energy and markets newsletter 110111
TRANSCRIPT
8/3/2019 Energy and Markets Newsletter 110111
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November 1,2011
Energy Data Highlights
Retail gasoline price10/31/2011: $3.452/galdown$0.010 from week earlierup$0.646 from year earlier
Retail diesel price10/31/2011: $3.892/galup$0.067 from week earlierup$0.825 from year earlier
Crude oil futures price10/28/2011: $93.32/bblup$5.92 from week earlierup$11.14 from year earlier
Natural gas futures price10/28/2011: $3.923/mmBtu
up$0.294 from week earlierup$0.033 from year earlier
Weekly coal production10/22/2011: 21.159 million tonsdown0.227 million tons from week earlierdown0.111 million tons from year earlier
http://www.eia.gov/
Natural Gas/ Power News
EIA Storage Release 10/27/11 (Actual): +92 Bcf Previous Week: +112 Bcf -0.7% Change from 1 Year Ago+4.4% Change 5-year Average
Russian Gas Takes Route in the Baltic Sea
The Castoro Sei’s 330-strong multinational crew of engineers and technicians are
laying the second leg of the world's longest subsea natural-gas pipeline. The
Follow
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conduit, called Nord Stream, snakes its way across 761 miles of Baltic sea, joining
Vyborg, Russia, to Lubmin on the German coast. At a cost of 7.4 billion euros ($11
billion), it will deliver Siberian natural gas into the heart of Western Europe,
crucially avoiding a politically fraught passage through Ukraine. Flowing at
capacity, the link could supply the entire gas consumption of France.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-28/russian-gas-takes-route-in-the-baltic-
sea.html
US gas exports could converge global prices: IEA deputy chief
The $10/Mcf premium for natural gas in Asian markets compared with the US
could shrink if North American LNG exports become established, the deputy chief
of the International Energy Agency said Monday in Singapore.
http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/NaturalGas/8522827
Middle East could start tapping 'plentiful' shale gas resources: Partex
The Middle East may have big deposits of shale gas, the unconventional natural
gas resource that has transformed North America's gas market, a senior officer of
Partex Oil and Gas said Monday.
http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/NaturalGas/8522884
Green/ Alternative Energy News
Beacon Power bankrupt; had U.S. backing like Solyndra
Beacon Power Corp filed for bankruptcy on Sunday, just a year after the energy
storage company received a $43 million loan guarantee from a controversial
Department of Energy program. The bankruptcy comes about two months after
Solyndra -- a solar panel maker with a $535 million loan guarantee -- also filed for
Chapter 11, creating a political embarrassment for the administration of President
Barack Obama, which has championed the loans as a way to create "green
energy" jobs.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/31/us-beaconpower-bankruptcy-
idUSTRE79T39320111031
US EPA, greens extend GHG talks; agency promises schedule 'shortly'
The US Environmental Protection Agency said Monday it remains in talks with
advocates seeking limits on greenhouse gas emissions from the power sector and
planned to soon have a schedule to release the first federal regulations to curb
global warming pollution from existing fossil fuel units.
http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/ElectricPower/6631563
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Crude Oil News
OPEC Daily Basket Price 10/28/2011- $109.15
(10/27/2011- $109.09)
Crude Falls a Third Day on China Manufacturing Slowdown, European
Debt
Oil dropped for a third day in New York on speculation commodity demand will
falter as Chinese manufacturing slows and European leaders struggle to contain
the region’s debt crisis.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-01/crude-falls-a-third-day-on-china-
manufacturing-slowdown-european-debt.html
Oil at $100 ‘Not Sustainable,’ Former IEA Chief Tanaka SaysOil prices at $100 a barrel in New York would not be sustainable given the state of the global economy, according to the former executive director of the InternationalEnergy Agency.http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-11-01/oil-at-100-not-sustainable-former-iea-chief-tanaka-says.html
Oil prices fall $2 as euro crisis fears deepenOil prices fell more than $2 per barrel on Tuesday as worries over the euro zone
debt crisis and the collapse of broker-dealer MF Global darkened the outlook for
the global economy.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/01/us-markets-oil-
idUSTRE7922QH20111101
US crude oil stocks should increase 1.1 million barrels: analysts
Weekly oil data from the US Energy Information Administration and the American
Petroleum Institute should show a 1.1 million barrel rise in US commercial crudeinventories for the week ended October 28, analysts polled by Platts said Monday.
http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/Oil/6631462
Hedge Funds Bet on Collapse of WTI-Brent Spread: Energy Markets
Hedge funds increased bullish bets on West Texas Intermediate oil to the highest
level since May on expectations the gap between the U.S. benchmark price and
Brent, the standard for more than half the world's crude, will continue to narrow.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?
f=/g/a/2011/10/31/bloomberg_articlesLTXMIB0UQVI9.DTL#ixzz1cNhcwchn
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Oil prices fall on strong dollar Crude oil prices lost ground on the strength of the dollar and lingering doubts overthe eurozone sovereign debt deal, although, despite worries about a possibleglobal recession, traders pointed to the tight underlying physical markets. The ICE
December Brent benchmark was down $1.33 at $108.58 a barrel in early New York afternoon trading, while the Nymex December West Texas Intermediatecontract was down $1.21 a barrel at $92.11. However, the downward slope in thecrude oil futures price curve – known in the industry as “backwardation” – pointedto continuing a tight supply and demand balance.http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/303e7bb8-03ae-11e1-864e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1cS8jOZvh
Oil New World Order
For more than five decades, the world’s oil map has centered on the Middle East.
No matter what new energy resources were discovered and developed elsewhere,virtually all forecasts indicated that U.S. reliance on Mideast oil supplies wasdestined to grow. This seemingly irreversible reality has shaped not only U.S.energy policy and economic policy, but also geopolitics and the entire globaleconomy. But today, what appeared irreversible is being reversed. The outline of a new world oil map is emerging, and it is centered not on the Middle East but onthe Western Hemisphere. The new energy axis runs from Alberta, Canada, downthrough North Dakota and South Texas, past a major new discovery off the coastof French Guyana to huge offshore oil deposits found near Brazil.http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/daniel-yergin-for-the-future-of-oil-look-
to-the-americas-not-the-middle-east/2011/10/18/gIQAxdDw7L_story.html?
tid=sm_btn_linkedIn
Pendulum swings on American oil independence The sparsely populated state is at the heart of the new US oil boom and there is a
desperate need for drivers of equipment trucks and oil tankers. As a result, North
Dakota has the lowest unemployment in the union – just 3.5 per cent, compared
with national average of 9.1 per cent. The true significance of the oil rush,
however, will be felt far beyond this rural state on the Canadian border. Along with
similar booms that are under way or expected across North America, from Alberta
to Texas, it is a development that holds profound implications for the economy of
the US and its status as superpower. In prospect is energy independence – adecades-old dream of American politicians of all stripes. Many analysts expect
that in the coming decade the US will leapfrog Saudi Arabia and Russia to become
the world’s largest producer of liquid hydrocarbons, counting both crude oil and
lighter natural gas liquids such as propane and ethane. That optimism reflects the
increasing flow of “tight oil” as well as gas from shale – rock formations holding
reserves unlocked through new extraction technologies.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/65bfd07a-03b3-11e1-bbc5-
00144feabdc0.html#axzz1cS8jOZvh
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Recent Rig Counts
Area
Last
Count
Cou
nt
Change
from Prior
Count
Date of
Prior
Count
Change
from Last
Year
Date of
Last
Year's
Count
U.S. 28 Oct11
2021 8 21 Oct 11 +349 5 Nov 10
Canada 28 Oct11
499 2 21 Oct 11 +66 5 Nov 10
International
September 2011
1174 -9 August2011
+54 September2010
http://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/rig_counts/rc_index.cfm
Weather
6 to 10 Day Outlooks
Temperature
Precipitation
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8 to 14 Day Outlooks Temperature
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Precipitation
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