dust: data and sources dr richard washington university of oxford dr martin todd university college...
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Dust: Data and Sources
Dr Richard Washington University of Oxford
Dr Martin ToddUniversity College London
Prof Andrew GoudieUniversity of Oxford
Dr Mike BithellUniversity of Cambridge
Outline• Dust Data
– Surface based synops (from GCOS, 117 stations, 3hrly 1980-2000)– Surface based synops (from local Met Agencies)– TOMS AI data– IDDI– Shuttle Photographs, NOAA images etc
• Climate Data and Trajectory modelling– Reanalysis Data (NCEP and ERA-15) 3D winds– 25 point forward trajectory clusters– every 6 hours for 10days, 1979-1998– Determine regional transport corridors– Re-circulation – Interannual variability
Zouerat
Atar
N ouakchott
D akar
K iff a
O uarzazate
BecharE l O ued
SirteE l G olea
I n SalahAdrar SebhaO bari
Tam anrasset
D j ibouti
KhargaD akhla
Kufrah Asw an
Agadez
N ’djam ena
Abeche
Faya-LargeauB ilm a
El FasherEl O beid
Khartoum
Potiskum M aiduguri
Sokoto
Tom buktuG ao
N guigm i
M aine-SoroaZinder
N iam eyO uagadougou
Bobo-D iou lasso
R iyadh
Kuw ait
D eir Zzor
Abu Kam al
Palm yra
AqabaElat
G hor El Safi
M a’anSafaw i
H am adan
Nr Missing Months 1980-2000
Kuw ait
D ohaD ahran Bahrain
H am adan
Kandahar
Kunduz
J ask
Q uetta
J iw an iB ikaner
D al BandinG anganagar
J odhpur
Ashabad
N ukusLeninskC im baj
Karakalpakia
J aslykKzyl-O rda
I rgiz TaupAralsk
Zam iin U de
Choibalsan
M inq in
U rum qiTurpan
Lanzhou
D ongsheng
Nr Missing Months 1980-2000
M ex ico C ity
Torreon Airport (M X)
D odge C ity (KS)
Lubbock (TX)
M idland (TX)
Nr Missing Months 1980-2000
OodnadattaMarla
OnslowLearmonth
Alice Springs
Birdsville
Mildura
Nr Missing Months 1980-2000
Nouakchott duststorm activity 1980-86.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Day
s/m
on
th
GCOS Data Compared with locally Obtained Data
Annual cycle of visibility 1980-2000 for station 606300 (In Salah, Algeria)
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Vis
ibil
ity
(m)
Annual cycle of visibility 1980-2000 for station 610240 (Agadez South, Niger)
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Vis
ibil
ity
(m)
Annual cycle of visibility 1980-2000 for station 612020 ((Tessalit, Mali)
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
22000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Vis
ibil
ity
(m)
Annual cycle of visibility 1980-2000 for station 655010 (Dori, Burkina Faso)
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Vis
ibil
ity
(m)
In Salah visibility 80-00
Monthly mean visibility for station 606300 (In Salah, Algeria)
5000
7000
9000
11000
13000
15000
17000
19000
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Vis
ibilit
y (
m)
12 per.Mov. Avg.
Outline• Dust Data
– Surface based synops (from GCOS, 117 stations)– Surface based synops (from local Met Agencies)
Niger, Chad, Algeria, Mali, Mari– TOMS AI data– IDDI– Shuttle Photographs, NOAA images etc
• Climate Data and Trajectory modelling– Reanalysis Data (NCEP and ERA-15) 3D winds– 25 point forward trajectory clusters– every 6 hours for 10days, 1979-1998– Determine regional transport corridors– Re-circulation
Niger visibility 70-00
Days of bad visibility/year for four stations in Niger 1970-2000.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Year
Day
s of
bad
vis
ibili
ty/y
r.
Zinder
Agadez
Bilma
Tahoua
Linear (Zinder)
Linear (Agadez)
N’Djamena, Chad: Haze Vs Obs RainfallBy season
Bilma, Niger: sandstorms Vs TOMSby season
North AfricanSurfaceDust stormsCorrelationTOMS1980-2000
Bilma surface visibility Vs TOMS (march 1980-2000)
Outline• Dust Data
– Surface based synops (from GCOS, 117 stations)– Surface based synops (from local Met Agencies)
Niger, Chad, Algeria, Mali, Mari– TOMS AI data– IDDI– Shuttle Photographs, NOAA images etc
• Climate Data and Trajectory modelling– Reanalysis Data (NCEP and ERA-15) 3D winds– 25 point forward trajectory clusters– every 6 hours for 10days, 1979-1998– Determine regional transport corridors– Re-circulation
REOF2 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
REOF3 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
REOF5 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
REOF6 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
REOF7 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
REOF8 of TOMS AI monthly anomalies for the period 1980-05/93 and 1997-2000
Apr Potential Sand Flux overlay TOMS q = 2.61 U3
* pg –1 (1-U*/U*)(1+U*/U*)2
Sahel TOMS (white contours), potential sand flux (black contours), with DEM (colour). LTM for JFM 80-00.
Central Asia TOMS (white contours), potential sand flux (black contours), with DEM (colour). Long term mean for 80-00.
Correlation of monthly visibility anomalies at Nouakchott (Mauritania) with global NCEP derived potential sand flux for 1980-2000
Correlation of monthly visibility anomalies at Bobo-Dioulasso (Burkina Faso) with global NCEP derived potential sand flux for 1980-2000
Outline• Dust Data
– Surface based synops (from GCOS, 117 stations)– Surface based synops (from local Met Agencies)
Niger, Chad, Algeria, Mali, Mari– TOMS AI data– IDDI– Shuttle Photographs, NOAA images etc
• Climate Data and Trajectory modelling– Reanalysis Data (NCEP and ERA-15) 3D winds– 25 point forward trajectory clusters– every 6 hours for 10days, 1979-1998– Determine regional transport corridors– Re-circulation
Bodele
Djouf region
Parcel trajectory climatology
May (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
54% of trajectories cross the 15W meridian
27% of trajectories remain over N. Africa
21% of trajectories remain over Sahara (> 15N)
Parcel trajectory climatology
June (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
79% of trajectories cross the 15W meridian
13% of trajectories remain over N Africa
9% of trajectories remain over Sahara (> 15N)
Parcel trajectory climatology
Dec (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
66% of trajectories cross the 15W meridian
23% of trajectories remain over N. Africa
6% of trajectories remain over Sahara (> 15N)
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
18
36
54
72
90
10
8
12
6
14
4
16
2
18
0
19
8
21
6
23
4
Time (hours)
% t
raje
cto
ries
Dust Recycling potential
May
JuneJuly
Dec
Parcel trajectory climatology
May (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
Mean 0-15N
Parcel trajectory climatology
Dec (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
Mean 0-15N
TOMS AI over Bodele region (15-17N, 16-18E)
mean
May 1991
May 1989
Bilma: Dust Storms and Haze
02468
101214161820
May 1991
Long.
Lat.
Height (hPa)
May 1989
Height (hPa)
Lat.
Long.
Djouf region
TOMS AI over Djouf region (17.5-22.5N, 2.5-7.5W)
Parcel trajectory density climatology
July (1979-98)
Djouf region (17.5-22.5N, 2.5-7.5W)
% trajectories remain over Sahara (> 15N < 30N) 69 33 6
% trajectories crossing the 15W meridian 33 66 83
After days 3 5 10
Annual CMAP precipitation over Djouf region
Annual TOMS AI over Djouf region
Conclusions
• Surface Synops GCOS data: expensive and patchy
• Surface Synops from Met Agencies• Synops-TOMS AI: sensible but weak• Major mineral dust source regions identified
from TOMS AI data: Bodele and Djouf• Trajectory modelling allows definition of dust
transport corridors– Pronounced seasonal cycle and interannual
variability
500hPa
80W
40E
10S
40N
Parcel trajectory climatology May (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
Parcel trajectory density climatology
July (1979-98)
Djouf region (17.5-22.5N, 2.5-7.5W)
West of 15W
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
18
36
54
72
90
10
8
12
6
14
4
16
2
18
0
19
8
21
6
23
4
Time (hours)
% t
raje
cto
ries
Over Sahara >15N <30N
Over Atlantic
Parcel trajectory climatology
May (1979-93)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
TOMS mean AI May 1980-93
Parcel trajectory climatology
July (1979-98)
Bodele depression (17.5N, 17E)
Parcel trajectory density climatology
July (1979-98)
Djouf region (17.5-22.5N, 2.5-7.5W)
Mean 10-25N