ed: capitals and investment *some parts of this note are borrowed from references for teaching...
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ED: Capitals and Investment
*Some parts of this note are borrowed from references for teaching purpose only.
ED <Lecture Note 4> 13.3.29
Semester: Spring 2013 Time: Friday 9:00~12:00 am Class Room: No. 322 Professor: Yoo Soo Hong Office Hour: By appointment Mobile: 010-4001-8060 E-mail: [email protected] Home P.: //yoosoohong.weebly.com
Income Level by Region and Country
World Bank Scheme- ranks countries on GNI/capita
2
Factors of Economic Development
Understanding Economic Development
– Overall understanding (‘seeing the forest’): Understanding of main macro indicators such as economic growth – Partial Understanding (‘seeing the trees’): Understanding of main components as a point of the whole
Main Factors for Enhancing Development/Barriers
- Resources (physical/human capital, labor, land, natural resources, etc.)- Technologies (productive technology, know-how, knowledge, etc.)- Institutions (law, regulation, etc.)- Cultures (custom, morality, life style, etc.)- Others (politics, international relations, etc.)
3
Key Factors of Economic Development
4
Institutions(Rules, Laws)
Culture(Value system)
Technology(Production
function)
Resources(Production
factors)
Stages of Economic Development
5
Factor-driven Economy
Investment- driven Economy
Innovation- driven Economy
• Basic factor conditions (low cost labor, natural re-sources, geographic loca-tion) are the dominant sources of competitive advantage
• Technology is assimilated through imports, FDI and imitation
• Companies have limited roles in the value chain, and focus on assembly, labor intensive manufac-turing, and resource ex-traction
• The economy is highly sensitive to world eco-nomic cycles, commodity prices, and exchange rates
• Innovative products and services at the global technology frontier are the dominant sources of competitive advantage
• Characterized by strengths in all areas to-gether with the presence of deep clusters
• Companies compete with unique strategies that are often global in scope
• The economy has a high service share, and is re-silient to external shocks
• Efficiency in producing standard products and services is the dominant source of competitive ad-vantage
• Foreign technology is ac-cessed through licensing, joint ventures, FDI, and imitation
• The nation is not only as-similating foreign tech-nology, but has the capac-ity to improve on it
• Heavy investment is made in efficient infrastructure, modern production process, and ease of do-ing business
Source: Porter, Michael E. Competitive Advantage of Nations, 1990.
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Changes in Production Capacity
Production (Capital, Labor, Technology)
EAP&
HR
Consumption
Investment
Savings
Physical Capital Ac-cumulation
Population Support
EAP=Economically Active Population
R&D
7
Basic Relationship of Capital Accumulation and Growth
ConsumptionPopulationgrowth anddepreciation
Household savings
Tax paymentsPublic investment
Impoverishedhousehold
Economic growth
Capital per person
Public budget
Basic needs
household savings
Populationgrowth anddepreciation
Zero taxpayments
ZeroImpoverishedhousehold
Decline incapital per per-son
Negativeeconomicgrowth
Zero publicinvestmentbudget
Poverty Trap
Household savings
Populationgrowth anddepreciation
Budgetsupport
Humanitarianrelief
Micr
ofina
nce
Publicinvestment
Basic needs
Role of ODA in Breaking the Poverty Trap
Impoverishedhousehold
Economicgrowth
Economicgrowth
Official devel-opment assis-tance
Public budget
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Private and Public Investments in Capital
Tax payments
Public budget
Household income
Business capital
Human capital
Knowledge capital
Infrastructure
Natural capital
Institutional and
Social capital
Human CapitalN
atural C
apital
Social Capita
l
Ph
ysic
al C
apit
al
Financial Capital
Source: DFID Sustainable livelihoods Guidance Sheets
ShelterMachinery
Infra-structure
NetworksMembership
Political Rights
KnowledgeSkillsHealth
LandWater
Livestock
SavingsPensionsInsurance
11
How Inter-relationship of Society’s Assets
12
Source: International Monetary Fund.
Factors Accounting for Economic Growth in Selected Regions
13
Capitals
Three types of capital, or resources, are used to produce goods and ser-vices. – Natural capital includes resources and services produced by the
earth’s natural processes, which support all economies and all life.– Human capital, or human resources, includes people’s physical and
mental talents that provide labor, innovation, culture, and organization.– Physical capital, or manufactured resources, are items such as ma-
chinery, equipment, and factories made from natural resources with the help of human resources.
– Most economic systems use three types of resources to produce goods and services.
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Concept of Capital and Human Capital
Concepts of Capital
o Broad meaning: All sources generating future income flowso Narrow meaning: Physical capital and human capital only
– Accumulation of physical capital, human capital and technology (knowledge) increase in production and income increase in accumulation ……(virtuous circle)
– The ability embodied in individuals as a result of investment in the form of education, training, health, regional movement (migrant),etc. that increases quality of labor.
Capital and Technology Accumulation
Human Capital
Physical Capital
– Economic growth requires and depends, in part, on inputs of capital. The rate of growth implied by a given capital formation proportion depends on the capital/output ratio and the rate of growth of the labor force.
– The process of growth involves saving to create a surplus for capital formation. Saving is not tightly related to incomes per capita.
– Saving can be undertaken by government, and it can be forced upon households and businesses by inflation. All economies have a limited ca-pacity to absorb new investments, but most do not ever test the limits.
– When investment increases continuously, additional (marginal) rates of re-turn to capital tends to fall because better opportunities have been exploited already.
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– Physical capital is a scarce resource, in rich and poor countries alike. It is also an input into the production process. In general, the higher the level of inputs, the higher will be the level of output. The poverty of physi-cal resources obviously characterizes poor countries. Thus conven-tional views would urge higher rates of capital formation to overcome poverty.
– Physical capital takes the form of long-lived goods such as machinery used to produce other goods. Capital goods are themselves the result of the process of capital formation, a process that takes time and that uses re-sources.
– In an efficient economy, higher rates of capital formation (and thus, the higher potential rates of growth of overall output in the future) mean lower production of consumer goods in the present. Thus, there are trade-offs between current consumption and future consumption.
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Capital and Investment
Importance of Capital
Harrod-Domar’s Model
– Interested in investment conditions for achieving sustainable growth with-out inflation and unemployment
The View called ‘capital fundamentalism’
– Claim that capital formation is the key factor for economic growth.
– The issue of economic development is essentially to gain investment re-sources necessary to achieve the target (minimum) rate of economic growth needed for desirable employment and income distribution.
– They assume that high economic growth is expected to automatically reduce unemployment and excessive income inequality.
Adding the concept of human capital
– In principle, human capital is the same as physical capital so that it rein-forces the importance of capital for economic development.
19
Problems of ‘capital fundamentalism’– High investment and capital formation do not necessarily guarantee desir-
able economic growth and income distribution.
– There are many cases of inefficient investments or investments for mainly demonstration purpose that are not appropriate for the reality of developing countries.
– In developed countries (during 1960-1975), 50% of economic growth was resulted from capital investment. In developing countries (newly industrial countries), 25-35%of economic growth was resulted from capital accumu-lation.
– Investment rate of 15-20% should be maintained for sustainable develop-ment for a long period.
Required Investment
Capital-Intensive Investment vs. Labor-Intensive Investment
– In developing countries lacking capital, if more emphasis is given to capital- in-tensive production, economic growth rate may be lowered and/or consumption may be constrained.
Saving: A Fundamental Determinant of Economic Growth
• To have more consumption in the future, people must consume less today and save the difference between consumption and income.
20
Source: World Bank.
Relationship Between Rate of Saving and Per Capita Real GDP
21
22
Relationship between Savings and Investment at the Macro-Economic Level
Savings Financial IntermediariesInvestment ( by firm, gov-ernment, person, etc. )
Domestic private savings
Bank deposit
Stock purchase
Cash holding
Domestic government savings
Foreign savings
FDI
From foreign bank
Domesticbank
Stock market
Person to person
Foreign financial institutions
Domestic borrowing from banks or individuals ( these are debt ) and in-vested in capital or oper-ation
Through domestic stock market, new stocks are issued and invested as equity
Foreign borrowingor equity investment
Savings and Economic Growth
* Hong Kong, Singapore,Taiw an,S.Korea,Indonesia,
Malaysia, Thailand
0,070,04
0,02
0,08
0,27
0,20,18
0,29
0
0,05
0,1
0,15
0,2
0,25
0,3
0,35
High-grow th
countries
Middle-grow th
countries
Low -grow th
countries
* EastAsia
Real GDP grow th (% increase)
Total savings (% GDP)
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, May 1993 (Annual data, 1971-92).
Savings and Growth in 90 Developing Countries
23
Diversity of Economic Outturn across SSA groupings
24
2004-08 2007 2008 2009Real GDP Growth (Percent) (%)
SSA 6.5 7 5.6 2.5Of which
Oil Exporting Countries 8.5 9.2 7 4.8Middle Income Countries 4.9 5.5 3.7 -1.7Low Income Countries 6.3 6.4 6.3 4.7Fragile Countries 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.3
Total Investment (Percent of GDP)SSA 21.1 21.9 22.8 22.8Of which
Oil Exporting Countries 21.4 21.5 22 25.3Middle Income Countries 20.5 21.7 22.9 20.1Low Income Countries 21.5 22.6 23.5 22.9Fragile Countries 13.4 12.9 14.3 13.9
Gross National Savings(Percent of GDP)SSA 21.5 22.6 21.6 21.4Of which
Oil Exporting Countries 32.8 35.8 33.5 31.4Middle Income Countries 16.3 16.1 16.4 16.1Low Income Countries 15.5 15.9 14.5 16.3Fragile Countries 10.1 9.2 7.9 10.9
Real GDP growth has out-stripped population growth since 2004. Because of bet-ter oil prices, real GDP growth has been high in Oil exporting countries
Improved macro policies, low income countries have been growing at higher rates
Gross national savings are low, perhaps constraining to-tal investment
Accumulation Speed of Physical Capital
(Unit: Real Domestic Investment/Real GDP, %)
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Growth Rate,%
Korea 7.0 10.6 21.9 23.3 28.0 28.5 36.9 5.6
Taiwan 14.0 16.8 21.9 25.9 29.1 19.9 23.1 1.7
Singapore 11.0 21.9 38.8 33.9 37.8 37.3 35.0 3.9
Hong Kong 21.7 23.8 16.8 18.5 23.4 17.4 17.7 -0.7
The Philippines 10.9 13.0 13.0 18.1 19.3 11.3 17.7 1.6
Thailand 11.3 15.5 18.3 17.4 17.2 16.8 27.0 2.9
Indonesia 6.2 6.8 11.1 17.2 18.0 26.9 28.2 5.2
Brazil 18.9 19.0 19.8 26.0 22.0 15.6 15.2 -0.7
Chile 20.4 21.5 21.6 20.6 22.0 15.6 15.2 -0.7
Mexico 14.5 16.9 17.7 19.1 21.4 15.3 15.0 0.1
Ghana 11.0 10.7 7.0 6.3 4.0 4.2 5.5 -2.3
Kenya 23.2 13.4 27.6 11.8 17.2 13.8 11.0 -2.5
Note: 1. Measured in 1985 constant dollars. 2. Average Annual Growth Rate for the period, 1960-1990.
Source: Summers and Heston Data Set 5.6.
Roles of Remittances
Count as the 2nd largest source of capital inflow to many developing countries.
Only foreign direct investment account for more sources of external fi-nance.
Remittances exceeds inflows that come from international aid. Receiving countries become more dependent on global economies
rather than sustaining their own local economies. Promotes economic growth in developing countries. World Bank estimates $240 billion in total remittances in 2007, a stag-
gering jump from only $31.2 billion in 1990. Remittances exceed all other imports of private and public
capital in 36 developing countries.
26
Advantages of Remittances
Finance much needed investment in recipient countries to contribute to in-creased productivity.
Believed to reduce poverty. Mainly due to the poor that migrate and send back remittances.
Increase of income in households also increase consumption. Remittances do not have to pay interest. More stable than foreign direct investment or foreign portfolio investments.
These are highly volatile in developing countries. Unskilled workers may return to their home countries with useful skills ac-
quired abroad. Recipients have a higher propensity to own bank accounts.
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Disadvantages
Promotes idleness among the recipients.
May cause appreciation of receiving country’s currency. Thus leading to lower net exports and negative economic growth.
Some emigrants may be educated or highly skilled causing what commonly known as “brain drain”.– Loss of human capital lowers productivity and economic growth.– Home country invested time, effort and money on their education.– Migration of skilled workers worsens the distribution of income between
rich and poor countries.
28
Top Remittances Countries
Developing countries receive the highest amount of remittances.
One-third of remittances to the developing world go to India, China, and Mexico.
Share of remittances in GDPTajikistan 50%Moldova 31%Lebanon 25%
Top recipient countries 2008India $51.5 billionChina $48.5 billionMexico $26.3 billionPhilippines $19.1 billion
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Trends of Remittance Flows
Most of the developing world has been increasing flows of remittances by double digits annually between 1990-2005.
Remittances by region (US$ billions)1990 1995 2000 2005 Annual growth
Eastern Europe and Central Asia 3.2 8.1 13.4 30.8 15.1%East Asia and Pacific Region 3.3 9.7 16.7 43.9 17.3%South Asia 5.6 10 17.2 34.9 12.2%Latin America and Caribbean 5.8 13.4 20.1 47.6 14.0%Middle East and North Africa 11.4 13.6 13.2 23.5 4.8%Sub-Saharan Africa 1.9 3.2 4.6 7.4 9.1%
30Source: World Bank
Remittances by Area
31
Labor and Human Capital
– While physical capital may be the scarcest input to development, labor is usually plentiful. Usually low-income countries are characterized by capi-tal-poor and labor-rich.
– Productivity of workers is dependent on their native ability, the amount of raw labor they bring to the marketplace, and the returns to their stock of human capital.
– Investments in human capital include formal schooling, on-the-job training, health care, and nutrition, among others. (=> human devel-opment)
– Intensity of effort also affects output and is influenced by labor supply. Backward-bending supply curves for labor seem less accurately descriptive of current low-income countries.
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– Managing the process of human capital formation is a challenge to policy-makers. Educational requirements depend in an indirect but quantifiable way on future output and its prospective composition.
– Poor countries have lost some trained workers through emigration. The re-sults of the so-called brain drain are amenable to economic analysis.
– Unions affect the development process through both the economic and noneconomic roles they play. Their organizational capabilities seem more limited in poor countries than rich countries.
– The use of political instruments to gain their ends is more pronounced. Early hopes that unions might act on behalf of the society as a whole have proved unrealistic.
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Population Changes
o The relationship between population growth rate and economic growth rate
– The inter-relationship between the two variables is important, but the casual relationship is complicated.
– The size and growth rate of population affect economic growth rate and economic development, and vice versa.
o The relationship between population and income
– Population and income distribution (Y/P): moving in the opposite di-rection
– However, population size is positively related to production scale, market size and defense power.
– Higher population density may lower productivity. In contrast, it may encourage technological innovation.
The Importance of Population Issue
35
Population and Per Capita Income
Slope indicates per capita income (Y/P)
Output
Population
YA
CB
P
36
o Population and resource depletion
Resource depletion = Population size X Per capita income X Intensity
• Pessimistic view:– The report by the Club of Rom, The Limits to Growth warned a gloomy fu-
ture of mankind.
• Optimistic view of neo-classical economists:– Supply of resource is determined by resource market price mechanism.
(E.g. Recent oil price fluctuations)
• Dissemination of technology positively affects resource utilization.
Population Growth Rate
o Population growth rate = Birth rate - Death rate Migration rate
37
Distribution and Growth Rate of Population by Region in the World
Distribution (%) Growth (%)
1950 1990 1980-91
China 22.1 21.5 1.5
India 14.2 16.1 2.1
Asia-other 18.9 26.8 -
Africa 8.8 12.1 3.1
Europe 22.8 14.8 0.9
Latin America 6.6 8.5 2.0
North America 6.6 5.2 1.0
World Population 2.5 billion 5.3 billion 1.7%
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Demographic Transition
o Shortening Demographic Transition Period
– Compared to demographic transition in developed countries in the past, the transition process in developing countries is more radical and fast due to fast decrease in both birth rate and death rate so that the transition process tends to be shortened.
o Increase in Young Population vs. Old Population
– The increase in young population results in increasing dependency rate which in turn requires job creating and human capital investment. Relative increase in old age group also increases dependency rate and results in negative effects on economic growth.
o Determinants of Birth rate
– Malthusian hypothesis: Population growth rate is constrained by food produc-tion. Population growth is geometric whereas food production growth is arith-metic so that income increase (and economic growth) above the subsistence level is impossible in the long run, since population will increase faster if food (income) per capita increases due to some reason.
39
• Modern Theory of Birth Rate : Birth rate is affected by many factors.
• Economics of human behavior: Are children investment goods of parents?!
• Decision and preference of women are most important: culture, income level, education level, opportunity costs, etc.
40
Demographic Transition Process
Time
Demographic transition
%
Birth rate
Death rate
Population
growth rate
Demographic Transition and Population
41
Estimated Human Population Growth
42
Five Features of World Migration
Major world migration is from less to more developed regions of the world.
New demands for immigrants in highly developed countries are increas-ing due to demographic transitions.
Globalization creates contradictory labour demands and displacements, creating mobility opportunities for some and uprooting others.
Economic globalization creates contradictory tendencies in international migration.
World migration has added racial and cultural diversity to historically ho-mogeneous populations.
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44Source: United Nations, International Migration, 2009
Africa Asia Europe L. America & Caribbean
N. America Oceania-1500000
-1000000
-500000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
Average Annual Net Migration By Region, 2005-2010
Average annual net migration
Human Capital Definitions
Human capital is the accumulation of skill and knowledge imbedded in labor performance in order to produce economic value.
“the acquired and useful abilities of all the inhabitants or members of the so-ciety. The acquisition of such talents, by the maintenance of the acquirer during his education, study, or apprenticeship, always costs a real expense, which is a capital fixed and realized, as it were, in his person.” - Adam Smith, The wealth of the nations (Short title of the book)
Human capital refers to the collection of innate and acquired individual abilities that are substantially durable, persisting over some signific-ant portion of the life of the possessor
45
Economic growth closely depends on the relation between new knowl-edge and human capital, which is why large increases in education and training have accompanied major advances in technological knowl-edge in all countries that have achieved significant economic growth.
Quantitatively, the early studies compared school enrollment ratios or lit-eracy rates. The problem with that, is there is no adequate measure of aggregate stock of human capital available as an input of production.
Technological progress is invaluable when there are only few skilled workers that know how to benefit from it.
Role of HC and Measurement
46
Social capabilities(“know-how”, “know-who”):
e.g., diligence, loyalty,cooperativeness, trust, etc.
Flexibility:Multi-task performance,
re-trainability.
Problem-solving,leadership,
managing complex tasks.
Psycho-motorbased skills
("know-how", "can-do").
HumanCapital
LongevityHealth
Physiologicalcondition:
e.g. Strength, eyesight etc.
Proceduralcapabilities
Cognitivecapabilities
("know-why"'know-what")
Tangible Intangible
Creativeness, innovativeness
Component of HC
47
The Human Capital Model
18 22
Age
Ann
ual e
arni
ngs
H
H
C
C
65
(3)Incremental earnings
(2)Opportunity
cost
(1)Directcost
Age-Earnings Profiles with and without college education48
Age-earnings Profiles by Level of Education (Venezuela, 1989)
49
Comparison Of Human Capital And Physical Capital
Differences– There are major differences in terms of the returns obtained from
the investment in human capital and physical capital. The investment in physical capital has only monetary and market returns whereas invest-ment in human capital has non-monetary as well as non-market returns.
– The returns to human and physical capital tend to behave differently. When individual invest in physical capital, they are return-takers i.e. the owners accepts the return dictated by the market and cannot influence them. Since there are no market for the stock of human capital, in-vestors in human capital become return-maker, as the amount, the quality and the maintenance of their human capital will dictate what the market will be willing to offer for their services.
50
Similarities
- Investment are made in both human capital and physical capital. When a person (or person’ s parents or society at large) makes a current ex-penditure on education and training, it is anticipated that the individual's knowledge and skills and therefore future earnings will be enhanced. The important point is that expenditures on education and training can be fruitfully treated as investment in human capital just as expenditure on capital equipments can be understood as investment in physical capital.
51
52
School Attendance Rate (2000) (%) Illiteracy Rate of Age 15-25 (2001)
Elementary Education
Secondary Education
Higher Ed-ucation
Male Female
ChinaJapanKorea
Chinese TaipeiSingaporeHong KongIndonesiaPhilippineThailandMalaysiaVietnam
106101101100
--
1101139499
106
631029499--
5777827067
7487877--
1531352810
1-0-0121125
3-0-0031224
United States 101 95 73 - -
World 102 67 22 - -
Education Level
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2001, 2002, 2003
53
Tertiary Enrollment Rate by Country (1998)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
China Hong Kong(a) Indonesia Japan Korea(b) Malaysia Philippines Singapore(a)Thailand USA
%
Notes: a. 1997 b. 2001
Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators. Various years; Hong Kong, China. Education and
Manpower Bureau.
Primary School Enrollment and Pupil-Teacher Ratios, 2010
54
Human Development Index for 24 Selected Countries (2007 Data)
55
Under-5 Mortality Rates, 1990 and 2005
56
Wealth of Nations
• Produced assets: human-made things
• Human resources– Human capital: physical, psychological, and cultural attributes of a popu-
lation– Social capital: the social and political environment people create for
themselves in society– Knowledge assets: the codified or written fund of knowledge that can be
transferred to others
• Natural capital: goods and services supplied by natural ecosystems– Renewable– Nonrenewable – Subject to depletion
57
Land and Other Natural Resources
– A long tradition in economics treats land differently from other physical as-sets and from labor. Land and subsoil natural resources have usually been considered nonreproducible.
– Natural resources similarly have limited reproducibility. The possibilities of substitution between raw materials exist.
– Land and subsoil minerals are usually immobile. They cannot be trans-ported from place to place as cheaply as other assets and labor. This char-acteristic is central to the consideration of their economic properties in poor countries.
– Land is relatively unimportant for a developed country that has abundant capital to alter the character and capacity of its existing resources, and hu-man drive and creativeness to substitute for the natural constraints.
58
Problem of Resources
Exporting large quantities of primary products
- Making the country vulnerable to changes in prices
- Low YED / low incomes
- Deteriorating terms of trade
- Forcing up the exchange rate and negatively impact on the competitiveness
of other (manufacturing) sectors to emerge (the Dutch disease)
- Political corruption and instability is often associated with the natural
resource curse
59
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Natural capital as share of total wealth
Gro
wth
of
pe
r ca
pit
a G
DP,
ad
just
ed
fo
r in
itia
l in
com
e (
% p
er
ye
ar)
-0.67
60
Natural Capital and Economic Growth
Natural capital share and growth are inversely related. The most striking aspect is not the average performance of resource rich countries but the huge variation.
Relationship between Resource Exports and Growth
61
… while many strategic resources are located in poor coun-tries with severe limitations to their governance capacities
Antimony
BaryteBauxite
Chromium
Cobalt
Diamond
Fe (ore)
Fluorite
GoldManganese
Molybdenum
Phosphate
Platinoids
Rare earth
SilverTin Tungsten
Vanadium
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Localization of the Reserves of Main Mineral Commodities
(per gross national income per capita) Low-income country (2006 GNI < 2.5 $/day per capita) Upper middle income country (2006 GNI < 30.5 $/day per capita)
Lower middle income country (2006 GNI < 10 $/day per capita) High-income country (2006 GNI > 30.5 $/day per capita)
Source: Christmann, 2009Data Sources: USGS and World Bank
Source: Google
Location of Production for Nine Important Minerals
63
World Supply and Demand
Source: Google64
Mineral Resources
Source: Google65
Regional Primary Energy Consumption Patterns
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 201066
Primary Energy Consumption Per Capita
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 201067
Primary Commodity Dependence
Developing countries’ exports dependency on commodities is an issue that has for decades and constrains economic development of such countries.
More than half (78) of all developing countries rely on four commodi-ties for 50 per cent of their earnings; 31 per cent rely on four commodi-ties for more than 75 per cent of their export earnings.
The boom of commodity prices seems to have increased dependency, since commodity export represent a higher value of total export of develop-ing countries due to higher prices.
The current commodity boom should provide new possibility to countries to come out of dependency.
Dependency is not only factor contributing to the vulnerability of countries – the capacity to sustain shocks ( called resilience ) also plays an important role. Although resilience and dependency go together, the more dependent a country is, the less resilient it is and thus the more vulnerable it is.
68
Primary Commodity Dependence
Source: UNCTAD, Development and Globalization
69
Sustaining Natural Capital
Natural capital contributes enormously to human development and welfare. The term natural capital encompasses the sink functions, that is, air and water as receiving media for human-generated pollution and source functions, that is, production based on forests, fisheries, and mineral ores.
Protecting sink functions is essential for human health. Protecting the productive or source functions is critical to the economic security of many who depend on these re-sources for their livelihoods.
High-quality natural capital contributes to welfare indirectly as an essential part of the sustained production of economic goods and services. It also contributes to welfare di-rectly as people derive enjoyment from pristine surroundings, old growth forests, and clean lakes and rivers in which to swim and fish.
70
If we truly care about the future of our planet, we must stop leaving it to “them” out there to solve all the problems. It is up to us to save the world for tomorrow; it’s up to you and me.
-Jane Goodall, Reason for Hope
Human, Physical and Natural Capital and the Economic System
71
HumanKnowledge
Economic Process
HumanWelfare
ProductionBuiltEnvironment
Aesthetics,Life Support
KP KN KH
Source: Barbier (2002)
Sustainable Economic Development
72
SustainableDevelopment
Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs
Welfare does not decline over time
Requires managing and enhancing a portfolio of eco-nomic assets
Total Capital Stock
NaturalCapital
KN
Physical Capital
KP
HumanCapital
KH
Substitutes for KN
Keep essential KN “in-tact” because of:
• Imperfect substitu-
tion
• Irreversible losses
• Uncertainty over
value
“Weak”Sustainabil-ity
All KN is non-essential
“Strong”Sustainability
Some KN is Es-sential
Source: Barbier (2002)
73
Definition of Social Capital
Social capital consists of the networks, norms, relationships, values and in-formal sanctions that shape the quantity and co-operative quality of a soci-ety’s social interactions.
Social capital represents the degree of social cohesion which exists in communities. It refers to the processes between people which establish networks, norms and social trust, and facilitate co-ordination and co-opera-tion for mutual benefit.– World Health Organization. Health Promotion Glossary.1998.
Social capital is created from the myriad of everyday interactions between people, and is embodied in such structures as civic and religious groups, family membership, informal community networks, and in norms of voluntar-ism, humanity and trust. The stronger these networks and bonds, the more likely it is that members of a community will co-operate for mutual bene-fit.
Social Capital Defined
Definition of Social Capital - “Connections among people add value to a society in much the same
way that financial capital does. Social capital refers to the collective value of all social networks - or who people know.” (Robert Putnam, Bowling Alone)
Social Capital and Economic Growth
- Social capital generates positive externalities for members of a group, but
not necessarily a country.
- The externalities arise from shared norms and values and their
implications for expectations and behavior.
- These values and norms arise from informal forms of organizations
based on networks and organizations.
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A narrow measurement:Social capital concentrates on the degree of horizontal con-tact between individual in a community.(Putnam, 1993)
Broader Measurement:Social capital includes vertical (power distribution) as well as horizontal associations among members in community.(Coleman, 1988,1990)
Torsvik apply a narrow definition of social capital. He developed micro-foundations for the link be-tween social capital and economic performance.The microfoundations consist of clearly specified mechanisms that can explain why social capital fa-cilitates production.
Measurements in Social Capital
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Difference between HC and SC
Human Capital Social Capital
Focus Individual Agent Relationships
MeasuresDuration of Schooling,
Qualifications
AttitudesMembership, Participation,
Trust Level
OutcomesDirect: Income, Productivity
Indirect: Health, Civic Activity
Social CohesionEconomic Achievement
More Social Capital
Model Linear Network
Rise and Fall of Social Capital
• Robert Putnam has shown most indicators of social capital fol-lowed an inverted U path in the United States during the twenti-eth century.
• During the first two thirds of the century “Americans took a more and more active role in the social and political life of their com-munities”, and they behaved in an increasingly trustworthy way toward one another.
• Then, beginning in the 1960s and 1970s and accelerating in the 1980s and 1990s, an erosion of the stock of American social capital started.
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Nature and Role of Economic Institutions
• Institutions provide “rules of the game” of economic life
• Provide underpinning of a market economy
• Include property rights; contract enforcement
• Can work for improving coordination
• Restricting coercive, fraudulent and anti-competitive behavior
• Providing access to opportunities for the broad population
• Constraining the power of elites, and managing conflict
• Provision of social insurance 78
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References
Christmann, Patrice, “Why EUROPE Needs a Mineral Resources”, Natu-ral Resources Reporting Workshop Institute of Geologists of Ireland, Du-blin, May 14th, 2009.
Gylfason, Thorvaldur, “Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth: Some Lessons from Norway and Iceland”, (Google, PPT)
Thomas, Vinod., et al. The Quality of Growth. the World Bank and Oxford University Press. 2000.
UN, Trend of Sustainable Development, 2006.
UNCTAD, Development and Globalization, Facts and Figures, 2008.