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SPEC BarometerPress Release: Education Issues

Prepared by: Ipsos

Release date: 5th May 2015

Stalled Laptop Project Ranking of schools Teachers’ Pay Debate

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Contents

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Methodology

Methodology

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Dates of polling 28th March - 7th April 2015

Sample Size 1,964

Sampling methodology Random, Multi-stage stratified using PPS (proportionate to population size)

Universe

Data collection methodology

Sampling error

Face-to-Face interviews at the household level

Poll funding Ipsos Limited

Kenyan adults, aged 18 and above living in Urban and Rural areas

+/-2.2% with a 95% confidence level(Note: Higher error-margins for sub-samples)

Sample Structure Statistics

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RegionSample Frame statistics

(April 2015)*Weighted data

% Population Census as at 2009

Adults (18 years +)%

Central 257 13 2,548,038 13

Coast 173 9 1,711,549 9

Eastern 293 15 2,907,293 15

Nairobi 206 10 2,042,770 10

North Eastern94* 5 929,158 5

Nyanza 257 13 2,547,980 13

Rift Valley484 25 4,795,482 25

Western 200 10 1,980,090 10

TOTAL 1,964 100 19,462,360 100

Quality Control Measures

For at least 20% of the interviews, a supervisor is present throughout

Field managers visit at least 15% of the respondents in the sample at their households to confirm the interviews (i.e. back-checking).

After the interview data are electronically transmitted to the Ipsos Server: an independent team then makes random phone calls to 40% of the respondents to confirm that the interviews were conducted with the said respondents (i.e., telephonic back-checks).

Mobile Data Collection Platform captures GPS location (latitudes and longitudes) of interviews conducted to verify the locations of the interviewers in the field alongside allowing silent recording.

Logical data checks are made on selected questionnaire entries to ensure conformity to the sample’s statistical parameters.

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Ipsos employs quality control measures to ensure the highest possible integrity of obtained results/data

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Respondents’ Demographic Profile:

Catholic

Catholic Charismatic

Mainstream Protestant (ACK, Methodist, Presbyterian, AIC)

SDA

Evangelical

Other Christian

Muslim

Refused To Answer/None

No religion

Public Sector wages/salary

Private sector wages /salary

Gains from self employment/ Business owner/trader

Agriculture (own/household farm)

Livestock

Given money by others

Pension from previous employment

Other

Don’t Know

Refused To Answer

28%

2%

30%

8%

11%

9%

10%

1%

1%

9%

22%

28%

23%

4%

4%

2%

5%

1%

2%

Demographic Profile

Nairobi

Coast

Nyanza

Rift Valley

North Eastern

Eastern

Central

Western

Female

Male

18 - 24

25 - 34

35 - 44

45+

Urban

Rural

Kenyans

10%

9%

13%

25%

5%

15%

13%

10%

51%

49%

28%

29%

18%

25%

37%

63%

100%

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Region

Gender

Age

Setting

Religion

Nationality

Source of Household Income

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

Demographic Profile

No formal education

Some primary education

Primary education completed

Some secondary education

Secondary education completed

Some middle level college (not university)

Completed mid-level college (Not University)

Some University education

University education completed

Post Graduate (Masters, MBA, PhD)

Less than 10,000

10,001 – 25,000

25,001 – 40,000

40,001 – 55,000

55,001 – 75,000

75,001 – 100,000

100,001 and above

Has No income

RTA/DK

4%

14%

19%

14%

26%

8%

7%

3%

3%

1%

42%

33%

11%

4%

1%

1%

0%

2%

7%

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Level of Education

Monthly Household Income (ALL members of the Household)

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

Demographic Profile

Self-Employed

Unemployed

Employed in the private sector

Peasant/herder (own farm/pasture)

Casual labour

Employed in the public sector

Student

Retired

Other

41%

18%

11%

10%

7%

5%

5%

2%

1%

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Employment Status

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

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Laptops

“If primary schools were made to choose between having a computer laptop center or laboratory for all students, or having laptop computers for Standard One students only, which would you prefer?….?”

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Base: All Respondents (n=2,059)

Laptops for individual

Standard 1 students

only; 14%

Laptop laboratory for all students; 80%

Not Sure; 5%RTA; 1%

May, 2014

“Regarding the Government’s primary school laptop project, which do you prefer: that each child is given a laptop, or that each school have a laptop laboratory for all pupils?” (By Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)

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Laptops for Each Standard 1 Pupil

Laptop Laboratory in Every Primary School

Not Sure0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

15%

78%

6%

12%

79%

8%

17%

79%

4%

Total (n=1,964) CORD Supporters (n=624) Jubilee Supporters (n=871)

“What is the main reason you think the Jubilee Government has not implemented the primary school laptop project up to now?”: (By Total)

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Insufficient Funds; 30%

Procurement Cor-ruption; 27%

Dishonest/No Sin-cere Intention; 19%

Lack of Proper Planning; 2%

Other (10 Men-tions); 8%

DK; 14%

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

“

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“What is the main reason you think the Jubilee Government has not implemented the primary school laptop project up to now?”: by Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions

Main ReasonTotal

(n=1,964)Jubilee Supporters

(n=871)CORD Supporters

(n=624)%

Difference

Insufficient Funds 30% 37% 24% -13%

Procurement Corruption 27% 28% 28% 0%

Dishonest/No Sincere Intention 19% 14% 26% +12%

Lack of Proper Planning 2% 1% 2% +1%

Other 8% 7% 8% +1%

DK 14% 12% 12% 0%

“Whatever your preference about the laptop plan, do you think it will be implemented before the next election in 2017?”(By Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)

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Total (n=1,964) CORD Supporters (n=624) Jubilee Supporters (n=871)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

19%

9%

27%

56%

66%

51%

25% 25%21%

YES NO Not Sure

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Teachers’ Pay Debate

“The Government says there is not enough money to increase teachers’ pay. What are two ways you can think of that such additional funds could be found?” (By Total)

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Enough Money Exists Already

Not Possible

DK

Other (10 Mentions)

Divert Laptop Money

Seek Donor Funding

Recover/Sell Corruptly Acquired Assets

Reduce Number of Civil Servants

Increase VAT

Reduce Salaries/Benefits of Elected Officials

Reduce Corruption

Reduce Number of Elected Officials

0% 20% 40%

2%

7%

22%

4%

2%

2%

5%

8%

13%

23%

23%

25%

“The Government says there is not enough money to increase teachers’ pay. What are two ways you can think of that such additional funds could be found?” (By Total, Supporters of Main Political Parties/Coalitions)

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MeasureTotal

(n=1,964)Jubilee Supporters

(n=871)CORD Supporters

(n=624)%

Difference

Reduce Number of Elected Officials 25% 25% 29% +4%

Reduce Salaries/Benefits of Elected Officials 23% 25% 21% -4%

Reduce Corruption 23% 23% 24% +1%

Increase VAT 13% 13% 15% +2%

Reduce Number of Civil Servants 8% 7% 9% +2%

Recover/Sell Corruptly Acquired Assets 5% 4% 5% +1%

DK 21% 21% 16% -5%

Cannot Be Done 7% 8% 5% -3%

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School Ranking Debate

“Do you support the ranking of public private primary and secondary schools?” (By Total, Those With/Without a Child in Public/Private/Both/Neither Type of Schools)

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0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

71%74%

66%

79%

69%70% 72%

64%

80%

69%

Primary Schools Secondary Schools

% Saying “YES”

For further information contact: Dr Tom WolfSocial Political Consultanttpwolf1944@gmail.com

Victor RatengProject Manager - Opinion Polls victor.rateng@ipsos.com

Follow us on twitter: @IpsosKe

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