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Enabling the Hyperconnected
Age: the role of semiconductors
November 2014
Neil McCullough
Associate Director
Oxford Economics
Redefining society, culture and communications
Mobile devices: social media, web
browsing, entertainment, and various forms
of connectivity
Automobiles: keyless cars, infotainment
systems and safety features
Wearable devices: heart rate, glucose
levels, food intake, and real time data for
Doctors
Unparalleled possibilities
None of it possible without the
semiconductor
Top innovations since the wheel
1. Printing press
2. Electricity
3. Penicillin
4. Semiconductor
5. Eyeglasses
6. Paper
7. The steam engine
Source: http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2013/11/innovations-list/309536/
June 2014, Facebook more than
1.32bn monthly active users
More than 7bn mobile devices
now outnumber global
population
By 2017, c.10bn devices will
have downloaded 77bn apps
By 2020 there will be 50bn
networked devices (Cisco)
Though some find this number
conservative, as less than 1% of
objects are connected to the
internet.
Semiconductors’ global footprint (in 2012)
$290bn in annual revenue in
2012
Expectations that this will
exceed $400bn in 2017
A direct contribution to
global GDP - the industry’s
turnover less its costs, also
known as its “value-added”
of $202bn
Sustaining 1.3m high-value
jobs
Direct employment by type of semiconductor firm
10% in Europe
10.8%
21%
5.3%
IDM dominates with c.66.6% of direct GDP and 61.9% of jobs
Fabless account for 17.7% of GDP, but only 9.3% of jobs
c.75% of foundry jobs in Taiwan (57%), China (10%) and US
(9%)
OSAT – 2nd largest employer (18.5%) but only 6.4% of GDP
EDA / IP – 4 economies account for over 75% of jobs, US
(25%), Europe (21%), China (15%) and Taiwan (15%)
Geographic distribution of direct employment
Directly supports 1.3 million jobs around the world in 2012
A truly global sector
US highest number of jobs, but China estimated to have nearly as many,
given lower cost of labor and the growing importance
GDP impacts of the semiconductor industry
Advanced economies US, Europe and Japan enjoyed the largest impacts
But the impact is sizable elsewhere
The economic impact of semiconductors
Quantifying full effect is
complicated
Innovation in the
semiconductor industry
grew at close to 9% over
the period from 1960 to
2007 in the US
25 times the innovation
growth rate for the
economy as a whole
Estimated to have counted
for nearly 30% of the US’
aggregate economic
innovation over this period.
Source: Samuels, Jon D. (2012): "Semiconductors
and U.S. Economic Growth".
The downstream economic impact (US $ bn)
Most important contributions of semiconductor advancements are felt
in sectors where semiconductors are vital inputs.
Unsurprisingly, consumer electronic appliances, particularly
computers, account for nearly 50% of the downstream contribution
Why semiconductors matter to policymakers
$155,000 per full-time employee -
37% higher than US economy as a
whole
Recognized that boosting skills in
STEM can raise national
competitiveness
Semiconductor industry employs
such skills, and the quality reflected
in the industry’s pay levels
The US semiconductor & electronic
component manu. sector employed:
■ 62,000 engineers with average
salary of almost $97,000 in 2012
■ 27,000 computer & mathematical
occupations, with average salary
of $94,000
Semiconductor R&D from 1978 to 2013
(forecast)
Conclusions for policymakers
Recognize the contributions of the semiconductor industry
Consider:
■ Funding and scholarships for students in STEM, and programs to expand
and diversify the talent pipeline;
■ R&D tax credits;
■ Patent reform;
■ Immigration reform;
■ Increased collaborations with research units; and
■ Aid in developing research consortia that foster and accelerate pre-
commercial innovation in semiconductor materials, fabrication
technologies, and architecture.
Contact Details:
Neil McCullough
Oxford Economics
Lagan House
Sackville Street
Lisburn
County Antrim
BT27 4AB
UK
Tel: 028 9263 5400