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Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ESMO Cape Town 2017

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Page 1: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Epidemiology

of Prostate Cancer

In African Males

Shingai Mutambirwa (MD)

Urologist

ESMO Cape Town 2017

Page 2: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Disclosures

Advisory boards/Lecturer/Consultant-

Astellas

Astra-Zeneca

Bayer

Eli Lilly

Ferring

Janssen

Pfizer

Sanofi

Page 3: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 4: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Incidence of cancer in males

Prostate

Lung

Colorectal

Bladder

Kidney-renal

Mouth Pharynx

Stomach

Percentage incidence of cancer in males.

Page 5: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Worldwide variation in prostate cancer incidence rates

Rates per 100,000 population

1.2

6.6

7

23

40

44

50

60

102

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

China

India

Japan

UK

Switzerland

Norway

Sweden

US White

US Black

Page 6: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 7: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

PROSTATE CANCER

IN AFRICA 2012

Controversies and Novel

Treatments

Prof Shingai Mutambirwa

Consultant & Head Division

Urology

Medical University of RSA

Pretoria RSA

EAU Paris 2012

Page 8: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 9: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 10: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 11: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Prostate Cancer

in Sub-Saharan Africa

Epidemiology:

34-320/100 000

1/6 will develop Pca in next 20yrs- 20%

increase

Deaths from PCa to double in next 20yrs

23% all male cancers

41-96% Locally Advanced

16-59% Metastatic

Page 12: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Local staging of prostate cancer

http://www.tackleprostate.org/the-gleason-score-and-staging.php

Page 13: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

SRESkeletal related event is a series of complications or

treatment requirement that happen in routine practice

“Field” endpoint : need for irradiation, chemotherapy or

surgery, pathological fractures, spinal cord compression,

and/or hypercalcaemia

Surgery to bone

Pathological

fracture

Spinal cord

compression

Radiotherapy to

bone

Page 14: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

?

Understood:

• Natural history

• Prevalence

• Patterns of spread

Questions:

• Universal use of screening tests

• Choices of therapy

• Contributing factors

Prostate Cancer: Remarkably Common With Many

Unanswered Questions

??Sources: Nelson WG, DeMarzo AM, Isaacs WB. Prostate cancer. NEJM. 2003;349:366-381.

Page 15: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

What “causes” Prostate cancer?

Page 16: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Factors Increasing Risk of

Prostate Cancer

Age

Lifestyle

Hormones

Race

Genetics

Page 17: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

Predicted increase in incidence

PROBABLY 50% DON’T NEED TREATMENT!

n over 65 years .

Page 18: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White
Page 19: Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer In African Males€¦ · of Prostate Cancer In African Males Shingai Mutambirwa (MD) Urologist ... India Japan UK Switzerland Norway Sweden US White

BRCA1: 22 coding exons, > 5,500 bp– AGCTCGCTGAGACTTCCTGGACCCCGCACCAGGCTGTGGGGTTTCTCAGATAACTGGGCCCCTGCGCTCAGGAGGCCTTCACCCTCTGCTCTGGGTAAAGTTCATTGGAACAGAAAGAAATGGATTTATCTGCTCTTCGCGTTGAAGAAGTACAAAATGTCATTAATGCTATGCAGAAAATCTTAGAGTGTCCCATCTGTCTGGAGTTGATCAAGGAACCTGTCTCCACAAAGTGTGACCACATATTTTGCAAATTTTGCATGCTG

AAACTTCTCAACCAGAAGAAAGGGCCTTCACAGTGTCCTTTATGTAAGAATGATATAACCAAAAGGAGCCTACAAGAAAGTACGAGATTTAGTCAACTTGTTGAAGAGCTATTGAAAATCATTTGTGCTTTTCAGCTTGACACAGGTTTGGAGTATGCAAACAGCTATAATTTTGCAAAAAAGGAAAATAACTCTCCTGAACATCTAAAAGATGAAGTTTCTATCATCCAAAGTATGGGCTACAGAAACCGTGCCAAAAGACTTCTACAG

AGTGAACCCGAAAATCCTTCCTTGCAGGAAACCAGTCTCAGTGTCCAACTCTCTAACCTTGGAACTGTGAGAACTCTGAGGACAAAGCAGCGGATACAACCTCAAAAGACGTCTGTCTACATTGAATTGGGATCTGATTCTTCTGAAGATACCGTTAATAAGGCAACTTATTGCAGTGTGGGAGATCAAGAATTGTTACAAATCACCCCTCAAGGAACCAGGGATGAAATCAGTTTGGATTCTGCAAAAAAGGCTGCTTGTGAATTTT

CTGAGACGGATGTAACAAATACTGAACATCATCAACCCAGTAATAATGATTTGAACACCACTGAGAAGCGTGCAGCTGAGAGGCATCCAGAAAAGTATCAGGGTAGTTCTGTTTCAAACTTGCATGTGGAGCCATGTGGCACAAATACTCATGCCAGCTCATTACAGCATGAGAACAGCAGTTTATTACTCACTAAAGACAGAATGAATGTAGAAAAGGCTGAATTCTGTAATAAAAGCAAACAGCCTGGCTTAGCAAGGAGCCAAC

ATAACAGATGGGCTGGAAGTAAGGAAACATGTAATGATAGGCGGACTCCCAGCACAGAAAAAAAGGTAGATCTGAATGCTGATCCCCTGTGTGAGAGAAAAGAATGGAATAAGCAGAAACTGCCATGCTCAGAGAATCCTAGAGATACTGAAGATGTTCCTTGGATAACACTAAATAGCAGCATTCAGAAAGTTAATGAGTGGTTTTCCAGAAGTGATGAACTGTTAGGTTCTGATGACTCACATGATGGGGAGTCTGAATCAAAT

GCCAAAGTAGCTGATGTATTGGACGTTCTAAATGAGGTAGATGAATATTCTGGTTCTTCAGAGAAAATAGACTTACTGGCCAGTGATCCTCATGAGGCTTTAATATGTAAAAGTGAAAGAGTTCACTCCAAATCAGTAGAGAGTAATATTGAAGACAAAATATTTGGGAAAACCTATCGGAAGAAGGCAAGCCTCCCCAACTTAAGCCATGTAACTGAAAATCTAATTATAGGAGCATTTGTTACTGAGCCACAGATAATACAAGAGC

GTCCCCTCACAAATAAATTAAAGCGTAAAAGGAGACCTACATCAGGCCTTCATCCTGAGGATTTTATCAAGAAAGCAGATTTGGCAGTTCAAAAGACTCCTGAAATGATAAATCAGGGAACTAACCAAACGGAGCAGAATGGTCAAGTGATGAATATTACTAATAGTGGTCATGAGAATAAAACAAAAGGTGATTCTATTCAGAATGAGAAAAATCCTAACCCAATAGAATCACTCGAAAAAGAATCTGCTTTCAAAACGAAAGCTGAA

CCTATAAGCAGCAGTATAAGCAATATGGAACTCGAATTAAATATCCACAATTCAAAAGCACCTAAAAAGAATAGGCTGAGGAGGAAGTCTTCTACCAGGCATATTCATGCGCTTGAACTAGTAGTCAGTAGAAATCTAAGCCCACCTAATTGTACTGAATTGCAAATTGATAGTTGTTCTAGCAGTGAAGAGATAAAGAAAAAAAAGTACAACCAAATGCCAGTCAGGCACAGCAGAAACCTACAACTCATGGAAGGTAAAGAACCTG

CAACTGGAGCCAAGAAGAGTAACAAGCCAAATGAACAGACAAGTAAAAGACATGACAGCGATACTTTCCCAGAGCTGAAGTTAACAAATGCACCTGGTTCTTTTACTAAGTGTTCAAATACCAGTGAACTTAAAGAATTTGTCAATCCTAGCCTTCCAAGAGAAGAAAAAGAAGAGAAACTAGAAACAGTTAAAGTGTCTAATAATGCTGAAGACCCCAAAGATCTCATGTTAAGTGGAGAAAGGGTTTTGCAAACTGAAAGATCTGT

AGAGAGTAGCAGTATTTCATTGGTACCTGGTACTGATTATGGCACTCAGGAAAGTATCTCGTTACTGGAAGTTAGCACTCTAGGGAAGGCAAAAACAGAACCAAATAAATGTGTGAGTCAGTGTGCAGCATTTGAAAACCCCAAGGGACTAATTCATGGTTGTTCCAAAGATAATAGAAATGACACAGAAGGCTTTAAGTATCCATTGGGACATGAAGTTAACCACAGTCGGGAAACAAGCATAGAAATGGAAGAAAGTGAACTTGA

TGCTCAGTATTTGCAGAATACATTCAAGGTTTCAAAGCGCCAGTCATTTGCTCCGTTTTCAAATCCAGGAAATGCAGAAGAGGAATGTGCAACATTCTCTGCCCACTCTGGGTCCTTAAAGAAACAAAGTCCAAAAGTCACTTTTGAATGTGAACAAAAGGAAGAAAATCAAGGAAAGAATGAGTCTAATATCAAGCCTGTACAGACAGTTAATATCACTGCAGGCTTTCCTGTGGTTGGTCAGAAAGATAAGCCAGTTGATAATGCC

AAATGTAGTATCAAAGGAGGCTCTAGGTTTTGTCTATCATCTCAGTTCAGAGGCAACGAAACTGGACTCATTACTCCAAATAAACATGGACTTTTACAAAACCCATATCGTATACCACCACTTTTTCCCATCAAGTCATTTGTTAAAACTAAATGTAAGAAAAATCTGCTAGAGGAAAACTTTGAGGAACATTCAATGTCACCTGAAAGAGAAATGGGAAATGAGAACATTCCAAGTACAGTGAGCACAATTAGCCGTAATAACATTAGA

GAAAATGTTTTTAAAGAAGCCAGCTCAAGCAATATTAATGAAGTAGGTTCCAGTACTAATGAAGTGGGCTCCAGTATTAATGAAATAGGTTCCAGTGATGAAAACATTCAAGCAGAACTAGGTAGAAACAGAGGGCCAAAATTGAATGCTATGCTTAGATTAGGGGTTTTGCAACCTGAGGTCTATAAACAAAGTCTTCCTGGAAGTAATTGTAAGCATCCTGAAATAAAAAAGCAAGAATATGAAGAAGTAGTTCAGACTGTTAATAC

AGATTTCTCTCCATATCTGATTTCAGATAACTTAGAACAGCCTATGGGAAGTAGTCATGCATCTCAGGTTTGTTCTGAGACACCTGATGACCTGTTAGATGATGGTGAAATAAAGGAAGATACTAGTTTTGCTGAAAATGACATTAAGGAAAGTTCTGCTGTTTTTAGCAAAAGCGTCCAGAAAGGAGAGCTTAGCAGGAGTCCTAGCCCTTTCACCCATACACATTTGGCTCAGGGTTACCGAAGAGGGGCCAAGAAATTAGAGTC

CTCAGAAGAGAACTTATCTAGTGAGGATGAAGAGCTTCCCTGCTTCCAACACTTGTTATTTGGTAAAGTAAACAATATACCTTCTCAGTCTACTAGGCATAGCACCGTTGCTACCGAGTGTCTGTCTAAGAACACAGAGGAGAATTTATTATCATTGAAGAATAGCTTAAATGACTGCAGTAACCAGGTAATATTGGCAAAGGCATCTCAGGAACATCACCTTAGTGAGGAAACAAAATGTTCTGCTAGCTTGTTTTCTTCACAGTGCA

GTGAATTGGAAGACTTGACTGCAAATACAAACACCCAGGATCCTTTCTTGATTGGTTCTTCCAAACAAATGAGGCATCAGTCTGAAAGCCAGGGAGTTGGTCTGAGTGACAAGGAATTGGTTTCAGATGATGAAGAAAGAGGAACGGGCTTGGAAGAAAATAATCAAGAAGAGCAAAGCATGGATTCAAACTTAGGTGAAGCAGCATCTGGGTGTGAGAGTGAAACAAGCGTCTCTGAAGACTGCTCAGGGCTATCCTCTCAGAG

TGACATTTTAACCACTCAGCAGAGGGATACCATGCAACATAACCTGATAAAGCTCCAGCAGGAAATGGCTGAACTAGAAGCTGTGTTAGAACAGCATGGGAGCCAGCCTTCTAACAGCTACCCTTCCATCATAAGTGACTCTTCTGCCCTTGAGGACCTGCGAAATCCAGAACAAAGCACATCAGAAAAAGCAGTATTAACTTCACAGAAAAGTAGTGAATACCCTATAAGCCAGAATCCAGAAGGCCTTTCTGCTGACAAGTTTGA

GGTGTCTGCAGATAGTTCTACCAGTAAAAATAAAGAACCAGGAGTGGAAAGGTCATCCCCTTCTAAATGCCCATCATTAGATGATAGGTGGTACATGCACAGTTGCTCTGGGAGTCTTCAGAATAGAAACTACCCATCTCAAGAGGAGCTCATTAAGGTTGTTGATGTGGAGGAGCAACAGCTGGAAGAGTCTGGGCCACACGATTTGACGGAAACATCTTACTTGCCAAGGCAAGATCTAGAGGGAACCCCTTACCTGGAATCT

GGAATCAGCCTCTTCTCTGATGACCCTGAATCTGATCCTTCTGAAGACAGAGCCCCAGAGTCAGCTCGTGTTGGCAACATACCATCTTCAACCTCTGCATTGAAAGTTCCCCAATTGAAAGTTGCAGAATCTGCCCAGAGTCCAGCTGCTGCTCATACTACTGATACTGCTGGGTATAATGCAATGGAAGAAAGTGTGAGCAGGGAGAAGCCAGAATTGACAGCTTCAACAGAAAGGGTCAACAAAAGAATGTCCATGGTGGTGTC

TGGCCTGACCCCAGAAGAATTTATGCTCGTGTACAAGTTTGCCAGAAAACACCACATCACTTTAACTAATCTAATTACTGAAGAGACTACTCATGTTGTTATGAAAACAGATGCTGAGTTTGTGTGTGAACGGACACTGAAATATTTTCTAGGAATTGCGGGAGGAAAATGGGTAGTTAGCTATTTCTGGGTGACCCAGTCTATTAAAGAAAGAAAAATGCTGAATGAGCATGATTTTGAAGTCAGAGGAGATGTGGTCAATGGAAGA

AACCACCAAGGTCCAAAGCGAGCAAGAGAATCCCAGGACAGAAAGATCTTCAGGGGGCTAGAAATCTGTTGCTATGGGCCCTTCACCAACATGCCCACAGATCAACTGGAATGGATGGTACAGCTGTGTGGTGCTTCTGTGGTGAAGGAGCTTTCATCATTCACCCTTGGCACAGGTGTCCACCCAATTGTGGTTGTGCAGCCAGATGCCTGGACAGAGGACAATGGCTTCCATGCAATTGGGCAGATGTGTGAGGCACCTGT

GGTGACCCGAGAGTGGGTGTTGGACAGTGTAGCACTCTACCAGTGCCAGGAGCTGGACACCTACCTGATACCCCAGATCCCCCACAGCCACTACTGACTGCAG

BRCA2: 26 coding exons, > 11,000 bp– GGTGGCGCGAGCTTCTGAAACTAGGCGGCAGAGGCGGAGCCGCTGTGGCACTGCTGCGCCTCTGCTGCGCCTCGGGTGTCTTTTGCGGCGGTGGGTCGCCGCCGGGAGAAGCGTGAGGGGACAGATTTGTGACCGGCGCGGTTTTTGTCAGCTTACTCCGGCCAAAAAAGAACTGCACCTCTGGAGCGGACTTATTTACCAAGCATTGGAGGAATATCGTAGGTAAAAATGCCTATTGGATCCAAAGAGAGGCCAACATTT

TTTGAAATTTTTAAGACACGCTGCAACAAAGCAGATTTAGGACCAATAAGTCTTAATTGGTTTGAAGAACTTTCTTCAGAAGCTCCACCCTATAATTCTGAACCTGCAGAAGAATCTGAACATAAAAACAACAATTACGAACCAAACCTATTTAAAACTCCACAAAGGAAACCATCTTATAATCAGCTGGCTTCAACTCCAATAATATTCAAAGAGCAAGGGCTGACTCTGCCGCTGTACCAATCTCCTGTAAAAGAATTAGATAAATTCA

AATTAGACTTAGGAAGGAATGTTCCCAATAGTAGACATAAAAGTCTTCGCACAGTGAAAACTAAAATGGATCAAGCAGATGATGTTTCCTGTCCACTTCTAAATTCTTGTCTTAGTGAAAGTCCTGTTGTTCTACAATGTACACATGTAACACCACAAAGAGATAAGTCAGTGGTATGTGGGAGTTTGTTTCATACACCAAAGTTTGTGAAGGGTCGTCAGACACCAAAACATATTTCTGAAAGTCTAGGAGCTGAGGTGGATCCTGAT

ATGTCTTGGTCAAGTTCTTTAGCTACACCACCCACCCTTAGTTCTACTGTGCTCATAGTCAGAAATGAAGAAGCATCTGAAACTGTATTTCCTCATGATACTACTGCTAATGTGAAAAGCTATTTTTCCAATCATGATGAAAGTCTGAAGAAAAATGATAGATTTATCGCTTCTGTGACAGACAGTGAAAACACAAATCAAAGAGAAGCTGCAAGTCATGGATTTGGAAAAACATCAGGGAATTCATTTAAAGTAAATAGCTGCAAAGAC

CACATTGGAAAGTCAATGCCAAATGTCCTAGAAGATGAAGTATATGAAACAGTTGTAGATACCTCTGAAGAAGATAGTTTTTCATTATGTTTTTCTAAATGTAGAACAAAAAATCTACAAAAAGTAAGAACTAGCAAGACTAGGAAAAAAATTTTCCATGAAGCAAACGCTGATGAATGTGAAAAATCTAAAAACCAAGTGAAAGAAAAATACTCATTTGTATCTGAAGTGGAACCAAATGATACTGATCCATTAGATTCAAATGTAGCAC

ATCAGAAGCCCTTTGAGAGTGGAAGTGACAAAATCTCCAAGGAAGTTGTACCGTCTTTGGCCTGTGAATGGTCTCAACTAACCCTTTCAGGTCTAAATGGAGCCCAGATGGAGAAAATACCCCTATTGCATATTTCTTCATGTGACCAAAATATTTCAGAAAAAGACCTATTAGACACAGAGAACAAAAGAAAGAAAGATTTTCTTACTTCAGAGAATTCTTTGCCACGTATTTCTAGCCTACCAAAATCAGAGAAGCCATTAAATGAG

GAAACAGTGGTAAATAAGAGAGATGAAGAGCAGCATCTTGAATCTCATACAGACTGCATTCTTGCAGTAAAGCAGGCAATATCTGGAACTTCTCCAGTGGCTTCTTCATTTCAGGGTATCAAAAAGTCTATATTCAGAATAAGAGAATCACCTAAAGAGACTTTCAATGCAAGTTTTTCAGGTCATATGACTGATCCAAACTTTAAAAAAGAAACTGAAGCCTCTGAAAGTGGACTGGAAATACATACTGTTTGCTCACAGAAGGAGGA

CTCCTTATGTCCAAATTTAATTGATAATGGAAGCTGGCCAGCCACCACCACACAGAATTCTGTAGCTTTGAAGAATGCAGGTTTAATATCCACTTTGAAAAAGAAAACAAATAAGTTTATTTATGCTATACATGATGAAACATCTTATAAAGGAAAAAAAATACCGAAAGACCAAAAATCAGAACTAATTAACTGTTCAGCCCAGTTTGAAGCAAATGCTTTTGAAGCACCACTTACATTTGCAAATGCTGATTCAGGTTTATTGCATTCTT

CTGTGAAAAGAAGCTGTTCACAGAATGATTCTGAAGAACCAACTTTGTCCTTAACTAGCTCTTTTGGGACAATTCTGAGGAAATGTTCTAGAAATGAAACATGTTCTAATAATACAGTAATCTCTCAGGATCTTGATTATAAAGAAGCAAAATGTAATAAGGAAAAACTACAGTTATTTATTACCCCAGAAGCTGATTCTCTGTCATGCCTGCAGGAAGGACAGTGTGAAAATGATCCAAAAAGCAAAAAAGTTTCAGATATAAAAGAAG

AGGTCTTGGCTGCAGCATGTCACCCAGTACAACATTCAAAAGTGGAATACAGTGATACTGACTTTCAATCCCAGAAAAGTCTTTTATATGATCATGAAAATGCCAGCACTCTTATTTTAACTCCTACTTCCAAGGATGTTCTGTCAAACCTAGTCATGATTTCTAGAGGCAAAGAATCATACAAAATGTCAGACAAGCTCAAAGGTAACAATTATGAATCTGATGTTGAATTAACCAAAAATATTCCCATGGAAAAGAATCAAGATGTATG

TGCTTTAAATGAAAATTATAAAAACGTTGAGCTGTTGCCACCTGAAAAATACATGAGAGTAGCATCACCTTCAAGAAAGGTACAATTCAACCAAAACACAAATCTAAGAGTAATCCAAAAAAATCAAGAAGAAACTACTTCAATTTCAAAAATAACTGTCAATCCAGACTCTGAAGAACTTTTCTCAGACAATGAGAATAATTTTGTCTTCCAAGTAGCTAATGAAAGGAATAATCTTGCTTTAGGAAATACTAAGGAACTTCATGAAACAG

ACTTGACTTGTGTAAACGAACCCATTTTCAAGAACTCTACCATGGTTTTATATGGAGACACAGGTGATAAACAAGCAACCCAAGTGTCAATTAAAAAAGATTTGGTTTATGTTCTTGCAGAGGAGAACAAAAATAGTGTAAAGCAGCATATAAAAATGACTCTAGGTCAAGATTTAAAATCGGACATCTCCTTGAATATAGATAAAATACCAGAAAAAAATAATGATTACATGAACAAATGGGCAGGACTCTTAGGTCCAATTTCAAATCA

CAGTTTTGGAGGTAGCTTCAGAACAGCTTCAAATAAGGAAATCAAGCTCTCTGAACATAACATTAAGAAGAGCAAAATGTTCTTCAAAGATATTGAAGAACAATATCCTACTAGTTTAGCTTGTGTTGAAATTGTAAATACCTTGGCATTAGATAATCAAAAGAAACTGAGCAAGCCTCAGTCAATTAATACTGTATCTGCACATTTACAGAGTAGTGTAGTTGTTTCTGATTGTAAAAATAGTCATATAACCCCTCAGATGTTATTTTCCA

AGCAGGATTTTAATTCAAACCATAATTTAACACCTAGCCAAAAGGCAGAAATTACAGAACTTTCTACTATATTAGAAGAATCAGGAAGTCAGTTTGAATTTACTCAGTTTAGAAAACCAAGCTACATATTGCAGAAGAGTACATTTGAAGTGCCTGAAAACCAGATGACTATCTTAAAGACCACTTCTGAGGAATGCAGAGATGCTGATCTTCATGTCATAATGAATGCCCCATCGATTGGTCAGGTAGACAGCAGCAAGCAATTTGAA

GGTACAGTTGAAATTAAACGGAAGTTTGCTGGCCTGTTGAAAAATGACTGTAACAAAAGTGCTTCTGGTTATTTAACAGATGAAAATGAAGTGGGGTTTAGGGGCTTTTATTCTGCTCATGGCACAAAACTGAATGTTTCTACTGAAGCTCTGCAAAAAGCTGTGAAACTGTTTAGTGATATTGAGAATATTAGTGAGGAAACTTCTGCAGAGGTACATCCAATAAGTTTATCTTCAAGTAAATGTCATGATTCTGTTGTTTCAATGTTT

AAGATAGAAAATCATAATGATAAAACTGTAAGTGAAAAAAATAATAAATGCCAACTGATATTACAAAATAATATTGAAATGACTACTGGCACTTTTGTTGAAGAAATTACTGAAAATTACAAGAGAAATACTGAAAATGAAGATAACAAATATACTGCTGCCAGTAGAAATTCTCATAACTTAGAATTTGATGGCAGTGATTCAAGTAAAAATGATACTGTTTGTATTCATAAAGATGAAACGGACTTGCTATTTACTGATCAGCACAACAT

ATGTCTTAAATTATCTGGCCAGTTTATGAAGGAGGGAAACACTCAGATTAAAGAAGATTTGTCAGATTTAACTTTTTTGGAAGTTGCGAAAGCTCAAGAAGCATGTCATGGTAATACTTCAAATAAAGAACAGTTAACTGCTACTAAAACGGAGCAAAATATAAAAGATTTTGAGACTTCTGATACATTTTTTCAGACTGCAAGTGGGAAAAATATTAGTGTCGCCAAAGAGTCATTTAATAAAATTGTAAATTTCTTTGATCAGAAACCA

GAAGAATTGCATAACTTTTCCTTAAATTCTGAATTACATTCTGACATAAGAAAGAACAAAATGGACATTCTAAGTTATGAGGAAACAGACATAGTTAAACACAAAATACTGAAAGAAAGTGTCCCAGTTGGTACTGGAAATCAACTAGTGACCTTCCAGGGACAACCCGAACGTGATGAAAAGATCAAAGAACCTACTCTGTTGGGTTTTCATACAGCTAGCGGGAAAAAAGTTAAAATTGCAAAGGAATCTTTGGACAAAGTGAAAAA

CCTTTTTGATGAAAAAGAGCAAGGTACTAGTGAAATCACCAGTTTTAGCCATCAATGGGCAAAGACCCTAAAGTACAGAGAGGCCTGTAAAGACCTTGAATTAGCATGTGAGACCATTGAGATCACAGCTGCCCCAAAGTGTAAAGAAATGCAGAATTCTCTCAATAATGATAAAAACCTTGTTTCTATTGAGACTGTGGTGCCACCTAAGCTCTTAAGTGATAATTTATGTAGACAAACTGAAAATCTCAAAACATCAAAAAGTATCTT

TTTGAAAGTTAAAGTACATGAAAATGTAGAAAAAGAAACAGCAAAAAGTCCTGCAACTTGTTACACAAATCAGTCCCCTTATTCAGTCATTGAAAATTCAGCCTTAGCTTTTTACACAAGTTGTAGTAGAAAAACTTCTGTGAGTCAGACTTCATTACTTGAAGCAAAAAAATGGCTTAGAGAAGGAATATTTGATGGTCAACCAGAAAGAATAAATACTGCAGATTATGTAGGAAATTATTTGTATGAAAATAATTCAAACAGTACTATA

GCTGAAAATGACAAAAATCATCTCTCCGAAAAACAAGATACTTATTTAAGTAACAGTAGCATGTCTAACAGCTATTCCTACCATTCTGATGAGGTATATAATGATTCAGGATATCTCTCAAAAAATAAACTTGATTCTGGTATTGAGCCAGTATTGAAGAATGTTGAAGATCAAAAAAACACTAGTTTTTCCAAAGTAATATCCAATGTAAAAGATGCAAATGCATACCCACAAACTGTAAATGAAGATATTTGCGTTGAGGAACTTGTGA

CTAGCTCTTCACCCTGCAAAAATAAAAATGCAGCCATTAAATTGTCCATATCTAATAGTAATAATTTTGAGGTAGGGCCACCTGCATTTAGGATAGCCAGTGGTAAAATCGTTTGTGTTTCACATGAAACAATTAAAAAAGTGAAAGACATATTTACAGACAGTTTCAGTAAAGTAATTAAGGAAAACAACGAGAATAAATCAAAAATTTGCCAAACGAAAATTATGGCAGGTTGTTACGAGGCATTGGATGA TTCAGAGGATATTCTTC

ATAACTCTCTAGATAATGATGAATGTAGCACGCATTCACATAAGGTTTTTGCTGACATTCAGAGTGAAGAAATTTTACAACATAACCAAAATATGTCTGGATTGGAGAAAGTTTCTAAAATATCACCTTGTGATGTTAGTTTGGAAACTTCAGATATATGTAAATGTAGTATAGGGAAGCTTCATAAGTCAGTCTCATCTGCAAATACTTGTGGGATTTTTAGCACAGCAAGTGGAAAATCTGTCCAGGTATCAGATGCTTCATTACAAAA

CGCAAGACAAGTGTTTTCTGAAATAGAAGATAGTACCAAGCAAGTCTTTTCCAAAGTATTGTTTAAAAGTAACGAACATTCAGACCAGCTCACAAGAGAAGAAAATACTGCTATACGTACTCCAGAACATTTAATATCCCAAAAAGGCTTTTCATATAATGTGGTAAATTCATCTGCTTTCTCTGGATTTAGTACAGCAAGTGGAAAGCAAGTTTCCATTTTAGAAAGTTCCTTACACAAAGTTAAGGGAGTGTTAGAGGAATTTGATTTA

ATCAGAACTGAGCATAGTCTTCACTATTCACCTACGTCTAGACAAAATGTATCAAAAATACTTCCTCGTGTTGATAAGAGAAACCCAGAGCACTGTGTAAACTCAGAAATGGAAAAAACCTGCAGTAAAGAATTTAAATTATCAAATAACTTAAATGTTGAAGGTGGTTCTTCAGAAAATAATCACTCTATTAAAGTTTCTCCATATCTCTCTCAATTTCAACAAGACAAACAACAGTTGGTATTAGGAACCAAAGTCTCACTTGTTGAGAA

CATTCATGTTTTGGGAAAAGAACAGGCTTCACCTAAAAACGTAAAAATGGAAATTGGTAAAACTGAAACTTTTTCTGATGTTCCTGTGAAAACAAATATAGAAGTTTGTTCTACTTACTCCAAAGATTCAGAAAACTACTTTGAAACAGAAGCAGTAGAAATTGCTAAAGCTTTTATGGAAGATGATGAACTGACAGATTCTAAACTGCCAAGTCATGCCACACATTCTCTTTTTACATGTCCCGAAAATGAGGAAATGGTTTTGTCAAAT

TCAAGAATTGGAAAAAGAAGAGGAGAGCCCCTTATCTTAGTGGGAGAACCCTCAATCAAAAGAAACTTATTAAATGAATTTGACAGGATAATAGAAAATCAAGAAAAATCCTTAAAGGCTTCAAAAAGCACTCCAGATGGCACAATAAAAGATCGAAGATTGTTTATGCATCATGTTTCTTTAGAGCCGATTACCTGTGTACCCTTTCGCACAACTAAGGAACGTCAAGAGATACAGAATCCAAATTTTACCGCACCTGGTCAAGAATT

TCTGTCTAAATCTCATTTGTATGAACATCTGACTTTGGAAAAATCTTCAAGCAATTTAGCAGTTTCAGGACATCCATTTTATCAAGTTTCTGCTACAAGAAATGAAAAAATGAGACACTTGATTACTACAGGCAGACCAACCAAAGTCTTTGTTCCACCTTTTAAAACTAAATCACATTTTCACAGAGTTGAACAGTGTGTTAGGAATATTAACTTGGAGGAAAACAGACAAAAGCAAAACATTGATGGACATGGCTCTGATGATAGTAAA

AATAAGATTAATGACAATGAGATTCATCAGTTTAACAAAAACAACTCCAATCAAGCAGCAGCTGTAACTTTCACAAAGTGTGAAGAAGAACCTTTAGATTTAATTACAAGTCTTCAGAATGCCAGAGATATACAGGATATGCGAATTAAGAAGAAACAAAGGCAACGCGTCTTTCCACAGCCAGGCAGTCTGTATCTTGCAAAAACATCCACTCTGCCTCGAATCTCTCTGAAAGCAGCAGTAGGAGGCCAAGTTCCCTCTGCGTGTTC

TCATAAACAGCTGTATACGTATGGCGTTTCTAAACATTGCATAAAAATTAACAGCAAAAATGCAGAGTCTTTTCAGTTTCACACTGAAGATTATTTTGGTAAGGAAAGTTTATGGACTGGAAAAGGAATACAGTTGGCTGATGGTGGATGGCTCATACCCTCCAATGATGGAAAGGCTGGAAAAGAAGAATTTTATAGGGCTCTGTGTGACACTCCAGGTGTGGATCCAAAGCTTATTTCTAGAATTTGGGTTTATAATCACTATAGAT

GGATCATATGGAAACTGGCAGCTATGGAATGTGCCTTTCCTAAGGAATTTGCTAATAGATGCCTAAGCCCAGAAAGGGTGCTTCTTCAACTAAAATACAGATATGATACGGAAATTGATAGAAGCAGAAGATCGGCTATAAAAAAGATAATGGAAAGGGATGACACAGCTGCAAAAACACTTGTTCTCTGTGTTTCTGACATAATTTCATTGAGCGCAAATATATCTGAAACTTCTAGCAATAAAACTAGTAGTGCAGATACCCAAAAA

GTGGCCATTATTGAACTTACAGATGGGTGGTATGCTGTTAAGGCCCAGTTAGATCCTCCCCTCTTAGCTGTCTTAAAGAATGGCAGACTGACAGTTGGTCAGAAGATTATTCTTCATGGAGCAGAACTGGTGGGCTCTCCTGATGCCTGTACACCTCTTGAAGCCCCAGAATCTCTTATGTTAAAGATTTCTGCTAACAGTACTCGGCCTGCTCGCTGGTATACCAAACTTGGATTCTTTCCTGACCCTAGACCTTTTCCTCTGCCCT

TATCATCGCTTTTCAGTGATGGAGGAAATGTTGGTTGTGTTGATGTAATTATTCAAAGAGCATACCCTATACAGTGGATGGAGAAGACATCATCTGGATTATACATATTTCGCAATGAAAGAGAGGAAGAAAAGGAAGCAGCAAAATATGTGGAGGCCCAACAAAAGAGACTAGAAGCCTTATTCACTAAAATTCAGGAGGAATTTGAAGAACATGAAGAAAACACAACAAAACCATATTTACCATCACGTGCACTAACAAGACAGCA

AGTTCGTGCTTTGCAAGATGGTGCAGAGCTTTATGAAGCAGTGAAGAATGCAGCAGACCCAGCTTACCTTGAGGGTTATTTCAGTGAAGAGCAGTTAAGAGCCTTGAATAATCACAGGCAAATGTTGAATGATAAGAAACAAGCTCAGATCCAGTTGGAAATTAGGAAGGCCATGGAATCTGCTGAACAAAAGGAACAAGGTTTATCAAGGGATGTCACAACCGTGTGGAAGTTGCGTATTGTAAGCTATTCAAAAAAAGAAAAAG

ATTCAGTTATACTGAGTATTTGGCGTCCATCATCAGATTTATATTCTCTGTTAACAGAAGGAAAGAGATACAGAATTTATCATCTTGCAACTTCAAAATCTAAAAGTAAATCTGAAAGAGCTAACATACAGTTAGCAGCGACAAAAAAAACTCAGTATCAACAACTACCGGTTTCAGATGAAATTTTATTTCAGATTTACCAGCCACGGGAGCCCCTTCACTTCAGCAAATTTTTAGATCCAGACTTTCAGCCATCTTGTTCTGAGGTGGA

CCTAATAGGATTTGTCGTTTCTGTTGTGAAAAAAACAGGACTTGCCCCTTTCGTCTATTTGTCAGACGAATGTTACAATTTACTGGCAATAAAGTTTTGGATAGACCTTAATGAGGACATTATTAAGCCTCATATGTTAATTGCTGCAAGCAACCTCCAGTGGCGACCAGAATCCAAATCAGGCCTTCTTACTTTATTTGCTGGAGATTTTTCTGTGTTTTCTGCTAGTCCAAAAGAGGGCCACTTTCAAGAGACATTCAACAAAATGAA

AAATACTGTTGAGAATATTGACATACTTTGCAATGAAGCAGAAAACAAGCTTATGCATATACTGCATGCAAATGATCCCAAGTGGTCCACCCCAACTAAAGACTGTACTTCAGGGCCGTACACTGCTCAAATCATTCCTGGTACAGGAAACAAGCTTCTGATGTCTTCTCCTAATTGTGAGATATATTATCAAAGTCCTTTATCACTTTGTATGGCCAAAAGGAAGTCTGTTTCCACACCTGTCTCAGCCCAGATGACTTCAAAGTCTTG

TAAAGGGGAGAAAGAGATTGATGACCAAAAGAACTGCAAAAAGAGAAGAGCCTTGGATTTCTTGAGTAGACTGCCTTTACCTCCACCTGTTAGTCCCATTTGTACATTTGTTTCTCCGGCTGCACAGAAGGCATTTCAGCCACCAAGGAGTTGTGGCACCAAATACGAAACACCCATAAAGAAAAAAGAACTGAATTCTCCTCAGATGACTCCATTTAAAAAATTCAATGAAATTTCTCTTTTGGAAAGTAATTCAATAGCTGACGAAG

AACTTGCATTGATAAATACCCAAGCTCTTTTGTCTGGTTCAACAGGAGAAAAACAATTTATATCTGTCAGTGAATCCACTAGGACTGCTCCCACCAGTTCAGAAGATTATCTCAGACTGAAACGACGTTGTACTACATCTCTGATCAAAGAACAGGAGAGTTCCCAGGCCAGTACGGAAGAATGTGAGAAAAATAAGCAGGACACAATTACAACTAAAAAATATATCTAAGCATTTGCAAAGGCGACAATAAATTATTGACGCTTAACC

TTTCCAGTTTATAAGACTGGAATATAATTTCAAACCACACATTAGTACTTATGTTGCACAATGAGAAAAGAAATTAGTTTCAAATTTACCTCAGCGTTTGTGTATCGGGCAAAAATCGTTTTGCCCGATTCCGTATTGGTATACTTTTGCTTCAGTTGCATATCTTAAAACTAAATGTAATTTATTAACTAATCAAGAAAAACATCTTTGGCTGAGCTCGGTGGCTCATGCCTGTAATCCCAACACTTTGAGAAGCTGAGGTGGGAGGAGT

GCTTGAGGCCAGGAGTTCAAGACCAGCCTGGGCAACATAGGGAGACCCCCATCTTTACGAAGAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGAAAAGAAAATCTTTTAAATCTTTGGATTTGATCACTACAAGTATTATTTTACAATCAACAAAATGGTCATCCAAACTCAAACTTGAGAAAATATCTTGCTTTCAAATTGACACTA

GGCTTTAAGTATCCATGGCTTTAAGTATCCATGGCTTTAAGTATCCATGGCTTTAAGTATCCAT

© 2000 Myriad Genetic Laboratories

Like finding a needle in a haystack…..

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22

Chromosomal changes in the genome of cancer

cells: tip of the iceberg

Terminal

Deletion

http://www.tokyo-med.ac.jp/genet/cai-e.htm

Ring

Chromosome

Robertsonian

Translocation

DeletionReciprocal

translocation

IsochromosomesInsertion Inversion

Duplication

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Prostate CancerOnly a proportion is inherited

Prostate Cancer

5%–10%

15%-20%

Chance

Family clusters

BRCA/Others

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PSA /PCA3 POLARIS CONFIRM-Dx

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The six SNPs with the smallest P values of the SAPCS cohort (Stage 2)

SNP ID P*value OR (95% CI)* Location

1. rs6983561 (C) 0.0024 * 1.54 (1.12-2.13) 8q24 region 2

2. rs1859962 (G) 0.0276 * 1.50 (1.03-2.20) 17q24

3. rs13254738 (C) 0.0363 * 0.70 (0.50-0.96) 8q24 region 2

4. rs10090154 (T) 0.0815 0.55 (0.36-0,83) 8q24 region 1

5. rs4242382 (A) 0.3189 0.07 (0.50-1.00) 8q24 region 1

6. rs1465618 (A) 0.4336 1.80 (1.02-3.16) 2p21

Tindall E; Hayes V; Bornman R; Segone A

Nat Gen, May 2007

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27

Hanahan & Weinberg 2000

Summary of 30 years of research (1971-2001)

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Ovarian Cancer Incidence in

BRCA+ Women

MC King (2003)

Science.

54% lifetime

23% lifetime

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30

Genetic and Epigenetic Silencing of Tumor Suppressor Genes

Plass - 2002