educational systems of the brics countries: preliminary findings of a comparative, present and...

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EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES: Preliminary Findings of a Comparative, Present and Future Time, Adequacy Analysis. Pedro Lara de Arruda (International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth, IPC-IG, UNDP) 1 ; Ashleigh Kate Slingsby (IPC-IG, UNDP); Olga Ustyuzhantseva (Resource Centre ‘Russia- India: education, science, technology’, Tomsk State University); Abdul Nafey (Dean, Jawaharlal Nehru University) Educational systems of the BRICS countries; Present-time adequacy analysis (9 UNESCO indicators considered); Future time adequacy analysis (absolute demand for 2030 and 2050 + time pressure for educational-led human capital accumulation to mitigate fiscal challenges of Demographic Transition’s fiscal challenges). 1 [email protected]

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EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES: Preliminary Findings of

a Comparative, Present and Future Time, Adequacy Analysis.

Pedro Lara de Arruda (International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth, IPC-IG, UNDP)1;

Ashleigh Kate Slingsby (IPC-IG, UNDP); Olga Ustyuzhantseva (Resource Centre ‘Russia-

India: education, science, technology’, Tomsk State University); Abdul Nafey (Dean,

Jawaharlal Nehru University)

Educational systems of the BRICS countries;

Present-time adequacy analysis (9 UNESCO indicators considered);

Future time adequacy analysis (absolute demand for 2030 and 2050 + time

pressure for educational-led human capital accumulation to mitigate fiscal

challenges of Demographic Transition’s fiscal challenges).

1 [email protected]

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES (BRAZIL)

TOTAL YEARS MANDATORY EDUCATION

EDUCATIONAL LEVELS,

MANDATORY, PUBLICLY

PROVIDED

OPERATION FUNDING REGULAR TVET

EXTRA-CURRICULAR

TVET

14 Primary to upper secondary

· Pre-primary and primary: municipal responsibility · Secondary education: state’s responsibility · Balanced (central and states) provision of tertiary education

· Basic Education: 2/3 subnational + 1/3 central government. Pooled into central fund redistributed among the units

· Mostly provided by central government.

· National-level corporate responsibility flagship model – Sistema ‘S’. · Myriad of institutions accredited by an official Gateway.

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES (RUSSIA)

TOTAL YEARS MANDATORY EDUCATION

EDUCATIONAL LEVELS,

MANDATORY, PUBLICLY

PROVIDED

OPERATION FUNDING REGULAR TVET

11 Primary to upper secondary

· Basic Education: Mostly provided and funded by regional governments (provinces), even though performance-oriented funds are provided by the Central government. · Balanced (central and states) provision of tertiary education

· Mostly provided by central government, fairly integrated to secondary education, but not so much to tertiary education

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES (INDIA)

TOTAL YEARS MANDATORY EDUCATION

EDUCATIONAL LEVELS,

MANDATORY, PUBLICLY

PROVIDED

OPERATION FUNDING REGULAR TVET

EXTRA-CURRICULAR TVET

8 Primary to lower secondary

· Primary and secondary education provided by regional state government, but with growing funding and direct provision by central government. · Large use of PPPs. · tertiary education: · Balanced (central and states) provision of tertiary education

Fairly integrated to secondary and tertiary education.

· Publicly funded, with large use of PPP. · Has sustainability challenges that call for corporate responsibility and improved business model (TBI)

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES (CHINA)

TOTAL YEARS MANDATORY EDUCATION

EDUCATIONAL LEVELS,

MANDATORY, PUBLICLY

PROVIDED

OPERATION FUNDING REGULAR TVET EXTRA-CURRICULAR

TVET

8 Primary to lower secondary

· Pre-primary to lower secondary: County operation and funding, with some support from the centre. · Upper secondary education is provided by the central government. · Tertiary education is mostly of local responsibility

· High enrolment rates. · Integrated to upper secondary and tertiary education

Firms have to provide the training themselves, or to outsource the training to specialized companies

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES (SOUTH AFRICA)

TOTAL YEARS MANDATORY EDUCATION

EDUCATIONAL LEVELS,

MANDATORY, PUBLICLY

PROVIDED

OPERATION FUNDING REGULAR TVET EXTRA-CURRICULAR

TVET

9 Primary to lower secondary

· Basic education is provided and mostly funded by province-level government · Large school-level managerial autonomy (with community participation) · Tertiary education is mostly provided by central government.

Integral part of most public upper secondary educational systems, and fairly integrated with tertiary education

Firms provide it themselves or pay for the government, who however yet fails to convert the contributions into adequate training supply

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES: LEARN-BY-DOING

Inclusive Production

o Workfare Programmes: India’s MGNREGA, South Africa’s EPWP, and

China’s Yigong-daizhen

o Programmes of access to credit to promote self-employment and

entrepreneurship: Brazil’s Fies and PRONATEC, India’s SJSRY, and

South Africa’s NYDA

EDUCATIONAL SYSTEMS OF THE BRICS COUNTRIES: LEARN-BY-DOING

State and market support to informal innovation and production

practices:

o BRAZIL (Social Technologies): Banco do Brasil, FINEP, Fiocruz, ASA,

CadÚnico, etc...

o RUSSIA: Supplementary (and not substitute) to formal work;

o INDIA (Grassroots Innovation, GRI): HoneyBeeNetwork, GIAN, NIF,

MVIF, GTIAF, etc…

o CHINA: Folk innovation (without State’s participation) and Indigenous

innovation (State’s supported initiatives in partnership with

universities);

o SOUTH AFRICA (Indigenous Knowledge System): become a core

concept on R&D policy planning.

PRESENT-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (PT. 1)

Despite vast amount of data existing at the national level, there is yet a

challenging lack of comparable data series on the BRICS countries (ex:

UNESCO’s lack of data on enrolment for Brazil, repetition for South Africa

and literacy for India).

PRESENT-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (PT. 2)

Countries’ main challenges:

o Brazil’s high repetition rates;

o Russia has more limitations on its primary education than at the

other levels;

o Chinese quality expansion success largely restricted to primary

education;

o India’s low to intermediate enrolment rates, low budgets, high

repetition rates.

o South Africa’s extremely low coverage of tertiary education;

PRESENT-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (PT 3)

Countries’ main achievements:

o Brazil and South Africa have high expenditure on education;

o China has massive expansion of quality primary education;

o Russia has the best indicators of the BRICS;

o India has high percentual budgets dedicated to TVET and tertiary

education

Overall characteristics:

o Overall high pupil-teacher ratios and, except for Russia, low

coverages for pre-primary education;

o Almost 100% literacy rates;

o Stable proportion or personal allocated to R&D in the last decades,

but, except for South Africa, increasing expenditures in the area;

FUTURE-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (Exercise 1: forecasting demand)

FUTURE-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (Exercise 1: forecasting demand)

Most countries will possibly have a reduction on their demand for pre-

primary and primary education, whereas secondary and tertiary

education might have its demand stabilized or increased (except for

maybe Brazil and India).

These prospects are the outcome of admittedly, methodologically weak

forecasts, which ought to be further fine-tuned and controlled for other

relevant factors.

o Inadequacy between UNDESA’s age-groups and the countries’ specific

age groups corresponding to each educational level;

o Not controlling for repetition, age-inadequacy and other phenomena

than determine demand for the specific educational levels.

FUTURE-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (Exercise 2: time-pressure to increase

education-led, human capital

FUTURE-TIME ADEQUACY ANALYSIS (Exercise 2: time-pressure to

increase education-led, human capital)

Russia and China have more time-pressure for preparing themselves to

face the fiscal challenges of their ongoing demographical transition. If

education-led, human capital accumulation strategies are to be considered

for such purposes, they must complement their formal education with

TVET-like strategies, which can compensate for gaps of the past in a

relatively short time spam.

The other countries have a bigger time-span to accumulate education-led

human capital through means of regular education, except maybe for

Brazil whose first generation to live in this altered demographic context are

current pupils older than 5 years-old, and mostly the youth (15-24 years-

old) – who will all be the core of Brazil’s EAP by 2030.

CONCLUSIONS

Brazil, India and (to a certain extent) China have been seeking to improve

their education through allowing for a bigger participation of the central

government on the funding and operation of basic education. Russia and

South Africa keep a more decentralized management and funding

structure for their educational system;

Overall, the BRICS countries seem to be building corporate responsibility

based extra-curricular TVET networks somewhat similar to Brazil’s Sistema

‘S’;

Smaller pressure upon Brazil, India and South Africa to invest on TVET-like

educational strategies due to fiscal challenges related to their demographic

transition doesn’t mean such strategies shouldn’t be sought for other,

equally pushing reasons (like market adequacy of the labour-force, etc).