ecological economics as the guiding paradigm for creating a sustainable and desirable future jon...
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Ecological Economics as the Ecological Economics as the Guiding Paradigm for Creating a Guiding Paradigm for Creating a Sustainable and Desirable FutureSustainable and Desirable Future
Jon EricksonJon EricksonSchool of Natural Resources, andSchool of Natural Resources, and
Environmental ProgramEnvironmental ProgramUniversity of VermontUniversity of Vermont
or, The Title that Bobor, The Title that BobDreamed up for me at aDreamed up for me at a
Faculty Retreat in JanuaryFaculty Retreat in January
Who Am I?
U.S. Annual Per Capita
Waste:
CO2 Emissions 43,064 pounds
SO2 Emissions 181 pounds
Solid Waste 2,000 pounds
Consumption:
Motor Gasoline 11 barrels
Coal 7,219 pounds
Vehicle Miles Traveled
9,006 miles
Replacement:
Fertility Rate 2.1 children/woman
Highest Annex I Emissions (MMT GHGs)
5954
1225.6
1122.4
986.3
694.8
670.4
519.9
517.9
488.9
386.2
United States
Japan
Russia
Germany
Britain
Canada
Australia
Italy
France
Ukraine
Percent Change (1990-1998)
21.8%
8.5%
-57.6%
17.1%
5.4%
5.1%
-55.5%
-16.1%
-1.1%
-8.9%
United States
Japan
Russia
Germany
Britain
Canada
Australia
Italy
France
Ukraine
Putting the Paradigm to Practice
Ecological Economics as . . .Ecological Economics as . . .• Designing Human Systems that are Sustainable
in Scale, Equitable in Distribution, and Efficient in Allocation
• Connecting Biophysical Means with Metaphysical Ends
• A Transdisciplinary, Problem-Oriented Approach to Education and Social Policy
• A Blend of Analysis, Synthesis, and Communication
Dutchess County, New York
• 2,077 km2, mixed land use• 970 km of named streams • > 132,000 employment pool• IBM = >11,000• SW to NE development gradient• Effective buying income (EBI) ranks 15th in the U.S.
DM-2
DM-1 DM-3
Alt-1
Alt-3
Alt-2
Group of Decision-MakersGroup of Decision-Makers
CSc
CEv
CEcAlt-1
Alt-3
Alt-2
Individual Decision-MakerIndividual Decision-Maker
GOAL
Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
CEc CSc CEv CEc CSc CEv CEc CSc CEv
w1 + w2 + w3 = 1
CSc
CEv
CEcAlt-1
Alt-3
Alt-2
Alternatives
CEc CSc Ecological
CriteriaRelative condition index for Longnose Dace
-2.0-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.5
Tam
arac
k
F17
Ple
asan
t Val
ley
Eas
t
F15
Dut
ches
s C
o A
irpor
t
Ple
asan
t Val
ley-
MS
T
F08
F14
Gris
tmill
Cre
ek
F04
F13
Upt
on L
ake
Qui
et A
cres
-MS
T
F03
Col
d S
prin
g C
reek
Sta
nfor
d R
ec_M
ST
F12
Hun
ns L
ake
Red
Oak
Mill
-MS
T
F01
F11
Littl
e W
appi
nger
s
F02
E B
ranc
h W
app
Gre
at S
prin
g
F07
-A
stu
den
tize
d r
esid
ual
s o
f N
L
esti
mat
ion
+/- s.e.
Land Use Alternatives
CEc Social
Criteria
CEvCensus
by Block, Tract, Town, Zip . . .
Alternatives
Economic
Criteria
CSc CEv
GOVERMENTGOVERMENT
OUTSIDEOUTSIDEWORLDWORLD
CAPITALCAPITALExportsExports
ImportsImports INDUSTRYINDUSTRY
HOUSEHOLDSHOUSEHOLDS
DepreciationDepreciation
InvestmentInvestment
ConsumptionConsumptionGoodsGoodsLaborLabor
Private GoodsPrivate Goods& Services& Services
PublicPublicServicesServices
Alt 1 Alt 2 Alt 3
Stock
C1
C2
Out
In
Socio-Economic Sub-Model
GIS Land-Use Sub-Model
EcosystemSub-Model
Sectoral_Economic_Decline
Land_Demand
Growth
Land_Reclamation
Ecosystem_Impact
Scenerios
Scenerios
Land_Biophysical_Characteristics
Land_Use_Location
Land_Use_Type Land_Biophysical_Characteristics
Land_Development_Loading Aquatic_Dynamics
Physicochemical_Parameters
Biotic_Integrity Functional_Integretity
Ecosystem_Impact
Storm_Events Water_Flow
Building
Land_Built
Land_Demand
Sectoral_Economic_Growth
SAM_Multipliers
Scenerios
Loss
Population
Land_Use_Location
Land_Use_Type
Buildable_Land
Land_Use_Zoning
Geophysical_Attibutes
Real_Estate_Attributes
Total_Land_Inventory
Scenario AnalysisScenario Analysis
Watershed Health
SustainableSustainableSCALESCALE
Land-Use Change
and Social Context
Biophysical
Land Use
Society
Community
Economy
Firms
Households
Individuals
EquitableEquitableDISTRIBUTIONDISTRIBUTION
Economic Structure
and Change
EfficientEfficientALLOCATIONALLOCATION
GOAL
Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
CEc CSc CEv CEc CSc CEv CEc CSc CEv
Ecological Economics in Ecological Economics in ContextContext
Limits to Growth
Ecological
Social
Economic
Income
82.7%
11.7%
2.3%
1.9%
1.4%
Population
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
Global Income Distribution
“In a market economy, the price
system ensures that no one can consume
resources without first creating some of
equal or greater value.”
~ N. Gregory Mankiw
Overconsumers
1.3 billion
> US$7,500 per capita
Sustainers
3.5 billion
US$700-7,500 per capita
Excluded
1.3 billion
< US$700 per capita
Travel by car and air Travel by bicycle and public surface transport
Travel by foot or donkey
Eat high-fat, high-calorie, meat-based diets
Eat healthy diets of grains, vegetables & some meat
Eat nutritionally inadequate diets
Drink bottled water and soft drinks
Drink clean water plus some tea and coffee
Drink contaminated water
Use throwaway products & discard substantial wastes
Use unpackaged goods and recycled wastes
Use local biomass and produce negligible wastes
Live in spacious, climate-controlled, 1-family homes
Live in modest, vented, multiple-family homes
Live in rudimentary shelters or in the open
Maintain image-conscious wardrobes
Wear functional clothing
Wear secondhand clothing or scraps
Who Are We?