emerging cityscapes framework forecast
TRANSCRIPT
Emerging Cityscapes
A Foresight Framework of Emerging Trends and Issues in Design, Technology, and Social Evolution Impacting the Future of the City
Kedgewww.kedgelabs.com
• Emerging Driver and Trend Identification, Clustering, and Implications
• Backcasting
• Futures Wheels
• Impact/Probability Matrix
• Natural Growth Curve Mapping
• Scenario Development (Narrative Building and Alternative Storytelling for Robust Strategy)
Foresight Tools
Eight (Connected) Emerging Trends That Will Shape the Future of the City
1. Social Architecture & Social Innovation
2. Local Economies
3. City, Citizen, and Place 2.0
4. Sustainable Transportation
7. Holistic Infrastructures:Human and Bio-Centric Architecture
6. Reframing the Concept ofEducation & Work
5. Disruptive Technology
8. Cities as the Savior of Humanity
What Makes a Creative City?
Its Social Architecture!
http://architectureboston.wordpress.com/
2009/08/19/comparecontrast/
Brand Identity: Authenticity and Clarity?Civic & Corporate Institutions?Resilience & Adaptive Change?
Integration & Inclusion?Transdisciplinarity?
To Do This, We Must Understand Large-Scale Adaptive Systems
ChaosComplexity/Change
GrowthConsolidation
Intentional Evolution & Intentional Cities
Intentional (biomimicry & biodiversity) design for
better communities -
while also converting our “consumptive landscapes” to
“productive landscapes.”
Integral Evolution and Integral Cities
Place 2.0: The Convergent and Networked City
FoodPrintNYCBK FarmYards
EcoCitiesInformatics...
“Cities As Answer to
Grand Challenges”
The Importance of “Place”: http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=printArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Government&articleId=9133040&taxonomyId=13
Local Economics: http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/jamais-cascio/open-future/resilience; http://www.openthefuture.com/2009/03/one_model_for_a_new_world_econ.html; http://evangineer.agoraworx.com/blog/2009-02-17-local-community-economics-for-security-in-an-unstable-world.html
Social Capital and Collaborative Networks: http://orgnet.com/IHJour_XII_No5_p38_42.pdf; http://socialentrepreneurship.change.org/blog/view/web_30_and_the_emergence_of_creative_community_hubs
Adaptive Change Over Resilience: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-137
Building “Place” Through Public Dialogue and Conversation: http://www.cooltownstudios.com/site/how-facebook-can-help-build-better-places/; http://creativesdc.ning.com
Geography of Buzz: http://www.nytimes.com/glogin?URI=http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/arts/design/07buzz.html&OQ=_rQ3D3Q26hp&OP=581ea877Q2F,Q60Q51E,4Q7EGNQ5BQ7EQ7EQ20i,iQ5DQ5DQ2A,Q5D-,Q5DD,Q26Q5BQ20N,4Q51NQ5EYw,Q5DDEl33qPQ20xH
Local and Resilient Futures: http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/the_transition_timeline:paperback#
Open Source Education: http://www.futureofed.org
Disruptive Technologies: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/City-Of-San-Jose-California-1024732.htm; http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9133040/City_2.0_Using_tech_building_blocks_in_tomorrow_s_urban_centers
Data Shadows: http://radar.oreilly.com/2009/04/the-future-of-our-cities-open.html
Transportation 2.0: http://www.economist.com/science/tq/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13725743
Is Your City Good For Your Physical and Emotional Health? http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009949.html; http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/04/090414153538.htm
Informatics - Meshing Software: http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009707.html; http://www.situatedtechnologies.net
Redundancy and Ecocities: http://thewhereblog.blogspot.com/2009/04/black-swans-and-redundant-cities.html; http://www.pembaservesblog.com/2009/05/ecocities-cities-can-save-earth.html
Reframing: http://creativelythriving.com/?p=432; http://blog.wirearchy.com/2009/04/23/revisiting-on-the-ongoing-emergence-of-new-organizational-structure-and-dynamics/; http://www.wired.com/culture/design/magazine/17-04/pl_design#