energy overview

Non-OECD nations drive the increase in energy demand*world energy consumptionquadrillion BtuSource: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011HistoryProjections2008Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013

Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013

Chart1

198.562155.1051990

202.1207291129154.18799117831991

203.9383482489152.62121827431992

207.6420372611153.88728023741993

211.1410489248154.66488501151994

216.0791186854157.54145687911995

222.9189268893160.46139344341996

225.6319088887163.91005914171997

226.1121730331164.33981834391998

230.260719674167.76286087981999

234.4840387505171.49052224042000

232.8863092948176.48025006562001

234.8751357471184.99592315942002

236.253197.2422003

241.382215.9612004

243.9227.1852005

244.321236.9592006

246.087246.4892007

244.255260.4522008

234.244269.5162009

237.996284.0512010

240.749290.4112011

243.943298.3652012

246.631305.7562013

248.606314.4882014

250.408323.0522015

252.961328.7132016

254.708336.3512017

256.617344.4462018

258.429351.9492019

260.565358.9152020

262.776366.1262021

264.425374.2332022

266.216383.0162023

268.065392.3762024

269.76401.7052025

271.506411.2182026

273.195419.8152027

275.022427.9262028

276.776435.62029

278.743442.7512030

280.923450.1282031

282.927458.1172032

284.682465.7792033

286.493473.6942034

288.162481.6252035

Non-OECD

OECD

244

260

482

288

OECD

Non-OECD

Total

Sheet1

Column11990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035

OECD198.6202.1203.9207.6211.1216.1222.9225.6226.1230.3234.5232.9234.9236.3241.4243.9244.3246.1244.3234.2238.0240.7243.9246.6248.6250.4253.0254.7256.6258.4260.6262.8264.4266.2268.1269.8271.5273.2275.0276.8278.7280.9282.9284.7286.5288.2

Non-OECD155.1154.2152.6153.9154.7157.5160.5163.9164.3167.8171.5176.5185.0197.2216.0227.2237.0246.5260.5269.5284.1290.4298.4305.8314.5323.1328.7336.4344.4351.9358.9366.1374.2383.0392.4401.7411.2419.8427.9435.6442.8450.1458.1465.8473.7481.6

Total353.667356.3356.6361.5365.8373.6383.4389.5390.5398.0406.0409.4419.9433.496457.343471.084481.28492.576504.707503.76522.047531.161542.307552.386563.094573.461581.673591.058601.063610.378619.479628.902638.658649.232660.441671.465682.723693.01702.948712.376721.494731.051741.045750.462760.187769.787

Growth in income and population drive rising energy use; energy intensity improvements moderate increases in energy demand*average annual change (2008-2035) percent per yearSource: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2011Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Chart1

-1.95295768251.56125341420.91

-1.27466152741.55017795890.24

-0.31037026340.8929153431-0.35

-1.64504504832.90226600160.02

-2.56487450065.36616252820.33

-2.17659843554.48143872710.96

-1.67339640284.06047339110.49

-1.58000237692.18498976371.56

-1.74845840622.0324446381.67

-1.99520520313.0650401814-0.44

Energy Intensity

GDP per capita

Population

Sheet1

Column1U.S.OECD EuropeJapanSouth KoreaChinaIndiaBrazilMiddle EastAfricaRussia

Energy Intensity-1.9529576825-1.2746615274-0.3103702634-1.6450450483-2.5648745006-2.1765984355-1.6733964028-1.5800023769-1.7484584062-1.9952052031

GDP per capita1.56125341421.55017795890.89291534312.90226600165.36616252824.48143872714.06047339112.18498976372.0324446383.0650401814

Population0.910.24-0.350.020.330.960.491.561.67-0.44

Non-OECD liquid fuels use surpasses almost flat OECD liquid fuels use in the near future*total liquids consumption million barrels per daySource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 ProjectionsHistory2010OECD664741Non-OECD46Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Chart1

48.12329864529.0971641541

48.015979766829.8133049011

48.011398315430.4958591461

48.992103576731.0979995728

49.821006774933.0690040588

50.189174652133.8724441528

49.851570129435.3093299866

49.72922134435.9740600586

48.126903533937.361328125

45.958267211938.4263572693

46.359245300340.6808586121

45.935909271242.1908340454

45.740238189743.6066017151

45.459091186544.2733917236

46.005489349445.4174003601

46.402770996146.787197113

46.789859771748.1241035461

47.118896484449.327205658

47.404003143350.3775939941

47.686904907251.2198982239

47.866775512751.874294281

48.103237152152.5448989868

48.17827606253.4300994873

48.22244262754.4104995728

48.193027496355.7321014404

48.103332519557.1522064209

47.97440719658.4034004211

47.840381622359.331401825

47.735012054460.1209983826

47.635265350360.6665039062

47.567771911660.9760971069

47.519878387561.2858009338

47.451049804761.7200012207

47.363521575962.141204834

47.286853790362.5921058655

47.19659805363.0978965759

47.171974182163.6092910767

47.150238037164.2623138428

47.16485595764.8040924072

47.166706085265.2990951538

47.192119598465.7399978638

OECD

Non-OECD

Sheet1

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

OECD48.1248.0248.0148.9949.8250.1949.8549.7348.1345.9646.3645.9445.7445.4646.0146.4046.7947.1247.4047.6947.8748.1048.1848.2248.1948.1047.9747.8447.7447.6447.5747.5247.4547.3647.2947.2047.1747.1547.1647.1747.19

Non-OECD29.1029.8130.5031.1033.0733.8735.3135.9737.3638.4340.6842.1943.6144.2745.4246.7948.1249.3350.3851.2251.8752.5453.4354.4155.7357.1558.4059.3360.1260.6760.9861.2961.7262.1462.5963.1063.6164.2664.8065.3065.74

110.2944946289112.9321174622

42.79%41.79%

57.21%58.21%

Liquids fuel consumption in the United States, China, and India, 1990-2040 *million barrels per daySource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013HistoryProjections2010Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Chart1

16.9882.2951.168

16.681268592.4987991.19031862

17.109513052.661601171.27490676

17.257593762.959490841.31107003

17.799833083.160605451.41327447

17.783789963.363155281.57467255

18.476148443.610085151.68091881

18.774067473.916269941.76549128

18.946005574.105834561.84437257

19.603827594.36360112.03125029

19.71792324.795714762.12743846

19.772595344.917881852.18373028

20.1595.5782.348

20.8895.5782.346

20.7976.4372.43

20.6556.6952.512

20.6497.2632.691

19.5247.5342.801

18.8137.9482.908

19.178.5383.008

19.17010879529.393.12

18.94674301159.793.27

18.646837234510.213.36

18.766490936310.613.46

19.145893096911.27499961853.5940001011

19.461967468312.06900024413.7209999561

19.609964370712.74300003053.8910000324

19.701093673713.3430004124.0450000763

19.775606155413.78499984744.2069997787

19.844806671114.08800029754.3759999275

19.835075378414.24400043494.5479998589

19.784135818514.44999980934.7449998856

19.750375747714.7659997944.9580001831

19.672939300515.17700004585.1939997673

19.598129272515.71599960335.4640002251

19.495536804216.35300064095.7620000839

19.378807067916.89200019846.0419998169

19.267784118717.28400039676.2979998589

19.178009033217.51899909976.5229997635

19.093767166117.5930004126.7069997787

19.037874221817.49699974066.8460001945

18.987676620517.46100044256.9470000267

18.937051773117.51300048837.007999897

18.893720626817.6429996497.021999836

18.874954223617.85300064096.993999958

18.861499786418.15900039676.9260001183

18.858266830418.43499946596.8979997635

18.86851692218.756.8839998245

18.88891792318.94700050356.8860001564

18.915773391719.17399978646.8860001564

18.947084426919.39500045786.890999794

India

United States

China

United States

China

India

Sheet1

Column1199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

United States17.016.717.117.317.817.818.518.818.919.619.7219.7720.1620.8920.8020.6620.6519.5218.8119.1719.1718.9518.6518.7719.1519.4619.6119.7019.7819.8419.8419.7819.7519.6719.6019.5019.3819.2719.1819.0919.0418.9918.9418.8918.8718.8618.918.918.918.918.9

China2.32.52.73.03.23.43.63.94.14.44.84.95.65.66.46.77.37.57.98.59.49.810.210.611.312.112.713.313.814.114.214.414.815.215.716.416.917.317.517.617.517.517.517.617.918.218.418.818.919.219.4

India1.21.21.31.31.41.61.71.81.82.02.12.22.32.32.42.52.72.82.93.03.13.33.43.53.63.73.94.04.24.44.54.75.05.25.55.86.06.36.56.76.86.97.07.07.06.96.96.96.96.96.9

Global liquids supply increases 26 percent with regional market shares relatively stable *Global liquids supplymillion barrels per dayProjectionsHistory2011OPECOther non-OECDOECD44%25%31%40%26%34%Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013


Chart1

19.76916422.5617294523.6794785519901990

20.36866321.8665482723.7016347319911991

20.56040820.448242125.031796919921992

21.25765519.982829925.818031119931993

22.31715419.765530779926.595408220119941994

22.73548220.296339290927.303239709119951995

23.58366320.676974380427.776490619619961996

23.66184321.196424204329.130916795719971997

23.41556721.639273836430.306132163619981998

23.28322322.306272876429.221776123619991999

23.61397522.928036658331.035375341720002000

23.5603423.301182915730.441143084320012001

23.78041924.09699493628.86733706420022002

23.6586225.079400200630.460780799420032003

23.47924726.19483363633.04247336420042004

22.573326.817568251534.744877748520052005

22.50373827.336326891934.512006108120062006

22.56512927.732153041134.166876958920072007

22.06894927.840071864835.388724135220082008

22.56031828.463684028733.784362971320092009

23.06895429.487972090934.853949909120102010

23.21761429.473235463435.080820536620112011

23.9031229.16657334436.43930965620122012

24.67577329.477758788736.319473211320132013

25.38050229.361084787936.681303212120142014

25.48867830.011651640837.689637359220152015

25.79446630.578294588338.541201411720162016

26.0108731.034502993439.400726006620172017

26.20558331.434438845740.141577154320182018

26.36901131.848888163540.688902836520192019

26.34446632.262670825441.133946174620202020

26.27945632.727567407841.641109592220212021

26.21200433.148142916642.248219083420222022

26.16577133.597191341142.869977658920232023

26.1534134.129550878443.642163121620242024

26.20828234.680287982444.366983017620252025

26.1541635.162162951245.061479048820262026

26.19294735.452043377945.526786622120272027

26.23792735.675270628645.942812371420282028

26.29150135.79929056546.21098343520292029

26.39172535.788211446146.363926553920302030

26.53481835.658945175946.611925824120312031

26.6935935.58838009346.88907690720322032

26.88800635.491660723247.125072276820332033

27.04637835.439562259247.393011740820342034

27.1900635.443107816847.661332183220352035

27.26851535.417906467648.094844532420362036

27.39270135.375376983548.644469016520372037

27.64068735.239778528749.088489471320382038

27.9754635.036719945249.453633054820392039

28.23005534.798269316549.903790683520402040

Sheet1

199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

OECD19.76916420.36866320.56040821.25765522.31715422.73548223.58366323.66184323.41556723.28322323.61397523.5603423.78041923.6586223.47924722.573322.50373822.5651322.06894922.56031823.06895423.21761423.9031224.67577325.38050225.48867825.79446626.0108726.20558326.36901126.34446626.27945626.21200426.16577126.1534126.20828226.1541626.19294726.23792726.29150126.39172526.53481826.6935926.88800627.04637827.1900627.26851527.39270127.64068727.9754628.2300555.012441

Non-OECD22.5617294521.8665482720.448242119.982829919.765530779920.296339290920.676974380421.196424204321.639273836422.306272876422.928036658323.301182915724.09699493625.079400200626.19483363626.817568251527.336326891927.732153041127.840071864828.463684028729.487972090929.473235463429.16657334429.477758788729.361084787930.011651640830.578294588331.034502993431.434438845731.848888163532.262670825432.727567407833.148142916633.597191341134.129550878434.680287982435.162162951235.452043377935.675270628635.79929056535.788211446135.658945175935.58838009335.491660723235.439562259235.443107816835.417906467635.375376983535.239778528735.036719945234.79826931655.3250338531

OPEC23.6794785523.7016347325.031796925.818031126.595408220127.303239709127.776490619629.130916795730.306132163629.221776123631.035375341730.441143084328.86733706430.460780799433.04247336434.744877748534.512006108134.166876958935.388724135233.784362971334.853949909135.080820536636.43930965636.319473211336.681303212137.689637359238.541201411739.400726006640.141577154340.688902836541.133946174641.641109592242.248219083442.869977658943.642163121644.366983017645.061479048845.526786622145.942812371446.21098343546.363926553946.611925824146.88907690747.125072276847.393011740847.661332183248.094844532448.644469016549.088489471349.453633054849.903790683514.8229701469

0

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66.01037287.77167110.2945112.932115

29.95%26%24.65%25%

34.18%34%32.13%31%

35.87%40%43.21%44%

0.00%

100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%

World oil prices move together due to arbitrage*Global crude oil pricesNominal dollars per barrel, monthly averageSources: Bloomberg, Thomson ReutersHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Spot natural gas prices vary significantly across global markets since 2008, with many markets far below oil-related benchmarks Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*Global spot natural gas, crude oil, and LNG pricesU.S. dollars per million British thermal unitSource: Derived from Bloomberg, L.P.


*U.S. Energy Context Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Key results from the 2013 Annual Energy Outlook *Growth in U.S. energy production outstrips consumption growthOil production, particularly from tight oil plays, rises sharply over the next decade Motor gasoline consumption declines, reflecting the introduction of more stringent fuel economy standards, while diesel fuel consumption is moderated by increased natural gas use in heavy-duty vehiclesThe United States. is a net exporter of coal and becomes a net exporter of natural gas over the next decade -- for oil, the United States remains a net importer in the Reference case, but sharply reduces or eliminates import dependence by the mid-2030s in high resource sensitivity cases.U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions remain more than five percent below their 2005 level through 2040, reflecting increased efficiency and the shift to a less carbon-intensive fuel mixHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


*U.S. primary energy consumptionquadrillion BtuHistoryProjections201136%20%26%8%8%1%32%28%19%11%9%2%Shares of total U.S. energyNuclearOil and other liquidsLiquid biofuelsNatural gasCoalRenewables (excluding liquid biofuels)200023%39%24%6%8%Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early ReleaseU.S. energy use grows slowly over projection reflecting improving energy efficiency and a slow and extended economic recovery


Chart1

34.27591915.38779102.7391695.42834320.235459

32.04561215.891580.0067233.0075895.40696619.747309

30.33225215.2999310.0182853.1311485.96135218.356222

30.17276315.8788180.033723.2025496.46189217.220836

31.1885617.059140.0412653.5525316.39659818.393613

31.06438717.4649370.0497384.0755636.03427917.703482

32.32074117.2436650.0574374.3801096.05370316.591364

33.02183418.0170810.0660714.7539335.55573617.639801

34.33119418.8858680.0671255.5869685.38962918.448393

34.24674619.1001670.0680915.6021616.16714319.601689

33.55951119.1774210.0604216.104355.98025419.603168

32.91299719.0013670.0700956.4221325.99842120.032957

33.6116919.1570920.0797466.4792065.74160620.713632

33.83945619.8622540.093666.4104995.98884521.228902

34.71347819.9677930.104846.6938775.88327821.728065

34.57222620.1497850.112497.0754366.44799322.671138

35.81249421.024730.0806617.0866746.93301723.084647

36.275121.4918610.1019666.5969926.91357623.222717

36.90413921.7228280.1128437.0678096.38005522.830226

37.93662921.6802290.1177957.6102566.39782322.909227

38.37690422.6448760.1348877.8623495.97146523.823978

38.26066621.9435280.1421258.0288535.02042522.772558

38.29574221.9647470.169658.1454295.55946923.510081

38.83334822.3714430.2298137.9588585.75355122.830642

40.33037722.6039570.289728.2219855.79269622.923061

40.4726622.8407340.3390158.160815.90292822.565364

40.018222.5079470.4749518.2154146.1742222.238738

39.88059622.7746570.602498.4553645.92009523.662759

37.39190322.4259680.8261388.4272976.36026623.842954

35.51945419.6683920.9353968.3560196.66420723.41594

36.09817520.8433491.0739178.4344337.01599724.256183

35.40974619.6541431.1541098.2594327.98129124.842548

35.54763817.8242861.2282188.0480117.22150226.195364

35.17732518.3087251.2995698.1022017.50469125.868334

35.38115318.3469471.4389958.2435897.59068125.55954

35.89734418.1810651.4624698.5702937.75401725.858915

36.11602717.1749741.4982398.7789037.9677326.809475

36.21972717.6326391.5248798.9812358.11544226.653332

36.27888417.9868221.5532679.154478.24532326.685894

36.31368518.3789791.5851929.2509518.40749826.741253

36.2452218.5921921.6042369.2479478.58222126.76696

36.15523918.6752381.6007169.2891098.73619626.816446

36.06400718.9792881.6042189.3508478.78724926.930679

35.91825719.2090441.5932789.4125878.83696426.999941

35.76893919.2920211.5929739.4743218.90128727.150576

35.59465919.3460291.579799.536079.0000727.282055

35.41155819.4457341.5691189.5360649.05212627.412966

35.19395719.4734361.5754869.536069.10003227.578627

35.03216219.4908791.5756349.536069.182327.696161

34.87847319.5955561.5756279.536069.24174827.790075

34.77520319.6962171.5788959.4949039.31373927.950085

34.68379519.7555691.590179.4125869.39054728.220003

34.57937519.8038731.6082739.3407359.49484928.460993

34.48288519.8647881.632829.2714019.64719328.666506

34.42765319.9832731.6675049.2052259.83591628.850443

34.37398520.0873151.7122059.14409210.03820529.055315

34.33293420.1957151.7705639.07545210.29361429.22077

34.31626720.2279641.8442969.11120310.58856329.354864

34.28372220.2898241.9374659.15995610.9006529.54364

34.23078620.303442.053799.27567211.26565529.72213

34.15193220.3517382.2084349.43673611.66250929.826063

Oil and other liquids

Coal

Liquid biofuels

Nuclear

Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)

Natural gas

Sheet1

Column11980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

Oil and other liquids34.27591932.04561230.33225230.17276331.1885631.06438732.32074133.02183434.33119434.24674633.55951132.91299733.6116933.83945634.71347834.57222635.81249436.275136.90413937.93662938.37690438.26066638.29574238.83334840.33037740.4726640.018239.88059637.39190335.51945436.09817535.40974635.54763835.17732535.38115335.89734436.11602736.21972736.27888436.31368536.2452236.15523936.06400735.91825735.76893935.59465935.41155835.19395735.03216234.87847334.77520334.68379534.57937534.48288534.42765334.37398534.33293434.31626734.28372234.23078634.151932-1.257814

Coal15.38779115.8915815.29993115.87881817.0591417.46493717.24366518.01708118.88586819.10016719.17742119.00136719.15709219.86225419.96779320.14978521.0247321.49186121.72282821.68022922.64487621.94352821.96474722.37144322.60395722.84073422.50794722.77465722.42596819.66839220.84334919.65414317.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.3517380.697595

Liquid biofuels00.0067230.0182850.033720.0412650.0497380.0574370.0660710.0671250.0680910.0604210.0700950.0797460.093660.104840.112490.0806610.1019660.1128430.1177950.1348870.1421250.169650.2298130.289720.3390150.4749510.602490.8261380.9353961.0739171.1541091.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.2084341.054325

Nuclear2.7391693.0075893.1311483.2025493.5525314.0755634.3801094.7539335.5869685.6021616.104356.4221326.4792066.4104996.6938777.0754367.0866746.5969927.0678097.6102567.8623498.0288538.1454297.9588588.2219858.160818.2154148.4553648.4272978.3560198.4344338.2594328.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.4367361.177304

Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)5.4283435.4069665.9613526.4618926.3965986.0342796.0537035.5557365.3896296.1671435.9802545.9984215.7416065.9888455.8832786.4479936.9330176.9135766.3800556.3978235.9714655.0204255.5594695.7535515.7926965.9029286.174225.9200956.3602666.6642077.0159977.9812917.2215027.5046917.5906817.7540177.967738.1154428.2453238.4074988.5822218.7361968.7872498.8369648.9012879.000079.0521269.1000329.18239.2417489.3137399.3905479.4948499.6471939.83591610.03820510.29361410.58856310.9006511.26565511.6625093.681218

Natural gas20.23545919.74730918.35622217.22083618.39361317.70348216.59136417.63980118.44839319.60168919.60316820.03295720.71363221.22890221.72806522.67113823.08464723.22271722.83022622.90922723.82397822.77255823.51008122.83064222.92306122.56536422.23873823.66275923.84295423.4159424.25618324.84254826.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.8260634.983515


Row 2:7 sum78.06668176.10577973.0991972.97057876.63170776.39238676.64701979.05445682.70917784.78599784.48512584.43796985.78297287.42361689.09133191.02906894.02222394.60221295.017996.65195998.81445996.16815597.64511897.977655100.161796100.28151199.62947101.29596199.27452694.55940897.72205497.30126996.06501996.26084596.56090597.72410398.34534899.12725499.90466100.677558101.038776101.272944101.716288101.970071102.180117102.338673102.427566102.457598102.513196102.617539102.809042103.05267103.288098103.565593103.970014104.411117104.889048105.443157106.115257106.851473107.637412

AER Total78.06668176.10577873.0991972.97057976.63170676.39238676.64701979.05445782.70917784.78599784.48512584.43797185.78297387.42361789.09133191.02906794.02222494.60221395.01789996.65195898.81445996.16815597.64511897.977655100.161797100.28151199.629469101.29596199.27452794.55940797.72205397.30126900000000000000000000000000000

39%36%32%

23%20%19%

0%1%2%

8%8%9%

6%8%11%

24%26%28%

find the maximum coal percentage:

19.71%20.88%20.93%21.76%22.26%22.86%22.50%22.79%22.83%22.53%22.70%22.50%22.33%22.72%22.41%22.14%22.36%22.72%22.86%22.43%22.92%22.82%22.49%22.83%22.57%22.78%22.59%22.48%22.59%20.80%21.33%20.20%

19.71%20.88%20.93%21.76%22.26%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.86%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%22.92%

0.01169824550.00049459060.0083020580.0050062730.0060094043000000000000000.000544176100000000000

paste AEO data from ftab Table 1 here:

Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum 12/37.76007837.01956936.39712936.14419236.48422237.03999337.28809437.42215737.51589637.58963837.54093237.42817337.346637.1993137.05231936.87340536.67979436.48181536.31540736.16850736.07885735.99835235.9125135.84444435.82759535.82261335.83561735.87192535.92986335.99306536.06868

Natural Gas24.31706624.91082626.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.826063

Coal 13/20.80750119.661117.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.351738

Nuclear / Uranium 2/8.4344418.2594318.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.436736

Hydropower2.5377573.1700342.7438332.6490492.7046182.7556332.8324272.8275872.8303222.831162.8325062.8354942.8425672.842752.8484012.8601582.8604552.8604462.8606272.8616292.8700362.882542.8826682.8944952.8971212.8972912.8974552.8990682.9040732.9081862.917774

Biomass 14/2.873962.7440382.7069442.8025512.7945642.8829813.0139463.1408463.2472343.3847453.5324743.6519043.6802293.7162883.7594593.8239693.8412913.848293.8918833.9141433.9441473.978254.0238214.0755134.1510314.2305364.3430824.4763074.6033714.754314.90814

Other Renewable Energy 4/1.3069651.5802761.7707252.0530912.0914992.1154032.1213572.1470092.1677672.1915932.2172412.2487982.2644532.2779262.2934272.3159432.350382.3912962.429792.4659762.4995562.5297572.588362.6771852.7877642.9103783.0530773.2131883.3932063.6031593.836595

Other 15/0.3128340.3513760.3787270.3327020.3359260.319820.3261720.3224490.3162550.3092390.3085240.3277820.3216250.3122250.3095930.3010440.3008820.2876280.2923890.2855930.2752410.2756130.2751380.2712610.2675620.2635770.267880.2886380.2913240.2915110.291686

and from ftab Table 24, Transportation:

Transportation1.1350681.2154271.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.208434

Row 17:24 sum98.35060297.6966596.06501996.26084596.56090597.72410398.34534899.12725499.90466100.677558101.038776101.272944101.716288101.970071102.180117102.338673102.427566102.457598102.513196102.617539102.809042103.05267103.288098103.565593103.970014104.411117104.889048105.443157106.115257106.851473107.637412

paste data from Annual Energy Review here:

Coal1542280915907526153215811589444217070622174784281726040518008451188463121906976219172635189916701912247119835148199094632008872721001914214454112165574421622544225795282191426821903989223209282246619522796543224471602274946622385196196922032084952019643039

[R]

Coke Net Imports-35018-15946-21650-15624-11482-13491-16740863039556304054786969734621271065833061058228164645067084576856534829260607585051513776244191607872519140772-23811-617111104

Natural Gas2023545919747309183562221722083618393613177034821659136417639801184483931960168919603168200329572071363221228902217280652267113823084647232227172283022622909227238239782277255823510081228306422292306122565364222387382366275923842954234159402425618324842548

[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]

Petroleum3420452031932206302322263005221631053237309247323219826032863733342227953420929633551623328460323352495733744546345605413443837035675350361588973681591537837705382617053818551038224147388114434029178040388116399553513977396437279917354032663600954135282604

[R]

Total6982777167571094638883796315187066505989660931516603328968520615715570567291115272332212718803567339568274835702762563997725929279784728808734758136896882427160847305598290159683698975840135288581879785794214847020358621138083548840784875988110907379779295

[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]

Nuclear27391693007589313114832025493552531407556343801094753933558696856021616104350642213264792066410499669387770754367086674659699270678097610256786234980288538145429795885882219858160810821541484553648427297835601984344338259432

[R]

NoncombustibleEnergy969879919639108234411647501133001100194110383798995598066341047566112848911206341001158110005410302591197023132644813600931247397124002310902618931321069662111420211033201126855122917411247871238417138211214404051784844

[R][R][R][R][R][R][R]

Equivalence Adjustment19829641897767223384124264482333743206584321406671847365163407220283102177076216608518885162074279193032322623172530424255022923180122312304200786316470711958859206203019694311998324215324019235362099440230579123554432939392

[R]

Noncombustible Renewable29528432817406331618535911983466744306778431790462746923244070630758763305565328671928896743174333296058334593413856872391032235654093552327309812425402033028521317623230727513125178338241430483233337857368790337958484724236

[R][R][R][R][R][R][R]

Biomass724755002596283266345229044142971119301623329320942874884301604931593582735110278179829316782908172302753531011423156806310522029274892963291300822826223472700598280713230096663116765326675734742623848548391170042940664411164

[R][R][R][R][R][R]

Total Renewable54283435413689597963764956126437863608401761111405621807545675462352346040675606851658213526082505598811865604837013678701554264928986515618610635251625505729119598336460824166241943664917165225857186404759960380899149135400

[R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R][R]

Net Electricity Imports71399113406100026120547135323139655122481158101108399374507888669658673394910152937133856137144116203882249892411519975156715952190538597845446284910663211198611618888634127142

[R]

Total7806668176105778730991907297057976631706763923867664701979054457827091778478599784485125844379718578297387423617890913319102906794022224946022139501789996651958988144599616815597645118979776551001617971002815119962946910129596199274527945594079772205397301269

Separate paste required for:

Transportation Biofuels67231828533720412654973857437660716712568091604217009579746936601048401124908066110196611284311779513488714212516965022981328972033901547495160249082613893539610739171154109

1980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

Nuclear2.7391693.0075893.1311483.2025493.5525314.0755634.3801094.7539335.5869685.6021616.104356.4221326.4792066.4104996.6938777.0754367.0866746.5969927.0678097.6102567.8623498.0288538.1454297.9588588.2219858.160818.2154148.4553648.4272978.3560198.4344338.2594328.0480118.1022018.2435898.5702938.7789038.9812359.154479.2509519.2479479.2891099.3508479.4125879.4743219.536079.5360649.536069.536069.536069.4949039.4125869.3407359.2714019.2052259.1440929.0754529.1112039.1599569.2756729.4367361.177304

Oil and other liquids34.27591932.04561230.33225230.17276331.1885631.06438732.32074133.02183434.33119434.24674633.55951132.91299733.6116933.83945634.71347834.57222635.81249436.275136.90413937.93662938.37690438.26066638.29574238.83334840.33037740.4726640.018239.88059637.39190335.51945436.09817535.40974635.54763835.17732535.38115335.89734436.11602736.21972736.27888436.31368536.2452236.15523936.06400735.91825735.76893935.59465935.41155835.19395735.03216234.87847334.77520334.68379534.57937534.48288534.42765334.37398534.33293434.31626734.28372234.23078634.151932-1.257814

Liquid biofuels0.0067230.0182850.033720.0412650.0497380.0574370.0660710.0671250.0680910.0604210.0700950.0797460.093660.104840.112490.0806610.1019660.1128430.1177950.1348870.1421250.169650.2298130.289720.3390150.4749510.602490.8261380.9353961.0739171.1541091.2282181.2995691.4389951.4624691.4982391.5248791.5532671.5851921.6042361.6007161.6042181.5932781.5929731.579791.5691181.5754861.5756341.5756271.5788951.590171.6082731.632821.6675041.7122051.7705631.8442961.9374652.053792.2084341.054325

Natural gas20.23545919.74730918.35622217.22083618.39361317.70348216.59136417.63980118.44839319.60168919.60316820.03295720.71363221.22890221.72806522.67113823.08464723.22271722.83022622.90922723.82397822.77255823.51008122.83064222.92306122.56536422.23873823.66275923.84295423.4159424.25618324.84254826.19536425.86833425.5595425.85891526.80947526.65333226.68589426.74125326.7669626.81644626.93067926.99994127.15057627.28205527.41296627.57862727.69616127.79007527.95008528.22000328.46099328.66650628.85044329.05531529.2207729.35486429.5436429.7221329.8260634.983515

Coal15.38779115.8915815.29993115.87881817.0591417.46493717.24366518.01708118.88586819.10016719.17742119.00136719.15709219.86225419.96779320.14978521.0247321.49186121.72282821.68022922.64487621.94352821.96474722.37144322.60395722.84073422.50794722.77465722.42596819.66839220.84334919.65414317.82428618.30872518.34694718.18106517.17497417.63263917.98682218.37897918.59219218.67523818.97928819.20904419.29202119.34602919.44573419.47343619.49087919.59555619.69621719.75556919.80387319.86478819.98327320.08731520.19571520.22796420.28982420.3034420.3517380.697595

Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels)5.4283435.4069665.9613526.4618926.3965986.0342796.0537035.5557365.3896296.1671435.9802545.9984215.7416065.9888455.8832786.4479936.9330176.9135766.3800556.3978235.9714655.0204255.5594695.7535515.7926965.9029286.174225.9200956.3602666.6642077.0159977.9812917.2215027.5046917.5906817.7540177.967738.1154428.2453238.4074988.5822218.7361968.7872498.8369648.9012879.000079.0521269.1000329.18239.2417489.3137399.3905479.4948499.6471939.83591610.03820510.29361410.58856310.9006511.26565511.6625093.681218

Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*U.S. crude oil and lease condensate resources in non-prohibited areas billion barrelsThe USGS reduced NPR-A resource estimates, which is responsible for the lower AEO2013 Alaska resources.Prior to AEO2009, resources in Pacific, Atlantic, and Eastern GOM OCS were under moratoria and not included.Includes shale oil. Prior to AEO2011, tight oil is included in unproved other lower-48 onshore category.Multiple factors have contributed to U.S. crude oil resource estimate increases over the years, with tight oil contributing recently Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release23.848.641.616.567.025.2222.6


Chart1

23.8971.280034.1410.53

22.3771.10032.9617.13

23.1760.480035.3116.89

23.9256.650036.324.45

23.9257.110048.0524.45

24.0155.840038.724.27

23.1154.210038.9830.92

22.5972.80042.7330.7

23.0271.240040.7730.64

22.3169.340062.5730.6

22.873.60057.533.74

20.669.64201131.565333.74

22.379.4201233.250.335

25.1867.03416.50941.55748.56923.75

Proved Reserves

Unproved Other L48 Onshore

Unproved Tight Oil (reclassified from onshore)

Unproved Tight Oil (3)

Unproved L48 Offshore (2)

Unproved Alaska (1)

Year of Annual Energy Outlook

Sheet1

Column120002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013total tight oil

Proved Reserves23.8922.3723.1723.9223.9224.0123.1122.5923.0222.3122.820.622.325.18

Unproved Other L48 Onshore71.2871.160.4856.6557.1155.8454.2172.871.2469.3473.669.6479.467.034

Unproved Tight Oil (reclassified from onshore)16.509

Unproved Tight Oil (3)31.5633.241.55758.066

Unproved L48 Offshore (2)34.1432.9635.3136.348.0538.738.9842.7340.7762.5757.55350.348.569

Unproved Alaska (1)10.5317.1316.8924.4524.4524.2730.9230.730.6430.633.7433.743523.75

U.S. import share of liquid fuels declines due to increased production of tight oil and gas liquids, and greater fuel efficiency*U.S. liquid fuels supplymillion barrels per dayProjectionsHistoryNatural gas plant liquidsPetroleum productionBiofuels excluding importsNet petroleum and biofuel imports17%7%37%38%5%45%38%12%Liquids from natural gas and coal1%2011Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release


Chart1

3.16055890419.8765835616001.6600438356

3.70146575349.8183835616001.6926438356

4.51892076510.1043032787001.7437595628

6.02487671239.5446575342001.7381452055

5.8916602749.073109589001.687939726

5.84632054798.8428767123001.6327616438

7.08965027328.7674672131001.6039480874

8.56454246588.2491917808001.6176849315

8.00161095899.2776520548001.5673589041

7.9852904118.9436246575001.5836246575

6.36460928969.1180628415001.5731885246

5.40108493159.042646575300.00541917811.6085452055

4.29820273979.432463013700.0147095891.5503452055

4.31202739739.33330958900.02709589041.5587013699

4.71546448099.347234972700.03319672131.6297185792

4.28613698639.790827397300.04025479451.6092

5.43892876719.244564383600.04644931511.5506849315

5.91405205489.10226027400.05341643841.5953178082

6.58654098369.017885245900.05404371581.6248415301

7.20175068498.52289041100.05496438361.5455479452

7.16088767128.219934246600.04877260271.5589013699

6.62581369868.372172602700.05651232881.6593369863

6.93801912578.333549180300.0640792351.6972076503

7.61708493157.808898630100.07508219181.7356657534

8.05327671237.854227397300.08407945211.7265753425

7.88462739737.987583561600.09018904111.7621890411

8.49704371587.917237704900.06451366121.8301092896

9.15788219187.56333972600.08191506851.8171671233

9.76335068497.303816438400.09051506851.7594575342

9.91224657537.663336986300.0941095891.8496438356

10.41874316947.263803278700.10756010931.9109699454

10.89935616446.766742465800.11421369861.8683945205

10.5452602747.199515068500.13628767121.8802410959

11.23703287676.892041095900.18522739731.7192054795

12.08730054646.60186338800.23283060111.8091557377

12.54004383566.274446575300.27067671231.7169945205

12.34211232886.231983561600.37454520551.7387780822

12.0157698636.409082191800.47252876711.7829972603

11.10278142085.961038251400.65047814211.7836666667

9.66596164386.454342465800.74116712331.9099287671

9.47101643846.779156164400.85592602742.0740246575

8.50764109597.248172602700.89692876712.1827260274

7.6024657.52900.9380812.547

7.2371157.989700.9580982.55

6.8678998.27542101.0008742.997091

6.9867128.38314101.0169533.072557

6.8004848.60504301.0343683.165119

6.7958558.5853101.0524013.271063

6.7733568.5607250.06971.0647743.305237

6.741138.5859620.0731851.0861523.359571

6.7738248.5085430.0768441.0977783.383951

6.8216468.4040130.0806861.0916073.395141

6.9315878.2395630.0847211.0909593.411439

6.9722018.0732890.1170421.0787943.435864

7.0563487.8991320.1228941.0809533.44485

7.0848297.7826680.1290381.0782783.428865

7.2314287.6040030.135491.0716643.345894

7.2595977.5097660.1422651.0759833.29375

7.3022847.417980.1493781.0811533.243049

7.330117.336150.1568471.0850293.203295

7.3286917.3059810.1646891.0817073.176991

7.2519467.3310930.1729241.0827143.168236

7.1882447.3275490.1815691.0873593.173409

7.0932277.3532150.1906481.0951993.181751

7.0635367.335190.200181.1083653.186648

7.064337.2826440.210191.1265923.196017

7.162297.1357210.2206991.1518373.203161

7.227737.0470620.2317341.1731343.20145

7.1744777.0750770.2433211.2150663.19221

7.0384237.1481980.2554871.2687223.216994

7.0030927.1601370.2635181.3314743.201598

Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports

Petroleum Supply

CTL and GTL

Biofuels

Natural Gas Plant Liquids

Sheet1

197019751980198519901995200020052010201520202025203020352040

Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports3.16055890413.70146575344.5189207656.02487671235.8916602745.84632054797.08965027328.56454246588.00161095897.9852904116.36460928965.40108493154.29820273974.31202739734.71546448094.28613698635.43892876715.91405205486.58654098367.20175068497.16088767126.62581369866.93801912577.61708493158.05327671237.88462739738.49704371589.15788219189.76335068499.912246575310.418743169410.899356164410.54526027411.237032876712.087300546412.540043835612.342112328812.01576986311.10278142089.66596164389.47101643848.50764109597.6024657.2371156.8678996.9867126.8004846.7958556.7733566.741136.7738246.8216466.9315876.9722017.0563487.0848297.2314287.2595977.3022847.330117.3286917.2519467.1882447.0932277.0635367.064337.162297.227737.1744777.0384237.003092-1.5045490959

Petroleum Supply9.87658356169.818383561610.10430327879.54465753429.0731095898.84287671238.76746721318.24919178089.27765205488.94362465759.11806284159.04264657539.43246301379.3333095899.34723497279.79082739739.24456438369.1022602749.01788524598.5228904118.21993424668.37217260278.33354918037.80889863017.85422739737.98758356167.91723770497.5633397267.30381643847.66333698637.26380327876.76674246587.19951506856.89204109596.6018633886.27444657536.23198356166.40908219185.96103825146.45434246586.77915616447.24817260277.5297.98978.2754218.3831418.6050438.585318.5607258.5859628.5085438.4040138.2395638.0732897.8991327.7826687.6040037.5097667.417987.336157.3059817.3310937.3275497.3532157.335197.2826447.1357217.0470627.0750777.1481987.160137-0.0880356027

CTL and GTL0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.1170420.1228940.1290380.135490.1422650.1493780.1568470.1646890.1729240.1815690.1906480.200180.210190.2206990.2317340.2433210.2554870.2635180.263518

Biofuels000000000000.00541917810.0147095890.02709589040.03319672130.04025479450.04644931510.05341643840.05404371580.05496438360.04877260270.05651232880.0640792350.07508219180.08407945210.09018904110.06451366120.08191506850.09051506850.0941095890.10756010930.11421369860.13628767120.18522739730.23283060110.27067671230.37454520550.47252876710.65047814210.74116712330.85592602740.89692876710.9380810.9580981.0008741.0169531.0343681.0524011.0647741.0861521.0977781.0916071.0909591.0787941.0809531.0782781.0716641.0759831.0811531.0850291.0817071.0827141.0873591.0951991.1083651.1265921.1518371.1731341.2150661.2687221.3314740.4345452329

Natural Gas Plant Liquids1.66004383561.69264383561.74375956281.73814520551.6879397261.63276164381.60394808741.61768493151.56735890411.58362465751.57318852461.60854520551.55034520551.55870136991.62971857921.60921.55068493151.59531780821.62484153011.54554794521.55890136991.65933698631.69720765031.73566575341.72657534251.76218904111.83010928961.81716712331.75945753421.84964383561.91096994541.86839452051.88024109591.71920547951.80915573771.71699452051.73877808221.78299726031.78366666671.90992876712.07402465752.18272602742.5472.552.9970913.0725573.1651193.2710633.3052373.3595713.3839513.3951413.4114393.4358643.444853.4288653.3458943.293753.2430493.2032953.1769913.1682363.1734093.1817513.1866483.1960173.2031613.201453.192213.2169943.2015981.0188719726

25

percentages ===>18.835468493218.959819

45%36.9%

38%37.8%

0%1.4%

5%7.0%

12%16.9%

Net Petroleum and Biofuels Imports3.16055890413.70146575344.5189207656.02487671235.8916602745.84632054797.08965027328.56454246588.00161095897.9852904116.36460928965.40108493154.29820273974.31202739734.71546448094.28613698635.43892876715.91405205486.58654098367.20175068497.16088767126.62581369866.93801912577.61708493158.05327671237.88462739738.49704371589.15788219189.76335068499.912246575310.418743169410.899356164410.54526027411.237032876712.087300546412.540043835612.342112328812.01576986311.10278142089.66596164389.47101643848.50764109597.6024657.2371156.8678996.9867126.8004846.7958556.7733566.741136.7738246.8216466.9315876.9722017.0563487.0848297.2314287.2595977.3022847.330117.3286917.2519467.1882447.0932277.0635367.064337.162297.227737.1744777.0384237.003092-1.5045490959

CTL and GTL0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.1170420.1228940.1290380.135490.1422650.1493780.1568470.1646890.1729240.1815690.1906480.200180.210190.2206990.2317340.2433210.2554870.2635180.263518

Petroleum Supply9.87658356169.818383561610.10430327879.54465753429.0731095898.84287671238.76746721318.24919178089.27765205488.94362465759.11806284159.04264657539.43246301379.3333095899.34723497279.79082739739.24456438369.1022602749.01788524598.5228904118.21993424668.37217260278.33354918037.80889863017.85422739737.98758356167.91723770497.5633397267.30381643847.66333698637.26380327876.76674246587.19951506856.89204109596.6018633886.27444657536.23198356166.40908219185.96103825146.45434246586.77915616447.24817260277.5297.98978.2754218.3831418.6050438.585318.5607258.5859628.5085438.4040138.2395638.0732897.8991327.7826687.6040037.5097667.417987.336157.3059817.3310937.3275497.3532157.335197.2826447.1357217.0470627.0750777.1481987.160137-0.0880356027

Natural Gas Plant Liquids1.66004383561.69264383561.74375956281.73814520551.6879397261.63276164381.60394808741.61768493151.56735890411.58362465751.57318852461.60854520551.55034520551.55870136991.62971857921.60921.55068493151.59531780821.62484153011.54554794521.55890136991.65933698631.69720765031.73566575341.72657534251.76218904111.83010928961.81716712331.75945753421.84964383561.91096994541.86839452051.88024109591.71920547951.80915573771.71699452051.73877808221.78299726031.78366666671.90992876712.07402465752.18272602742.5472.552.9970913.0725573.1651193.2710633.3052373.3595713.3839513.3951413.4114393.4358643.444853.4288653.3458943.293753.2430493.2032953.1769913.1682363.1734093.1817513.1866483.1960173.2031613.201453.192213.2169943.2015981.0188719726

Biofuels000000000000.00541917810.0147095890.02709589040.03319672130.04025479450.04644931510.05341643840.05404371580.05496438360.04877260270.05651232880.0640792350.07508219180.08407945210.09018904110.06451366120.08191506850.09051506850.0941095890.10756010930.11421369860.13628767120.18522739730.23283060110.27067671230.37454520550.47252876710.65047814210.74116712330.85592602740.89692876710.9380810.9580981.0008741.0169531.0343681.0524011.0647741.0861521.0977781.0916071.0909591.0787941.0809531.0782781.0716641.0759831.0811531.0850291.0817071.0827141.0873591.0951991.1083651.1265921.1518371.1731341.2150661.2687221.3314740.4345452329

checks

14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180123287718.835468493218.61654618.73491319.14128519.45936319.60501419.70462919.77379219.84619.8409419.79309319.75826919.6771919.60417719.50367819.38847919.28136119.19384419.11143119.05805919.00691318.9581318.9140418.89391918.87977318.87370818.8811118.90015118.92782418.959819

14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180123287718.835468493200000000000000000000000000000

14.697186301415.212493150716.366983606617.307679452116.65270958916.321958904117.461065573818.431419178118.846621917818.51253972617.055860655716.057695890415.295720547915.231134246615.725614754115.726419178116.280627397316.665046575317.283311475417.325153424716.988495890416.713835616417.032855191317.236731506817.718158904117.724589041118.308904371618.620304109618.91713972619.519336986319.701076502719.648706849319.761304109620.033506849320.731150273220.802161643820.687419178120.680378082219.497964480918.771419.180126027418.835468493200000000000000000000000000000

end checks

365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366365365365366

paste from AER here:

Crude oil351745034539143455368336090332025853056779297618030092653178216312131031463653128624315671531709993249696327455331682523047377297912627787732684687270703926246322499033243147623942682366017235483122819192146732213070721175112097124207345319833001890106186225918484501811817195659619987272066507

NGPL60591661781563821663442361609859595858704559045557208657802357578758711956587656892659647758735856600058229159469256412556899960565862117863351863020064319966982066326664220267512069941568196468628862751066215162670363465465079465282269712475701900%79669500%

Gain13105213943314216116548817525516778217467519141518118319243721861718531019367217803320255920344322493023326523976024141524938226096128252727971328032228261830644331007832344732349034689232966334914535554238469836113136281036342936340035717638969500%39587800%

Renew/Oxy272366330888348151

Net imports115360413510351653925219908021504562133907259481231260582920588291463123294471971396156884415738901725860156444019852092158629241067426286392613724241842225393152780480293972528782763110231334271235636893618057381337639786193849461410179344274684580351452252143930784067602352830734458483079088

Adjust-581116449156786737-816149283689310365-733713821233454700644107601948357372891717817611991221949161232231047911413931539081909711811811931121778671807152071151948201828231924191743252064861872971905662384263120087962896292146597

Stock3773826086-84968493286533911839-21145200090-34281631455111658396-53724-7322102590-374587374314939-10219-1581339214-3679-24980552455566-89933-554365234387216-154044-25384118802-3843920393765025279921902-54161713943963617724-42030

Ethanol19785369989012150146931695419497197802006217802206272345327405306893291923612298993303834350393674144549360672868457696634130505163945230556262776306155306464

Ethanol net imports244279387313856687116315306292354232341740810457126104720-9115-25322

Biodiesel24338532264021636204852875197750625820915

Biodiesel net imports39135-16-261242-3135-8626-4489-1958-879

Consumption536447355525605990316631730360782395957515639075067274686879017675707762424455861059558293855593645755575574014359424296082742632569263236816200801610055062340256291407646712864694756701059679641169047567124558721059471717787212876731223075876017592789755090875483387136255685156170007466874946

paste from AEO here:

Crude Oil

Domestic Crude Production 1/5.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864157.5190737.4999227.4940837.535367.467457.3759267.2192487.0683496.9044236.7938056.6081266.5150016.4223546.3373946.3020726.3231456.3179766.3403196.3172896.2600046.1081496.0196976.0451666.1190866.126173

Alaska0.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767

Lower 48 States5.0965.8056.3056.6923396.8276787.0449076.9966996.9728327.0317556.9804286.9055046.7838236.6641186.5280796.4437416.2832196.212786.1406436.0150175.9175825.8947975.9037015.9389345.927745.9109795.764735.6674715.6604885.7183645.716406

Net Imports8.8888.5088.0327.328037.3327297.0757917.0721616.9671466.8513576.8228676.7948926.8777666.9130666.9885697.0453647.2067297.2362417.2797037.3326747.3572817.3284137.3013477.2712037.3006187.37217.5169337.6072457.5840887.5283387.573716

Gross Imports8.9358.5558.0797.328037.3327297.0757917.0721616.9671466.8513576.8228676.7948926.8777666.9130666.9885697.0453647.2067297.2362417.2797037.3326747.3572817.3284137.3013477.2712037.3006187.37217.5169337.6072457.5840887.5283387.573716

Exports0.0470.0470.047000000000000000000000000000

Other Crude Supply 2/0.260.1160.094000000000000000000000000000

Total Crude Supply14.81400114.95900114.952714.50197214.61914414.59486514.57208314.46122914.38671714.29031814.17081814.09701413.98141513.89299213.83916913.81485613.75124213.70205713.67006913.65935213.65155813.61932413.61152113.61790713.63210313.62508213.62694213.62925313.64742513.69989

Other Petroleum Supply3.0182.5642.6453.3607183.5356993.6689583.7596593.8476413.967324.040714.1109844.1404294.1509734.1600934.1183464.0267463.9722913.9291573.8727753.8216983.7656833.73413.6788753.6269293.5676193.5314943.4922143.4536993.3961153.290226

Natural Gas Plant Liquids2.2162.3642.3672.7769552.844032.9257453.0197783.05323.1073693.131193.1408983.1531723.1759683.1829073.1659753.0782953.0241422.9725832.9303872.9014292.8904792.8951482.90282.9063022.9143262.921532.9202872.9114752.9367792.921351

Net Product Imports-0.304-0.878-0.791-0.517715-0.405056-0.342757-0.345508-0.2722-0.19065-0.131572-0.058001-0.033058-0.029935-0.017522-0.036492-0.047426-0.046616-0.039051-0.056369-0.083641-0.132744-0.170621-0.236821-0.297274-0.369347-0.417608-0.455439-0.487686-0.569776-0.665088

Gross Refined Product Imports 3/1.1520.7360.8491.3771691.4724591.5078051.4455061.4357151.4526861.4666671.4869091.4988081.481541.489421.4984211.5049471.5091461.5235361.5288931.534071.5429551.5434151.5291.5233891.5042731.4944671.492971.49631.4659971.41749

Unfinished Oil Imports0.6870.6120.6030.5976380.5922060.5857740.5813420.574910.5694780.5630460.5576840.5522520.546820.5403880.5349560.5295240.5230920.517660.5122980.5068660.5004340.4950020.489570.4841380.4777060.4723450.4669130.4604810.4550490.449617

Blending Component Imports0.7180.6470.630.7088190.6824190.6752690.6567340.6482110.6389550.6304530.6307810.6199430.6110340.6006040.5946920.5822480.5742110.5665510.5517530.5427620.5300840.5184130.509630.5000190.484640.477560.4743980.457920.4364310.403558

Exports2.8612.8732.8733.2013413.1521393.1116043.029092.9310372.8517682.7917392.7333752.7040612.6693292.6479342.6645612.6641462.6530652.6467982.6493132.6673382.7062172.7274512.7650212.804822.8359672.8619792.8897192.9023862.9272522.935753

Refinery Processing Gain 4/1.0761.0781.0691.1014781.0967261.085971.0853881.0666421.0506021.0410931.0280871.0203151.004940.9947090.9888630.9958770.9947650.9956260.9987561.0039091.0079481.0095731.0128961.0179011.022641.0275721.0273651.0299111.0291121.033964

Product Stock Withdrawal0.0300000000000000000000000000000

Other Non-petroleum Supply1.0858861.0935471.1372131.2785951.3045191.3411941.3728881.4649221.4919611.5099131.5112921.5208251.5448021.5510921.5461631.5468771.5578261.562631.5685891.577011.589671.6047071.6236421.6490851.680051.7171311.7619561.8171961.8842841.969704

Supply from Renewable Sources0.9038860.9105470.9542131.0584591.0759921.101821.1216031.1431851.1665741.1803081.1763621.1778381.1678651.1662561.1542351.1437881.1459541.1427861.1388351.1367591.138991.1448761.1540431.1685581.1881691.2148011.2490581.2931411.3485831.425938

Ethanol0.8418990.8433640.8655140.9635350.9797381.0035121.0222681.0439831.0653031.0775591.0715261.070971.0583931.0546331.039581.0255131.0232551.0147721.0044290.9949690.9867940.9796490.9731320.9679250.9636540.9607370.9586450.9580830.9584160.968506

Domestic Production0.90860.86620.86910.9166420.931340.9467120.9639720.9766780.9961661.0064740.9985030.9960450.9814420.9814420.9757420.9654910.9653640.965210.9627070.9520380.942630.9342180.9263850.9198490.9141890.909880.8948380.8921360.8906870.886171

Net Imports-0.066701-0.022836-0.0035860.0468930.0483970.0567990.0582960.0673050.0691370.0710850.0730220.0749250.076950.0731910.0638380.0600230.0578910.0495610.0417220.0429310.0441640.0454320.0467470.0480760.0494650.0508570.0638070.0659470.0677280.082335

Biodiesel0.0606920.0633010.0819570.0869940.0870130.0836440.0830740.0802780.0812190.0811940.0816910.0820040.0824860.082090.0820680.0820740.0821010.082140.0822010.0819880.0819130.0820510.0818790.0820960.0819910.0820350.0820940.0821540.0823620.082097

Domestic Production0.06310.0680.0822550.0763020.0763720.0729920.0721680.0691730.0699340.069750.0699580.070050.0703660.0699790.0699490.0699730.0700210.0700690.0701170.0698680.06980.0699650.0697810.069980.0698790.0699280.0699770.0700260.0702290.069968

Net Imports-0.002408-0.004699-0.0002990.0106910.0106420.0106510.0109060.0111050.0112860.0114440.0117330.0119540.012120.012110.0121190.0121020.0120810.0120710.0120830.012120.0121130.0120860.0120980.0121160.0121120.0121080.0121170.0121280.0121330.012129

Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/0.0012950.0038810.0067430.007930.0092410.0146640.0162610.0189230.0200520.0215540.0231460.0248640.0269860.0295320.0325870.03620.0405980.0458740.0522050.0598010.0702840.0831760.0990330.1185360.1425240.1720290.2083190.2529040.3078060.375335

Liquids from Gas00000000.06970.0731850.0768440.0806860.0847210.0889570.0934050.0980750.1029790.1081280.1135340.1192110.1251710.131430.1380010.1449010.1521460.1597540.1677410.1761280.1849350.1941820.199148

Liquids from Coal0000000000000.0280850.0294890.0309630.0325110.0341370.0358440.0376360.0395180.0414940.0435680.0457470.0480340.0504360.0529580.0556060.0583860.0613050.06437

Other 6/0.1820.1830.1830.2201360.2285270.2393740.2512850.2520370.2522020.2527610.2542430.2582670.2598960.2619430.262890.2675990.2696080.2704660.2729080.2755620.2777570.2782610.2789510.2803460.2816910.2816310.2811630.2807350.2802150.280247

U.S. tight oil production leads growth in domestic production

Howard Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013*Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release, and Short-Term Energy Outlook, April 2013AlaskaOther lower 48 onshoreLower 48 offshoreHistory2011STEO projection (April 2013)

Reference caseU.S. crude oil production (million barrels per day)Tight oilProjectionsHistory2011ProjectionsAlaskaOther lower 48 onshoreLower 48 offshoreTight oilSource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 High Oil & Gas Resource caseHigh Oil & Natural Gas Resource case


Chart1

1.7740.9544.6259990.0041990

1.7981.0234.5880.007

1.7143031.0690714.3829760.006

1.5841.094.170.005

1.5591.1383.960.004

1.4811.2613.8120.0031995

1.3921861.3143993.7547080.002

1.2961.4013.7520.002

1.1751.4733.6020.002

1.05031.5583.2720.001

0.9703421.6125823.0851260.1542000

0.9631.7052.9830.151

0.9851.7152.9030.142

0.9751.7172.8430.146

0.9085111.598622.7520250.159

0.8641.4212.7070.1852005

0.7411.4342.7270.2

0.7221.4062.710.227

0.6851.2742.4670.538

0.6461.6742.4170.63

0.5991.6682.3870010.822010

0.571.432.4461.225.6615289342

0.531.412.3984891.9965117.064175

0.52171.492.5176652.2973357.614843

0.4816031.5920612.5864692.513818.185668

0.4587381.6285792.5650362.6340632015

0.4741671.7866382.5460162.712253

0.5032231.7227252.5259742.748001

0.5212511.6952912.5177592.759783

0.5036041.7294762.5221362.780143

0.4870221.6876852.4802192.8125242020

0.4704211.6362392.4684842.800782

0.4354261.5955652.4462182.742039

0.4042311.5561232.4146982.693296

0.3763441.4894262.3720112.666643

0.3500641.4586192.3584692.6266532025

0.3249071.4132572.3458742.524087

0.3022221.4418782.3325412.438361

0.2817111.4382842.3155712.386788

0.3223771.4289762.3007122.285328

0.384491.4415212.2811652.1948962030

0.4283481.4921042.2669682.135726

0.4142751.5447942.2568732.102034

0.4013851.6289482.2253062.084679

0.3895491.6710882.1846652.071987

0.3490251.7243012.1314592.0552182035

0.3434191.6393952.0793372.045999

0.3522251.5776482.0494612.040363

0.3846781.6072372.0251282.028123

0.4007221.7192411.9776082.021516

0.4097671.747691.9536192.0150972040

Alaska

Offshore

Other onshore

Tight oil

STEO

Sheet1

19901995200020052010201520202025203020352040

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233

Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769

Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.7072.7272.712.4672.4172.3870012.4462.3984892.5176652.5864692.5650362.5460162.5259742.5177592.5221362.4802192.4684842.4462182.4146982.3720112.3584692.3458742.3325412.3155712.3007122.2811652.2669682.2568732.2253062.1846652.1314592.0793372.0494612.0251281.9776081.953619-0.492381

Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097

STEO0000000000000000000005.6627.0647.6158.18600000000000000000000000000

5.6666.126173

6.4677.3027.866annual average value

7.0647.6158.186December values

sort by projection period change above

paste data in here:

Lower 48 Onshore4.634.5954.3889764.1753.9643.8153.7567083.7543.6043.2733.2391263.1343.0452.9892.9110252.8922.9272.9373.0053.0473.2073.6664.3954.8155.1002795.1990995.2582685.2739745.2775425.3022795.2927435.2692655.1882575.1079955.0386534.9851224.8699614.7709014.7023584.5860414.4760614.4026944.3589074.3099854.2566524.1866774.1253354.0898244.0532513.9991233.9687160.302716

Tight Oil 3/0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097

Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery0000000000000000.2210.2380.2440.2520.2653560.2814520.2446390.2372330.2317660.2254350.2244320.2289470.2377480.2550030.2736180.2942170.3173660.3435570.3657690.3972480.4273220.4569590.4865860.509870.5362540.5570930.5785460.6005520.6192360.6350070.6479250.6441840.6529290.6609020.6532190.6585730.413934

Other4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.4862.4892.4662.2152.1516442.1055492.2013612.1612562.2858992.3610342.3406042.3170692.2882262.2627562.2485182.1860022.1511182.1026612.0489291.9747631.9311471.8889151.8459551.8057011.7644581.7240721.6884221.6563211.606071.5496581.4835341.4351531.3965321.3642261.3243891.295046-0.906315

Lower 48 Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.9703420.9630.9850.9750.9085110.8640.7410.7220.6850.6460.5990.570.530.52170.4816030.4587380.4741670.5032230.5212510.5036040.4870220.4704210.4354260.4042310.3763440.3500640.3249070.3022220.2817110.3223770.384490.4283480.4142750.4013850.3895490.3490250.3434190.3522250.3846780.4007220.409767-0.160233

Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.1540.1510.1420.1460.1590.1850.20.2270.5380.630.821.221.9965112.2973352.513812.6340632.7122532.7480012.7597832.7801432.8125242.8007822.7420392.6932962.6666432.6266532.5240872.4383612.3867882.2853282.1948962.1357262.1020342.0846792.0719872.0552182.0459992.0403632.0281232.0215162.0150970.795097

Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.0851262.9832.9032.8432.7520252.7072.7272.712.4672.4172.3870012.4462.3984892.5176652.5864692.5650362.5460162.5259742.5177592.5221362.4802192.4684842.4462182.4146982.3720112.3584692.3458742.3325412.3155712.3007122.2811652.2669682.2568732.2253062.1846652.1314592.0793372.0494612.0251281.9776081.953619-0.492381

Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.6125821.7051.7151.7171.598621.4211.4341.4061.2741.6741.6681.431.411.491.5920611.6285791.7866381.7227251.6952911.7294761.6876851.6362391.5955651.5561231.4894261.4586191.4132571.4418781.4382841.4289761.4415211.4921041.5447941.6289481.6710881.7243011.6393951.5776481.6072371.7192411.747690.31769

7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.822055.8025.7455.6815.4181565.1775.1025.0654.9645.3675.4740015.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864167.5190747.4999237.4940847.5353597.467457.3759267.2192487.0683486.9044246.7938056.6081256.5150026.4223546.3373936.3020726.3231466.3179766.3403186.3172896.2600036.108156.0196976.0451666.1190876.126173

7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.822055.8025.7455.6815.4181565.1775.1025.0654.9645.3675.4740015.6666.3356.82677.1739437.2864167.5190747.4999237.4940847.5353597.467457.3759267.2192487.0683486.9044246.7938056.6081256.5150026.4223546.3373936.3020726.3231466.3179766.3403186.3172896.2600036.108156.0196976.0451666.1190876.126173

Chart1

1.7740.9544.6259990.0041990

1.7981.0234.5880.0071991

1.7143031.0690714.3829760.006

1.5841.094.170.005

1.5591.1383.960.004

1.4811.2613.8120.0031995

1.3921861.3143993.7547080.002

1.2961.4013.7520.002

1.1751.4733.6020.002

1.05031.5583.2720.001

0.97034150361.61258184913.08512568470.15399999922000

0.96299999951.70499992372.98299980160.151000008

0.98499995471.71499991422.90300011630.1420000046

0.97500002381.71699988842.84299993520.1459999979

0.90851086381.59862017632.7520248890.1589999944

0.86400002241.42099988462.70700030030.18500000242005

0.74099987751.43400013452.72700008750.200000003

0.72200000291.40599989892.71000006790.2269999981

0.68500000241.27399992942.46699991820.5379999876

0.64600002771.67400002482.41700041290.6299999952

0.59899997711.66800022132.387000680.82000005252010

0.56999999281.42999982832.44600003961.22000002865.6615289342

0.52999997141.41000008582.41294154522.12831592567.064175

0.5216999651.49000012872.55927973992.78158926967.614843

0.48160266881.63360714912.55500897773.33431577688.185668

0.45873755221.72798538212.55186808113.72148132322015

0.47416689991.9295177462.54086959364.0271959305

0.50322341921.878496172.5297202174.2697787285

0.52125126121.89409327512.54124298694.4425344467

0.52476859091.92644381522.55483776334.6010103226

0.53640526531.86920738222.53796139364.73235893252020

0.5409691931.78716719152.56003987794.8357834816

0.54406970741.73677122592.6028403644.9203033447

0.56366926431.6815022232.62541908034.9964966774

0.56541210411.63189768792.62834161525.0671672821

0.59094274041.57102346422.61930370335.12586450582025

0.63824343681.55868911742.60435479885.1758151054

0.66904950141.48376035692.5974688535.2179346085

0.66674280171.47787499432.58377784495.2470221519

0.68392878771.48101973532.57542651895.2491044998

0.69166290761.47268736362.56126213075.23149871832030

0.69073313471.44556319712.54932498935.2171802521

0.7767610551.45980262762.53263765575.2102279663

0.86960625651.61611592772.50200176245.204390049

0.86812776331.58890175822.46972602615.199669838

0.8748558761.54407072072.42784887555.19777011872035

0.90836465361.5326329472.39703130725.1975178719

0.89851093291.6379427912.37298297885.1977009773

0.84803402421.78021705152.34407144785.198867321

0.84886932371.85356545452.30725246675.2020692825

0.89012801651.86683297162.28108215335.2013564112040

Alaska

Offshore

Other onshore

Tight oil

STEO

Sheet1

Column1199019911995200020052010201520202025203020352040

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.97034150360.96299999950.98499995470.97500002380.90851086380.86400002240.74099987750.72200000290.68500000240.64600002770.59899997710.56999999280.52999997140.5216999650.48160266880.45873755220.47416689990.50322341920.52125126120.52476859090.53640526530.5409691930.54406970740.56366926430.56541210410.59094274040.63824343680.66904950140.66674280170.68392878770.69166290760.69073313470.7767610550.86960625650.86812776330.8748558760.90836465360.89851093290.84803402420.84886932370.89012801650.3201280236

Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.61258184911.70499992371.71499991421.71699988841.59862017631.42099988461.43400013451.40599989891.27399992941.67400002481.66800022131.42999982831.41000008581.49000012871.63360714911.72798538211.9295177461.878496171.89409327511.92644381521.86920738221.78716719151.73677122591.6815022231.63189768791.57102346421.55868911741.48376035691.47787499431.48101973531.47268736361.44556319711.45980262761.61611592771.58890175821.54407072071.5326329471.6379427911.78021705151.85356545451.86683297160.4368331432

Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.08512568472.98299980162.90300011632.84299993522.7520248892.70700030032.72700008752.71000006792.46699991822.41700041292.387000682.44600003962.41294154522.55927973992.55500897772.55186808112.54086959362.5297202172.54124298692.55483776332.53796139362.56003987792.6028403642.62541908032.62834161522.61930370332.60435479882.5974688532.58377784492.57542651892.56126213072.54932498932.53263765572.50200176242.46972602612.42784887552.39703130722.37298297882.34407144782.30725246672.2810821533-0.1649178863

Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.15399999920.1510000080.14200000460.14599999790.15899999440.18500000240.2000000030.22699999810.53799998760.62999999520.82000005251.22000002862.12831592562.78158926963.33431577683.72148132324.02719593054.26977872854.44253444674.60101032264.73235893254.83578348164.92030334474.99649667745.06716728215.12586450585.17581510545.21793460855.24702215195.24910449985.23149871835.21718025215.21022796635.2043900495.1996698385.19777011875.19751787195.19770097735.1988673215.20206928255.2013564113.9813563824

STEO0000000000000000000005.6627.0647.6158.18600000000000000000000000000

5.665999889410.2393995523

6.4677.3027.866annual average value

7.0647.6158.186December values

sort by projection period change above

paste data in here:

Lower 48 Onshore4.634.5954.3889764.1753.9643.8153.7567083.7543.6043.2733.243.133.052.992.912.892.932.943.013.053.213.674.545.345.896.276.576.806.987.167.277.407.527.627.707.757.787.827.837.827.797.777.747.717.677.637.597.577.547.517.483.8164384365

Tight Oil 3/0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.150.150.140.150.160.190.200.230.540.630.821.222.132.783.333.724.034.274.444.604.734.844.925.005.075.135.185.225.255.255.235.225.215.205.205.205.205.205.205.205.203.9813563824

Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery00000000000.000.000.000.000.000.220.240.240.250.270.280.320.320.350.350.360.380.400.430.460.490.530.560.590.630.660.690.720.740.770.790.810.830.850.870.880.890.890.890.890.890.5666001439

Other4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.092.982.902.842.752.492.492.472.212.152.112.122.092.212.202.192.162.132.112.092.052.032.042.042.001.961.911.881.841.811.771.741.701.651.601.551.511.481.451.421.39-0.7315180302

Lower 48 Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.611.701.711.721.601.421.431.411.271.671.671.431.411.491.631.731.931.881.891.931.871.791.741.681.631.571.561.481.481.481.471.451.461.621.591.541.531.641.781.851.870.4368331432

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.970.960.980.980.910.860.740.720.690.650.600.570.530.520.480.460.470.500.520.520.540.540.540.560.570.590.640.670.670.680.690.690.780.870.870.870.910.900.850.850.890.3201280236

Alaska1.7741.7981.7143031.5841.5591.4811.3921861.2961.1751.05030.97034150360.96299999950.98499995470.97500002380.90851086380.86400002240.74099987750.72200000290.68500000240.64600002770.59899997710.56999999280.52999997140.5216999650.48160266880.45873755220.47416689990.50322341920.52125126120.52476859090.53640526530.5409691930.54406970740.56366926430.56541210410.59094274040.63824343680.66904950140.66674280170.68392878770.69166290760.69073313470.7767610550.86960625650.86812776330.8748558760.90836465360.89851093290.84803402420.84886932370.89012801650.3201280236

Tight oil0.0040.0070.0060.0050.0040.0030.0020.0020.0020.0010.15399999920.1510000080.14200000460.14599999790.15899999440.18500000240.2000000030.22699999810.53799998760.62999999520.82000005251.22000002862.12831592562.78158926963.33431577683.72148132324.02719593054.26977872854.44253444674.60101032264.73235893254.83578348164.92030334474.99649667745.06716728215.12586450585.17581510545.21793460855.24702215195.24910449985.23149871835.21718025215.21022796635.2043900495.1996698385.19777011875.19751787195.19770097735.1988673215.20206928255.2013564113.9813563824

Other onshore4.6259994.5884.3829764.173.963.8123.7547083.7523.6023.2723.08512568472.98299980162.90300011632.84299993522.7520248892.70700030032.72700008752.71000006792.46699991822.41700041292.387000682.44600003962.41294154522.55927973992.55500897772.55186808112.54086959362.5297202172.54124298692.55483776332.53796139362.56003987792.6028403642.62541908032.62834161522.61930370332.60435479882.5974688532.58377784492.57542651892.56126213072.54932498932.53263765572.50200176242.46972602612.42784887552.39703130722.37298297882.34407144782.30725246672.2810821533-0.1649178863

Offshore0.9541.0231.0690711.091.1381.2611.3143991.4011.4731.5581.61258184911.70499992371.71499991421.71699988841.59862017631.42099988461.43400013451.40599989891.27399992941.67400002481.66800022131.42999982831.41000008581.49000012871.63360714911.72798538211.9295177461.878496171.89409327511.92644381521.86920738221.78716719151.73677122591.6815022231.63189768791.57102346421.55868911741.48376035691.47787499431.48101973531.47268736361.44556319711.45980262761.61611592771.58890175821.54407072071.5326329471.6379427911.78021705151.85356545451.86683297160.4368331432

7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.82204903665.80199973295.74499998995.68099984535.41815592355.17700020975.10200010245.06499996784.96399983765.36700046065.47400093085.66599988946.48125752817.35256910328.00453457248.46007233868.971750179.18121853479.39912196999.6070604929.67593297369.7239597449.8039846429.8670872459.89281868939.90713441379.97710245859.96821331989.97541779289.98947954189.95711112029.90280157339.979429304610.192113995610.126425385510.044545590910.035546779610.107137680110.171189844610.211756527410.2393995523

7.3579997.4167.172356.8496.6616.5576.4632936.4516.2525.88135.82204903665.80199973295.74499998995.68099984535.41815592355.17700020975.10200010245.06499996784.96399983765.36700046065.47400093085.66599988946.48125752817.35256910328.00453457248.46007233868.971750179.18121853479.39912196999.6070604929.67593297369.7239597449.8039846429.8670872459.89281868939.90713441379.97710245859.96821331989.97541779289.98947954189.95711112029.90280157339.979429304610.192113995610.126425385510.044545590910.035546779610.107137680110.171189844610.211756527410.2393995523


U.S. net oil imports decline to 7% in 2040 in high resource case; the United States becomes a net oil exporter with additional demand reductions*U.S. net oil importspercentSource: AEO2013ProjectionsHistory2011ReferenceHigh Oil and Gas ResourceLow/No Net ImportsLow Oil and Gas ResourceHigh Net ImportsHoward Gruenspecht , CNA Panel May 8, 2013


Chart1

21.504516846321.504516846321.504516846321.504516846321.5045168463

24.331749679424.331749679424.331749679424.331749679424.3317496794

27.609979173127.609979173127.609979173127.609979173127.6099791731

34.810424638534.810424638534.810424638534.810424638534.8104246385

35.379589384435.379589384435.379589384435.379589384435.3795893844

35.818743217635.818743217635.818743217635.818743217635.8187432176

40.602620975640.602620975640.602620975640.602620975640.6026209756

46.467080928546.467080928546.467080928546.467080928546.4670809285

42.456473068842.456473068842.456473068842.456473068842.4564730688

43.134494397543.134494397543.134494397543.134494397543.1344943975

37.31625989537.31625989537.31625989537.31625989537.316259895

33.624367601733.624367601733.624367601733.624367601733.6243676017

28.074232861128.074232861128.074232861128.074232861128.0742328611

28.261342676428.261342676428.261342676428.261342676428.2613426764

29.923977222629.923977222629.923977222629.923977222629.9239772226

27.186177457727.186177457727.186177457727.186177457727.1861774577

33.314219529233.314219529233.314219529233.314219529233.3142195292

35.37663747535.37663747535.37663747535.37663747535.376637475

37.992830976337.992830976337.992830976337.992830976337.9928309763

41.439339073941.439339073941.439339073941.439339073941.4393390739

42.033132488942.033132488942.033132488942.033132488942.0331324889

39.511760376439.511760376439.511760376439.511760376439.5117603764

40.583528008440.583528008440.583528008440.583528008440.5835280084

44.198733432144.198733432144.198733432144.198733432144.1987334321

45.460738196845.460738196845.460738196845.460738196845.4607381968

44.494627070144.494627070144.494627070144.494627070144.4946270701

46.417291546.417291546.417291546.417291546.4172915

49.187816086249.187816086249.187816086249.187816086249.1878160862

51.617033079651.617033079651.617033079651.617033079651.6170330796

50.787795006450.787795006450.787795006450.787795006450.7877950064

52.891512907352.891512907352.891512907352.891512907352.8915129073

55.481125034755.481125034755.481125034755.481125034755.4811250347

53.375620504753.375620504753.375620504753.375620504753.3756205047

56.102604686656.102604686656.102604686656.102604686656.1026046866

58.359103724258.359103724258.359103724258.359103724258.3591037242

60.323199507360.323199507360.323199507360.323199507360.3231995073

59.86844665659.86844665659.86844665659.86844665659.868446656

58.117328892958.117328892958.117328892958.117328892958.1173288929

56.855068304256.855068304256.855068304256.855068304256.8550683042

51.381233837951.381233837951.381233837951.381233837951.3812338379

49.161251695649.161251695649.161251695649.161251695649.1612516956

44.668961733744.668961733744.668961733744.668961733744.6689617337

40.83714742.56666242.56755840.04912640.049126

38.62902540.10982540.10645335.83212735.828323

35.88003239.16674439.01290130.26104429.989178

35.90411439.74688339.50441728.26178727.55998

34.68746939.08280938.71374925.30722624.046268

34.48862539.43414338.81610123.60057621.836361

34.25420439.47611638.79122521.93070419.658806

33.96719739.6098938.72667320.58688217.718536

34.14064839.8898238.97058919.72384616.384243

34.46477940.46774339.3422218.99816915.146213

35.08195941.31421340.06520518.18606813.726124

35.43291541.95349540.60681917.3609712.398388

35.99410642.60850941.12643116.79273211.408545

36.325643.28354341.67326716.17217110.379099

37.2975544.33356142.62770115.1818788.880687

37.65084844.55418442.67263414.6243787.774337

38.04492644.91918643.19063914.0929686.761652

38.35458444.96813643.3085113.4680515.447258

38.45455244.55434842.65154613.1433494.584387

38.15425544.4575542.2233212.6542513.919734

37.91641644.25812542.05899411.7222552.765407

37.50244544.40183642.05876210.1346750.90637

37.38523945.07699642.69434410.0627220.141456

37.41745444.91835442.71409210.081589-0.957993

37.94850544.69246342.5017329.647841-2.117087

38.28021644.68722542.3873798.982422-3.493185

37.95989644.64496642.5359158.321642-4.947447

37.18558944.25460841.6835597.562299-6.520187

36.93648944.26315341.6754726.879955-7.585227

Reference

High Import

Low Resource

High Resource

Low Import

Sheet1

Column119701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040

Reference21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.83714738.62902535.88003235.90411434.68746934.48862534.25420433.96719734.14064834.46477935.08195935.43291535.99410636.325637.2975537.65084838.04492638.35458438.45455238.15425537.91641637.50244537.38523937.41745437.94850538.28021637.95989637.18558936.936489

High Import21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733742.56666240.10982539.16674439.74688339.08280939.43414339.47611639.6098939.8898240.46774341.31421341.95349542.60850943.28354344.33356144.55418444.91918644.96813644.55434844.4575544.25812544.40183645.07699644.91835444.69246344.68722544.64496644.25460844.263153

Low Resource21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733742.56755840.10645339.01290139.50441738.71374938.81610138.79122538.72667338.97058939.3422240.06520540.60681941.12643141.67326742.62770142.67263443.19063943.3085142.65154642.2233242.05899442.05876242.69434442.71409242.50173242.38737942.53591541.68355941.675472

High Resource21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.04912635.83212730.26104428.26178725.30722623.60057621.93070420.58688219.72384618.99816918.18606817.3609716.79273216.17217115.18187814.62437814.09296813.46805113.14334912.65425111.72225510.13467510.06272210.0815899.6478418.9824228.3216427.5622996.879955

Low Import21.504516846324.331749679427.609979173134.810424638535.379589384435.818743217640.602620975646.467080928542.456473068843.134494397537.31625989533.624367601728.074232861128.261342676429.923977222627.186177457733.314219529235.37663747537.992830976341.439339073942.033132488939.511760376440.583528008444.198733432145.460738196844.494627070146.417291549.187816086251.617033079650.787795006452.891512907355.481125034753.375620504756.102604686658.359103724260.323199507359.86844665658.117328892956.855068304251.381233837949.161251695644.668961733740.04912635.82832329.98917827.5599824.04626821.83636119.65880617.71853616.38424315.14621313.72612412.39838811.40854510.3790998.8806877.7743376.7616525.4472584.5843873.9197342.7654070.906370.141456-0.957993-2.117087-3.493185-4.947447-6.520187-7.585227


Data from AEO run:

ReferenceReference49.25262145.00973540.83714738.62902535.88003235.90411434.68746934.48862534.25420433.96719734.14064834.46477935.08195935.43291535.99410636.325637.2975537.65084838.04492638.35458438.45455238.15425537.91641637.50244537.38523937.41745437.94850538.28021637.95989637.18558936.936489

High ImportHigh Import49.25262145.00973542.56666240.10982539.16674439.74688339.08280939.43414339.47611639.6098939.8898240.46774341.31421341.95349542.60850943.28354344.33356144.55418444.91918644.96813644.55434844.4575544.25812544.40183645.07699644.91835444.69246344.68722544.64496644.25460844.263153

Low ResourceLow Resource49.25262145.00973542.56755840.10645339.01290139.50441738.71374938.81610138.79122538.72667338.97058939.3422240.06520540.60681941.12643141.67326742.62770142.67263443.19063943.3085142.65154642.2233242.05899442.05876242.69434442.71409242.50173242.38737942.53591541.68355941.675472

High ResourceHigh Resource49.25262145.00973540.04912635.83212730.26104428.26178725.30722623.60057621.93070420.58688219.72384618.99816918.18606817.3609716.79273216.17217115.18187814.62437814.09296813.46805113.14334912.65425111.72225510.13467510.06272210.0815899.6478418.9824228.3216427.5622996.879955

Low ImportLow Import49.25262145.00917140.04912635.82832329.98917827.5599824.04626821.83636119.65880617.71853616.38424315.14621313.72612412.39838811.40854510.3790998.8806877.7743376.7616525.4472584.5843873.9197342.7654070.906370.1414

energy overview

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energy demand

cna panel

nonoecd nations

average annual change