energy capital conference 27.11.18 shap research ......2018/12/05 · community green deal •...
TRANSCRIPT
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Rosemary CoyneSHAP Co-ordinator
2018
ENERGY CAPITAL CONFERENCE 27.11.18
SHAP Research Introduction
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2
> This can’t go on…
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Beyond_Decent_Homes_IntroductionBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_1_the_StandardBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_2_Framework_of_benefitsBeyond_Decent_Homes_Part_3_Implementation_planningBeyond_Decent_Homes_v1_Detailed_cost_estimates_0Beyond_Decent_Homes_v1_Specification_Digest_0Beyond_Decent_Homes_Case StudiesBeyond_Decent_Homes_Bibliography_and_Appendices
https://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_introduction.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_1_the_standard.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_2_framework_of_benefits.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_part_3_implementation_planning.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_v1_detailed_cost_estimates_0.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_v1_specification_digest_0.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_case-studies.pdfhttps://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_bibliography_and_appendices.pdf
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Community Green Deal
• “Community Green Deal” report -outlines a framework for the delivery of large scale, cross-tenure, whole house retrofit projects using a variety of funding mechanisms.
• Three key areas:– How to deliver retrofit measures at
scale
– How to finance retrofit measures
– How this could impact on the economy in terms of jobs, skills and the supply chain
Outcomes presented to DECC
SHAP/HCA/Urban Living Housing renewal pathfinder
Plus 75 other public and private sector org reps
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Conclusion
• Significant opportunity for growth
• Need to “think big”
• Structured approach to delivery
• Financial and technical solutions are complex
• Funding is available – needs to be unlocked
• Above all – deliver carbon reductions and reduce fuel poverty
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2016 - WHY did we undertake the research?
1. To advise on increasing certainty on the quality of the outcomes from investment and reduce the seeming lottery
of outcomes and project VFM – new and existing homes
“I am pleased that a national company has finally accepted that the build quality has been unacceptable on the properties. Although potential compensation is brilliant it will never fully cover the turmoil that these residents have suffered.” 2016
examples of exemplary performance in installing energy efficiency measures have been highlighted, two of which are presented in the industry chapters of this Report..However, too often interventions are not well-targeted to suitable properties and, in a minority of cases, there is poor practice and sub-standard work being carried out.
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WHY did we propose the research?2. To find ways to fund largescale investment in housing –
which is part of our critical national infrastructure
Photos from SHAP Beyond Decent Homes report 2009https://shapuk.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/beyond_decent_homes_case-studies.pdf
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WHAT were our research hypotheses?1. Challenge Business as Usual (BAU) and demonstrate an alternative
model for achieving Value for Money (VFM)
1. Cheaper over lifetime
2. Affordable
3. Will deliver against multiple drivers/priorities (holistic)
2. Challenge the mantra that there is no money to retrofit our existing
housing stock at scale across all tenures.
3. Demonstrate that finance IS available to tackle some systemic issues
and that using this finance differently (INTELLIGENT CLIENT and
Smart and Sustainable Procurement) will support robust risk
management and security of outcomes
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WHAT did we find?
• Little evidence of pilot projects being assessed and findings being used in feedback loops which in turn inform organisational strategies. Rather, anecdotal reports that we tried something, it didn’t work, so tried something else.
Innovation is risky. We need to first of all do what we know how to do better and then within that activity create spaces for innovation where the risks are carefully managed and allowance is made for remedial work as required once the innovation is fully assessed.
Innovation can deliver great outcomes and some unexpected great outcomes. We need better mechanisms for capturing and sharing these examples.
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WHAT did we find?
• Up front capital costs may not fall by going to scale but whole life total costs will reflect the value of investment in good process (egsurvey and detailing) and high quality fabric/technology solutions
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WHAT did we find?
Monitoring is crucial –how do we otherwise ever know what is going on?
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA
http://www.stochasticgeometry.ie/page/2/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/http://chicot101.deviantart.com/art/Thermometer-Icon-260485458https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_tod/465060015/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.0/
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The research workstreams
Key Research Criteria
1. The research must encompass ALL HOUSING TENURES.2. The final research outcomes should be relevant and easy to navigate for
decisionmakers 3. There should be a mechanism for the research findings and recommendations to be
updated over time.4. The research should build on existing information wherever possible and NOT reinvent the wheel or duplicate other work currently or recently launched.5. The research should recognise that the voluntary standards and processes proposed should be visionary but underpinned by a pragmatism of how decisionmakers can move forward to secure better outcomes from housing investment.
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WHO led the research?
Rob AnnableAxis Design
New build healthy homes
performance standard -
model
Mike Menzies
Axis Design
New build healthy homes
performance standard -
model
Jason Palmer
CAR
New build healthy homes
performance standard -costings
Pat Laughlin
EBC
Smart and sustainable
procurement
Steven Harris
Steven Harris Ltd
Retrofit finance model – delivering successful projects
Charlie Baker
Red Coop
Retrofit finance model
– financing retrofit – all
tenuers
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CASE STUDY
Energiesprong
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Asking for a new product
ASSURED QUALITY30+ years energy performance warranty
NON-INTRUSIVERefurbishment within days not weeks
AFFORDABLEFinanceable from energy cost savings (guaranteed)
DESIGNImprove look & feel – desirable product
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Focusing on people
Imag
es: A
mb
er A
nd
erso
n @
Haw
kan
dM
ou
se
Easy to understand product with• Guaranteed comfort• Fixed monthly cost• Outcome not output
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In the UK, each year:
> £5.2bn spent on existing social housing stock> £4.2bn spent by social housing tenants on energy
Energiesprongturns that into productive investment to make our homes fit for 2050
c£xk investmentToday Tomorrow
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BEFORE REFURBISHMENT
Rent
EnergyBill
Utility
Housing Provider
Refurbishment investment
AFTER REFURBISHMENT
Rent
ComfortPlan
Housing Provider
> Business Model
EnergyBill
UtilityIRR
19
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> Energiesprong is here!
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Glasgow: Interested
Leeds: Interested
Greater Manchester: Interested
Nottingham: 10 complete homes with over 200 more in the pipeline
Essex: Application for 10 homes in negotiation
Devon: 15 homes approved
Sutton: Application for 10 homes in negotiation
London: Application for 10 homes in negotiation
Birmingham: Factory capacity
Liverpool: Bid for 9 homes
Croydon and Brighton: Bid submitted for 30 homes
https://vimeo.com/289344914/833df9ce55
https://vimeo.com/248462547 BBC news 2017
https://vimeo.com/289344914/833df9ce55https://vimeo.com/248462547
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Desirable, warm, affordable homes for life
http://www.energiesprong.uk/
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Investing in housing as critical infrastructure
requires systemic changeRobust process
Business case
Financial model
Standards
Evidence of performance
Designing for total cost of occupation and guaranteeing outcomes
Maximising opportunities to add value e.g. transformation of the energy system
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RESEARCH REPORTS include:
Beyond Decent Homes – 2009
Community Green Deal – 2010
www.shap.uk.com/resources
New build healthy homes performance standard
Finance models for retrofit
Smart and sustainable procurement
www.shap.uk.com/research
http://www.shap.uk.com/resourceshttp://www.shap.uk.com/research
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Thank you
Rosemary CoyneSHAP Co-Ordinator
www.shap.uk.comorhttps://shapuk.wordpress.com/
07971 249858
http://www.shap.uk.com/https://shapuk.wordpress.com/