operation out-of-control

X

Likelihood of the other A.C. struck by the UA if the

operation is out of control

X

Likelihood that, if struck, the other AC

cannot continue a

safe flight and landing

Likelihood of Damage to critical

infrastructure=

Likelihood of having UAS

operation out-of-control

X

Likelihood of critical

infrastructure struck by the UA if operation is out of

control

X

Likelihoodthat, if struck,

the critical infrastructure

is damaged

Page 19: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Getting to Yes – Step 2 Implementation (CONOPS focused Mitigations)SystemCertificationParachuteRedundanciesSize limitationsSpeed limitationGeofencingTetheringSignal repeaterFail-safeStrobe lightingLicensed SpectrumThird party Software?

EnvironmentWeather reportingFlight PlanUTMAirspace zoningGuidelines for locationSafety requirementsReporting requirementsLocation authorizationsPopulation density

MissionData management rulesOperations manualsTraining on mission typesSafety management systemsCommunity membership requirementsRegistration and approvalsPayloadSeparation from vehicles and property

PersonnelTraining Pilot licensingCompany training requirementsBackground checksSecurity team engagementFlights hoursFlight recordsCrew sizeVisual Observor

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Page 20: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

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Getting to Yes – Step 3 Advanced Operational Oversight

World Economic Forum ®

System Failures Modes Fishbone Analysis

How a credible failure leads to harm (damage)

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Page 21: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Drones for GoodMake it Meaningful

World Economic Forum ® !"

Page 22: Drones and Tomorrow’s Airspace “Getting to Yes”€¦ · FAA Recognized AMOC for Authorizations Severity of Occurring Hazard Severity Level Definition Value Catastrophic Non-sUAS

Drones and Tomorrow’s AirspaceHarrison Wolf [email protected] you!

!!