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1 1 Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September 2005 Andreas Schleicher Head, Indicators and Analysis Division OECD Directorate for Education

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Page 1: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

1111

Educational standards and economic and social

development

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

Lisbon CouncilBrussels, 14 September 2005

Andreas SchleicherHead, Indicators and Analysis Division

OECD Directorate for Education

Page 2: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

2222

Making Europe the world‘s premier knowledge economy by 2010.

Using education as a lever to compete by working smarter, rather than

working harder or cheaper.

Page 3: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

3333

Flexibility

Knowledge

Innovation

Connectiveness

Where are the drivers of the knowledge economy in education?

Page 4: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

4444

Delivering high level qualifications.

A world of change.

Page 5: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

5555

0

10

20

30

40

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Den

mar

k

Nor

way

Can

ada

Net

herl

ands

Swed

en

Swit

zerl

and

Hun

gary

Aus

tral

ia

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Fin

land

Icel

and

Jap

an

Ger

man

y

Pola

nd

Fra

nce

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

New

Zea

land

Irel

and

Spa

in

Kor

ea

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Bel

gium

Gre

ece

Tur

key

Mex

ico

Ital

y

Aus

tria

Luxe

mbou

rg

Port

ugal

1960's 1970's 1980's 1990's

Growth in university-level qualificationsApproximated by the percentage of persons with ISCED 5A/6 qualfication in the

age groups 55-64, 45-55, 45-44 und 25-34 years (2003)

14

23

3

21

9

10

A1.3a

1

2

15

16

Page 6: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

6666

Australia, 8.9

United Kingdom; 12.1 Germany, 11.4

J apan, 4.1

Russ. Federation, 3.2

Sweden, 1.2

Malaysia, 1.3New Zealand; 1.2

Austria; 1.5

Netherlands; 1

Other OECDOther non-OECD

Switzerland, 1.6I taly; 1.7

Belgium, 2

Spain; 2.5

France; 10.5

United States, 27.7

Borderless education:Where international students go

Percentage of foreign tertiary students reported to the OECD who are enrolled in each country of destination

According to the Shanghai rating, 17 of the world’s top 20

universities are in the United States

Page 7: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

8888 From institutions to qualificationsTertiary-type A graduation rates, by duration (2003)

%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60A

ustr

alia

Fin

land

Icel

and

Pola

nd

Den

mar

k

Nor

way

Uni

ted K

ingd

om

Irel

and

Sw

eden

Hun

gary

Jap

an

Uni

ted S

tate

s

Spa

in

Ital

y

Fra

nce

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

4

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Ger

man

y

Aus

tria

Cze

ch R

epub

lic4

Tur

key

More than 6 years5 to 6 years3 to less than 5 years

Page 8: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

10101010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Aus

tral

ia

Sw

eden

Icel

and

Fin

land

Pola

nd

New

Zea

land

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Hun

gary

Net

herl

ands

Kor

ea

Ital

y

Spa

in

Den

mar

k

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Jap

an

Irel

and

Fra

nce

Ger

man

y

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Mex

ico

Bel

gium

Aus

tria

Cze

ch R

epub

lic EU

OECD

Tertiary- type A

A moving targetSum of net entry rates into tertiary education for single year of age

(2003)

%

Current graduation rate

Page 9: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

11111111

Page 10: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

12121212

Mobilising resources

Who pays for education and who benefits ?

Page 11: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

13131313 Investment in high-level qualificationsExpenditure on tertiary educational institutions

as a percentage of GDP (2002)

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Den

mar

k

Fin

land

Sw

eden

Nor

way

Bel

gium

Gre

ece

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Aus

tria

Irel

and

Pola

nd

Tur

key

Icel

and

Net

herl

ands

Mex

ico

Ger

man

y

Hun

gary

Fra

nce

Spa

in

Port

ugal

New

Zea

land

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Aus

tral

ia

Ital

y

Jap

an

Kor

ea EU

% of GDP

Puvlic Private Total 95

B2.1

Economies and ideologies…in Austria, Germany, Denmark and Norway

private sources contribute a much larger share of the costs of early childhood education and care than for tertiary education

Page 12: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

14141414 Annual expenditure per studenton educational institutions, in equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs

USD 0

USD 5,000

USD 10,000

USD 15,000

USD 20,000

USD 25,000

United States

J apan

EU

Page 13: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

17171717 Where do high skills pay?Distribution of 25-64-year-olds by level of earnings

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

More than 2 times the median

More than 1.5 times the medianbut at or below 2.0 times themedianMore than the median but at orbelow 1.5 times the median

More than half the median butat or below the median

At or below half of the median

EU United States

Page 14: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

18181818

-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25

United States

UK

France

Canada

Denmark

I taly

Germany

Netherlands

J apan

Sweden

Taxes Tuition Higher income Lower risk of unemployment Public subsidies

The returns on high level qualificationsPrivate internal rates of return (RoR) for an individual obtaining a university-level degree (ISCED 5/6) from an upper secondary and post-secondary non-

tertiary level of education (ISCED 3/4), MALES

Page 15: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

21212121The driving forces of GDP per capita

growth Average annual percentage change (1990-2000)

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

5.5

6

6.5

Ire

land

Kor

ea

Lux

em

bou

rg

Port

ugal

Spa

in

Aus

tral

ia

Net

herl

ands

Uni

ted S

tate

s

Fin

land

Tur

key

Uni

ted K

ingd

om

Nor

way

1

Aus

tria

Belg

ium

Denm

ark

Gre

ece

Can

ada

Mexic

o

Fra

nce

Ice

land

Ita

ly

Sw

eden

Jap

an

Germ

any2

New

Zeal

and

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Working- age population/total population Employment/working- age population

Labour productivity GDP per capita growth

•Ireland, Korea, Mexico and Turkey were the only countries where demography made a significant positive impact on GDP per capita growth…

•Increases in employment rates made a big contribution to growth in some countries

•But in almost all countries, the biggest contribution came from increased labour productivity

…in others it is beginning to act as a slight drag on growth

•While declines in employment rates reduced growth in others

But where does labour productivity growth come from…

…and why does it vary so much across countries?

Page 16: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

22222222Enhancements in human capital contribute

to labour productivity growthAverage annual percentage change (1990-2000)

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

Irel

and

Fin

land

Sw

eden

Den

mar

k

Port

ugal

Aus

tral

ia

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Ital

y

Nor

way

Ger

man

y

Can

ada

Fra

nce

Net

herl

ands

New

Zea

land

Hours worked Level of education

Hourly GDP per efficient unit of labour Labour productivity

Page 17: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

23232323

Page 18: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

24242424

Making lifelong learning a reality.

For all.

Page 19: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

25252525

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Den

mar

k

Sw

eden

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Fin

land

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Can

ada

1

Aus

tria

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Fra

nce

Bel

gium

Luxe

mbou

rg

Ger

man

y

Irel

and

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Pola

nd

Port

ugal

Spa

in

Ital

y

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

OECD

All levels of education

Lower upper secondary education

Upper secondary and post- secondary non- tertiary education

Tertiary education

Participation of the labour force in non-formal job-related continuing education and training (2003)

%

Page 20: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

26262626

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Sw

eden

Den

mar

k

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Fin

land

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Can

ada

1

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Fra

nce

Aus

tria

Bel

gium

Luxe

mbou

rg

Ger

man

y

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Irel

and

Pola

nd

Port

ugal

Spa

in

Ital

y

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

OECD

Total Employed Unemployed Labourforce

Participation of the labour force in non-formal job-related continuing education and training (2003)

%

Page 21: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

27272727

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Sw

eden

Den

mar

k

Fin

land

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Can

ada1

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Aus

tria

Fra

nce

Bel

gium

Irel

and

Luxe

mbou

rg

Ger

man

y

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Pola

nd

Port

ugal

Spa

in

Ital

y

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

OECD

Total

Resource industries

Goods- producing industries Lower- tier services

Upper- tier services

Participation of the labour force in non-formal job-related continuing education and training (2003)

%

Page 22: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

28282828

Page 23: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

29292929

Who can afford these productivity differentials ?

How school performance varies .

Page 24: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

30303030

- 80

- 60

- 40

- 20

0

20

40

60

80

100Tur

key

Hun

gary

Jap

an

Bel

gium

Ital

y

Ger

man

y

Aus

tria

Net

her

land

s

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Kor

ea

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Gre

ece

Swit

zerl

and

Luxem

bou

rg

Port

ugal

Mex

ico

Uni

ted S

tate

s

Aus

tral

ia

New

Zea

land

Spa

in

Can

ada

Irel

and

Den

mar

k

Pola

nd

Swed

en

Nor

way

Fin

land

Icel

and

Variation of performance

between schools

Variation of performance within

schools

Consistency in quality standardsVariation in the performance of 15-year-olds in mathematics

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 4.1a, p.383.

11

114

125

Page 25: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

32323232

Page 26: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

33333333

Using the potential.

Equality in outcomes and equity in opportunities.

Page 27: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

34343434Stu

dent

perf

orm

ance

School performance and schools’ socio-economic background -

Germany

AdvantagePISA Index of social backgroundDisadvantage

Figure 4.13

School proportional to size

Student performance and student SES

Student performance and student SES within schools

School performance and school SES

200

500

800

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

Page 28: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

35353535

200

500

800

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

Stu

dent

perf

orm

ance

School performance and schools’ socio-economic background - Finland

AdvantagePISA Index of social backgroundDisadvantage

Figure 4.13

Student performance and student SES

Student performance and student SES within schools

School performance and school SES

School proportional to size

Page 29: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

36363636

Page 30: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

37373737

Making education a knowledge rich profession

Page 31: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

38383838 One challenge – different approaches

The tradition of education systems

has been “knowledge poor”

The future of education systems needs to be

“knowledge rich”

National prescription

Professional judgement

Informed professional judgement, the teacher

as a “knowledge worker”

Informed prescription

Uninformed professional judgement

Uninformed prescription,

teachers implement curricula

Page 32: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

39393939 Further information

www.pisa.oecd.org– All national and international publications– The complete micro-level database

email: [email protected]

[email protected]

…and remember:

Without data, you are just another person with an opinion

Page 33: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

40404040What can a 15-year-old expect in the next 15

years ? (2003)

-1

1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15

Tur

key

Mex

ico

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Ital

y

Pola

nd

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Spa

in

Bel

gium

Fin

land

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Fra

nce

Aus

tral

ia

Ger

man

y

Can

ada

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Aus

tria

Port

ugal

Irel

and

Net

herl

ands

Sw

eden

Nor

way

Den

mar

k

Luxe

mbou

rg

Icel

and

% of total public

expenditure

I n education and employed (including work study programmes)I n education and not employedNot in education but employedNot in the labour forceUnemployedOECD

Page 34: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

43434343Share of the 25-to-29-year-olds who are

unemployed and not in education, by level of educational attainment (2003)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Pola

nd

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Gre

ece

Spa

in

Fra

nce

Fin

land

Ital

y

Bel

gium

Ger

man

y

Tur

key

Can

ada

Sw

eden

Port

ugal

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Hun

gary

Nor

way

Uni

ted

Sta

tes1

Aus

tral

ia

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Aus

tria

Irel

and

Den

mar

k

Mex

ico

Luxe

mbou

rg

Net

herl

ands

1

Below upper secondary educationUpper secondary and post- secondary non- tertiary educationTertiary education

%

Page 35: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

44444444The situation of the youth population with low

levels of education (2003)Share of 20-to-24-year olds who have not attained upper secondary education and

who are no longer in education

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80N

orw

ay

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Pola

nd

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Luxe

mbou

rg

Fin

land

Aus

tria

Sw

eden

Den

mar

k

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Can

ada

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

1

Hun

gary

Irel

and

Ger

man

y

Fra

nce

Bel

gium

Aus

tral

ia

Gre

ece

Net

herl

ands

1

Ital

y 1

Icel

and

1

Spa

in

Port

ugal

Tur

key

Mex

ico

Males Females%

Page 36: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

45454545

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

I talyNetherlands

AustraliaScotland

New ZealandBelgium (Fr.)

GreeceMexicoFranceI reland

England 1PortugalTurkey

Belgium (Fl.)Spain

LuxembourgI celandSlovak

GermanyHungary

KoreaSweden

J apanDenmarkNorwayPoland

Finland

Ages 7 -8 Ages 9 -11 Ages 12-14

D1.2. Total number of intended instruction hours in public institutions between ages 7 and 14

(2003)

Cumulative number of intended instructions hours

Page 37: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

46464646 D2.1. Average class size in lower secondary education (2003)

Number of students per class in public and private institutions

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40Kor

ea

Jap

an

Mex

ico

Aus

tral

ia

Ger

man

y

Spa

in

Pola

nd

Fra

nce

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Aus

tria

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Gre

ece

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Port

ugal

Hun

gary

Bel

gium

(Fr.

)

Ital

y

Irel

and

1

Luxe

mbou

rg

Icel

and

Den

mar

k

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Number of students per class

Page 38: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

47474747 D3.2. Teachers salaries in lower secondary education (2003)

Annual statutory teachers’ salaries in public institutions for teachers of lower secondary education, in equivalent US dollars converted using PPPs

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Luxe

mbou

rg

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Ger

man

y

Kor

ea

Jap

an

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Sco

tlan

d

Net

herl

ands

Aus

tral

ia

Eng

land

Irel

and

Spa

in

Bel

gium

(Fl.)

Den

mar

k

Bel

gium

(Fr.

)

Fin

land

Nor

way

New

Zea

land

Aus

tria

Port

ugal

Fra

nce

Ital

y

Sw

eden

Gre

ece

Icel

and

Mex

ico

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Hun

gary

Pola

nd

Slo

vak

Salary af ter 15 years of experience/ minimum trainingSalary at the top of scale/ minimum trainingStarting salary/ minimum training

Equivalent US dollars converted using purchasing power parities

Page 39: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

48484848 D3.1b. Ratio of statutory salaries after 15 years of experience to GDP per capita for teachers in

lower secondary education (2003)

0

1

2

3

Kor

ea

Mex

ico

Port

ugal

Ger

man

y

Sw

itze

rlan

d

Jap

an

Spa

in

New

Zea

land

Luxem

bou

rg

Sco

tlan

d

Net

her

land

s

Aus

tral

ia

Eng

land

Gre

ece

Fin

land

Bel

gium

(Fl.)

Bel

gium

(Fr.

)

Irel

and

Den

mar

k

Fra

nce

Ital

y

Uni

ted S

tate

s

Aus

tria

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Sw

eden

Hun

gary

Nor

way

Pola

nd

Icel

and

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Ratio

Page 40: Educational standards and economic and social development Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Lisbon Council Brussels, 14 September

49494949 D4.2. Number of teaching hours per year, by level of education (2003)

Net contact time in hours per year in public institutions

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200U

nite

d S

tate

s

Mex

ico

New

Zea

land

Sco

tlan

d

Aus

tral

ia

Net

herl

ands

Ger

man

y

Irel

and

Bel

gium

(Fr.

)

Bel

gium

(Fl.)

Nor

way

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Icel

and

Luxe

mbou

rg

Den

mar

k

Pola

nd

Gre

ece

Port

ugal

Fra

nce

Aus

tria

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Fin

land

Ital

y

Spa

in

Kor

ea

Hun

gary

Jap

an

Tur

key

Lower secondary education

Primary education

Upper secondary education, general programmes

Hours per year