drought 2011: where are we and what’s next? kansas winter grazing conference april 14, 2015
TRANSCRIPT
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Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next?
Kansas Winter Grazing ConferenceApril 18, 2023
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Kansas Drought Status over Time
Date None D0-D4 D1-D4 D2-D4 D3-D4 D4
17-Jan-2012 38.25 61.75 47.15 23.20 13.50 0.22
11-Oct-2011 20.8 79.3 65.8 49.6 26.0 15.2
12-Jul-2011 33.9 66.1 48.6 34.4 17.1 8.7
12-Oct-2010 83.2 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-Jul-2010 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
K-State Research & Extension
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K-State Research & Extension
Current Drought Status
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Kansas Drought Status
K-State Research & Extension
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K-State Research & Extension
November Palmer Index
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Current Palmer Index
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Moisture Needed
K-State Research & Extension
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Moisture Needed
K-State Research & Extension
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Typical January Moisture
K-State Research & Extension
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K-State Research & Extension
What’s the Precipitation Outlook?
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K-State Research & Extension
What’s the Precipitation Outlook?
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K-State Research & Extension
What’s the Precipitation Outlook?
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Vegetative Conditions
K-State Research & Extension
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Vegetative Conditions
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K-State Research & Extension
What’s the Drought Outlook?
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K-State Research & Extension
What’s the Drought Outlook?
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K-State Research & Extension
Why?
Continuing La Niña Change in North Atlantic Oscillation Change in Artic Oscillation
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Typical La Niña Winters
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North Atlantic Oscillation
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). When the NAO index is low, shown above, ocean winds are weaker and the U.S. winter more severe. Changes in ocean temperature distributions are also observed. Its "high index" state corresponds to particularly high atmospheric pressure over the Azores, an intense low over Iceland. Ocean winds are stronger and winters milder in the eastern U.S. (Illustration by Fritz Heide & Jack Cook, WHOI) http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=10146
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Artic Oscillation
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Risk of Extreme Events
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Gulf Moisture
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Gulf Moisture
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K-State Research & Extension
Mary KnappWeather Data Library1703 Throckmorton HallKansas State UniversityManhattan, KS 66506
PH: 785 532-7019
E-mail: [email protected]
URL: http://www.ksre.ksu.edu/wdl