Elections 2010 - I. round

Rate of Participation I.

% 52%

%

83%

71,1

8%

,53% 74

,25%

% 3,63

%

68,9

2%77

,5

67,8

3% 74,2

9

64,3

6%69

,74%

67,8 7

70

56,2

6% 63 6 6

1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010N ti l B d tNational Budapest

Rate of Participation IIRate of Participation II.

11th April 2010The bottom and top of participationThe bottom and top of participation

The lowest Baranya (60,59%)

The highest Budapest (69,74%)g p ( , )

Votes for party lists

60

50

40

52,73

20

30

19,3 16 67 7,4710

20

16,67 ,1,162,67

0Fidesz MSZP Jobbik LMP MDF other partiesFidesz MSZP Jobbik LMP MDF other parties

The Position of Parties

Party SMC won1st 2nd 3rd

Position

1 FIDESZ-KDNP 119 56 1 0

2 MSZP 0 1 39 16

3 Jobbik 0 0 16 27

4 LMP 0 0 0 13

5 MDF 0 0 0 05 MDF 0 0 0 0

Which party did win the 1st round?Which party did win the 1st round?

Which party did win the 1st round?Which party did win the 1st round?

Support for MSZP and Jobbik (according to settlements)(according to settlements)

Support for MSZP and Jobbik (according to SMCs)(according to SMCs)

In comparison to 2006In comparison to 2006

Fid i d l 500 000 t hil th • Fidesz gained plus 500.000 votes while the MSZP lost 1.350.000 voters.Fid 119 SMC d t l l • Fidesz won 119 SMC mandates solely while in 2006 they won only 50 out of 112 SMCsSMCs.

• 265 mandates became allocated while 212 seats were distributed in 2006seats were distributed in 2006.

• After the first round only 1 SMC is lead by MSZP (József Tóth) while in 2006 they MSZP (József Tóth) while in 2006 they headed 56.

First reactions from partiesFirst reactions from parties• Fidesz: 2/3 majority is needed to complete the j

mission of change. Hungary requires unity.• MSZP: the party must shift to a strong

oppositional stance 2/3 majority is a danger oppositional stance. 2/3 majority is a danger for democracy.

• Jobbik: The third position is a ”national Jobbik: The third position is a national breakthrough”. Ready to face and also to cooperate with Fidesz if needed.LMP Th i i b i li i l • LMP: The party is going to bring a new political culture to the Parliament.

• MDF: The MDF suffered a huge defeat that was • MDF: The MDF suffered a huge defeat that was caused not only by political attacks but also by inner mistakes therefore Ibolya David

dresigned.

A ”historical” electionA historical election

• A never witnessed technical and • A never witnessed technical and functional confusion during the procedure of electionsprocedure of elections.

• The biggest 1st round majority for a t i th l t t d dparty in the last two decades.

• The bipolarity of political power vanished.

• Two historical parties fell out from the pParliament while two other appeared.

• Opportunity for the 2/3 majority• Opportunity for the 2/3 majority.

Ab t 2/3 j itAbout 2/3 majority

• 57 SMCs are left to 2nd round.• Fidesz has to win at least 50 SMCs so as

to gain 2/3 majority.• There are 7 SMCs where MSZP has a There are 7 SMCs where MSZP has a

chance to win at all.• 258-260 mandates can be calculated • 258-260 mandates can be calculated.

The Profile of New Parliamentary The Profile of New Parliamentary Parties

Party support according to age Party support according to age groups

56

50

60

43

3140

3127

1820

30

5 5 5 4 3 2 1

10

2 10

Fidesz-KDNP MSZP Jobbik MDF LMP other

18-29 60+

Party support according to size of Party support according to size of settlement

0

5761

65

60

70

46

40

50

2430

40

2423

2014

1112121314

10

20

4 3 3 25 4 5

1 0 0 10

10

Fidesz-KDNP MSZP Jobbik MDF LMP other

Budapest county center other parties village

Party support according to voters’ qualification

63

58 5660

70

5853

56

50

2730

40

1918 16 15 149 10

1210

20

8 9

1 3 4 51

410

0 1 1 20

10

Fidesz-KDNP MSZP Jobbik MDF LMP otherFidesz KDNP MSZP Jobbik MDF LMP other

elementary school skilled worker high-school college, university

Party support according to labour Party support according to labour market stance

70

5857

66

60

70

3840

50

38

32 292530

40

14

7 614

20

910

20

7 64 4 4

1 1

9

36

1 0 0 10

10

Fidesz-KDNP MSZP Jobbik MDF LMP other

employee pensioner unemployed student