erie august prelim
TRANSCRIPT
Comprehensive Plan Discussion Notes Erie, PA - czb/MIG
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Medium sized American City of ~100,000
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Medium sized American City of 20 sq. miles
3 mi
6+ mi
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
• Promising regional economy but undermined by a severe urban-suburban divide
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
• Promising regional economy but undermined by a severe urban-suburban divide!
• Promising opportunities that must also confront a severe racial divide
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
• Promising regional economy but undermined by a severe urban-suburban divide!
• Promising opportunities that must also confront a severe racial divide!
• Poorly maintained infrastructure and unsightly entryways !
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
• Promising regional economy but undermined by a severe urban-suburban divide!
• Promising opportunities that must also confront a severe racial divide!
• Poorly maintained infrastructure and unsightly entryways
• Very promising Bayfront disconnected from the city’s historic core
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Efficient commuter expressway but which separates downtown from Bayfront
• Promising regional economy but undermined by a severe urban-suburban divide!
• Promising opportunities that must also confront a severe racial divide!
• Poorly maintained infrastructure and unsightly entryways
• Very promising Bayfront disconnected from the city’s historic core
• Whole slew of middle income folks have one foot out the door and are county-oriented in material ways
• Historic but severely compromised downtown
• National treasure in Presque Isle Park but which is accessible without meaningful passage through Erie
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• 45,000 housing units, and 25% (9,000) are in ridiculously terrible condition
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Serious trouble and beyond recovery without radical intervention
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Deeply distressed manufacturing corridor and CRITICAL TO ERIE’S FUTURE
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Distressed and possibly recoverable over time, but not critical to near future of Erie
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Momentarily stable, but @ risk and critical to Erie’s future
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Momentarily stable, but @ risk and unquestionably critical to Erie’s future
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
MISSION CRITICAL AREA OF ERIE REQUIRING RADICAL RETHINKING
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
MISSION CRITICAL AREA OF ERIE REQUIRING RADICAL RETHINKING
SEVERE DISTRESSDRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE
Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
MISSION CRITICAL AREA OF ERIE REQUIRING RADICAL RETHINKING
SEVERE DISTRESSMISSION CRITICAL AREA OF ERIE REQUIRING INCENTIVE-DRIVEN REINVESTMENT
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
OPTION SETS
1. Address market problem (S>D) and sizing challenges together in a grand bargain
2. Primarily focus on blight eradication and excess supply and do so aggressively
3. Use existing tools, but moderately adjust them upwards in intensity and deployment manner
4. Status Quo
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
REGARDLESS OF WHICH OPTION OR MIX/MATCH
Now AlternativePrinciples
Resource Deployment Diffused ConcentratedPrioritization Worst First Middle Market
Metrics Outputs OutcomesPayment Other Self
Reinvestment Habit NA StrongFocus Need oriented Demand oriented
ResultsPoverty Concentrated Scattered
Socio-Economics Bottom Heavy Middle HeavyPopulation < 100,000 falling and weak < 100,000 stable
Market - $600MDRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
REGARDLESS OF WHICH OPTION OR MIX/MATCH
Give-Get
Now AlternativePrinciples
Resource Deployment Diffused ConcentratedPrioritization Worst First Middle Market
Metrics Outputs OutcomesPayment Other Self
Reinvestment Habit NA StrongFocus Need oriented Demand oriented
ResultsPoverty Concentrated Scattered
Socio-Economics Bottom Heavy Middle HeavyPopulation < 100,000 falling and weak < 100,000 stable
Market - $600MDRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Option 1 for Erie: Address Size and Market Together
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Addition of Oglethorpe System and Iconic Bayfront Redesign
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Focus on Downtown, Downtown/Bayfront, & 12th/State
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Bike Lanes/Trails Connecting Bayfront, Parks, Downtown
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Adapting Models Used in Seattle and Philadelphia to Bayfront
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Adapting Economic Models from St. Louis + Manchester UK
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Creating Savannah/DC Park System
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Healthy Neighborhoods Approach
Demolition, Banking, Infill + Resident Leadership Development
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Healthy Neighborhoods Approach
Demolition, Banking, Infill + Resident Leadership Development
Implementation of Downtown Plan
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Healthy Neighborhoods Approach
Demolition, Banking, Infill + Resident Leadership Development
Implementation of Downtown Plan
Innovation District
Connection
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Option 2 for Erie: Really Focus on the Excess Supply Problem
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Establishment of Central Park as Rightsizing/Stabilization Tool
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Focus on Downtown w Massive Decommissioning
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Focus on Downtown w Massive Decommissioning
Healthy Neighborhoods Approach
Market Rate Infill !!!
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Resizes infrastructure and housing stocks and pairs S-D goals with downtown stabilization and Bayfront connection objectives
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Resizes infrastructure and housing stocks and pairs S-D goals with downtown stabilization and Bayfront connection objectives !AND STILL REQUIRES enormous sections of the city to be rethought entirely
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Resizes infrastructure and housing stocks and pairs S-D goals with downtown stabilization and Bayfront connection objectives !AND STILL REQUIRES enormous sections of the city to be rethought entirely
Needs and accompanying middle market strategy for holding steady (about 10,000 HHs)
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Option 3 for Erie: Modest Adjustments to Current Approaches
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Focus on Image as Indirect Tool to Address Demand Problem
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• Modified Code Enforcement
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• Modified Code Enforcement • Modified Policing
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• Modified Code Enforcement • Modified Policing • Modified Approach to Stabilizing Middle Market
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• Modified Code Enforcement • Modified Policing • Modified Approach to Stabilizing Middle Market • Continue On-Going Work Downtown
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
• Modified Code Enforcement • Modified Policing • Modified Approach to Stabilizing Middle Market • Continue On-Going Work Downtown • Shift from W-F to Key Visibility for Infrastructure Upgrades
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be needed of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be needed of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in real trouble and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be need of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in real trouble and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown - Properly connecting downtown to the Bayfront DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be need of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in real trouble and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown - Properly connecting downtown to the Bayfront - Addressing massive blight problems
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be need of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in real trouble and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown - Properly connecting downtown to the Bayfront - Addressing massive blight problems - Rebuilding middle market confidence
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be need of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in real trouble and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown - Properly connecting downtown to the Bayfront - Addressing massive blight problems - Rebuilding middle market confidence - Developing economic strategies that are labor market, contextual, and place based DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
A blend will be need of several aspects of several approaches but this much is clear
- Erie is in a real bind and business as usual will not dig Erie out and digging out requires - Reinvesting in downtown - Properly connecting downtown to the Bayfront - Addressing massive blight problems - Rebuilding middle market confidence - Developing economic strategies that are labor market, contextual, and place based - Catch up and keep up on infrastructure
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
~ 6,600 valueless structures x $22,000 to acquire and demolish = $150M
~ 300 miles of roads and infrastructure x $500,000/mi = $150M DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE
Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Relocation challenge = $50-100M
Market Rate Redevelopment Challenges = $200M
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Economic Development = $50-$200M $130,000/mi (avg)
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Public Safety
Officers/10,000 people Annual
Erie 19.5 -17.85 $90,000 $1,606,500
Camden 40.6
37.35
Youngstown 29.4
Detroit 40.8
Pittsburgh 30.3
Buffalo 35.2
Philadelphia 47.8
DRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED
Redevelopment of Bayfront - $75-$100MDRAFT CONCEPTS ONLY - NOT FOR USE
Distribution or Reproduction is NOT PERMITTED