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Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors (personal perspective)

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Page 1: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Effective Exit Strategiesfor Angel Investors

(personal perspective)

Page 2: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

SEX

Page 3: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

1080

2.2x

80% - 9%

56%22%

40%19%

Page 4: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

The Good (6 1/2)1x (USA)

2.3 x – in 53 weeks (French)

13x (AIM)

11.5x (Main London Market)

3x on dividends + paper 8x capital

2.3 x (24 months - Apple)

0.75 x (existing investor)

Page 5: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

In Play

Novartis

ConocoPhillipsStatoil

Sofinnova $54m

Page 6: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

2009

Page 7: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Negative Profit Exits• House of Hamilton - £10,000

• Eroburo - £10,000

• Gencell - £12,000

• Waterside Television - £15,000

• Survey Development Services - £30,000

• The Internet Car Company - £15,0000

• Intertrader - £15,0000

• Excell Biotech - £35,000 – Paper profit at sale £175k (5x looking for 25x)

• Eleksen plc - £12,250 • IDS - £10,000 • QFT - £15,000 & £8,400 • F4G - £25,000• Scapa - £20,000 - Zombie• Total complete losses - £224,250

Page 8: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Genabler November 2013 Fund raising£ No of shares %

Pre money valuation 1,000,000 20,000 57.14%New money November 13 750,000 15,000 42.86%Post money valuation 1,750,000 35,000 100.00%

Amount to be invested £

New shares allocated

% post November

fundingGavin Gemmell 16,700 334 0.95%Eric Young 25,000 500 1.43%Mike Rutterford 25,000 500 1.43%Alistair Salvesen 25,000 500 1.43%Geoff Ball 16,700 334 0.95%Stuart Paul 16,700 334 0.95%SE Co Investment Fund 127,900 2,558 7.31%OCC 115,000 2,300 6.57%Paul Fieldsend 10,000 200 0.57%Dick Jenkins 10,000 200 0.57%James Ferguson 30,000 600 1.71%Nick Walduck 5,000 100 0.29%David Johnston 20,000 400 1.14%Michael Barron 10,000 200 0.57%Simon Frame 10,000 200 0.57%Ian Kunkler 5,000 100 0.29%Mike Wilcox 10,000 200 0.57%Andrew Gammell 5,000 100 0.29%Nigel Morecroft 25,000 500 1.43%David Barrowman 10,000 200 0.57%John Waddell 5,000 100 0.29%Mark McCafferty 5,000 100 0.29%Geoff Gillies 5,000 100 0.29%Camilla Leslie 10,000 200 0.57%Murray Thomson 22,000 440 1.26%Allan McKenzie 25,000 500 1.43%Harry Draffan 10,000 200 0.57%Prof William McElvey 20,000 400 1.14%Barry Sealey 20,000 400 1.14%Nelson Gray 10,000 200 0.57%Leslie Robb 25,000 500 1.43%Martin Eckersall 10,000 200 0.57%Alison Elliot 20,000 400 1.14%James Browning 25,000 500 1.43%Ian Graham 5,000 100 0.29%Colin Nisbet 10,000 200 0.57%Alan Johnston 5,000 100 0.29%Total new investment 750,000 15,000 42.86%

Tim Gallagher 10,000 28.57%Alan Hale 10,000 28.57%Total founders shares 20,000 57.14%Total shares 35,000 100.00%Option pool 10% 3,889 Shares post Nov 13 funding 90% 35,000

38,889

Page 9: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited
Page 10: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Initial Screening

Detailed Screening

Term Sheet

Exit

Finding Deal Flow

Legal’s

Due Diligence

Valuation

Post Investment

Monitoring & Mentoring

Page 11: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Types of Exit

• Financial Value Exit – EBITDA– future profit generating power of the entity being

sold.

• Strategic Value Exit – future profit generated by the acquirer exploiting

the technology.

Page 12: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Realities of Angels, VC’s & IPO’s (2013 US Data)

• 70,730 angel deals ($24.8 billion)– University of New Hampshire, Centre for Venture Research, Angel Market Analysis, Full

Year 2013.

• 3,995 VC deals ($29.4 billion)– 40% in Silicon Valley, 15% New York, 10% Boston– Seed / Early stage = $944m, 218 Companies ($4.3M

each)– www.pwcmoneytree.com/MTPublic/ns/nav.jsp?page=historical

• 222 IPO’s (highest number since 2000)

–56 had had VC backing– http://www.renaissancecapital.com/ipohome/news/renaissance-capitals-2013-us-ipo-

annual-review-17213.html

Page 13: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

“Early Exits, The First Book on Exits for Entrepreneurs and Angel Investors", Basil Peters, Meteor Bytes Data Management Corp, Canada, 2009.

“If you think your company might be a candidate for an exit in three or four years, in the most common valuation range of under $30 million, you just can’t let a VC invest.”

Page 14: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

European Exits – Q1 2014http://www.cbinsights.com/blog/european-tech-exits-q1-2014 (May 2014)

• Two Unicorns –– Ireland-based King Digital (IPO in March at a $7B )– Spain’s Grupo Corporativo Ono (acquired for $10B by

Vodafone)

• 11 Tech exits with disclosed exits > $100 m.• 139 other exits

– 38 in UK (27% in London)• CVC Capital Partners’ $800M acquisition of Skrill Group• Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion.

– 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin).

• Only 14% of the exited companies had had VC cash

Page 15: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

US Exit values, as presented by Rob Wiltbank to ACA conference 2014

46% <$10M

Page 16: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

European Tech Exits Q1 2014 by country

Page 17: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited
Page 18: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

“Start the process by thinking of your business as a product you are going to package for a very selective customer…..the buyer who will pay the highest price.”

Dr. Tom McKaskill, Ultimate Exits

Build “Acquirer Value”, not

Shareholder Value

Page 19: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Initial Funding

2nd

Funding

Exit

Generate Cash

Exit

Exit

Generate Cash

Generate Cash3rd

Funding

4th Funding

Creating Choices

Maximising Return

Reducing Risk

Page 20: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Doing The Deal• Ask for detailed exit analysis:

• Five most likely strategic cash bidders• What actually needed to attract them• Range of possible time and money needed to exit”

• DD this –• Have any money?• Have the ever actually bought anyone else?• Have they done so in this geographic area?

Page 21: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Post Investment• Track your strategic targets• Work at keeping all parties aligned to Exit• Written Exit Strategy • Board Agenda Item• Ask “exit orientated” questions• Put transaction experience onto board• Measure against exit (acquirer) value • Make exit easy: share structures / process• Build & Understand exit options

Page 22: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

Existing Portfolio• Take an inventory of the venture’s current strategic

assets and competencies which represent the highest value in the minds of Targeted Strategic Bidders .

• Identify immediately threatened or highly motivated bidders.

• Identify potential strategic bidders.• Prioritize the top five Targeted Strategic Bidders.• Design and implement Targeted Strategic Customer

sales and marketing plans.• Track the Targeted Strategic Bidders. • Review the checklists in the Ultimate Exits Workbook.• Build your Exit Transaction Team.

Page 23: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

The Perfect Loss“I merely lose 100% of my investment,

take the tax deduction, suffer no on-going tail of litigation, no wind down expenses, no media coverage, no damage to my reputation or my relationships with co-investors……

and it’s a ‘productive failure’ because the entrepreneur, management team and investors all learned lessons which will increase our likelihood of success in our next venture.”

Page 24: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited

An Investment Strategy• Establish Angels capacity / capabilities.

– Knowledge, Cash.

• Select deals that fit with your philosophy.– To VC or not to VC / risk & return.

• Before proceeding with a deal – confirm alignment with entrepreneur.

• Structure Deal to facilitate exit.• Drive the exit from within post investment.• Build acquirer value, not shareholder value.

Page 25: Effective Exit Strategies for Angel Investors Gray_Milan Exits.pdf · • Zynga’s $527M acquisition of NaturalMotion. – 25 in Germany (40% in Berlin). • Only 14% of the exited