e-tourism in switzerland: the academic perspective and swiss day closing
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ENTER 2015 Swiss day
Prof. Lorenzo Cantoni
Scientific Director, webatelier.net & Faculty of Communication Sciences, Università della Svizzera italiana (USI Lugano
Prof. Miriam Scaglione and Roland Schegg
Institute of Tourism, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland Valais, Switzerland
E-TOURISM IN SWITZERLAND: THE ACADEMIC PERSPECTIVE AND SWISS DAY
CLOSING
ENTER 2015 Swiss day
Agenda
• Feedback Workshops Experience Exchange
• Andreas Liebrich (HSLU)
• Emanuele Patelli (Foutur.net)
• Roland Schegg (HES-SO Valais)
• Miriam Scaglione: Swiss Tourism and ICT – where we come from
• Roland Schegg: The Blurring Landsape of Travel Distribution
• Lorenzo Cantoni: Travel 3.0 – Needs for new Skills and Competencies
• Final discussion
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Andreas Liebrich (HSLU)
Emanuele Patelli (Foutur.net)
Roland Schegg (HES-SO Valais)
Feedback Workshops Experience Exchange
ENTER 2015 Swiss day
Miriam Scaglione
Institute of Tourism, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland Valais, Switzerland
Swiss Tourism and ICT – where do we come from?
ENTER 2015 Swiss day
Evolution of a traditional sector I
19th century : Belle époque• Rhaetian Railway• Gornergrat• Jungfraujoch
Hôtel d’Angleterre, Montreux, 1873
Inaugural train of the Rhaetian Railway, Klosters, 1889
Tourists admiring the Alpenglow, Eiger, Mönch & Jungfrau
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First ski-lift “funiluge” pulled by a cable, Crans Montana, 1930
Evolution of a traditional sector II
First ski-lift built in Switzerland in 1934, DavosSource: http://www.hebdo.ch
Hôtel Badrutt’s Palace, St-Moritz, 1932Source:http://www.hebdo.ch
• 1893: Association of Swiss Tourist Offices foounded
• 1910: Swiss National Tourist Office created
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Evolution of a traditional sector III
50’s : Switzerland and its news ski resorts are on the top 5 destination worldwide
70’s: Stagnation
80’s : still among the top ten destination worldwide
First half of the 90’s: recession
First cable car with only one cable in Switzerland, Crans Montana, 1951
Verbier, 1960Source: http://www.hebdo.ch
Gstaad in the early 50’sSource: http://www.bilan.ch
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Evolution of Swiss tourism hotels' overnight demand yearly since 1950
Theoretical Potential level Raw data of total overnights
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 201010000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
Theoretical Potential level Raw data of total overnights
Rate of growth (%)
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rate of growth (%)
Level shift ’78 (-16%)
dev. of ski resorts/facilitiesincrease
overnights’ stagnation
overnights' downturn
Recovery2003
overnights’ around 35
millions.
2014?in 0
00’
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Evolution of Swiss tourism demand monthly since 1950
LDomestic Level+Reg+Intv
1960 1980 2000
500
1000
1500
2000LDomestic Level+Reg+Intv LForeign Level+Reg+Intv
1960 1980 2000
1000
2000
3000
4000LForeign Level+Reg+Intv
LDomestic-Seasonal
1960 1980 2000
1.0
1.5
2.0LDomestic-Seasonal LForeign-Seasonal
1960 1980 2000
1
2
3 LForeign-Seasonal
LDomestic-Cycle 1
1960 1980 2000
0.98
1.00
1.02LDomestic-Cycle 1 LForeign-Cycle 1
1960 1980 2000
0.99
1.00
1.01LForeign-Cycle 1
LDomestic-Irregular
1960 1980 2000
0.95
1.00
1.05LDomestic-Irregular LForeign-Irregular
1960 1980 2000
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10LForeign-Irregular
Domestic (‘000) Foreign (‘000)
raw data & trend
raw data & trend
seasonal
Cycle 6 months
residuals
raw data & trend
raw data & trend
seasonal
Cycle 6 months
residuals
Source : data OFS analysis Prof Dr Miriam Scaglione ITO/HES-SO using Structural times series
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Domestic-Level + Intv Foreign-Level + Intv
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Domestic-Level + Intv Foreign-Level + Intv
Long run evolution (trend) of Swiss tourism demand monthly since 1950
Level ShiftApril ’78-30% Level Shift
Oct’7910%
Level ShiftSep’01-10%
Recession Post Korea war and Algeria War
Source : data OFS analysis Prof Dr Miriam Scaglione ITO/HES-SO using Structural times series
Crisis energy and Iran revolution
World Trade Center Attack
Domestic
Foreign
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Evolution of Swiss tourism demand monthly since 1950
Seasonal evolution Foreign-Domestic
1950 2000
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
Feb
1950 2000
-0.1
0.0
0.1
Mars
1950 2000
-0.25
0.00
0.25
1950 2000
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
Jan
Avril
1950 2000
-0.15
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
May
1950 2000
0.2
0.3
0.4
Jun
1950 2000
0.4
0.6
0.8
Jul
1950 2000
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
Aug
1950 2000
0.2
0.3
0.4
Sep
1950 2000
-0.4
-0.2
Oct
1950 2000
-1.00
-0.75
-0.50
Nov
Nov
1950 2000
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
Dec
1950 2000
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
Jan
1950 2000
0.0
0.2
Feb
1950 2000
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
Mar
1950 2000
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
Apr
1950 2000
-0.20
-0.15
-0.10
May
1950 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
Jun
1950 2000
0.4
0.6
Jul
1950 2000
0.4
0.6
Aug
1950 2000
0.20
0.25
0.30
Sep
1950 2000
-0.1
0.0
0.1
Oct
1950 2000
-0.55
-0.50
-0.45
Nov
1950 2000
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
Dec
Foreign Domestic
Source : data OFS analysis Prof Dr Miriam Scaglione ITO/HES-SO using Structural times series
1975 1975 1975
1975 1975 1975
1975 1975 1975
1975 1975 1975
1975 1975 1975
1975 1975 1975
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Tourism in SwitzerlandFacts and figures
Switzerland 4th exportation sector : 5.5% (2012)
Revenue from foreign tourists : 15.4 billion CHF (2012)
Accommodation sector: 3.6% of tertiary sector in Switzerland (2013)
1979: Swiss Tourism Concept. First instrument of sustainable tourism development
1995: launch of MySwitzerland.com
1997: creation of Innotour
myswitzerland.com
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Web 2.0 penetration
The following figure represents the evolution of web 2.0 penetration across sectors and time
Scaglione, Johnson, et al. (2010); Scaglione, Schegg, et al. (2013) ; Schegg et al. (2008)
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My Questions
• From the early stages, the tourism marketing in Switzerland was characterized by a dynamic and modern approach. • Is it still the case?• How can we face the challenges by accelerating the pace of
innovation (p.ex. by better use of ICT)?• The development of ICT raises opportunities and challenges
that need to be addressed. How can we leverage these chances?
• Do small players in tourism still have a chance to survive without yielding the control of their businesses to third-party actors like the OTAs?
• How can academy help to improve the situation?
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Roland Schegg
Institute of Tourism, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland Valais, Switzerland
The Blurring Landsape of Travel Distribution
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• The OTAs and other global players will continue to grow and become stronger
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• The pace of innovation will continue to be high and we are heading towards a more complex world
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• Tourism suppliers still have a chance in the battle, but have to work on their (e)Fitness
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Travel suppliers in a complex landscape of distribution
• Online intermediaries such as OTAs play a major role in the distribution of hotel rooms and other travel products all over the world.
• The online travel agencies (OTAs) had gross bookings exceeding $150 billion in 2013, representing 38% of the global online market and 13% of the global travel market. (Trefis team, 2015)
• Hotels and tourism supliers in general have underestimated in the past the importance of an effective online marketing strategy whereas OTAs have invested with success in online marketing and aggressive conversion techniques (Egger & Buhalis, 2008).
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Evolution of travel distribution channels in Switzerland
Scaglione & Schegg (2015) The Case of Switzerland During the Last 20 Years. In Pechlaner, Harald, Smeral, Egon (Eds.) Tourism and Leisure: Current Issues and Perspectives of Development, Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden p. 175-201.
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Distribution Trends in the Swiss Hotel Sector 2002-2013
Traditional distribution (telephone, fax, letters, walk-ins, others)
Electronic request (e-mail, booking form)
Online booking (GDS, IDS/OTA, direct booking on hotel website, hotel chains with CRS, social media)
Tourism partners (tour operators, DMO national-local, event & conference organizers, others)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
2013 (n=279)
2012 (n=200)
2011 (n=196)
2010 (n=211)
2009 (n=198)
2008 (n=184)
2006 (n=100)
2005 (n=94)
2002 (n=202)
Attention: Market shares in % of bookings for 2002-2012 and in % of overnights in 2013 !
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• “The mobile channel has successfully overcome all doubts about its ability to become significant for the travel industry, reaching an estimated 15% of global online travel sales in 2014.”
Driving forces of travel distribution in the next few years
Source: Angelo Rossini 2015
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OTAs and automobile manufacturers invest in mobile
Source http://skift.com & http://www.thedrum.com
• This kind of partnership is the next step in same-day, mobile hotel bookings.
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Cooperation - Diversification: booking.com & Interhome (2013)
Source: http://skift.com/2012/12/28/booking-com-is-homeaways-new-vacation-rental-competitor/
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OTAs play the “Meta-Game”: Expedia-Trivago & Priceline-Kayak
Source: http://skift.com/2013/09/19/after-big-mergers-when-will-priceline-and-expedia-take-the-next-big-steps/
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• “An innovation with disruptive potential in the travel industry is the one introduced by TripAdvisor through its Instant Booking tool. This new model will expand TripAdvisor’s functionalities beyond a travel review website, as TripAdvisor starts offering services like other established OTAs.
• The rise of new players: Travel is the largest category for ecommerce globally, and it is not surprising that the two largest global online retailers, Amazon and Alibaba, have decided to enter it.”
Blurring competitive landscape
Source: Angelo Rossini 2015
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Challenges to come
Accor 2014: “Leading Digital Hospitality”
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Importance of AirBnB in Switzerland
Over 6’000 objects with over 20’000 beds-> equivalent to 8% of the hotel bed offer in Switzerland!
http://www.tourobs.ch/media/303683/Airbnb_DE.pdf
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• The high and still increasing market share of OTAs is therefore a serious threat for the Swiss lodging sector and tourism sector in general.
Loose of control on distribution, customer data and relation (CRM), costs (!)
• Other challengers to come…
• New intermediaries and cooperation outside classical tourism sector (Amazon, Alibaba, …)
• New kids on the block with personalized and innovative services which provide seamless travel experience (AirBnB, Uber etc.)
Challenges for Tourism Suppliers in Switzerland
ENTER 2015 Swiss day
Lorenzo Cantoni
Scientific Director, webatelier.net & Faculty of Communication Sciences, Università della Svizzera italiana (USI Lugano
Travel 3.0 – Needs for new Skills and Competencies