ec-lviii 2006 report of the president of cbs presented by alexander gusev (russian federation)...
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EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
Report of the president of CBS
Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation)
President of CBS
Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth sessionGeneva, 20-30 June, 2006
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
Main goals (2005)Main goals (2005)Redesign of the Global Observing System;Achieve the full implementation of the Improved
MTN and upgrade of the GTS through cost-effective techniques, particularly in developing regions and areas with adverse conditions;
Progress the development of the (F)WIS, including the evolution of the GTS towards the (F)WIS backbone;
Implementation of the migration to binary codes, in particular the development of pilot projects;
Development of severe weather forecasting and issue of severe weather warning;
Support to natural disaster reduction……
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
3
COMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMSCOMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMS
President Vice-President
4 OPAGsISS (Information Systems
and Services)
2 Co-coordinators
GEOSS
Coordinator DPM
IOS (Integrated Observing
System)
DPFS (Data Processing
and Forecasting Systems)
QMIPY
THORPEXPWS (Public Weather
Services)
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Current status of the WWWCurrent status of the WWW
CBSCBS--XI I IXI I I Percentage of SYNOP reports received from RSBN
stations during the period since 1991
0 %
2 0 %
4 0 %
6 0 %
8 0 %
1 0 0 %
окт
.91
окт
.92
окт
.93
окт
.94
окт
.95
окт
.96
окт
.97
окт
.98
окт
.99
окт
.00
окт
.01
окт
.02
окт
.03
Reg ion I
Reg ion II
Reg ion III
Reg ion IV
Reg ion V
Reg ion VI
Total
CBSCBS--XI I IX I I I
Percentage of Parts A of TEMP reports received from RBSN stations during the period since 1991
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
окт.
91
окт.
92
окт.
93
окт.
94
окт.
95
окт.
96
окт.
97
окт.
98
окт.
99
окт.
00
окт.
01
окт.
02
окт.
03
R egion I
R egion IIR egion III
R egion IVR egion VR egion VI
Tota l
4
ECEC--LVI ILVI I20052005
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
90 92 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4Using com puters for NW P Running global m odel
Running hem ispheric m odel Running LAM (resolution = or >36 km )
Running m eso-scale m odel (resolution < 36 km ) Running non-hydros tatic m odel
GDPFS Centers running GDPFS Centers running operational NWP modelsoperational NWP models
8
Global level of SYNOPS received (as a % of RSBN) has increased
from 69% to 78%
Global level of TEMPS has increased from 55% to 70%
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Overall, in 2005 the implementation of observational programme in WMO Regions
had shown increasing stability.The globally averaged availability of
observations reports on the MTN
2004 2005surface reports
77% 78%upper-air reports
67% 70%
Global Observing System (GOS)
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Candidate
Observing Systems
The future GOS should build upon existing components, both surface and space based, and capitalize on existing and new observing technologies not presently incorporated or fully exploited
Each incremental addition to the GOS would be reflected in better data, products and services from the NMHSs
6
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Global Observing System
(GOS)Activities on the redesign and establishment of a future GOS were focused on implementation aspects of evolution of the GOS, satellite system utilization and products, requirements and representation of data from AWS, scientific evaluation of OSE and OSSE, integration of AMDAR in WWW operations, revision and updating of the GOS regulatory material.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
Global Observing System (GOS) Specific input to the planning and implementation
of the evolving integrated GOS comprised: • Revision of the content of the WMO publication Guide on the Global Observing System (WMO-No. 488);•Publishing as WWW Technical Report The Implementation Plan for Evolution of Surface- and Space-based Subsystems of the GOS;• Preparation of updates for the WMO publication Manual on the Global Observing System (WMO-No. 544);
•Revision of the content and development the database for the WMO publication Weather Reporting, Observing Stations (WMO-No.9,Vol. A);
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Global Observing System (GOS)
Specific input to the planning and implementation of the evolving integrated GOS
comprised (2): • Establishment of three additional CBS Lead Centres for GSN and GUAN data by NMHSs of Australia, Iran and Morocco;
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS Key Tasks and
activityUpdate GTS design (incl. MTN), taking best
benefits from ICT, towards the WIS core network;
Design & implementation planning for the WIS communication networks and centres (GISCs, DCPCs);
Promote & coordinate migration plan to table-driven code forms with other commissions;
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS Key Tasks and
activityDevelopment of the WMO metadata
standard with other commissions and in liaison with ISO;
Coordination & monitoring of current operation of GTS and data management, including support to Early Warning Systems;
Coordination and protection of WMO-related radio-frequency bands, especially with ITU.
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ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
Information management – many data formats; uncoordinated metadata & catalogues
Current situation
Information exchange – multiplicity of procedures; real-time and non-real time
internet
5 GAW World Data Centres
GCOS Data Centres
Global Run-off Data Centre
stopstop
IRI and other climate research institutes
Universities
Regional Climate Centres
stopstopWWW GTS
World Meteorological
Centres
Regional/ Specialized Meteorological Centres
National Meteorological
Centres
Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres
International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )
Commercial Service Providers
World Radiation Centre
Regional Instrument Centres
WMO World Data Centres
stopstop
stopstopstopstop
stopstop
WWW GTS
Real-time “push”
ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
Information management –Information exchange –
GAW World Data Centres
GCOS Data Centres
Global Run-off Data Centre
Global Precip. Climatology Centre
IRI, Hadley Centre, other climate research centres
Universities
Regional Climate Centres
International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )
Commercial Service Providers
World Radiation Centre
Regional Instrument Centres
WMO World Data Centres
common procedures; real-time and non-real time servicesfew standard data formats; coordinated metadata & catalogues
Real-time “push”
On-demand “pull”
internet
DCPC
NC/DCPC
NCNC
NC/DCPC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
GISC
GISCGISC
SatelliteTwo-Way Systems
Satellite Dissemination
(GEONetCast, EUMETCast, IGDDS)
NC
NC
DCPC
GISC GISC
DCPC
WISWIS
ISS – (F) WISECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
World Meteorological
Centres
WWW GTS
Regional/Specialized Meteorological Centres
National Meteorological
Centres
Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres
GTS current usersNational, Regional, Specialized, and World Meteorological Centres
Meteorological Satellite Operator Centres
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
Information management – many data formats; uncoordinated metadata & catalogues
Current situation
Information exchange – multiplicity of procedures; real-time and non-real time
internet
5 GAW World Data Centres
GCOS Data Centres
Global Run-off Data Centre
stopstop
IRI and other climate research institutes
Universities
Regional Climate Centres
stopstopWWW GTS
World Meteorological
Centres
Regional/ Specialized Meteorological Centres
National Meteorological
Centres
Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres
International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )
Commercial Service Providers
World Radiation Centre
Regional Instrument Centres
WMO World Data Centres
stopstop
stopstopstopstop
stopstop
WWW GTS
Real-time “push”
ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
Information management –Information exchange –
GAW World Data Centres
GCOS Data Centres
Global Run-off Data Centre
Global Precip. Climatology Centre
IRI, Hadley Centre, other climate research centres
Universities
Regional Climate Centres
International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )
Commercial Service Providers
World Radiation Centre
Regional Instrument Centres
WMO World Data Centres
common procedures; real-time and non-real time servicesfew standard data formats; coordinated metadata & catalogues
Real-time “push”
On-demand “pull”
internet
DCPC
NC/DCPC
NCNC
NC/DCPC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
GISC
GISCGISC
SatelliteTwo-Way Systems
Satellite Dissemination
(GEONetCast, EUMETCast, IGDDS)
NC
NC
DCPC
GISC GISC
DCPC
WISWIS
ISS – WISECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
World Meteorological
Centres
WWW GTS
Regional/Specialized Meteorological Centres
National Meteorological
Centres
Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres
GTS current usersNational, Regional, Specialized, and World Meteorological Centres
Meteorological Satellite Operator Centres
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
ISS - WIS
Where we are in this project?
Considerable efforts were made in developing the technical and operational specifications of the WIS GISCs and DCPCs, including an ad-hoc GISC & DCPC developers meeting (Langen,
Germany, 29-31 March 2006).(DWD, ECMWF, EUMETSAT, KMA, Météo-
France, NCAR, ROSHYDROMET and JCOMM Centre Obninsk, UKMetOffice)
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
ISS - WIS
Where we are in this project? An initial implementation of
some WIS functions could be achieved by the end of 2006 in
a semi-operational mode.
WIS success depends upon pilot projects.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 WIS-relevant Pilot
Projects• CBS RA VI VGISC project (Exeter, Offenbach, Toulouse, ECMWF, EUMETSAT)
• CBS VPN Pilot Project based on the Internet in RA II and V
CCl CliWare – (Obninsk, Russian Federation, portal access to climate data over the Internet)
• JCOMM GISC-E2EDM prototype (Obninsk, Russian Federation)
• EUMETNET UNIDART Web portal for a uniform data request inferface
• CAgM WAMIS (World Agremeteorological Information Service; S. Korea)
• СAS THORPEX/TIGGE
• NERC DataGrid – UK e-Science project for accessing environmental information
• Earth System Grid – US project that enables management, discovery, distributed access, processing, & analysis of distributed tera-scale climate data
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ISS - TECO-WIS
TECO-WIS will be held in association with the extraordinary session of CBS – 2006, November.
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WIS
The WIS position and functions in the general WMO infrastructure should be
precisely defined for better understanding and implementation by the Member
countries.
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ISS activity
GTS support to the Exchange of Multi-Hazard Early Warning, including Tsunami Warnings
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS - Migration to Table Driven Code
FormsECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066
ISS Key Tasks and activity
Update GTS design (incl. MTN), taking best benefits from ICT, towards the WIS core network;
Design & implementation planning for the WIS communication networks and centres (GISCs, DCPCs);
Promote & coordinate migration plan to table-driven code forms with other commissions;
Only small number of countries had developed or were currently developing a national plan
for the migration to Table Driven Code Forms (TDCF).
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS)
14 GDPFS centers are running EPS and the products continue to be of considerable interest as they are a realization of quantifying uncertainty in the numerical simulations and predictions of the atmosphere.
“Guidelines on using information from EPS in combination with single higher resolution NWP forecasts” (February 2006) was developed to assist meteorological users of EPS products.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Long-range Forecasting (LRF)
14 LRF producers The Lead Centre for Standard Verification System for
LRF (SVSLRF) stated that the Web site is operational and the exchange of verification data has started
The WMO Secretariat recently sent a letter to the PRs of the concerned countries inviting them to consider, as recommended by CBS-XIII, producing a document for the next session of CBS to seek recognition as an official Global Producing Centre (GPC) of LRF and to consider submitting their centre’s verification results to the Lead Centre for SVSLRF.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project
(SWFDP)
SWFDP is being organized as a regional project whose scope is to explore and test the usefulness of the products that are currently available from NWP centres, or products which could be made available from current systems, with the goal to improving severe weather forecasting services in countries where sophisticated model outputs are not currently used.
CBS, through the Project Steering Committee, decided to implement in 2006 the first SWFDP regional sub-project in south-eastern Africa.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP)
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Nuclear Emergency Response Activities (ERA)
The Coordination Group on Nuclear ERA reviewed the status of implementation of the operational arrangements that involve
the WMO RSMCs with activity specialization in nuclear environmental emergency response (Beijing, Tokyo, Obninsk, Montréal, Washington, Melbourne, Exeter, Toulouse), and the
RTH Offenbach for operational notification via the GTS.
The review was based on the results of the international ConvEx-3 exercise (May, 2005) organized by the Inter-
Agency Committee on Response to Nuclear Accidents, led by IAEA, as well as in the context of the IAEA-adopted
International Action Plan for Strengthening the International Preparedness and Response System for Nuclear and
Radiological Emergencies (2004-2009).
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting
System Non-Nuclear Emergency Response Activities
The meeting of the CBS ET on Modelling of Atmospheric Transport for non-Nuclear Emergency Response was held
in Melbourne, Australia, 19 to 23 September 2005.
Because of the predominately “localized” nature of environmental emergencies related to chemical incidents
(spills or releases), the strategy and action plan should be concentrated on developing the necessary capabilities at the NMHSs. However, in the case of smoke from large
fires, a regionalized approach would be appropriate, where RSMCs could provide emergency guidance and
support to NHMSs and at the same time build capacity at the national level. A draft action plan was developed.
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Major current activities
Capacity building and transfer of technology Natural disaster mitigation and public response to warnings; cross-border warnings exchange Relationships with the media, emergency management Application of new technology in PWS product development, design and service delivery Verification, service assessment and quality management Enhancement of NMS visibility and status
PWSPWS
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OPAG on PWS had carried out an extensive review of the Programme, its functions and strategies.
It had re-defined these in view of the emerging trends and needs in service provision and delivery.
PWSPWS
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WEB-BASED PROJECTS International exchange of public forecasts and warning
World Weather Information Service (WWIS) Web Site; provides a centralized source of official global
city weather information; carries climatological data for 1002 cities from 153 Members and
weather forecasts for 858 cities by 90 Members;
Severe Weather Information (SWI) Web Site; provides a centralized source for media access of official tropical cyclone warnings and information;
has global coverage and participation by 19 Members.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066CBS involvement to WMO cross CBS involvement to WMO cross
cutting programmes and cutting programmes and activitiesactivities
DPM, Quality Management System, WMO Space Programme, Climate study and GCOS-related activities, GEO/GEOSS process, THORPEX, International Polar Year……
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GEOSSMany GEO targets are relevant to CBS and many CBS activities are relevant to GEO.
CBS proposes that the GEO Work Plan focus on two specific activities:
assessing the current data transfer & dissemination requirements and systems in all SBA;
preparing a detailed high level description of what new system would be and would do.
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DPMOver its life time, CBS has assembled a significant degree of competence and
developed a broad network of expertise in matters closely related to DPM within its OPAG
structure.
It will be important to ensure that the execution of the Implementation Plan for DPM and the work of CBS in this area, can proceed
in a complementary fashion, so that there is no un-necessary duplication of effort and/or
resources.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Integration of the WMO
Observing System
Most of the WMO sponsored programmes are interconnected/
WMO observing Systems should be developed into Integrated Observing System
WWW GOS would serve as an infrastructure for integrated observing system
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
WWW visibility as a core infrastructure element for most
WMO programmes must be improved.
EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066
Thank you !
Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth sessionGeneva, 20-30 June, 2006