Education in Michigan:Present & Future Direction

Sharif Shakrani

Professor of Measurement & Quantitative Methods, and

Co-Director of The Education Policy Center at MSU

Education Policy Fellowship Program

January 12, 2009

High Schools Accountability ModelsExpand NCLB accountability provisions to grades 9, 10 and 11; Accountability for graduation rates.

Democrats, Republicans and Business Leaders agree that:

“The biggest education issue confronting the United States over the next 10 years is the goal of getting all high school graduates ready for college and the changing workplace.”

U.S. Department of Education Proposals for Reauthorization of NCLB (2008 modified sections)

a. Improve Graduation Ratesb. Ensure That Students Graduate Ready to Succeedc. Promote Rigor in High School Courseworkd. Increase Funding for High Schools That Serve

Low-Income Studentse. Provide Additional Staffing Freedom at the Most

Troubled Schoolsf. Augment Charter School Optionsg. Enhanced Supplemental Educational Services

(SES)h. Provide Equitable Services to Private School

Students and Teachers

Title I, Part A – Disadvantaged Children Meet High Academic Standards:

Graduation Promise Fund

• Establishes, identifies and provides services to middle school students who are most at risk of dropping out

• Provides counseling services to students at risk of dropping out

Title I, Part A – Disadvantaged Children Meet High Academic Standards:

College and Work-Ready Standards and Assessments

• Provides incentives to states to review, revise standards aligned with skills and knowledge necessary for success in college and the workforce

• States would align assessments to standards, ensure that they measure problem-solving and application of knowledge, and meet high technical quality standards

High School Averaged Freshman Graduation

Rates*YEAR

’01-02 ’03-04 ’04-05 ’05-06

Michigan 72.9 74.0 74.2 76.6

Ohio 77.5 79.0 78.8 79.2

Illinois 77.1 75.9 75.8 76.4

Indiana 73.1 75.5 75.4 75.5

U.S.A. 72.6 73.9 74.1 74.4* The rate is the number of graduates divided by the count of freshman 4 years earlier. The averaged freshman enrollment count is the sum of the number of 8th graders 5 years earlier, 9th graders 4 years earlier, and the number of 10th graders 3 years earlier divided by three.

SOURCE: The Condition of Education 2006, U.S. Department of Education, NCES 2006-071, pp. 170-171.

Graduation Rates for the Metro Detroit Area, Michigan, and the Nation, 2005-2006

Metro Detroit Area* Michigan Nation

All Students 72% 77% 74%

Male 69 74 72

Female 73 79 76

White 84 83 84

Black 45 52 54

Hispanic ** 58 55

Male Breakdown:

White 79 80 81

Black 38 44 46

Hispanic ** 52 48

Female Breakdown:

White 87 86 86

Black 48 59 58

Hispanic ** 63 59

Population Configuration for Michigan & Nation (in Percent)

White 73.8 59.3

Black 18.9 17.0

Hispanic 3.8 18.1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (2006) The Center for Education Performance and Information (CEPI), Michigan State Government (2007)

*Metro Detroit Area: Oakland, Wayne, & Macomb counties

**Insufficient number to make a valid estimate.

Sharif ShakraniMSU, 2007-8

Key

• Proficiency %: Percentage of students who met or exceeded the proficiency standard

• Eco Dis: Economically Disadvantaged

• SD: Students with Disabilities

• ELL: English Language Learners

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas5th Grade English Language Arts (Reading and Writing) MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 75 25 100 78 22 100 78 22

Male 51 71 29 51 74 26 51 75 25

Female 49 79 21 49 82 18 49 81 19

White 71 81 19 71 83 17 71 84 16

Black 20 56 44 19 61 39 19 58 42

Hispanic 5 63 37 5 65 35 5 63 37

Asian 2 86 14 3 88 12 3 86 14

Eco Dis: No 63 83 17 61 86 14 59 86 14

Yes 37 61 39 39 65 35 41 65 35

SD: No 89 79 21 89 82 18 88 83 17

Yes 11 40 60 11 42 58 12 42 58

ELL: No 96 76 24 97 79 21 97 79 21

Yes 4 56 44 3 54 46 3 44 56

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 5th Grade Mathematics MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 73 27 100 76 24 100 74 26

Male 51 74 26 51 77 77 51 75 25

Female 49 73 27 49 75 75 49 73 27

White 71 81 19 71 83 17 71 81 19

Black 20 48 52 19 52 48 19 51 49

Hispanic 5 61 39 5 64 36 5 62 38

Asian 2 88 12 3 90 10 3 90 10

Eco Dis: No 63 82 18 61 85 15 59 84 16

Yes 37 59 41 39 62 38 41 60 40

SD: No 89 77 23 89 80 20 88 78 22

Yes 11 46 54 11 46 54 12 44 56

ELL: No 96 74 26 97 77 23 97 75 25

Yes 4 60 40 3 57 43 3 54 46

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 5th Grade Science MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 77 23 100 83 17 100 82 18

Male 51 78 22 51 83 17 51 82 18

Female 49 76 24 49 83 17 49 82 18

White 71 85 15 71 89 11 71 89 11

Black 20 50 50 19 61 39 19 59 41

Hispanic 5 62 38 5 71 29 5 69 31

Asian 2 85 15 3 90 10 3 89 11

Eco Dis: No 63 82 18 61 90 10 59 90 10

Yes 37 59 41 39 71 29 41 70 30

SD: No 89 79 21 89 85 15 88 84 16

Yes 11 60 40 11 67 33 12 62 38

ELL: No 96 74 26 97 84 16 97 83 17

Yes 4 60 40 3 60 40 3 53 47

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 8th Grade English Language Arts (Reading and Writing) MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 69 31 100 71 29 100 75 25

Male 51 63 37 51 65 35 51 69 31

Female 49 76 24 49 78 22 49 81 19

White 72 76 24 72 78 22 72 82 18

Black 20 49 51 20 50 50 20 55 45

Hispanic 4 54 46 4 58 42 4 63 37

Asian 2 83 17 2 84 16 2 86 14

Eco Dis: No 67 77 23 64 80 20 63 83 17

Yes 33 54 46 36 56 44 37 62 38

SD: No 90 74 26 89 77 23 89 81 19

Yes 10 26 74 11 27 73 11 34 66

ELL: No 97 70 30 97 72 28 97 76 24

Yes 3 44 56 3 40 60 3 44 56

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 8th Grade Mathematics MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 63 37 100 68 32 100 72 28

Male 51 63 37 51 68 32 51 71 29

Female 49 63 37 49 68 32 49 72 28

White 72 72 28 72 76 24 72 79 21

Black 20 34 66 20 42 58 20 45 55

Hispanic 4 47 53 4 54 46 4 59 41

Asian 2 82 18 2 85 15 2 89 11

Eco Dis: No 67 72 28 64 78 22 63 81 19

Yes 33 45 55 36 51 49 37 56 44

SD: No 90 68 32 89 73 27 89 77 23

Yes 10 24 76 11 30 70 11 32 68

ELL: No 97 64 36 97 69 31 97 72 28

Yes 3 41 59 3 46 54 3 51 49

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 8th Grade Science MEAP Results

School Year 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 77 23 100 75 25 100 79 21

Male 51 77 23 51 74 26 51 79 21

Female 49 77 23 49 75 25 49 80 20

White 72 85 15 72 84 16 72 87 13

Black 20 51 49 20 48 52 20 54 46

Hispanic 4 60 40 4 60 40 4 67 33

Asian 2 85 15 2 83 17 2 88 12

Eco Dis: No 67 84 16 64 84 16 63 87 13

Yes 33 62 38 36 58 42 37 65 35

SD: No 90 81 19 89 79 21 89 83 17

Yes 10 45 55 11 41 59 11 48 52

ELL: No 97 78 22 97 76 24 97 80 20

Yes 3 48 52 3 43 57 3 49 51

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

NAEP 2005 – 2007Free & Reduce-Price

School Lunch ProgramMathematics – Grade 8

Advanced Proficient Basic Below Basic

EligibleNot

EligibleEligible

Not Eligible

EligibleNot

EligibleEligible

Not Eligible

05 07 05 07 05 07 05 07 05 07 05 07 05 07 05 07

Michigan 1 1 7 8 12 13 28 28 34 33 40 40 53 53 24 24

Illinois 1 2 8 10 9 11 32 32 36 38 42 41 54 49 19 17

Indiana 1 3 7 10 15 17 31 33 42 41 44 41 41 39 17 16

Ohio 1 1 8 9 14 15 31 35 40 44 43 40 45 40 18 16

Nation 1 2 8 10 12 13 30 32 38 40 41 39 49 45 21 19

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 11th Grade English Language Arts (Reading and Writing) MME Results

School Year 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 51 49 100 52 48

Male 49 47 53 49 48 52

Female 51 55 45 51 57 43

White 79 57 43 77 59 41

Black 15 22 78 16 23 77

Hispanic 3 32 68 3 30 70

Asian 2 62 38 2 63 37

Eco Dis: No 76 58 42 73 60 40

Yes 24 29 71 27 31 69

SD: No 92 54 46 91 56 44

Yes 8 11 89 9 11 89

ELL: No 98 52 48 98 53 47

Yes 2 10 90 2 12 88

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 11th Grade Mathematics MME Results

School Year 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 46 54 100 46 54

Male 49 49 51 49 49 51

Female 51 44 56 51 43 57

White 79 53 47 77 53 47

Black 15 14 86 16 13 87

Hispanic 3 27 73 3 28 72

Asian 2 66 34 2 67 33

Eco Dis: No 76 54 46 73 54 46

Yes 24 24 76 27 25 25

SD: No 92 50 50 91 50 50

Yes 8 9 91 9 8 92

ELL: No 98 47 53 98 47 53

Yes 2 15 85 2 18 82

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

Achievement of Michigan Students on Core Subject Areas 11th Grade Science MME Results

School Year 2006-07 2007-08

    Proficiency %   Proficiency %

  % 100 Yes No % 100 Yes No

Total 100 56 44 100 57 43

Male 49 57 43 49 58 42

Female 51 55 45 51 55 45

White 79 63 37 77 64 36

Black 15 22 78 16 22 78

Hispanic 3 36 64 3 35 65

Asian 2 67 33 2 67 33

Eco Dis: No 76 63 37 73 64 36

Yes 24 34 66 27 36 64

SD: No 92 60 40 91 61 39

Yes 8 15 85 9 17 83

ELL: No 98 57 43 98 57 43

Yes 2 15 85 2 15 85

Sharif Shakrani, MSU

1. Improve the English language skills (reading and writing) of students in the fourth grade.

“Children learn how to read by the fourth grade and read to learn beyond that level.” The Baltimore Sun, 2001

2. Improve the mathematical skills of middle school students

“Presently, fewer than two in ten eighth graders are on target to be ready for college-level work by the time they graduate from high school.” ACT, The Forgotten Middle, 2008

3. Improve the mathematics and science course-taking pattern at the high school level for all students.

“The biggest education issue confronting the United States over the next 10 years is the goal of getting all high school graduates ready for college and the changing workplace.” U.S. Congressional Report on Education, 2007

Key Priorities in Educational Achievement in Michigan