ecoms: european climate observations, modelling and services chris hewitt, uk met office ecoms...
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ECOMS: European Climate Observations, Modelling and Services
Chris Hewitt, UK Met Office
ECOMS Kick-Off Meeting, Barcelona, 6-9th November 2012
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Coordination of European climate service activities
• What is already happening?
• What is the involvement of our community?
• What needs doing and what will happen?
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What is already happening?International coordination activities
A lot!
• Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)
• International Climate Services Partnership (CSP)
• European Climate Service Association being developed
• WCRP and WGSIP
• IPCC, UNFCCC
• EUMETNET Climate Roadmap
• Others?
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4
My one slide summary of the Global Framework for Climate Services
http://www.wmo.int/gfcsHewitt et al (2012) Nature Climate Change online
The components Priorities:
• Developing countries• and most vulnerable• Capacity building• Agriculture and food
security• Water management• Health• Disaster risk reduction• Strengthen not duplicate
Vision: Enable society to manage better the risks and opportunities arising from climate variability and change. Using science-based climate information.
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What is already happening?Activities and projects underway
• GFCS activities (3 pilot projects in Africa)
• CSP activities
• Programmes in climate research centres, climate service centres, National Met Services
• WCRP
• European projects, e.g. FP7, ENES
• Others?
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• JPI Climate
• Climate-KIC
• GMES
• COMBINE, EUCLIPSE, EMBRACE, ECLISE, CLIM-RUN (and IS-ENES2)
• NACLIM, SPECS, EUPORIAS
What is already happening?European projects underway
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• A lead writer of the GFCS implementation plan and several of us contributed and reviewed
• On the CSP core group and several of us are partners
• Members of WGSIP and EUROSIP
• IPCC AR5 Lead Authors
• EUMETNET (several NMHSs here)
• FP7 Projects (coordinators and participants here), including the 3 new ones which will contribute to the GFCS (and WGSIP etc.)
What is the involvement of our community?
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What needs doing and what will happen?
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Timeline of projects
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
COMBINE
EMBRACE
EUCLIPSE
CLIM-RUN
ECLISE
EUPORIASNACLIMSPECS
1 Nov. 2012
31 Jan. 2014
30 Oct. 2015
31 Jan. 2017
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• The 3 new FP7 projects will benefit from coordination:• to avoid duplication, maximise synergies, undertake cross-cutting
activities
• Coordinate these 3 projects with other projects and activities, especially GFCS
• Identify future priorities in the area of s2d predictions towards climate services, including for Horizon 2020
What needs doing?
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EUPORIAS, NACLIM and SPECS will have
• A coordination mechanism as part of their projects
• Joint kick-off meeting and joint final conference (with proceedings)
• Cross-representation on their management boards (as observers)
• Some joint dissemination and communication activities, such as joint newsletters, umbrella website
• Some joint scientific meetings on cross-cutting themes
• Interaction with GFCS
• (and be an integral part of ECOMS – see later slide)
What will happen?
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Dis
sem
inati
on
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• Create “European climate observations, modelling and services initiative”
• ECOMS will:
• Identify synergies between s2d predictions towards climate services projects
• Improve links between European activities
• Improve links to other activities, including GFCS
• Engage a “think tank” for recommended priorities and future research needs in the field of climate modelling and services, primarily on s2d timescales
• Short report to EC by April 2013 to inform Horizon 2020
• Short policy-relevant report by month 29 summarising coordination progress and plans
What will happen? ECOMS
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• ECOMS will be managed by a Board
• Coordination Team: C Hewitt (initial Chair), F Doblas-Reyes, D Quadfasel
• Advisory Team:
• Coordinators of FP7 climate modelling and climate service projects
• Representatives of GFCS, CSP, and other relevant activities
• Review Team to conduct a review after 30 months (subset of Advisory Team)
• Representative of the EC invited to Board meetings but not part of the Board
• Meet early 2013 (for April report), early 2015 (for policy-relevant report)
What will happen? ECOMS
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• ECOMS could organise working groups, aligned with the GFCS ‘pillars’:
• Observations and monitoring
• Research, modelling and prediction (to include forecast quality and uncertainty)
• User/stakeholder engagement
• Meet once a year? (not necessarily face-to-face)
• Identify where are the gaps, what are the risks, recommendations for future investment/research
• Thursday parallel sessions will inform this proposed approach
What could happen?
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Summary of pre-ECOMS meeting in Brussels in June 2012
• Discussed coordination across projects and coordination structure.
• Keep it simple – don’t coordinate too many things
• National activities should be linked in to our activities
• Importance of users, assessing users’ needs, engaging with users
• List of success stories (usefulness of climate services)
• Co-education process between climate scientists and users
• Discussions of some potential research priorities:• operational high-resolution predictions for the next 30 years?
• near-term predictions could be a strength that Europe can bring to GFCS
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ECOMS at this meeting
• This afternoon’s session
• Thursday parallel sessions:• Global observations and predictions• Downscaling• Users needs and climate services• Communication and uncertainty in climate services• Extremes• Observed variability of the climate system
• Thursday evening discussion on dissemination and communication activities:
• Representatives from EC, NACLIM, SPECS, EUPORIAS, CLIM-RUN, EMBRACE, ECLISE