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ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10 www.lancaster.ac.uk/postgrad/murphys4/ [email protected] office: LUMS C85

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Page 1: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10

www.lancaster.ac.uk/postgrad/murphys4/[email protected]

office: LUMS C85

Page 2: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 1

Classify each of the following markets as highly contestable, moderately contestable, slightly contestable or non-contestable. If it depends on the circumstances, explain in what way.

Key characteristic of a contestable market:Firms are influenced by the threat of new entrants into a market.

(a) satellite broadcasting highly / moderately / slightly / non(b) hospital cleaning services highly / moderately / slightly / non(c) banking on a uni campus highly / moderately / slightly / non(d) piped gas supply highly / moderately / slightly / non(e) parcels delivery highly / moderately / slightly / non(f) siting for the Olympic games highly / moderately / slightly / non(g) bus service to the area where you live highly / mod./ slightly / non

Page 3: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 2

Why, under oligopoly, might a particular industry be collusive at one time and yet highly price competitive at another?

Because the market environment, or the firm’s assessment of it, may well change. For example, if just one firm in an oligopoly introduces a price cut, the other firms may feel obliged to follow suit, with the result that collusion breaks down. Alternatively, a new firm may enter the market (e.g. a foreign multinational), or costs may change, or rivals develop new varieties of the product, etc.

Page 4: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 3

Explain under what conditions collusion is likely to a) collapse

Collusion is likely to collapse in a single game, or in a finite number of games.

b) be maintained, in a prisoners’ dilemma modelIf the game is repeated and the players do not know how many games are left (i.e. an “infinite” number of games), collusion can continue

Page 5: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

How do we know that collusion could be maintained in an “infinite” repeated game? Let’s look at the following game:

We are going to play a card game in which groups of students will form teams. Each team gets a pair of playing cards, one red card (Hearts or Diamonds) and one black card (Clubs or Spades). The numbers or faces on the cards do not matter, just the color. Each team will be asked to play one of these cards by holding it to your chest (so we can see that you have made your decision, but not what that decision is).

Your earnings are determined by the card that you play and by the card played by your opposing team. If you play your red card, then your earnings in pounds will increase by £2, and the earnings of the person matched with you will not change. If you play your black card, your earnings do not change and the dollar earnings of your opposing team go up by £3. So,If you each play your red card, you will each earn £2. If you each play the black card, you will each earn £3. If you play your black card and the other person plays his or her red card, then you earn zero and the other person earns the £5. If you play red and the other person plays black, you earn the £5, and the other person earns zero. All earnings are hypothetical.

Page 6: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

black red

Player TWO

(£3, £3) (£0, £5)

(£5, £0) (£2, £2)Red

blac

kPl

ayer

ON

E

Here are the payoffs, written as a normal-form game.

First we’ll play one round. Talk about your strategies quietly with your teammates before you make your decision.

After this, we’ll play four more rounds, and then pair of teams will report their final payoff.

Page 7: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

black red

Player TWO

(£3, £3) (£0, £5)

(£5, £0) (£2, £2)Red

blac

kPl

ayer

ON

E

Now we’ll move the teams around, so you have a new opposing team. Same rules. Play 5 more rounds and report your scores at the end.

Page 8: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

black red

Player TWO

(£3, £3) (£0, £5)

(£5, £0) (£2, £2)Red

blac

kPl

ayer

ON

E

For a final round, let’s have the two highest-scoring teams play a single game against each other, and the two lowest-scoring teams play a single game against each other.

Page 9: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Price per

Box (£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

12 0 011 5 5510 10 1009 15 1358 20 1607 25 1756 30 1805 35 1754 40 1603 45 1352 50 1001 55 55

The following information describes the demand schedule for a unique type of apple.

This type of apple can only be produced by two firms because they own the land on which these unique trees spontaneously grow.

As a result, the marginal cost of production is zero for these duopolists, causing total revenue to equal profit.

Question 4(a)

Page 10: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(b)

If the market were characterised by Bertrand competition, what price and quantity would be generated by this market? Explain.

In a Bertrand competition model, Competition reduces the price until it equals marginal cost (which is zero in this case), therefore P = £0 and Q = 60.

(See Tutorial 9, Slides 14 and 15 for a detailed explanation of why P = MC in Bertrand competition.)

Page 11: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(c)

If these two firms colluded and formed a cartel, what price and quantity would be generated by this market?

Price per

Box (£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

12 0 011 5 5510 10 1009 15 1358 20 1607 25 1756 30 1805 35 1754 40 1603 45 1352 50 1001 55 55

These duopolists would behave as a monopolist, produce at the level that maximises profit, and agree to divide the production levels and profit.According to the table, Profit is maximised at where P = £6, Q = 30 for the market. What is the level of profit generated by the market? Profit = £6 x 30 = £180.And what is the level of profit generated by each firm? Each firm produces 15 units at £6 and receives profit of £90 (half of the £180).

Price per

Box (£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

12 0 011 5 5510 10 1009 15 1358 20 1607 25 1756 30 1805 35 1754 40 1603 45 1352 50 1001 55 55

Page 12: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(d)

If one firm cheats and produces one additional increment (five units) of production, what is the level of profit generated by each firm?

When the two firms are colluding, they produce 15 units each, for a total output of 30 and a price of £6.If the Cheating firm produces 5 more units, the total output will be 35, which will cause the price to drop to £5.

Cheating firm: 20 x £5 = £100Other firm: 15 x £5 = £75

Price per Box

(£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

6 30 1805 35 175

Page 13: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(i)Use the data from the duopoly example above to fill in the boxes of a prisoners' dilemma normal form game. Place the value of the profits earned by each duopolist in the appropriate boxes.

FIRM TWO

FIRM

ON

E

Payoffs are Revenue (PxQ) for each firm.Price is determined by the total market quantity in the Table (part a). Market Quantity is the sum of the quantities of the two firms.Example: Firms 1 chooses Q = 15 and Firm 2 chooses Q = 20.Market Q = 15+20 = 35 units, therefore Market P = £5Payoff for each firms is PxQ Firm 1: 15 x £5 = £75 Firm 2: 20 x £5 = £100

Price per

Box (£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

6 30 1805 35 175

Page 14: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(i)

Use the data from the duopoly example above to fill in the boxes of a prisoners' dilemma normal form game. Place the value of the profits earned by each duopolist in the appropriate boxes.

FIRM TWO

FIRM

ON

E

collude (15) cheat (20)

£90, £90 £75, £100

£100, £75 £80, £80chea

t (20

)

c

ollu

de (

15)

Payoffs are Revenue (PxQ) for each firm.Price is determined by the total market quantity in the Table (part a). Market Quantity is the sum of the quantities of the two firms.Example: Firms 1 chooses Q = 15 and Firm 2 chooses Q = 20.Market Q = 15+20 = 35 units, therefore Market P = £5Payoff for each firms is PxQ Firm 1: 15 x £5 = £75 Firm 2: 20 x £5 = £100

Page 15: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(j)What is the solution to this prisoners' dilemma? Explain.

FIRM TWO

FIRM

ON

E

collude (15) cheat (20)

£90, £90 £75, £100

£100, £75 £80, £80chea

t (20

)

c

ollu

de (

15)

The dominant strategy for each is to cheat and sell 20 units because each firm’s profit is greater when it sells 20 units regardless of whether the other firm sells 15 or 20 units.

Page 16: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(e)

If both firms cheat and each produces one additional increment (five units) of production (compared to the cooperative solution), what is the level of profit generated by each firm? Both firms have moved from 15 units to 20 units each. Total output will be 40, which causes price to drop to £4. Each firm: 20 x £4 = £80.

Page 17: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(f) If both firms are cheating and producing one additional increment of output (five additional units compared to the cooperative solution), will either firm choose to produce an additional increment (five more units)? Why? What is the value of the Nash equilibrium in this duopoly market?

No, because the profit would fall for the cheater to 25 x £3 = £75 which is below the £80 profit from part (e). Therefore, the Nash equilibrium is each firm producing 20 units (40 for the market) at a price of £4, creating £160 of profit for the market and each duopolist receives £80 profit.

FIRM TWO

FIRM

ON

E

Produce 20

£80, £80 £60, £75

£75, £60 £50, £50

Prod

uce

25

Produce 25

Prod

uce

20

Price per Box

(£)

Quantity of Boxes

Total Revenue (Profit)

12 0 011 5 5510 10 1009 15 1358 20 1607 25 1756 30 1805 35 1754 40 1603 45 1352 50 1001 55 55

Page 18: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(g)

Compare the competitive equilibrium to the Nash equilibrium. In which situation is society better off? Explain.

The Nash equilibrium has a higher price (£4 compared to £0) and a smaller quantity (40 units compared to 60 units).

Society is better off with competitive equilibrium (Bertrand equilibrium).

Page 19: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(h)

Describe what would happen to the price and quantity in this market if an additional firm were able to grow these unique apples. (Do not attempt to calculate quantitative changes – the direction of change is all that is required.)

The new Nash equilibrium would have a lower price and a larger quantity. It would move toward the competitive solution.

Page 20: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 4(k)

What might the solution be if the participants were able to repeat the "game?" Why? What simple strategy might they use to maintain their cartel?

They might be able to maintain the cooperative (monopoly) production level of 30 units and each produce 15 units because if the game is repeated, the participants can devise a penalty for cheating. This is because if the game is repeated, the participants can devise a penalty for cheating. The simplest penalty is "tit-for-tat."

Page 21: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5

An alternative to the Cournot model, where firms choose q’s, is the Betrand model (see above), where firms choose p’s. Of course firms can only have different p’s if they are selling differentiated products.Gasmi et al (J Econ & Man 1992) estimated the demand for coke as

QC=58-4PC + 2PP where C=coke and P=pepsi.

If MC = AC = 5 then profits are given by C=(PC-5)(58-4PC+2PP)

where the first bracket is per unit profit and the second bracket is the number of units sold.The slope of this profit function shows how C’s profits vary with PC.

Multiply out the brackets in the profit function and then apply the rule to get the slope. Hence show what C’s best response function is (ie how Pc depends on Pp).

Page 22: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5

We have: QC=58-4PC + 2PP where C=coke and P=pepsi.

If MC = AC = 5 then profits are given by

C=(PC-AC)(QC)

C=(PC-5)(58-4PC+2PP) We want to find the slope of the profit function, or take the derivative of it. Before we do that, we need to multiply out the brackets in the profit function and then apply “the rule” to get the slope. This will give us C’s best response function is (ie how Pc depends on Pp).

C=(PC-5)(58-4PC+2PP)

C=58PC-4PC2+2PCPP-290+20PC-10PP

C=-4PC2+2PCPP+78PC-290-10PP

continued on next slide

Page 23: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5

We left off with: C=-4PC

2+2PCPP+78PC-290-10PP

To find the slope of C, we are going to take the derivative with respect to PC:

dC/dPC=8PC+2PP+78

Profits are maximised when the slope is 0, so the next step is to set dC/dPC equal to zero and solve for PC:

0=8PC+2PP+78

8PC=2PP+78

PC=(2PP+78)/8

PC=PP/4+9.75

So, PC=PP/4+9.75 is C’s best response function to Pepsi’s price choice.

Page 24: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5 ctd.

They also estimate that the demand curve for pepsi was QP = 63.2 - 4PP + 1.6PC. Using the same approach derive the best response for Pepsi. We have: QP = 63.2 - 4PP + 1.6PC where C=coke and P=pepsi.

If MC = AC = 5 then profits are given by P=(PP-AC)(QP)

P=(PP-5)(63.2 - 4PP + 1.6PC)

Next, we’ll multiply out the brackets in the profit function and then apply “the rule” to get the slope of the profit function. This will show us what P’s best response function is (ie how PP depends on PC).

P=(PP-5)(63.2 - 4PP + 1.6PC)

P=63.2PP-4PP2+1.6PCPP-316+20PP-8PC

P=-4PP2+1.6PCPP+83.2PP-316-8PC

continued on next slide

Page 25: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5 ctd.

In the previous slide, we left off with: P=-4PP

2+1.6PCPP+83.2PP-316-8PC

To find the slope of P, we are going to take the derivative with respect to PP:

dP/dPP=-8PP+1.6PC+83.2

Profits are maximised when the slope is 0, so the next step is to set dP/dPP equal to zero and solve for PP:

0=-8PP+1.6PC+83.2

8PP=1.6PC+83.2

PP=(1.6PC+83.2)/8

PP=PC/5+10.4

So, PP=PC/5+10.4 is Pepsi’s best response function to any price that Coke may choose.

Page 26: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5 ctd.

Show what the equilibrium prices are. In the previous slides, we found best response functions for each firm:

PP=PC/4+9.75 and PC=PP/5+10.4

A Nash Equilibrium can be found by finding the intersection of these two lines (i.e. where both players play their best response strategy). To find this, we can plug the second function into the first:

PP=(PP/5+10.4)/4+9.75

PP=(PP/5)/4+10.4/4+9.75

PP=PP/20+2.6+9.75

PP=PP/20+12.35

PP-PP/20=12.35

19PP/20=12.35

PP=12.35*20/19

PP=13continued on next slide

Page 27: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Question 5 ctd.

Show what the equilibrium prices are (ctd). In the previous slides, we found best response functions for each firm and we found PP by plugging one function into the other:

PP=PC/4+9.75 and PC=PP/5+10.4 and PP=13

Now, to find PC, we can plug PP=13 into PC=PP/5+10.4:

PC=PP/5+10.4

PC=13/5+10.4

PC=2.6+10.4

PC=13

So, the best response functions intersect at PC = 13 and PP = 13

Page 28: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85

Have a nice Holiday!(Also, don’t forget to start studying for Exam 2 and

check Moodle for the Week 11 worksheet.)

Page 29: ECON 100 Tutorial: Week 10  s.murphy5@lancaster.ac.uk office: LUMS C85