emilink: mobile source air toxic analysis tool...microsoft powerpoint - 2 msat...
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EmiLink: Mobile Source Air Toxic Analysis Tool
17th International Emission Inventory Conference
Session 11: Mobile Sources
Madhusudhan VenugopalNorth Central Texas Council of Governments
June 5, 2008
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MSAT BACKGROUNDMobile Source Air Toxics
Mobile source air toxics are compounds emittedfrom highway vehicles and non-roadequipment which are known, or suspected, tocause cancer or other serious health andenvironmental effects.
The Clean Air Act identified 188 air toxics, alsoknown as hazardous air pollutants (HAPs). Mobile Sources are a significant contributor.
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MSAT BACKGROUNDMobile Source Air Toxics
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) hasidentified a group of 21 as mobile source airtoxics (MSAT) in its Final Rule (66 FR 17235).
EPA Has Extracted Six Priority MSATs:Benzene, FormaldehydeAcetaldehydeDiesel Particulate Matter/Diesel Exhaust Organic GasesAcrolein1,3-Butadiene
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The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) hasdeveloped a tiered approach for analyzingMSATs in the NEPA documents.
No Analysis For Projects With No Potential ForMeaningful MSAT Effects
Qualitative Analysis For Projects With LowPotential MSAT Effects Or
Quantitative Analysis To DifferentiateAlternatives For Projects With HigherPotential MSAT Effects
MSAT BACKGROUNDMobile Source Air Toxics
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Emissions Factors Estimation - MOBILE6.2
MSAT Emissions Estimation Including EstimationOf Vehicle Miles Of Travel - EmiLink Module
Identifying Affected Transportation NetworkComparing Build Versus No-Build
MSAT ANALYSISProcedure
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Estimation Of Annual Emission Factors Rates,Calculated By Combining Monthly Emissions Factors Using Weighting Factors CorrespondingTo Each Month
Local Inputs include
Vehicle Age Distribution
Diesel Fraction
Trip Length Distribution
Hourly VMT Distribution
Inspection And Maintenance, Etc.
MSAT ANALYSISEmissions Factors Estimation
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MSAT ANALYSISEmissions Factors Estimation
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MSAT ANALYSISEmissions Factors Estimation
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EmiLink Uses Vehicle Miles Of Travel (VMT)Calculation Consistent With TheTransportation Conformity Process
Travel Demand Modeling Four-Step Process
Non-Recurring Congestion Factor
HPMS Adjustment Factor
Seasonal Adjustment Factor
MSAT ANALYSISEmiLink - Vehicle Miles of Travel Estimation
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MSAT ANALYSISEmiLink Features
Capable Of Estimating Link-Level EmissionsThat Can Be Used Easily For MSAT Analysis
Capable Of Estimating Hourly Emissions
Capable Of producing Emissions Files ThatCan Be Used In EPS3 (Emissions Processing System) For PhotochemicalModeling
Eliminates Writing Job Control Files (JCF)
Has Run Time Of Three Hours For DFWNetwork With Approximately 40,000 Links
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MSAT ANALYSISEmilink Module
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TOD = Time of day
VMT-MIX FILEROADWAY
CORRESPONDENCE FILE
AIR QUALITY-LINK FILE
MOBILE6.2 EMISSIONS FACTORS FILE
EMISSIONS = VMT * VMT-MIX * MOBILE6.2 EMISSIONS FACTORS
POLLUTANT EMISSIONS
FILE
COUNTY EMISSIONS FILE
COUNTYTOD
FUNCTIONAL CLASS
TOD SPEED
ROADWAY TYPE
POLLUTANT ANDEMISSION TYPE
FUNCTIONAL CLASS
LINK IDVMT
LINK IDFUNCTIONAL CLASS
VOLUMEPOLLUTANT
EMISSION TYPEEMISSIONS FOR 28 EPA VEHICLE TYPES
POLLUTANTEMISSION TYPE
MOBILE6.2 EMISSION FACTORSVMT MIX FRACTIONS FOR
28 EPA VEHICLE TYPE
MSAT ANALYSISEmilink Module – Stage 2
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MSAT ANALYSISEmiLink Interface
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MSAT ANALYSISEmiLink Output Files
Tab-Delimited Hourly Emission Summary ByCounty, Roadway Type And Vehicle Type
Database Format File With Daily And AnnualLink Level Emissions, VMT And Volume
Hourly Emissions By Link In EPS3 Format
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MSAT ANALYSISEmiLink Output: Link-Emissions File
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Quantitative MSAT Analysis Should Include:
Estimation Of Total Emissions For Build AndNo Build Scenarios
Identification Of Affected TransportationNetwork
Estimation Of Change In Emission And VMT InThe Affected Area/Links From A No-Build ToA Build Alternative
MSAT ANALYSISQuantitative MSAT Procedure
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MSAT ANALYSISLoop 12 Roadway Case Study
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MSAT ANALYSISFHWA Recommended Five-Percent Volume Change
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MSAT ANALYSISTraffic Survey Zone Analysis
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MSAT ANALYSISLink Level Emissions
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15848.65
19318.41
25601.6225614.65
19338.59
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2007 Base 2015-Build 2015 No-Build 2030 Build 2030 No Build
MODEL SCENARIOS
EMIS
SIO
NS
(LB
S) a
nd V
MT
( 10^
4 M
iles)
Total_MSATsVMT (10 4̂ miles)
MSAT EMISSIONSTotal MSAT Emissions and VMT Growth
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MSAT EMISSIONSBuild And No-Build Analysis
0.00
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
14,000.00
Acrolei
n (lbs
)Ace
talde
hyde
(lbs)
Formald
ehyd
e (lbs
)
Butadie
ne (lb
s)
Benze
ne (lb
s)Dies
el PM10
(lbs)
TOTAL MSATs
VMT (10^
5 mile
s)
POLLUTANTS AND VMT
EMIS
SIO
NS(
LBS)
AN
D V
MT
(MIL
ES)
20072015-Build2015 No-Build2030 Build2030 No Build
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EmiLink Has Been Used Successfully On Projects In DFW And Has Shown The Following Advantages:
Reduces The Calculation Time For The MSATAnalysis
Significantly Decreases The Cost Of The WorkFrom Initial Estimates
Provides Consistency Of Results By ItsConsistent VMT Estimation
Provides A Stream-Lined Process To Get FromThe Mobile 6.2 Emission Factor Files To TheEmissions Output
Provides User-Friendly Interface For SpecifyingInputs
MSAT ANALYSISConclusions
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EmiLink can be modified to be used by other metropolitan planning areas.
Improvements are needed in the process of finding affected roadways links.
A recommendation for EPA and FHWA would be to develop a process for quantitative MSAT analysis that targets only the affected roadway links.
Applying an emission threshold yields better results than percent volume or VMT change.
MSAT ANALYSISFuture Directions
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MSAT ANALYSISContact Information
Madhusudhan VenugopalSenior Transportation Planner
(817) [email protected]
Kathleen YuSenior Transportation System Modeler
(817) 608-2343 [email protected]