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Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Professor Ted Miguel Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley

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Page 1: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Pro

fess

or T

ed M

igue

lD

epar

tmen

t of E

cono

mic

sU

nive

rsity

of C

alifo

rnia

, Ber

kele

y

Page 2: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Lect

ure

21 –

Apr

il 10

, 200

7

Page 3: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

3

Page 4: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

4

Out

line:

(1)

Bat

es (2

001)

on

agric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

polic

ies

(2)

Eas

terly

(200

1) o

n st

ruct

ural

adj

ustm

ent

Page 5: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

5

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•A

gric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

boar

ds c

an in

theo

ry in

sure

fa

rmer

s ag

ains

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

, allo

w th

e go

vern

men

t to

inve

st in

new

tech

nolo

gies

, etc

.

Page 6: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

6

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•A

gric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

boar

ds c

an in

theo

ry in

sure

fa

rmer

s ag

ains

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

, allo

w th

e go

vern

men

t to

inve

st in

new

tech

nolo

gies

, etc

.

Page 7: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

7

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•H

owev

er, i

n pr

actic

e in

col

onia

l Afri

ca m

arke

ting

boar

d pr

ices

wer

e se

t far

bel

ow w

orld

pric

es, l

eadi

ng to

a

mas

sive

tran

sfer

of i

ncom

e fro

m A

frica

n fa

rmer

s to

E

urop

ean

empi

res,

par

ticul

arly

dur

ing

WW

II

Page 8: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

8

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•H

owev

er, i

n pr

actic

e in

col

onia

l Afri

ca m

arke

ting

boar

d pr

ices

wer

e se

t far

bel

ow w

orld

pric

es, l

eadi

ng to

a

mas

sive

tran

sfer

of i

ncom

e fro

m A

frica

n fa

rmer

s to

E

urop

ean

empi

res,

par

ticul

arly

dur

ing

WW

II

•P

ost-i

ndep

ende

nce

gove

rnm

ents

(afte

r aro

und

1960

in

mos

t cas

es) c

ontin

ued

the

polic

y of

“squ

eezi

ng”

peas

ant f

arm

ers

in o

rder

to b

enef

it ur

ban

resi

dent

s an

d bo

ost g

over

nmen

t rev

enue

Page 9: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

9

Hig

h ta

xatio

n ra

tes

on A

frica

n fa

rmer

s

Cou

ntry

Cro

pY

ear

% o

f Wor

ld P

rice

Nig

eria

Pal

m o

il19

71-7

256

Nig

eria

Cot

ton

1972

-73

43N

iger

iaC

ocoa

1976

-77

66G

hana

Coc

oa19

6265

Sen

egal

Gro

undn

uts

1972

-73

30Ta

nzan

iaC

otto

n19

74-7

541

Tanz

ania

Cof

fee

1976

-77

46K

enya

Cof

fee

1975

-76

93 (e

stat

es)

Ken

yaC

offe

e19

75-7

664

(coo

pera

tives

)

Page 10: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

10

Hig

h ta

xatio

n ra

tes

on A

frica

n fa

rmer

s

Cou

ntry

Cro

pY

ear

% o

f Wor

ld P

rice

Nig

eria

Pal

m o

il19

71-7

256

Nig

eria

Cot

ton

1972

-73

43N

iger

iaC

ocoa

1976

-77

66G

hana

Coc

oa19

6265

Sen

egal

Gro

undn

uts

1972

-73

30Ta

nzan

iaC

otto

n19

74-7

541

Tanz

ania

Cof

fee

1976

-77

46K

enya

Cof

fee

1975

-76

93 (e

stat

es)

Ken

yaC

offe

e19

75-7

664

(coo

pera

tives

)

Page 11: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

11

Hig

h ta

xatio

n ra

tes

on A

frica

n fa

rmer

s

Cou

ntry

Cro

pY

ear

% o

f Wor

ld P

rice

Nig

eria

Pal

m o

il19

71-7

256

Nig

eria

Cot

ton

1972

-73

43N

iger

iaC

ocoa

1976

-77

66G

hana

Coc

oa19

6265

Sen

egal

Gro

undn

uts

1972

-73

30Ta

nzan

iaC

otto

n19

74-7

541

Tanz

ania

Cof

fee

1976

-77

46K

enya

Cof

fee

1975

-76

93 (e

stat

es)

Ken

yaC

offe

e19

75-7

664

(coo

pera

tives

)

Page 12: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

12

Who

ben

efite

d fro

m m

arke

ting

boar

ds?

(1)

Cen

tral g

over

nmen

t rev

enue

cou

ld in

crea

se(2

)La

w e

nfor

cem

ent a

nd c

usto

ms

offic

ials

: brib

es

Page 13: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

13

Who

ben

efite

d fro

m m

arke

ting

boar

ds?

(1)

Cen

tral g

over

nmen

t rev

enue

cou

ld in

crea

se(2

)La

w e

nfor

cem

ent a

nd c

usto

ms

offic

ials

: brib

es(3

)S

mug

gler

s an

d or

gani

zed

crim

e(4

)B

urea

ucra

ts w

orki

ng fo

r the

mar

ketin

g bo

ards

Page 14: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

14

Who

ben

efite

d fro

m m

arke

ting

boar

ds?

(1)

Cen

tral g

over

nmen

t rev

enue

cou

ld in

crea

se(2

)La

w e

nfor

cem

ent a

nd c

usto

ms

offic

ials

: brib

es(3

)S

mug

gler

s an

d or

gani

zed

crim

e(4

)B

urea

ucra

ts w

orki

ng fo

r the

mar

ketin

g bo

ards

(5)

Urb

an re

side

nts

and

othe

r net

agr

icul

tura

l con

sum

ers

The

big

lose

rs fr

om th

e po

licy:

Afri

can

farm

ers

–th

e m

ajor

ity o

f the

pop

ulat

ion

in e

very

Afri

can

coun

try

Page 15: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

15

Who

ben

efite

d fro

m m

arke

ting

boar

ds?

(1)

Cen

tral g

over

nmen

t rev

enue

cou

ld in

crea

se(2

)La

w e

nfor

cem

ent a

nd c

usto

ms

offic

ials

: brib

es(3

)S

mug

gler

s an

d or

gani

zed

crim

e(4

)B

urea

ucra

ts w

orki

ng fo

r the

mar

ketin

g bo

ards

(5)

Urb

an re

side

nts

and

othe

r net

agr

icul

tura

l con

sum

ers

The

big

lose

rs fr

om th

e po

licy:

Afri

can

farm

ers

–th

e m

ajor

ity o

f the

pop

ulat

ion

in e

very

Afri

can

coun

try

•A

gric

ultu

ral p

urch

ase

pric

es a

re o

ften

not s

et b

y m

arke

ts in

the

U.S

. eith

er: U

.S. f

arm

ers

rece

ive

huge

su

bsid

ies

(opp

osite

of p

olic

ies

Bat

es 1

981

desc

ribes

)

Page 16: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

16

Urb

an v

ersu

s ru

ral p

oliti

cs

•Th

ere

is a

con

sens

us th

at m

ost A

frica

n le

ader

s fo

cuse

d on

urb

an p

oliti

cs ra

ther

than

rura

l con

trol

durin

g th

e po

stco

loni

al p

erio

d –

a co

ntin

uity

from

the

prec

olon

iala

nd c

olon

ial p

erio

ds (H

erbs

t200

0)

Page 17: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

17

Urb

an v

ersu

s ru

ral p

oliti

cs

•Th

ere

is a

con

sens

us th

at m

ost A

frica

n le

ader

s fo

cuse

d on

urb

an p

oliti

cs ra

ther

than

rura

l con

trol

durin

g th

e po

stco

loni

al p

erio

d –

a co

ntin

uity

from

the

prec

olon

iala

nd c

olon

ial p

erio

ds (H

erbs

t200

0)

•Im

agin

e th

at th

e pr

obab

ility

of a

lead

er re

tain

ing

pow

er

is in

crea

sing

in b

oth

urba

n an

d ru

ral i

ncom

e, b

ut is

m

ore

sens

itive

to u

rban

inco

mes

:P

rob

(Ret

ain

Pow

er) =

F(Y

UR

BAN, Y

RU

RAL

)

whe

re th

e ch

ange

in th

e od

ds o

f ret

aini

ng p

ower

with

ur

ban

inco

me

is ∂

F/∂Y

UR

BAN

> ∂F

/∂Y R

UR

AL>

0

Page 18: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

18

Eco

nom

ic c

risis

of t

he 1

970s

-198

0s

(1) P

uniti

vely

hig

h ra

tes

of ta

xatio

n on

agr

icul

tura

l pr

oduc

tion

(Bat

es 1

981)

fa

lling

pro

duct

ion

(due

to

stan

dard

sup

ply

effe

cts,

sm

uggl

ing)

fa

lling

reve

nues

Page 19: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

19

Eco

nom

ic c

risis

of t

he 1

970s

-198

0s

(1) P

uniti

vely

hig

h ra

tes

of ta

xatio

n on

agr

icul

tura

l pr

oduc

tion

(Bat

es 1

981)

fa

lling

pro

duct

ion

(due

to

stan

dard

sup

ply

effe

cts,

sm

uggl

ing)

fa

lling

reve

nues

(2) C

hron

ic b

udge

tary

def

icits

(3) R

isin

g fo

reig

n de

bts

(4) H

igh

rate

s of

infla

tion

Page 20: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

20

Eco

nom

ic c

risis

of t

he 1

970s

-198

0s

(1) P

uniti

vely

hig

h ra

tes

of ta

xatio

n on

agr

icul

tura

l pr

oduc

tion

(Bat

es 1

981)

fa

lling

pro

duct

ion

(due

to

stan

dard

sup

ply

effe

cts,

sm

uggl

ing)

fa

lling

reve

nues

(2) C

hron

ic b

udge

tary

def

icits

(3) R

isin

g fo

reig

n de

bts

(4) H

igh

rate

s of

infla

tion

(5) B

loat

ed s

tate

bur

eauc

racy

(6) I

neffi

cien

t sta

te in

dust

rial s

ecto

r(7

) Hig

h ta

riff r

ates

, ext

ensi

ve fo

reig

n ex

chan

ge c

ontro

ls

Page 21: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

21

Inte

rnat

iona

l pol

icy

chan

ges

in th

e 19

80s

•In

tern

atio

nal d

onor

s, li

ke th

e W

orld

Ban

k an

d In

tern

atio

nal M

onet

ary

Fund

(the

“Bre

tton

Woo

ds

Inst

itutio

ns”)

beg

an im

posi

ng c

ondi

tiona

lity

on lo

ans,

in

the

form

of e

cono

mic

refo

rms.

The

idea

was

no

mor

e lo

ans

for c

ount

ries

purs

uing

bad

eco

nom

ic p

olic

ies

•Th

e pa

ckag

e of

refo

rms

they

adv

ocat

ed b

ecam

e kn

own

as s

truct

ural

adj

ustm

ent

Page 22: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

22

Inte

rnat

iona

l pol

icy

chan

ges

in th

e 19

80s

•In

tern

atio

nal d

onor

s, li

ke th

e W

orld

Ban

k an

d In

tern

atio

nal M

onet

ary

Fund

(the

“Bre

tton

Woo

ds

Inst

itutio

ns”)

beg

an im

posi

ng c

ondi

tiona

lity

on lo

ans,

in

the

form

of e

cono

mic

refo

rms.

The

idea

was

no

mor

e lo

ans

for c

ount

ries

purs

uing

bad

eco

nom

ic p

olic

ies

•Th

e pa

ckag

e of

refo

rms

they

adv

ocat

ed b

ecam

e kn

own

as s

truct

ural

adj

ustm

ent

•Th

e de

bate

ove

r stru

ctur

al a

djus

tmen

t and

fore

ign

aid

polic

y m

ore

gene

rally

is o

ur n

ext f

ocus

Page 23: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

23

The

Cas

e of

Gha

na in

the

1980

s-19

90s

Page 24: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

24

Map

of A

frica

Page 25: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

25

The

Cas

e of

Gha

na in

the

1980

s-19

90s

•S

truct

ural

adj

ustm

ent r

efor

ms

in G

hana

, 198

0s:

–A

gric

ultu

ral p

rice

cont

rols

redu

ced,

agr

icul

tura

l m

arke

ting

boar

ds g

radu

ally

dow

nsiz

ed o

r di

sban

ded

(incl

udin

g “C

ocob

od”)

–Fo

reig

n ex

chan

ge c

ontro

ls a

nd ta

riffs

redu

ced

–S

tate

bur

eauc

rats

and

indu

stria

l sec

tor w

orke

rs la

id

off,

stat

e en

terp

rises

dow

nsiz

ed o

r priv

atiz

ed

Page 26: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

26

Stru

ctur

al A

djus

tmen

t Im

pact

s

•P

ossi

ble

bene

fits

of S

truct

ural

Adj

ustm

ent i

n G

hana

:–

Eco

nom

ic g

row

th in

crea

sed

(bec

omin

g sl

ight

ly

posi

tive,

1-2

% a

nnua

l per

cap

ita g

row

th).

Ave

rage

pe

r cap

ita g

row

th fr

om 1

961-

1983

was

-1.6

%–

Agr

icul

tura

l pro

duct

ion

bega

n gr

owin

g ag

ain

–Im

ports

and

exp

orts

(inc

ludi

ng in

agr

icul

ture

) gre

w,

e.g.

fres

h fru

it fo

r Eur

opea

n m

arke

ts–

Infla

tion

fell

to lo

w le

vels

–B

udge

t def

icits

redu

ced

–G

row

th in

“civ

il so

ciet

y”, c

ivic

org

aniz

atio

ns–

Pol

itica

l dem

ocra

tizat

ion

(may

not

be

caus

al)

Page 27: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

27

Ber

ry (1

997)

on

agric

ultu

re in

cen

tral G

hana

•B

erry

stu

dies

the

Kum

awu

regi

on, i

n A

shan

ti te

rrito

ry

•D

id S

truct

ural

Adj

ustm

ent “

wor

k”in

Gha

na?

For

who

m?

Page 28: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

28

Ber

ry (1

997)

on

agric

ultu

re in

cen

tral G

hana

•B

erry

stu

dies

the

Kum

awu

regi

on, i

n A

shan

ti te

rrito

ry

•D

id S

truct

ural

Adj

ustm

ent “

wor

k”in

Gha

na?

For

who

m?

(1) M

ore

expo

sure

to m

arke

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

(2) L

ess

acce

ss to

form

al c

redi

t in

rura

l are

as

Page 29: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

29

Ber

ry (1

997)

on

agric

ultu

re in

cen

tral G

hana

•B

erry

stu

dies

the

Kum

awu

regi

on, i

n A

shan

ti te

rrito

ry

•D

id S

truct

ural

Adj

ustm

ent “

wor

k”in

Gha

na?

For

who

m?

(1) M

ore

expo

sure

to m

arke

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

(2) L

ess

acce

ss to

form

al c

redi

t in

rura

l are

as(3

) “La

nd p

rope

rty ri

ghts

”ref

orm

s la

rgel

y un

succ

essf

ul

Page 30: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

30

Ber

ry (1

997)

on

agric

ultu

re in

cen

tral G

hana

•B

erry

stu

dies

the

Kum

awu

regi

on, i

n A

shan

ti te

rrito

ry

•D

id S

truct

ural

Adj

ustm

ent “

wor

k”in

Gha

na?

For

who

m?

(1) M

ore

expo

sure

to m

arke

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

(2) L

ess

acce

ss to

form

al c

redi

t in

rura

l are

as(3

) “La

nd p

rope

rty ri

ghts

”ref

orm

s la

rgel

y un

succ

essf

ul

(4) E

cono

mic

gro

wth

stil

l neg

ativ

e on

the

cont

inen

t as

a w

hole

(the

refo

rms

can’

t be

*tha

t* s

ucce

ssfu

l)(5

) An

assa

ult o

n na

tiona

l sov

erei

gnty

?

Page 31: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

31

Eas

terly

(200

1) o

n fa

iled

refo

rms

in A

frica

•C

ount

ries

rece

ived

doz

ens

of lo

ans

with

out a

ctua

lly

impl

emen

ting

any

refo

rms

(e.g

., Za

mbi

a, Iv

ory

Coa

st)

--A

frica

n co

untri

es re

ceiv

ed 6

IMF

Stru

ctur

al

Adj

ustm

ent l

oans

on

aver

age

in th

e 19

80s

Page 32: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

32

Map

of A

frica

Page 33: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

33

•C

ount

ries

rece

ived

doz

ens

of lo

ans

with

out a

ctua

lly

impl

emen

ting

any

refo

rms

(e.g

., Za

mbi

a, Iv

ory

Coa

st)

--A

frica

n co

untri

es re

ceiv

ed 6

IMF

Stru

ctur

al

Adj

ustm

ent l

oans

on

aver

age

in th

e 19

80s

•Le

nder

s (li

ke th

e W

orld

Ban

k) h

ave

ince

ntiv

es to

mak

e la

rge

loan

s, b

ut fe

w in

cent

ives

to c

arry

out

ser

ious

ev

alua

tions

of t

heir

prog

ram

s

Eas

terly

(200

1) o

n fa

iled

refo

rms

in A

frica

Page 34: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

34

•C

ount

ries

rece

ived

doz

ens

of lo

ans

with

out a

ctua

lly

impl

emen

ting

any

refo

rms

(e.g

., Za

mbi

a, Iv

ory

Coa

st)

--A

frica

n co

untri

es re

ceiv

ed 6

IMF

Stru

ctur

al

Adj

ustm

ent l

oans

on

aver

age

in th

e 19

80s

•Le

nder

s (li

ke th

e W

orld

Ban

k) h

ave

ince

ntiv

es to

mak

e la

rge

loan

s, b

ut fe

w in

cent

ives

to c

arry

out

ser

ious

ev

alua

tions

of t

heir

prog

ram

s

•Th

ere

is b

asic

ally

no

cros

s-co

untry

em

piric

al e

vide

nce

that

incr

ease

d fo

reig

n ai

d im

prov

es e

cono

mic

pe

rform

ance

in le

ss d

evel

oped

cou

ntrie

s (d

espi

te

clai

ms

by J

eff S

achs

)

Eas

terly

(200

1) o

n fa

iled

refo

rms

in A

frica

Page 35: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

35

•In

fact

fore

ign

aid

may

hav

e ne

gativ

e ef

fect

s on

ec

onom

ic p

olic

y, lo

cal p

oliti

cs, a

nd u

ltim

atel

y gr

owth

in

the

long

-run

:

“Ove

r tim

e, fo

reig

n ai

d al

so c

ontri

bute

s to

wea

k st

ates

. R

athe

r tha

n de

velo

ping

dom

estic

ally

orie

nted

in

stitu

tions

, Afri

ca’s

sta

te o

ffici

als

orie

nt th

eir a

ctio

ns

exte

rnal

ly. …

Wes

tern

aid

is s

omet

imes

thou

ght o

f as

a re

stor

ativ

e re

spon

se to

col

onia

lism

and

the

slav

e tra

de. H

owev

er, A

frica

’s h

igh

leve

ls o

f OD

A [o

vers

eas

deve

lopm

ent a

ssis

tanc

e] h

ad e

ffect

ivel

y ex

tend

ed

colo

nial

pat

tern

s of

gov

erna

nce.

” (pa

ge 3

0)

Leon

ard

and

Stra

uss

(200

3) o

n de

bt a

nd a

id

Page 36: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

36

•Fo

r nex

t tim

e: c

ontin

ue re

adin

gs fr

om w

eeks

12-

13

Page 37: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

37

Whi

tebo

ard

#1

Page 38: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

38

Whi

tebo

ard

#2

Page 39: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

39

Whi

tebo

ard

#3

Page 40: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

40

Whi

tebo

ard

#4

Page 41: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

41

Whi

tebo

ard

#5

Page 42: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

42

Map

of A

frica

Page 43: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture21.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - econ172-07_ppt21.ppt Created Date: 4/16/2007 9:56:05 PM

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

21

43

Map

of A

frica