emerging upstream technologies 2005 04 29 j · 2010-11-20 · file: emerging upstream...
TRANSCRIPT
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 1
Emerging Upstream Technologies
IT Futures BriefingPresenter: Yogi Schulz
Emerging TechnologiesFor the Upstream
Oil & Gas Industry
29 April 2005 Copyright © 2005 Corvelle Management Consultants
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 2
Emerging Upstream TechnologiesManagement Consultants
Yogi SchulzBiography
� President of Corvelle Management Consultants
� Information technology related management consulting
� Project management and systems development
� Computing Canada & Calgary Herald columnist
� PPDM Association board member
� Industry presenter:
– Project World - 4 years
– CIPS Informatics - 7 years
– PMI - Information Systems SIG
– Convergence - 4 years
– PPDM Association - several years
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 3
Emerging Upstream Technologies
PresentationOutline
� Presentation Objectives
� Quick technology retrospective
� Emerging upstream technologies
� Wild speculation about future technologies
� Conclusions
� Recommendations
� Questions & Answers
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 4
Emerging Upstream Technologies
PresentationObjectives
� Recognize that most emerging technologies are influencing the oil & gas business
� Appreciate the pivotal contribution that technology makes to the oil & gas business
� Understand business benefits the emerging technologies can deliver in the oil & gas business
Presentation intended to spark an ideayou can explore with your co-workers
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 5
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Quick Technology Retrospective
Turner ValleyDingman No. 1
Sightseeing at theLeduc Gusher
Leducdrilling
rig
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Competitive EnergyTechnologies
� Wind
� Solar
� Hydro
� Nuclear power
� Cogeneration
� Conservation
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 7
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Emerging Upstream Technologies
� Sub-surface imaging technologies
� Geological characterization
� Enhanced oil recovery
� Direct hydrocarbon detection
� Advanced materials
� Computing hardware
� Computing software
Multiple corrosionfatigue cracks in carbon steeldownhole tool
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 8
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Benefits Common to all Technologies
� Reduced costs/increased return on capital
– Finding, capital & operating costs
� Enhanced finding success
– Number of dry holes & marginal wells
� Enhanced production
– Production rate, total reserves recovered
� Reduced quantity of inputs
– Energy consumption, materials
� Reduced environmental impact
– Air, ground & water pollution
– Facility footprint
Revenue
$
Cost
$
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 9
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Sub-surfaceImaging
� Description
– 3-D earth model with stereoscopic visualization
� Benefit
– Enhanced understanding of complex sub-surface structures
� Examples
– Reservoir characterization
– Drilling planning
– Reservoir modeling
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Geological Characterization
� Description
– Remote sensing, aeromagnetics, seismic or geologic modeling to identify prospects in the targeted formations
� Benefit
– Accelerate prospect identification
– Improve production strategies
� Examples
– Paleochannel mapping forshallow gas exploration
– EOR modeling
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 11
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Enhanced Oil Recovery
� Description
– Techniques to improve oil displacement or fluid flow in the reservoir
� Benefit
– Produce more of the in-place reserves
� Examples
– chemical flooding - alkaline flooding or micellar-polymer flooding
– miscible displacement - carbon dioxide or hydrocarbon injection
– thermal recovery - steamflood or in-situ combustion
SAGD - steam
VAPEX - hydrocarbon
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 12
Emerging Upstream Technologies
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Direct Hydrocarbon Detection
� Description
– Direct measurement of the volume of hydrocarbons
� Benefit
– Improve reserves estimates prior to drilling
– Avoid drilling interesting structures that contain no hydrocarbons
� Examples
– Multi-channel transient electromagnetics
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 14
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Advanced Materials
� Description
– Materials with enhanced performance capabilities
� Benefits
– Better performance in adverse environments
– Weight reduction
� Examples
– Plastics
– Composites
– Catalysts
– Specialty steel
– Concrete
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 15
Emerging Upstream Technologies
ComputingHardware
� Description
– Processor, memory, storage, network
� Benefit
– Improved information accessibility/movement
– Quick/reliable manipulation/integration of large amounts of information
� Examples
– Grid computing, low cost workstations
– Superconductivity in servers for improved performance
– High performance computing for enhanced interpretation models
– Self-healing, self-managing computing for higher availability
– Internet 2, satellite, Wi-Max, cell & sat phones for remote operation
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 16
Emerging Upstream Technologies
ComputingSoftware
� Description
– Operating systems - Windows, Linux
– Application software
� Benefit
– Enhanced information management & analysis
� Examples
– Linux to reduce cost & improve performance
– Open source software to enable application customization
– Neural networks, intelligent agents
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Wild Speculationabout Future Technologies
� Smart dust
� Hydrogen fuel cell
� Laser well drilling
� Nanotechnology for in-situ separation
� In-situ refining
“It’s tough to make predictions,especially about the future.”
Yogi Berra
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
SmartDust
� Description
– Autonomous sensing and communication in a cubic millimeter
� Benefits:
– Low capital cost
– Simple implementation
– Improved measurement and control
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 19
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Hydrogen Fuel Cell
� Description
– Consume hydrogen as a fuel
– Fuel cells produce electricity
� Benefits:
– Clean burning
– No fuel shortage
– Quiet running
– High efficiency
– Compact
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Laser Well Drilling
� Description
– Scale up laser drilling
– Heat fuses rock
� Benefits:
– No steel casing
– No formation damage
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 21
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Nanotechnologyfor In-situ Separation
� Description
– Separate oil and gas from water and sediment using nanotubes
� Benefits:
– Produce only oil and gas
– No water disposal
– Small surface facilities
4 nanometers
1/10,000th of a hair
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
In-situ Refining
� Description
– Make shorter molecules
� Alternatives:
– Split with high-energy sound
– Metabolize with bacteria
� Benefits:
– Avoid high cost of steam, propellants
– Avoid high cost of refineries
– Increase ultimate reserves produced
Asphaltenes
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Conclusions
� Emerging technologies are constantly changing and improving the oil & gas business
� Many technologies are under-exploited
� Example emerging technologies include:
– Sub-surface imaging technologies
– Geologic characterization
– Enhanced oil recovery
– Direct hydrocarbon detection
– Advanced materials
– Computing hardware
– Computing software
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 24
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Recommendations
� Appreciate the pivotal role that emerging technologies play in the oil & gas business
� Maintain awareness of emerging technologies relevant to your position and career goals
� Adapt to the changes
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Questions &Discussion
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
What’s next?Potential Future Topics
� Upstream Business Themes
– How much exploration & production software is enough?
– Linking IT investments in exploration & production to business value.
� Upstream Technology Themes
– Windows vs. Linux vs. UNIX – Desktop and server
– Convergence of voice, data, videoconferencing to IP
– Document and content management trends
– How much security is enough?
– Identity management
– GIS
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 27
Emerging Upstream Technologies
1800, 250 - 6th Ave. S.W.Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 3H7
Phone/Fax: (403) 249-5255E-mail: [email protected]
Web: www.corvelle.com
Information technology related management consulting
Project management and systems development
Computing Canada & Calgary Herald columnist
PPDM Association board member
Emerging TechnologiesFor the Upstream Oil & Gas Industry
Management Consultants
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 28
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Short Course inPetroleum Chemistry and Refining
Road paving30 - 50Asphaltenes
Candles10 - 20Paraffin
Lubrication10 - 20Lubricating oil
Heating oil15 - 22Fuel oil
Fuel for trucks14 - 20Diesel
Fuel for airplanes10 - 14Kerosene
Base for petrochemicals5 - 12Naphtha
Fuel for cars5 - 9Gasoline
Electrical power generation1 - 4Methane to butane
UseNumber of carbon atoms
Fraction of petroleum
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 29
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 1
� ABCs of Hydrogen and Fuel Cells
– www.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/education/abcs.html
� Bacteria Eat Up Oil in Antarctica
– By Marcela Valente
– Argentine scientists are developing a biological process for combating oil spills in the extremely cold temperatures of the immense ice-covered continent
– www.tierramerica.net/2003/1215/iarticulo.shtml
� Bacteria, Underground Fires to Unlock Oil Reserves
– www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/26247/story.htm
� Battelle Memorial Institute – Energy & Environment
– www.battelle.org/environment/whatwedo.stm
� Cornell researchers to kick-start fuel cell development with $2.25 million federal award to find new materials for cheap, efficient technology
– Oct. 31, 2003
– www.news.cornell.edu/releases/Nov03/Fuelcell.institute.deb.html
� The Digital future of Oil and Gas in a Life Cycle Perspective
– www.teknologiforlaget.no/ files/digital_future_-_dnv_software.pdf
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 30
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 2
� Direct Hydrocarbon Detection
– Anton Ziolkowski, Bruce Hobbs and David Wright
– www.geos.ed.ac.uk/glg/research/cameos/petgsc01/
� Dust Networks
– www.dustnetworks.com/flash-index.shtml
� Emerging Technology
– Hart’s E&P, December 2004
� Emerging Technology News
– www.topix.net/business/emerging-tech
� Europe's Energy Future
– Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies
– www.cifs.dk/scripts/artikel.asp?lng=2&id=1178
� ExxonMobil bets on high-tech approach
– Jeffrey Tomich, Bloomberg
– 4 April 2005, Calgary Herald, p. E5
� First Direct Hydrocarbon Detection and Reservoir Monitoring Using Transient Electromagnetics
– ior.rml.co.uk/issue2/articles/art-3.htm
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 31
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 3
� The Folkecenter Wind-Hydrogen-Automobile Concept
– Poul Erik Bak, June 14, 2003
– www.h2cars.biz/artman/publish/article_179.shtml
� The Future of the Energy Industry
– www.globalchange.com/ppt2/energyforum5/
– www.globalchange.com/ppt/exxonmobil3
� Future of the Oil and Gas Industry: Past Approaches, New Challenges
– Harry J. Longwell, Executive Vice President ExxonMobil,World Energy, Vol 5, No. 3, p. 100
� Imaging Technologies Reduce Risks
– www.westerngeco.com/media/resources/articles/reduce_risk_ong.pdf
� In nanotechnology big things come from little things
– www.exxonmobil.com/corporate/newsroom/publications/TheLampSpr2004/story3.asp
� In Situ Recovery Methods for Heavy Oil and Bitumen
– Ron Sawatzky, Alberta Research Council, Edmonton, Canada
– www.cseg.ca/conferences/2004/2004abstracts/115S0217-Sawatzky_R_Heavy_Oil_and_Bituimen_Recovery.pdf
� JIVE - Joint Implementation of Vapour Extraction
– www.ptrc.ca
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 4
� Molecular Manufacturing vs. Peak Oil
– crnano.typepad.com/crnblog/2004/11/molecular_manuf.html
� Nanoscience - a small-scale revolution
– www.npd.no/English/Emner/Ressursforvaltning/nano_teknologi.htm
� The Nanotube Site
– www.pa.msu.edu/cmp/csc/nanotube.html
� Offshore Technology Conference Recognizes Top Technologies
– May 2004, JPT Online
– www.spe.org/spe/jpt/jsp/jptmonthlysection/0,2440,1104_11038_2431164_2450251,00.html
� Oil [Price] Spike's Tech Impact
– Rising gas prices might convince Americans to stop buying SUVs, and give the clean energy sector a boost.
– March 31, 2005
– www.redherring.com/Article.aspx?a=11650&hed=Oil+Spike's+Tech+Impact§or=Industries&subsector=Energy
� Our Energy Challenge
– Richard Smalley
– http://smalley.rice.edu/smalley.cfm?doc_id=4862
� The Open Group
– www.opengroup.org
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Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 5
� Oil & gas photo gallery
– www.canadian-wellsite.com/ Gallery/gallery.htm
� The Oil Field of the Future, Now
– Calvin Cobb, Invensys' Hydrocarbons Consulting Group
– http://www.spe.org/spe/jpt/jsp/jptmonthlysection/0,2440,1104_11038_2431164_2450243,00.html
� Paleochannel Mapping for Shallow Gas Exploration
– www.fugroairborne.com.au/CaseStudies/paleoch_mapping.shtml
� Potent Pipe – World’s strongest transmission linepipe
– June 2004, New Technology Magazine, p. 20
� QNEXT – collaboration/communication software
– www.qnext.com
� Scientists Awarded Patent For Coal-Purifying Bacteria
– www.upwardquest.com/02-helpful-bacteria/07-purifying.html
� Smart Dust
– Mighty motes for medicine, manufacturing, the military and more.
– MARCH 24, 2003 COMPUTERWORLD
– www.computerworld.com/mobiletopics/mobile/story/0,10801,79572,00.html
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 34
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Bibliography- 6
� The Top 10 Emerging Technologies
– Dr. Terry J. van der Werff, CMC
– www.globalfuture.com/gwu-top10-00.htm
� Trends Driving Advancements In High-Performance Computing, Visualization
– www.sgi.com/pdfs/3303.pdf
� Tutorial on the Phase Behavior of Asphaltenes and Heavy Oils
– www.solublesolutions.com/petmacTutorial.html
� University of North Dakota Energy & Environmental Research Center
– www.undeerc.org/default.asp
� Visualizing the Future: The Upstream Industry Unleashed by Technology
– Tony Wood, IBM
– September 2004, CSEG Recorder, File: chemical_visualizing.pdf
� What Is A Fuel Cell?
– www.fuelcellstore.com/information/what_is_fuel_cell.html
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 35
Emerging Upstream Technologies
The Ten Most Important Emerging Technologies for Humanity
� #1 The Global Electronic Library Coupled With Information Search and Retrieval
– www.newstarget.com/001331.html
� #2 Hydrogen Economy Enablers
– www.newstarget.com/001332.html
� #3 Augmented Reality
– www.newstarget.com/001333.html
� #4 Practical Robots
– www.newstarget.com/001334.html
� #5 High-Density Portable Power
– www.newstarget.com/001335.html
� #6 Fuel Cell Vehicles
– www.newstarget.com/001336.html
� #7 Genetic Engineering of Humans
– www.newstarget.com/001337.html
� #8 Computer / Human Interface Systems
– www.newstarget.com/001338.html
� #9 Vibrational Medicine
– www.newstarget.com/001339.html
� #10 Superlearning Systems
– www.newstarget.com/001340.html
� Where is Nanotechnology?
– www.newstarget.com/001341.html
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 36
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Top 10 Emerging Technologies Dr. Terry J. van der Werff
� Portable information devices: the post-PC world
– wireless portable information devices will combine the computing power of the personal computer, the networking of the Internet, the vivid images of television, and the convenience of the telephone
� Fuel-cell powered automobiles
– Fuel cells can replace the internal combustion engine to power our cars
� Precision farming
– Farmers will routinely use satellite imaging and a tractor's computer to deliver "varying amounts of of
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 37
Emerging Upstream Technologies
£100M BOOST FOR GREAT BRITISH IDEASTuesday, March 15, 2005
www.scandoil.com/moxie/news/world_news/100m-boost-for-great-brit.shtml
� Advanced Materials
– high performance materials in extreme and hostile environments. Materials that are reliable and effective under severe operational conditions, such as aggressive or safety critical environments
� Biopharmaceutical bioprocessing
– a wide range of techniques in the development and manufacturing of bioscience-based medicines
� Advanced Manufacturing
– Direct writing - a technology used to produce or deposit materials on complex two or three-dimensional structures
– Next generation lasers aimed at the manufacturing, healthcare and security industries
� Emerging Energy Technologies
– technologies that can help the sustainable development of new and renewable energy sources;
� Zero Emission Enterprise
– developing new technologies to reduce or eliminate creation of wastes, find new ways to re-use and recover waste products, treatment of hazardous wastes, and finding new alternatives to landfill;
� Validation of Complex Systems
– aims to maximize the exploitation of complex assembly systems, especially useful in sectors such as automotive, aerospace and energy; and
� Micro & Nanotechnology: Nano-structured materials technology
– nanostructured materials that address security and crime prevention
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 38
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Current Research Areasof ExxonMobil
� Proprietary technologies that have the potential to deliver breakthrough capabilities in direct hydrocarbon detection
– technology could significantly improve the chance of success in finding new resources prior to drilling
� Liquefied natural gas (LNG) and other gas-commercialization technology to improve the efficiency of liquefaction, transportation and regasification
– to help satisfy the world’s increasing gas needs at affordable economic levels
� Research on hydrogen production
– for use in fuel cells with strategic partners for potential new power systems in automobiles
� More-efficient, cleaner-burning internal combustion engines and engine systems
– Lower exhaust pollution quantities
� Advanced lubricant formulations to meet stringent emission standards
– Lower exhaust pollution quantities
� $100 million in groundbreaking research at Stanford University's Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP)
– address future energy needs with approaches that lead to lower greenhouse gas emissions
File: Emerging Upstream Technologies.PPT 39
Emerging Upstream Technologies
Standards
� Oil & gas
– API, POSC, PPDM Association
� W3C
– HMTL, XML, XSLT
� IETF
– RFC
� Information Technology
– SOAP, .NET, Java
– Ethernet, GSM, CDMA
– Graphics, video
� UDDI
� Cross-industry
– IEEE
– ISO
– ANSI
– ASTM
– CSA