entrepreneurship and workforce issues*
DESCRIPTION
Entrepreneurship and Workforce Issues*. Martin Kenney Dept. of Human and Community Development UC Davis & BRIE with Rafiq Dossani Stanford University & Martin Haemmig University of Munich. * Presentation prepared for the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Entrepreneurship and Workforce Entrepreneurship and Workforce Issues*Issues*Martin KenneyMartin Kenney
Dept. of Human and Community DevelopmentDept. of Human and Community DevelopmentUC DavisUC Davis
&&BRIEBRIEwithwith
Rafiq DossaniRafiq DossaniStanford UniversityStanford University
&&Martin HaemmigMartin Haemmig
University of MunichUniversity of Munich
* Presentation prepared for the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology,* Presentation prepared for the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology,Subcommittee on Networking and Information TechnologySubcommittee on Networking and Information Technology
Shenzhen 1985, 1995, 2004
Kun Chen 2005
OutlineOutline• ChinaChina• IndiaIndia• EntrepreneurshipEntrepreneurship• ConclusionConclusion
ChinaChina
Chinese ChallengeChinese Challenge• IT equipment manufacturingIT equipment manufacturing• Western VC flowing in massivelyWestern VC flowing in massively
– Some excellent exitsSome excellent exits• Enormous and growing domestic market for Enormous and growing domestic market for
IT productsIT products• Chinese attempts to create global standardsChinese attempts to create global standards• Massive increases in R&D investment by Massive increases in R&D investment by
govt. and Chinese industrygovt. and Chinese industry• Large # competent engineersLarge # competent engineers
Chinese Tech Firms (Generalizations)Chinese Tech Firms (Generalizations)• With the exception With the exception of Huawei and Lenovo -- of Huawei and Lenovo --
technology is not yet global standardtechnology is not yet global standard• VC funded firms show little global-class techVC funded firms show little global-class tech
– U.S. business model clones (good returns U.S. business model clones (good returns because MNCs need to purchase access)because MNCs need to purchase access)
– Firms providing solutions for the underserved Firms providing solutions for the underserved domestic market (not IT)domestic market (not IT)
• Generally not competitive with India for IT Generally not competitive with India for IT offshoring (though govt. is interested)offshoring (though govt. is interested)
Rank Firm Rank 2005 Nationality Firm Rank 2004 Nationality1 IDG Technology Ventures U.S. SAIF Partners (Softbank) Japan2 SAIF Partners (Softbank) Japan IDG Technology Ventures U.S.3 Venture TDF China Doll Capital Management U.S.4 CDH Investments Singapore/U.S. CDH Investments Singapore/U.S.5 DFJ ePlanet U.S. NewMargin Ventures China6 Softbank China VC Japan Carlyle Group Asia U.S.7 Granite Global Ventures U.S. Warburg Pincus Asia LLC U.S.8 Intel Capital China U.S. (corporate) Legend Capital Limited China (corporate)9 3i U.K. Acer Technology Ventures Taiwan (corporate)10 NewMargin Ventures China Shandong High Technology China (government)
Top Venture Capital Firms in Chinain 2004 and 2005
Source: Zero2IPO various years
IndiaIndia
2005 -- India IT-Related Employment 2005 -- India IT-Related Employment GrowthGrowth
242
360416
490
588
697
348
254180
1067042
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
IT Software and Services
ITES-BPO
CAGR 29.8%
Employee numbers ‘000sSource: NASSCOM 2005
37.0%
18.5%
Remember US Work Force is 130 millionRemember US Work Force is 130 million
The Indian IT Services LandscapeThe Indian IT Services Landscape
Future growth Focus
Current Strength
IS Outsourcing (110 Bn)
System Integration
Network Consulting and Implementation
H/w support andInstallation (120Bn)
Training & Education ($50Bn)
Application development,
maintenance and outsourcing (60Bn)
Packaged S/W support & Integration
IS consulting
R&D Services Management
ProcessingServices (80Bn)
Leveraging current strengths to grow and move up the Leveraging current strengths to grow and move up the value chainvalue chain
High Value High Volume
Technology & Domain IP
Direction of Evolution
Network Infrastructure
Source: Indian IT Firm
Nationality Employment in Global % in India LocationsIndia (date) Employment*
Oracle U.S. 6,900 (2005) 41,658 16 Bangalore, HyderabadMicrosoft U.S. 2,500 (2005) 57,000 4 Bangalore, HyderabadSAP Germany 3,500 (2006) 38,802 9 BangaloreIBM U.S. 53,000 (2006) 369,277 14 Bangalore, Delhi, ChennaiVeritas U.S. 900 (2004) 17,250 5 PuneAdobe U.S. 500 (2005) 3,142 16 DelhiEDS U.S. 5,000 (2005) 117,000 4 Chennai, Delhi, MumbaiCap Gemini France 2,000 (2004) 59,324 4 Mumbai, BangaloreComp Assoc US 1,000 (2006) 16,000 6 Hyderabad
Employment in India by Selected LargeEmployment in India by Selected LargeNon-Indian Software FirmsNon-Indian Software Firms
Author’s compilation
05000
100001500020000250003000035000400004500050000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Infosys (+1yr)TCS (+1yr)IBM GS Sales
Infosys, TCS and IBM GS Revenues, 2001-2005
Source: Various Annual Reports
31.6% CAGR23.4% CAGR
6.3% CAGR
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2003 2004 2005
Infosys profit(+1yr)TCS profit (+1yr)
IBM profit
Infosys, TCS, and IBM Net Profits, 2003-2005
27.5% CAGR15.3% CAGR
6.6% CAGRSource: Various Annual Reports
02468
10121416
IBM
Mic
roso
ft
Acc
entu
re
TC
S
Info
sys
R&D as Percentof Revenue
R&D as Percent of Revenue for IBM, MS, Accenture, and TCS, 2005
Compiled by author from annual reports
The Educational Levels of Web Posted Job Descriptions The Educational Levels of Web Posted Job Descriptions for Intel, HP and Oracle, February 2005for Intel, HP and Oracle, February 2005
INTEL None Technical Bachelors Masters PhD TotalShanghai 10 9 61 55 9 144Beijing 1 0 7 6 1 15Bangalore 11 7 39 112 10 179
HP None Technical Bachelors Masters PhD TotalShanghai 6 2 7 29 1 45Beijing 5 0 25 28 0 58Bangalore 15 3 62 42 34 156
ORACLE None Technical Bachelors Masters PhD TotalBeijing 0 0 0 2 0 2Bangalore 9 1 63 16 0 89
Source: Author’s compilation
A Job at Intel IndiaA Job at Intel India• CAD Engineer: Hardware Engineering is all about finding solutions. As a CAD (Computer
Aided Design) Engineer with the Intel Hardware Engineering team, you'll work on teams designing, developing and implementing solutions. As part of Hardware Engineering at Intel, you'll have the opportunity to be involved from start to finish on the development of world-class innovations.
ResponsibilitiesAs a CAD Engineer, you will be involved in developing new very large scale integration (VLSI) CAD tools and methodology solutions for design for testability (DFT) and test generation for high volume manufacturing of next generation microprocessor products. You will be responsible for development, deployment and maintenance of in-house fault simulation and test generation tools. This position will be based in Bangalore, India.
QualificationsYou must possess a Ph.D. or Master of Science degree in Electrical Engineering or Computer Engineering with five to ten years of related work experience. Additional qualifications include: Extensive knowledge of Digital Design and Design-for-test principles, digital circuit/fault simulation and automatic test pattern generation. Good working knowledge in developing CAD tools using C++ in a UNIX*/Linux* environment.
Excellent experience in a related people management role would be an added advantage.
http://appzone.intel.com/jobs/uRequisition.asp?Posting=34339Accessed April 9, 2004
EntrepreneurshipEntrepreneurship
EntrepreneurshipEntrepreneurship
• Venture capital is now globalized Venture capital is now globalized (Kenney et al 2006)(Kenney et al 2006)– Foreign VCs invest in U.S.Foreign VCs invest in U.S.– U.S. VCs invest abroadU.S. VCs invest abroad
• Offshore presence very early in the life-Offshore presence very early in the life-cycle of U.S. startupscycle of U.S. startups
Global VC Direct Investment Flow 2003Global VC Direct Investment Flow 2003
88%81%
71%
19% 12% 29%
86%
13%
$24.2b$6.2b
$0.42b
$2.0b
($5.6B) ($0.1B)($0.8B) ($0.8B)
($1.4B) ($0.6B)($3.2B) ($1.8B)
Source: Martin Haemmig at www.MartinHaemmig.comCompiled from data provided by NVCA/Venture Economics, EVCA, AVCJ, IVC)
USA Europe Israel Asia
ConclusionsConclusions
U.S. StrengthsU.S. Strengths• Great research universitiesGreat research universities
– Attracting top-notch grad studentsAttracting top-notch grad students– Cutting-edge research leading to new Cutting-edge research leading to new
productsproducts• Best entrepreneurial regions in worldBest entrepreneurial regions in world
– Seasoned VCs, lawyers, executives etc. Seasoned VCs, lawyers, executives etc. • Many cutting-edge IT and networking Many cutting-edge IT and networking
usersusers• Free flow of ideas and knowledgeFree flow of ideas and knowledge• Strong global connectionsStrong global connections
RealityReality• Globalization here to stayGlobalization here to stay
– VC/entrepreneurship abroad (Skype, Baidu, etc.)VC/entrepreneurship abroad (Skype, Baidu, etc.)• Offshoring to continue (and pressure on Offshoring to continue (and pressure on
white-collar worker wages)white-collar worker wages)– IT innovation is globalizingIT innovation is globalizing
• India’s importance in SW will continue to growIndia’s importance in SW will continue to grow
• Open source/innovation systems are Open source/innovation systems are becoming realitybecoming reality– Ergo, value will be created wherever the bright, Ergo, value will be created wherever the bright,
capable, driven people are -- capital will be there capable, driven people are -- capital will be there for themfor them
Policy ResponsesPolicy Responses• Redress the imbalance between life science Redress the imbalance between life science
and engineering/physical sci federal R&D and engineering/physical sci federal R&D fundingfunding
• Improve education at all levelsImprove education at all levels– K-12 creates the feedstock for the futureK-12 creates the feedstock for the future
• In an open source/innovation knowledge In an open source/innovation knowledge economy secrecy is a heavy burdeneconomy secrecy is a heavy burden
• Ease visa red tape for bona fide students, Ease visa red tape for bona fide students, scholarly exchange, and high value scholarly exchange, and high value contributorscontributors
Thank You
http://hcd.ucdavis.edu/faculty/kenney/