ellsworth_ks

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Project funding support provided through Rural Business TaxCredits from the Kansas Department of Commerce through

NCKCN an affiliate of North Central Regional PlanningCommission.


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

County Profile - Ellsworth County, KS

Ellsworth County is one of the 105 counties in the state of Kansas. The 2007populations estimate lists the population to be 6,310. According to 2000 estimates, ithas 715.91 square miles in land area and a population density of 9.1 people per squaremile. The average household size is 2.3 persons (2000) and median household incomeis $37,617 (2004) (US census Bureau).

Population Estimates

Ellsworth County has a population of 6,310 as of July 1, 2007 (US Census Bureau). Thepopulation declined by 3.3% from the year 2000 to 2007. As per the 2000 censussurvey, population of the county was 6,525 with median age of 41.8 years. In 2000,Ellsworth County had 16.4% of its population under the age of 15 years; 22.9% in theage group 15 to 34 years; 35.7% in the age group 35 years to 59 years and 25% of thepopulation above 60 years of age.

Table 1: Population Estimates for Ellsworth County

Population EstimatesYear Ending Ellsworth County KansasJuly 1,2007 6,310 2,775,997July 1,2006 6,291 2,755,817July 1,2005 6,264 2,741,665July 1,2004 6,325 2,730,828July 1,2003 6,355 2,721,824July 1,2002 6,361 2,712,383July 1,2001 6,446 2,700,979July 1,2000 6,526 2,692,890

Census 2000 April 1,2000 6,525 2,688,418

2000 to 2007 % change -3.30% 3.26%1990 to 2000 % change -0.9% 8.5%

Source: US Census Bureau


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY


Figure 1: Population Change in the Last Century

Table 2: Sex and Age of Population (2000 Census)Sex and Age Count PercentageMale 3,446 52.8Female 3,079 47.2Under 5 years 274 4.2

5 to 9 years 339 5.210 to 14 years 456 7.015 to 19 years 484 7.420 to 24 years 321 4.925 to 34 years 693 10.635 to 44 years 1075 16.5

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

Kansas

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Ellsworth County


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

Household Income

Median household income for Ellsworth County is $38,996 which is about 9% less thanthe state median income. The median household income had declined by 7% from 2000to 2005, but that rate is far less than the rate state median income has declined at 9.9%.

Table 3: Median Income in Ellsworth CountyMedian Income Ellsworth KansasMedian Household Income in 2005 $38,996 $42,861

Median Household Income in 1999 (adj. for inflation1

) $41,934 $476225-year Percent Change 2000 to 2005 -7.0% -9.9%Source: USDA ERS (www.ers.usda.gov) and US Census Bureau

Figure 2: Median Income in Ellsworth County & Kansas

Poverty Rates

The current poverty rate for Ellsworth County is less than that of the state. In 2005,Ellsworth Countys poverty rate was 8.8% which increased to 9.4% in 2005. The povertyrate for Kansas in the same period went from 8.9% to 11.7%.

Table 4: Poverty Estimates for Ellsworth CountyPoverty Estimates Ellsworth 5-Year % Change KansasPoverty rate in 2005

In 20009.48.8

--6.8%

11.78.9

Poverty rate for children under 18 in 2005In 2000

11.210.1

--10.9%

15.211.9

S US C B (D l d d f i di d )

$38,996 $41,934 $42,861 $47,622

$0 $10,000 $20,000

$30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Median household income in 2005 Median household income in 1999

Ellsworth

Kansas


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

Educational Attainment

About eighty-four percent of the population above the age of 25 is at least a high schoolgraduate. 26.8% of the population above the age of twenty-five had some collegeeducation, and 22.5% hold some kind of college degree.

Table 6: Educational Attainment Ellsworth County

Educational Attainment: Census 2000 EllsworthPercent ofPopulation

25+Kansas

Percent ofPopulation

25+

Total Population 25 and Older 4,660 100.0% 1,701,207 100.0%Less Than 9th Grade 280 6.0% 88,124 5.2%9th to 12th, No Diploma 427 9.2% 149,675 8.8%High School Graduate (incl. equiv.) 1,656 35.5% 507,612 29.8%Some College, No Degree 1,250 26.8% 417,722 24.6%Associate Degree 285 6.1% 99,096 5.8%Bachelor's Degree 520 11.2% 290,271 17.1%Graduate or Professional Degree 242 5.2% 148,707 8.7%


Figure 4: Educational Attainment Ellsworth County

6.00% 5.20%

9.20% 8.80%

35.50%29.80%

26.80%24.60%

6.10%

5.80%

11.20%17.10%

5.20% 8.70%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Ellsworth Kansas

Graduate or Professional Degree

Bachelor's Degree

Associate Degree

Some College, No Degree

High School Graduate (incl. equiv.)

9th to 12th, No Diploma


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

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Figure 5: Workers Commute from Ellsworth County

-- Less than 1% of residence county population commutes-- 1.0% -4.9% of residence county population commutes-- 5.0% - 9.9% of residence county population commutes-- 10.0% - 19.9% of residence county population commutes-- 20% or more residence county population commutes


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

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Figure 6: Workers Commuting to Ellsworth County

-- Less than 1% of residence county population commutes-- 1.0% -4.9% of residence county population commutes-- 5.0% - 9.9% of residence county population commutes-- 10.0% - 19.9% of residence county population commutes-- 20% or more residence county population commutes


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

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Industry Analysis

Industry Totals for Ellsworth County

The total industry employment for Ellsworth County increased by 22.35% from 2304 in1990 to 2819 in 2007. Average pay(after adjusting for inflation) increased by 12.4%, and the number of establishments in the same period decreased by14.89%. This could be an indicator that company size is increasing, hence the increase in employment in the county aspopulation in the county has been declining every decade since 1990 (Figure 1).

Table 9: Annual Covered Employment & Wages 2 Over Time (NAICS) Ellsworth CountyYear Establishments Employment Average Annual Pay Average Pay in Terms of 2007

3 Dollars (adj*)

1990 235 2304 $15,370 $24,3831991 232 2284 $16,421 $24,9981992 224 2314 $17,002 $25,1261993 212 2284 $17,580 $25,225

1994205 2285 $17,924 $25,077

1995 203 2327 $18,349 $24,9641996 200 2364 $19,134 $25,2851997 203 2408 $19,669 $25,409

2 Covered Employment & Wages (CEW) also known as ES202 data are the product of a federal-state cooperative program, the Quarterly Census of Employmentand Wages (QCEW) program, also known as the ES-202 program. The data are derived from summaries of employment and total pay of workers covered by stateand federal unemployment insurance (UI) legislation and provided by State Workforce Agencies (SWAs). The summaries are a result of the administration of state

unemployment insurance programs that require most employers to pay quarterly taxes based on the employment and wages of workers covered by UI.(www.bls.gov). 3 Average wages in 2007 dollars term calculated using CPI inflation calculator available at Bureau of Labor Statistics website http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl.The CPI inflation calculator uses the average Consumer Price Index for a given calendar year. This data represents changes in prices of all goods and servicespurchased for consumption by urban households. This index value has been calculated every year since 1913. For the current year, the latest monthly index valueis used (www.bls.gov).


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Year Establishments Employment Average Annual Pay Average Pay in Terms of 20073

Dollars (adj*)

1998 205 2381 $20,432 $25,9901999 211 2424 $21,006 $26,1432000 211 2389 $22,017 $26,5102001 209 2409 $22,882 $26,7892002 212 2340 $22,865 $26,3532003 212 2287 $23,560 $26,5492004 206 2325 $24,818 $27,2412005 201 2283 $24,883 $26,4172006 198 2752 $26,117 $26,8612007 200 2819 $27,407 $27,407Change from 1990 to 2007 -35 515 $12,037 $3,024Percent change from 1990 to 2007 -14.89% 22.35% 78.31% 12.40%Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) *adj = Adjusted for Inflation.


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ELLSWORTH COUNTY

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Jobs and Average Wages by Industry

The Retail Trade sector has the maximum number of establishments in Ellsworth County (29 establishments and 197 jobs). The highest paid sector is the Information sector with annual average wages of $55,110, and Manufacturing is thesecond highest paying sector with annual average wages of $36,689. Health Care & Social Assistance is the largestsector in terms of employment in the county with 750 jobs. Other major employer sectors are: Manufacturing (326employees) and Retail Trade (197 employees).

Table 10: Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs, and Average Wages Ellsworth County

Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs & Average Wages (2007) Establishments Jobs Annual Average WageTotal Covered Employment and Wages 200 2819 $27,407 Private 150 1896 $27,037 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 1 N NMining 2 N NUtilities 3 N NConstruction 26 N NManufacturing 8 326 $36,689Wholesale Trade 4 52 $29,202Retail Trade 29 197 $13,136Transportation and Warehousing 8 19 $34,967Information 7 48 $55,110Finance and Insurance 16 85 $26,057Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 4 14 $7,445Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 8 79 $31,332Management of Companies and Enterprises NA NA NAAdministrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation 6 17 $25,937Educational Services 3 N NHealth Care and Social Assistance 20 750 $26,753Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 3 27 $22,992Accommodation and Food Services 11 109 $7,181Other Services (except Public Administration) 17 51 $16,081Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) N Non-disclosed, NA- Not Applicable


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Figure 8: Establishments and Jobs in Various Industry Sectors in Ellsworth County

Establishments Jobs

Agriculture Mining Utilities

Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade

Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing Information

Finance & Insurance Real Estate Professional & Technical Services

Management of Companies Waste Management Educational Services

Health Care & Social Assistance Arts & Entertainment Accommodation & Food Services

Other Services Public Administration


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Figure 9: Average Wage in Various Industries in Ellsworth County

0 0 0 0

$ 3 6

, 6 8 9

$ 2 9

, 2 0 2

$ 1 3

, 1 3 6

$ 3 4

, 9 6 7

$ 5 5

, 1 1 0

$ 2 6

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, 7 5 3

$ 2 2

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$ 7 , 1 8 1

$ 1 6

, 0 8 1

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Annual Average Wage AgricultureMining

UtilitiesConstruction

Manufacturing

Wholesale TradeRetail TradeTransportation & WarehousingInformation

Finance & InsuranceReal Estate

Professional & Technical ServicesManagement of Companies

Waste Management

Educational ServicesHealth Care & Social AssistanceArts & EntertainmentAccommodation & Food ServicesOther ServicesPublic Administration


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Growth Rate

Most of the industries with high growth rates are local instead of traded5

industries in Ellsworth County. The highestgrowth rate is for the Community Food Services and Office of Optometrists. Office of Physicians is the largest employer inthe high growth industry for Ellsworth County.

Table 12: Top 10 Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Highest Growth RatesNAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment AverageWages

GrowthDifferentials Cluster

624210 Community Food Services 1 33 $9,132 220.75% Local Health Services621320 Offices of Optometrists 1 29 $20,388 207.23% Local Health Services

541370 Other Surveying and MappingServices

1 27 $23,569 200.00% Business and FinancialServices

713950 Bowling Centers 1 21 $18,416 175.89% Arts, Entertainment,Recreation & Visitor Industries

621111 Offices of Physicians 2 174 $41,528 168.39% Local Health Services

811310Commercial and IndustrialMachinery and Equipment Repair

and Maintenance

3 12 $15,202 128.94%Local Personal Services (Non-Medical)

721110 Hotels and Motels, except CasinoHotels

2 11 $6,956 122.40% Arts, Entertainment,Recreation & Visitor Industries

624410 Child Day Care Services 1 9 $8,461 108.01% Local Personal Services (Non-Medical)

332323 Ornamental and Architectural MetalWork Manufacturing

1 27 $28,926 108.01% Fabricated Metal ProductManufacturing

813910 Business Associations 2 6 $10,570 81.71%Local Community & CivicOrganizations

Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group

5 Traded industries are defined as the ones exporting their goods and/or services outside their region. Local industries are the ones with all local (within the region)dealings (Porter 2003).


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Location Quotient

The sector Chemical & Fertilizer Mineral Mining (NAICS 212393) has the highest LQ in Ellsworth County of 859.38. Thereare three sectors in the Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing cluster that have high LQ. The sectors are: IndustrialValve Manufacturing, Ornamental and Architectural Metal Work Manufacturing, and Fabricated Structural MetalManufacturing. This is a good indicator that the Fabricated Metal Product cluster may exist or emerge in Ellsworth County.

Table 13: Top 10 Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Highest Location Quotients

NAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment AverageWagesLocationQuotient Cluster

212393 Other Chemical and FertilizerMineral Mining

1 41 $40,955 859.38 Mining

332911 Industrial Valve Manufacturing 1 166 $33,122 405.64 Fabricated Metal ProductManufacturing

327124 Clay Refractory Manufacturing 1 37 $31,864 381.67 Glass and Ceramics

621498 All Other Outpatient CareCenters

1 145 $28,212 104.20 Biomedical/Biotechnical (LifeSciences)

624210 Community Food Services 1 33 $9,132 77.06 Local Health Services325120 Inorganic Dye and Pigment

Manufacturing1 16 $71,130 54.78 Chemicals and Chemical-based

Products

332323 Ornamental and ArchitecturalMetal Work Manufacturing

1 27 $28,926 40.04 Fabricated Metal ProductManufacturing

332312 Fabricated Structural MetalManufacturing

1 58 $34,216 36.92 Fabricated Metal ProductManufacturing

424510 Grain and Field BeanWholesale

2 18 $21,725 25.76 Agribusiness, Food Processing andTechnology

541370 Other Surveying and MappingServices

1 27 $23,569 24.87 Business and Financial Services



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Average Wages

The countys landscaping services industry has wages about 44% higher than the national wages. Also, Bowling Centers(NAICS 713950) have average wages around 38% more than the national average. This may be because of two reasons this sector is a well performing industry with higher profits and they pay higher wages, or there is shortage of labor so toretain employees they have to pay higher wages.

Table 14: Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Wages Above National Averages

NAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment AverageWages

WagesCompared

to Nation6

Cluster

561730 Landscaping Services 1 1 $38,587 44.42% Local Household Goods & Services

713950 Bowling Centers 1 21 $18,416 38.74% Arts, Entertainment, Recreation &Visitor Industries444110 Home Centers 1 1 $31,419 19.13% Local Household Goods & Services561410 Document Preparation Services 1 1 $38,610 17.05% Local Commercial Services

713930 Marinas 1 3 $29,711 3.57% Arts, Entertainment, Recreation &Visitor Industries

237310 Highway, Street, and BridgeConstruction 1 20 $51,403 0.49%Local Real Estate , Construction &Development


6 Wages compared to nation the difference in county & national average wages for a particular industry as a percentage of the national average.


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Shift Share Analysis

Shift share analysis breaks down changes in employment (growth or decline) over a period of time into three components:national growth share, industry mix share and local share. This analysis is used to account for the competitiveness of aregions industries and to analyze the local economic base 7.

National Growth ShareThis is the share of growth (decline) in local employment that can be attributed to growth (decline) in employmentat the national level.

National Growth Share = Employment in base year * National employment growth rate

Industry Mix ShareThis is the growth (decline) in employment in the region that can be attributed to the growth (decline) in thatparticular industry at the national level.

Industry Mix Share = Employment in base year *(Industrys National Growth rate National employmentgrowth rate)

Local ShareThis is the share of growth (decline) in employment in a region that can be attributed to the competitiveness of aregion.

Local Share = Employment in base year *(Regions industry growth rate National Industry growth rate)

The industry with the highest local share in growth is the Offices of Physicians (except Mental Health). The employment inthe sector increased by 165, and all 165 of those jobs were due to local growth (Table 15). The second highest growth inemployment was in the Outpatient Care Centers. In this industry there was a net growth of 86 jobs, out of which 70 were

attributable to local growth in the region. Majority of the industries with high local share in shift share belong to the NAICSsector 62 i.e. Health care and Social Assistance.

7 Pennstate (2003) Using Employment data to better understand your local economy.


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Table 15: Industries with Highest Local Share of Growth Shift Share Analysis Ellsworth CountyNAICS NAICS Definition Net Growth National Growth Share Industry Mix Share Local Share621111 Offices of Physicians (except Mental Health

Specialists)165 0 0 165

621498 All Other Outpatient Care Centers 86 3 12 70

624120 Services for the Elderly and Persons withDisabilities

53 1 3 49

621210 Offices of Dentists 48 1 0 47332312 Fabricated Structural Metal Manufacturing 38 1 1 36624210 Community Food Services 32 0 0 32

623110 Nursing Care Facilities 30 5 -5 29621320 Offices of Optometrists 28 0 0 28541370 Other Surveying and Mapping Services 26 0 0 26

332323 Ornamental and Architectural Metal WorkManufacturing

24 0 0 24

713950 Bowling Centers 20 0 0 20447110 Gasoline Stations with Convenience Stores 12 1 -1 12517110 Wired Telecommunications Carriers 6 2 -8 12

811310Commercial and Industrial Machinery andEquipment (except Automotive and Electronic)Repair and Maintenance

11 0 0 11

325120 Inorganic Dye and Pigment Manufacturing 9 0 -2 10721110 Hotels and Motels, except Casino Hotels 10 0 0 10445120 Convenience Stores 9 1 -1 9445310 Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores 9 0 -1 9

238220 Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 10 0 1 9311611 Animal, except Poultry, Slaughtering 8 0 -1 8624410 Child Day Care Services 8 0 0 8621310 Offices of Chiropractors 7 0 0 7722211 Limited-Service Restaurants 8 1 0 7423820 Farm and Garden Machinery and Equipment 7 1 -1 7441110 New Car Dealers 6 0 0 6

Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG group


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Clusters in Ellsworth County

Traded Clusters

Fabricated Metal Manufacturing and Biomedical/Biotechnical clusters may be emerging in Ellsworth County. TheFabricated Metal Manufacturing cluster has a growth rate of 6.46%, LQ of 10.18 but wages are 25% less than nationalaverage. The Biomedical/Biotechnical cluster has a very high growth rate of 12.02%, LQ of 1.77 but has considerablylower wages than the national average. Investments into these sectors should be considered to make them morecompetitive. The arts, entertainment, recreation & visitor industries have a high growth rate of 16.55% but a low LQ andconsiderably lower wages than national averages.

Table 16: Traded Clusters in Ellsworth County

Cluster Establishments Employment WagesAverage Wages

Compared toNational Average

GrowthRate LQ

3 219 $35,686 -41.41% -2.04% 2.42Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology 7 94 $25,584 -25.18% -1.71% 1.72

Apparel & Textiles 0 0 N N N NArts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor 6 38 $16,688 -49.11% 16.55% 0.48Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences) 13 336 $22,754 -45.71% 12.02% 1.77Business & Financial Services 14.3 79 $30,214 -60.25% -4.60% 0.41Chemicals & Chemical-based Products 4 67 $41,888 -24.46% -3.69% 1.70Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing 0 0 N N N NDefense & Security 0 0 N N N NEducation & Knowledge Creation 1 4 $27,054 -38.27% -23.69% 0.11

Electrical Equipment, Appliance and Component 0 0 N N N NEnergy (Fossil & Renewable) 16 128 $31,012 -48.10% 0.53% 1.03Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 3 251 $32,924 -25.06% 6.46% 10.18Forest & Wood Products 2 7 $16,120 -59.62% -20.63% 0.16Glass & Ceramics 1 37 $31,864 -25.28% -3.36% 6.91Information Technology & Telecommunications 3 43 $53,040 -29.89% -1.50% 0.43Machinery Manufacturing 1 2 $33,657 -37.94% -34.14% 0.10Mining 1 41 $40,955 -26.96% 0.83% 7.84


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Primary Metal Manufacturing 0 0 N N N NPrinting & Publishing 2 6 $24,596 -52.84% -12.64% 0.15Transportation & Logistics 3 10 $37,922 -11.06% -3.13% 0.15Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 0 0 N N N NTotal All Industries 152 1848 $25,820 -39.11% 9.83% 1.00Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG groupHighlighted cells represent values higher than specified criteria values

Figure 10: Location Quotients for Various Clusters in Ellsworth County

Advanced Materials,

2.42

Printing & Publishing, 0.15 Agribusiness,

1.72

Arts & Entertainment, 0.48

Education & Knowledge Creation,

0.11

Energy (Fossil & Renewable), 1.03Fabricated Metal

Product Mfg , 10.18

Biomedical/Biotechnical , 1.77

Business & Financial Services, 0.41

Chemicals & Chemical based

Products, 1.7

Forest & Wood Products, 0.16

Glass & Ceramics, 6.91

IT & Telecom, 0.43

Machinery Manufacturing , 0.1

Mining, 7.84

Transportation & Logistics, 0.15


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Figure 11: Traded Clusters in Ellsworth County


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Figure 12: Traded Cluster Location Quotients for Ellsworth County


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Local Clusters

Local Health Services seem to be an emerging sector in the county with a growth rate of about 120% and an LQ of 4.29.Similarly, Local Community & Civic Organizations have grown by about 49% and the sector has a LQ of 1.69. Othersectors with high growth rates are the Local Utilities and Local Personal Services.

Table 17: Local Clusters in Ellsworth County

Cluster Establishments Employment WagesAverage Wages

Compared toNational Average

GrowthRate LQ

Local Commercial Services 3 9 $19,489 -53.01% -27.89% 0.06Local Community & Civic Organizations 4 40 $9,267 -69.40% 49.38% 1.69Local Education & Training 0 0 N N N NLocal Entertainment & Media 1 0 N N N NLocal Financial Services 9 73 $26,338 -48.57% -0.45% 2.24Local Food and Beverages Processing &Distribution

7 73 $10,586 -58.29% 4.48% 0.85

Local Health Services 10 373 $28,407 -40.84% 120.06% 4.29Local Hospitality Establishments 13 109 $7,280 -48.87% -7.78% 0.69Local Household Goods & Services 8 27 $16,264 -57.03% -4.50% 0.32Local Industrial Products & Services 0 0 N N N NLocal Logistical Services 0 0 N N N NLocal Motor Vehicle Products & Services 9 28 $17,926 -51.29% -1.16% 0.57Local Personal Services (Non-Medical) 6 38 $12,202 -50.40% 21.86% 0.99Local Real Estate , Construction & Development 8 40 $31,115 -35.76% -7.78% 0.64

Local Retail Clothing & Accessories 3 25 $11,288 -43.40% 4.35% 0.34Local Utilities 2 6 $23,635 -47.10% 81.71% 0.90Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG groupHighlighted cells represent values higher than specified criteria values


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Figure 13: Local Clusters in Ellsworth County

ellsworth_ks

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