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Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of Migration Statistics Aishath Shahuda, Chief Statistician, National Bureau of Statistics Maldives

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Page 1: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Enhancing the

Production, Dissemination,

and Use of Migration Statistics

Aishath Shahuda, Chief Statistician,

National Bureau of Statistics

Maldives

Page 2: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Outline Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives

in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration statistics; challenges in

measuring different aspects of migratory flows

ways and methods for closing the gaps in migration data and increasing its

timeliness through innovative approaches;

raise awareness about the importance of migration statistics and its use in

decision making

Page 3: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

NBS Maldives

experiences in

addressing the need for

migration statistics

Page 4: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Broadening the scope of migration data in

Census

Census 2014 covered resident foreign population

Focused questions to capture internal as well as international migration included

Questionnaires translated in different languages (Bangladesh…)

Publicity in different languages (use of reputed foreign workers such as teachers,

census song includes migrant workers and messages in their language)

Recruitment of foreign national as enumerators

Special efforts to communicate with foreigners with emphasis on data

confidentiality

Communication with relevant agencies to help improve coverage (Immigration,

foreign Ministry, embassies)

Special desks at census center with foreign translators

Census 2014 results showed under coverage of resident foreign population

Page 5: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Foreign residents from Census 2014 adjusted for coverage in population projections Data on Resident Foreigners was extracted from the 2014 Census, which

captured 63,637 Resident Foreigners.

However, this figure is assumed to have been under-enumerated during the 2014 Census.

The challenge was therefore to try to inflate this group to obtain a figure that would be more realistic.

To do this, information from the 2014 Census as well as information provided by the Ministry of Tourism and Maldives Immigration was used.

Maldives Immigration provides data on Employment Approvals (EA) by sector of activities. EA data pointed out some sectors that were undercounted in the 2014 Census.

A comparison of 2014 and 2015 EA data also showed that the construction sector had received a lot of foreign workers in 2015 as compared to 2014.

After these adjustments to the 2014 Census, estimates of Resident Foreigners were

adjusted to 97,774 for 2014 and used as base population in population projections 2014-2054 by NBS

Page 6: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

NBS Maldives experiences in addressing the

need for migration statistics (cont..) Census tabulations and analysis and include foreigners and highlight

aspects migration

Population dynamics report based on Census 2014 highlighted the need to

strengthen migration data and highlighted the importance of managing

migration

Population projections based on Census 2014 including resident

population (resident foreign and locals) has been produced at Atoll level

and is published in the Statistical Yearbook of Maldives 2017

Methodology and analysis of projections are to be published by NBS soon,

with video, and advocacy

Work on island level projections are underway

Page 7: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Broadening the scope of migration data in

Household Income and Expenditure Survey Broadening the scope of national data collection exercises to include foreign

national –

Labor force module added to HIES 2016 and most recent recommendations of ILO -19th ICLS – was implemented

Included foreign households in the HIES 2016 (persons living in administrative islands, except in collective living quarters)

Migration questions included in HIES 2016

HIES 2016 data on employment in key industries (Construction, Tourist Resorts) were not reflective of the actual distribution shares due to this

Employment by industry and occupation % distributions by industry and occupation were different due to the scope of HIES 2016 compared to Census 2014

Special sample designed to capture foreign national working in tourist resorts and industrial islands in HIES 2016, mainly those in collective living quarters (Unfortunately it was not implemented due to timing and funding)- planned to be implemented in the near future

Page 8: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

NBS Maldives experiences in addressing the

need for migration statistics (cont..) Generating statistics on international migration from the administrative

systems

Immigration database (data consistency issues)

Employment in tourist resorts, guest houses and the industry (available through

immigration system only)

Employment in construction industry (available through immigration system only)

Employment in health sector (available form Ministry of Health)

Employment in education sector (available from Ministry of Education)

Page 9: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Need to strengthen data on migration

Need to collect comprehensive migration data through census and surveys

on a regular manner by improving frequency and coverage

Need to strengthen Administrative data systems and report generation

Immigration database (data consistency and comparability issues)

Due to change in the border control system used to generate the immigration

data with new system established in November 2012, there is a discontinuity in

consistent records.

Employment Approval (EA) is a written statement by immigration, giving

permission for foreigners to work in Maldives. Resident permit/work visa is issued

based on this EA for those who apply for work visa.

Atoll and island level resident population to be collected and made available regularly

Page 10: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Immigration database (data consistency

and comparability issues)

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Expatriate employment, 2006-2011

(In numbers)

Page 11: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Immigration database (data consistency

and comparability issues)

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

2013 2014 2015 2016

Employment Approvals, 2013-2016

(In numbers)

Page 12: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Explore the ways and methods

for closing the gaps in migration

data and increasing its timeliness through innovative approaches

Page 13: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Big data pilot project

To study the resident population using CDR data in cooperation with

Communication Authority of Maldives and the Mobile phone companies

Objective is to get up-to-date population data especially to use in order to

factor in the internal migration

Internal migration towards the capital is high but in the absence of regular

surveys it is difficult to obtain data to monitor

Plans to update population projections at Atoll and island levels on a

frequent basis factoring in data and assumptions on internal and

international migration

Page 14: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Need to raise awareness about

the importance of migration

statistics and its use in decision

making

Page 15: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

1000000

201

4

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5

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6

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Resident Population (in numbers), 2014-

2054

Resident Maldivian Resident Foreigners

Page 16: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Decline in population growth rate for the Atolls is sharp, due to negative migration

rates whereby higher outmigration than in-migration occurs and low fertility rates.

By 2054, more than 64 %of the Resident Maldivian population will be living in the Greater Male’ Area

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049 2054

Pe

rce

nt

Share of Resident Maldivian Population in Male'

and the Atolls

Male'

Atolls

Page 17: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration
Page 18: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration
Page 19: Enhancing the Production, Dissemination, and Use of ... · Experiences of National Statistical Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Maldives in addressing the ever-increasing need for migration

Migration data needs and SDGs

A migration-specific target: SDGs Target 10.7

Migration included in Targets of at least some 4 SDGs Goals:

• Goal 5 in Target 5.2 (trafficking);

• Goal 8 in Targets 8.7 (forced labour) and 8.8 (migrant workers);

• Goal 10 in Target 10.c (remittances); and

• Goal 16 in Target 16.2 (trafficking)

As an overarching disaggregation variable:

• SDG indicators should be disaggregated where relevant by income, sex, age,

race, ethnicity, migratory status, disability and geographic location, or other

characteristics, in accordance with the Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics (Target 17.18).