electric vehicles in the dc metro region › wp-content › uploads › 2016 › 12 ›...
TRANSCRIPT
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
Washington Advanced Energy Stakeholder Series:
Energy, Mobility and Transportation
Nick Nigro, Atlas Public Policy
December 8, 2016
• DC-based policy tech firm started in
2015
• Mission: equip businesses and
policymakers to make strategic,
informed decisions through the
greater use of technology that
interprets publicly available
information
Atlas Key Focus Areas
• Access: Collect and disseminate publicly available information for free.
• Interpret: Develop open-source apps to spur insights and conduct analyses.
• Empower: Strengthen policymakers, businesses, and non-profits' ability to meet emerging challenges and identify and seize opportunities.
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
About Atlas Public Policy
December 8, 2016 2
• Many factors affect electric vehicle viability in a regional market• States have taken various approaches to
advancing EVs
• States serve as experimental laboratories to identify what’s working
• State and local policy, available technology, and market conditions are constantly evolving• Defining “what’s working?” requires
analysis of local and time-based data to identify trends and glean insights
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
Cities Take the Lead with Electric Vehicles
December 8, 2016 3
• Must drill down from national level and understand regional markets
• State and local policies and activities are greatest drivers of EV adoption• All leading markets have
supportive policies and programs
• Many additional factors create EV adoption opportunities and barriers • Supportive policies do not
guarantee success
• Intrastate market success can vary greatly
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
Must Identify & Evaluate Factors Driving EV Market
Source: Analysis of data from hybridcars.com & U.S. Energy Information Administration
December 8, 2016 4
Regional Factors Drive EV Market Success
EV ViabilityMarket factors
Consumer interest
Gasoline & electricity
prices
Infrastructure availability
Vehicle availability
Policy drivers
State and local government
policy
State electricity regulatory
policy
Environmental & economic
benefits
Physical factors Geography,
land use, and climate
Leadership
Industry/ Advocacy
champions
State and local leadership
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region December 8, 2016 5
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
EVs in the DMV
• ~15k EVs in DC, MD, and VA as of August 2016
• DC metro region charging network• Level 2 dominated by
ChargePoint
• DC fast charging dominated by EVgo
• Lack of data on open dates can hurt charging infrastructure planning
Source: http://atlaspolicy.com/PowerBI/MetroDC
December 8, 2016 6
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC
• ~15k EVs in DC, MD, and VA as of August 2016
• DC metro region charging network• Level 2 dominated by
ChargePoint
• DC fast charging dominated by EVgo
• Lack of data on open dates can hurt charging infrastructure planning
Source: http://atlaspolicy.com/PowerBI/MetroDC
December 8, 2016 7
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC
• Filtering to show only
DC reveals EV sales
surge in 2016
• Follows record sales
at national level
• Data unavailable for
final month of Q3
December 8, 2016 8
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
EVs in the DMV: Drilling Down to DC
• Very little DC fast
charging stations
• Makes all-electric
ownership more
difficult for garage
orphans
December 8, 2016 9
• California public utility commission concluded state achieves net economic benefits with greater EV adoption • EV owners monthly bills more than
offset costs to serve incremental load and put downward pressure on rates
• Grid-specific research needed to evaluate societal benefits for other regions
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
EVs Can Also Benefit All Electricity Ratepayers
Net Societal Benefits from EV Charging LoadIllustrative results for California Electric Utilities
Source: Nancy Ryan E3
Oil Reliance
Net Benefit$6,267
Energy & Capacity Costs
Charger Cost
Incremental Vehicle Cost
Carbon & Health
Gas Cost Savings
Fed. Tax Credits
December 8, 2016 10
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
Potential Role of Electric Utilities in EV Charging Infrastructure
2
3
4
5
6
1
Ris
k/R
ewar
d
Transformer
Meter
Service
PanelVehicles
Conduit/
WiringCharging
Station
Potential Role of Utility
Before meter (BAU) / or new allowances
Before and after meter infrastructure
Before meter and charger
Before and after meter infrastructure & charger
After meter infrastructure only
Charger only (rebate, own)
Charging Infrastructure Installation Overview
Source: CMK Consulting
December 8, 2016 11
• Evercar rented EVs to drivers of ride-hailing services such as Uber and Lyft in Los Angeles and San Francisco (ended in October 2016)
• BlueIndy carsharing service gives users access to a fleet of EVs and charging stations in Indianapolis
• WaiveCar in Los Angeles focuses on underserved communities, connecting users with ad-supported EVs that users can drive for free
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region
Shared-Use Mobility Programs using EVs
• Complements local public transit
• Ride-hailing: The user is a passenger in a hired vehicle, primarily for one-way trips.
• Carsharing: The user has access to a fleet of vehicles to drive for a one-way trip and/or roundtrip.
10 businesses worldwide have EV-focused carsharing programs (5 are exclusive EV programs)
Shared-Use Mobility
December 8, 2016 12
E-Mobility Program Development Process
Conduct Market Potential Assessment
• Near-term feasibility
• Environmental performance
• Cost Effectiveness
• Local Economic Impact
Explore E-Mobility Concepts
• Focus on personal vehicles, mass transit, shared-use, and/or infrastructure
• Case study on concept
Develop E-Mobility Program(s)
• Barriers addressed
• Role of government and private sector
• Metrics for program evaluation
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region December 8, 2016 13
Nick Nigro
Electric Vehicles in the DC Metro Region December 8, 2016 14