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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region Washington Advanced Energy Stakeholder Series: Energy, Mobility and Transportation Nick Nigro, Atlas Public Policy December 8, 2016

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Page 1: Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 12 › 2016-12-0… · Shared-Use Mobility Programs using EVs •Complements local public transit

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

Washington Advanced Energy Stakeholder Series:

Energy, Mobility and Transportation

Nick Nigro, Atlas Public Policy

December 8, 2016

Page 2: Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 12 › 2016-12-0… · Shared-Use Mobility Programs using EVs •Complements local public transit

• DC-based policy tech firm started in

2015

• Mission: equip businesses and

policymakers to make strategic,

informed decisions through the

greater use of technology that

interprets publicly available

information

Atlas Key Focus Areas

• Access: Collect and disseminate publicly available information for free.

• Interpret: Develop open-source apps to spur insights and conduct analyses.

• Empower: Strengthen policymakers, businesses, and non-profits' ability to meet emerging challenges and identify and seize opportunities.

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

About Atlas Public Policy

December 8, 2016 2

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• Many factors affect electric vehicle viability in a regional market• States have taken various approaches to

advancing EVs

• States serve as experimental laboratories to identify what’s working

• State and local policy, available technology, and market conditions are constantly evolving• Defining “what’s working?” requires

analysis of local and time-based data to identify trends and glean insights

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

Cities Take the Lead with Electric Vehicles

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• Must drill down from national level and understand regional markets

• State and local policies and activities are greatest drivers of EV adoption• All leading markets have

supportive policies and programs

• Many additional factors create EV adoption opportunities and barriers • Supportive policies do not

guarantee success

• Intrastate market success can vary greatly

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

Must Identify & Evaluate Factors Driving EV Market

Source: Analysis of data from hybridcars.com & U.S. Energy Information Administration

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Regional Factors Drive EV Market Success

EV ViabilityMarket factors

Consumer interest

Gasoline & electricity

prices

Infrastructure availability

Vehicle availability

Policy drivers

State and local government

policy

State electricity regulatory

policy

Environmental & economic

benefits

Physical factors Geography,

land use, and climate

Leadership

Industry/ Advocacy

champions

State and local leadership

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region December 8, 2016 5

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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

EVs in the DMV

• ~15k EVs in DC, MD, and VA as of August 2016

• DC metro region charging network• Level 2 dominated by

ChargePoint

• DC fast charging dominated by EVgo

• Lack of data on open dates can hurt charging infrastructure planning

Source: http://atlaspolicy.com/PowerBI/MetroDC

December 8, 2016 6

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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC

• ~15k EVs in DC, MD, and VA as of August 2016

• DC metro region charging network• Level 2 dominated by

ChargePoint

• DC fast charging dominated by EVgo

• Lack of data on open dates can hurt charging infrastructure planning

Source: http://atlaspolicy.com/PowerBI/MetroDC

December 8, 2016 7

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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC

• Filtering to show only

DC reveals EV sales

surge in 2016

• Follows record sales

at national level

• Data unavailable for

final month of Q3

December 8, 2016 8

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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC

• Very little DC fast

charging stations

• Makes all-electric

ownership more

difficult for garage

orphans

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• California public utility commission concluded state achieves net economic benefits with greater EV adoption • EV owners monthly bills more than

offset costs to serve incremental load and put downward pressure on rates

• Grid-specific research needed to evaluate societal benefits for other regions

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

EVs Can Also Benefit All Electricity Ratepayers

Net Societal Benefits from EV Charging LoadIllustrative results for California Electric Utilities

Source: Nancy Ryan E3

Oil Reliance

Net Benefit$6,267

Energy & Capacity Costs

Charger Cost

Incremental Vehicle Cost

Carbon & Health

Gas Cost Savings

Fed. Tax Credits

December 8, 2016 10

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Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

Potential Role of Electric Utilities in EV Charging Infrastructure

2

3

4

5

6

1

Ris

k/R

ewar

d

Transformer

Meter

Service

PanelVehicles

Conduit/

WiringCharging

Station

Potential Role of Utility

Before meter (BAU) / or new allowances

Before and after meter infrastructure

Before meter and charger

Before and after meter infrastructure & charger

After meter infrastructure only

Charger only (rebate, own)

Charging Infrastructure Installation Overview

Source: CMK Consulting

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• Evercar rented EVs to drivers of ride-hailing services such as Uber and Lyft in Los Angeles and San Francisco (ended in October 2016)

• BlueIndy carsharing service gives users access to a fleet of EVs and charging stations in Indianapolis

• WaiveCar in Los Angeles focuses on underserved communities, connecting users with ad-supported EVs that users can drive for free

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region

Shared-Use Mobility Programs using EVs

• Complements local public transit

• Ride-hailing: The user is a passenger in a hired vehicle, primarily for one-way trips.

• Carsharing: The user has access to a fleet of vehicles to drive for a one-way trip and/or roundtrip.

10 businesses worldwide have EV-focused carsharing programs (5 are exclusive EV programs)

Shared-Use Mobility

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E-Mobility Program Development Process

Conduct Market Potential Assessment

• Near-term feasibility

• Environmental performance

• Cost Effectiveness

• Local Economic Impact

Explore E-Mobility Concepts

• Focus on personal vehicles, mass transit, shared-use, and/or infrastructure

• Case study on concept

Develop E-Mobility Program(s)

• Barriers addressed

• Role of government and private sector

• Metrics for program evaluation

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Nick Nigro

[email protected]

Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region December 8, 2016 14