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Rosemary Coyne SHAP Co-ordinator 2018 ENERGY CAPITAL CONFERENCE 27.11.18 SHAP Research Introduction

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  • Rosemary CoyneSHAP Co-ordinator

    2018

    ENERGY CAPITAL CONFERENCE 27.11.18

    SHAP Research Introduction

  • 2

    > This can’t go on…

  • Beyond_Decent_Homes_IntroductionBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_1_the_StandardBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_2_Framework_of_benefitsBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_3_Implementation_planningBeyond_Decent_Homes_v1_Detailed_cost_estimates_0Beyond_Decent_Homes_v1_Specification_Digest_0Beyond_Decent_Homes_Case StudiesBeyond_Decent_Homes_Bibliography_and_Appendices

    https://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_introduction.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_1_the_standard.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_2_framework_of_benefits.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_3_implementation_planning.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_v1_detailed_cost_estimates_0.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_v1_specification_digest_0.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_case-studies.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_bibliography_and_appendices.pdf

  • Community Green Deal

    • “Community Green Deal” report -outlines a framework for the delivery of large scale, cross-tenure, whole house retrofit projects using a variety of funding mechanisms.

    • Three key areas:– How to deliver retrofit measures at

    scale

    – How to finance retrofit measures

    – How this could impact on the economy in terms of jobs, skills and the supply chain

    Outcomes presented to DECC

    SHAP/HCA/Urban Living Housing renewal pathfinder

    Plus 75 other public and private sector org reps

  • Conclusion

    • Significant opportunity for growth

    • Need to “think big”

    • Structured approach to delivery

    • Financial and technical solutions are complex

    • Funding is available – needs to be unlocked

    • Above all – deliver carbon reductions and reduce fuel poverty

  • 2016 - WHY did we undertake the research?

    1. To advise on increasing certainty on the quality of the outcomes from investment and reduce the seeming lottery

    of outcomes and project VFM – new and existing homes

    “I am pleased that a national company has finally accepted that the build quality has been unacceptable on the properties. Although potential compensation is brilliant it will never fully cover the turmoil that these residents have suffered.” 2016

    examples of exemplary performance in installing energy efficiency measures have been highlighted, two of which are presented in the industry chapters of this Report..However, too often interventions are not well-targeted to suitable properties and, in a minority of cases, there is poor practice and sub-standard work being carried out.

  • WHY did we propose the research?2. To find ways to fund largescale investment in housing –

    which is part of our critical national infrastructure

    Photos from SHAP Beyond Decent Homes report 2009https://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_case-studies.pdf

  • WHAT were our research hypotheses?1. Challenge Business as Usual (BAU) and demonstrate an alternative

    model for achieving Value for Money (VFM)

    1. Cheaper over lifetime

    2. Affordable

    3. Will deliver against multiple drivers/priorities (holistic)

    2. Challenge the mantra that there is no money to retrofit our existing

    housing stock at scale across all tenures.

    3. Demonstrate that finance IS available to tackle some systemic issues

    and that using this finance differently (INTELLIGENT CLIENT and

    Smart and Sustainable Procurement) will support robust risk

    management and security of outcomes

  • WHAT did we find?

    • Little evidence of pilot projects being assessed and findings being used in feedback loops which in turn inform organisational strategies. Rather, anecdotal reports that we tried something, it didn’t work, so tried something else.

    Innovation is risky. We need to first of all do what we know how to do better and then within that activity create spaces for innovation where the risks are carefully managed and allowance is made for remedial work as required once the innovation is fully assessed.

    Innovation can deliver great outcomes and some unexpected great outcomes. We need better mechanisms for capturing and sharing these examples.

  • WHAT did we find?

    • Up front capital costs may not fall by going to scale but whole life total costs will reflect the value of investment in good process (egsurvey and detailing) and high quality fabric/technology solutions

  • WHAT did we find?

    Monitoring is crucial –how do we otherwise ever know what is going on?

    This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA

    This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND

    This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA

    http://www.stochasticgeometry.ie/page/2/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/http://chicot101.deviantart.com/art/Thermometer-Icon-260485458https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_tod/465060015/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/

  • The research workstreams

    Key Research Criteria

    1. The research must encompass ALL HOUSING TENURES.2. The final research outcomes should be relevant and easy to navigate for

    decisionmakers 3. There should be a mechanism for the research findings and recommendations to be

    updated over time.4. The research should build on existing information wherever possible and NOT reinvent the wheel or duplicate other work currently or recently launched.5. The research should recognise that the voluntary standards and processes proposed should be visionary but underpinned by a pragmatism of how decisionmakers can move forward to secure better outcomes from housing investment.

  • WHO led the research?

    Rob AnnableAxis Design

    New build healthy homes

    performance standard -

    model

    Mike Menzies

    Axis Design

    New build healthy homes

    performance standard -

    model

    Jason Palmer

    CAR

    New build healthy homes

    performance standard -costings

    Pat Laughlin

    EBC

    Smart and sustainable

    procurement

    Steven Harris

    Steven Harris Ltd

    Retrofit finance model – delivering successful projects

    Charlie Baker

    Red Coop

    Retrofit finance model

    – financing retrofit – all

    tenuers

  • CASE STUDY

    Energiesprong

  • Asking for a new product

    ASSURED QUALITY30+ years energy performance warranty

    NON-INTRUSIVERefurbishment within days not weeks

    AFFORDABLEFinanceable from energy cost savings (guaranteed)

    DESIGNImprove look & feel – desirable product

  • Focusing on people

    Imag

    es: A

    mb

    er A

    nd

    erso

    n @

    Haw

    kan

    dM

    ou

    se

    Easy to understand product with• Guaranteed comfort• Fixed monthly cost• Outcome not output

  • In the UK, each year:

    > £5.2bn spent on existing social housing stock> £4.2bn spent by social housing tenants on energy

    Energiesprongturns that into productive investment to make our homes fit for 2050

    c£xk investmentToday Tomorrow

  • BEFORE REFURBISHMENT

    Rent

    EnergyBill

    Utility

    Housing Provider

    Refurbishment investment

    AFTER REFURBISHMENT

    Rent

    ComfortPlan

    Housing Provider

    > Business Model

    EnergyBill

    UtilityIRR

    19

  • > Energiesprong is here!

  • Glasgow: Interested

    Leeds: Interested

    Greater Manchester: Interested

    Nottingham: 10 complete homes with over 200 more in the pipeline

    Essex: Application for 10 homes in negotiation

    Devon: 15 homes approved

    Sutton: Application for 10 homes in negotiation

    London: Application for 10 homes in negotiation

    Birmingham: Factory capacity

    Liverpool: Bid for 9 homes

    Croydon and Brighton: Bid submitted for 30 homes

    https://vimeo.com/289344914/833df9ce55

    https://vimeo.com/248462547 BBC news 2017

    https://vimeo.com/289344914/833df9ce55https://vimeo.com/248462547

  • Desirable, warm, affordable homes for life

    [email protected]

    http://www.energiesprong.uk/

  • Investing in housing as critical infrastructure

    requires systemic changeRobust process

    Business case

    Financial model

    Standards

    Evidence of performance

    Designing for total cost of occupation and guaranteeing outcomes

    Maximising opportunities to add value e.g. transformation of the energy system

  • RESEARCH REPORTS include:

    Beyond Decent Homes – 2009

    Community Green Deal – 2010

    www.shap.uk.com/resources

    New build healthy homes performance standard

    Finance models for retrofit

    Smart and sustainable procurement

    www.shap.uk.com/research

    http://www.shap.uk.com/resourceshttp://www.shap.uk.com/research

  • Thank you

    Rosemary CoyneSHAP Co-Ordinator

    www.shap.uk.comorhttps://shapuk.wordpress.com/

    07971 249858

    http://www.shap.uk.com/https://shapuk.wordpress.com/