etango uranium project - uranium mining in namibia · coffey mining pty ltd. mr warries is a fellow...
TRANSCRIPT
Etango Uranium Project enhancing early mover advantage
Proactive’s Melbourne & Sydney Investor Luncheons
5 & 6 May 2015
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Why Invest in Bannerman ?
2
Strong outlook for medium term uranium price
Well positioned to develop Etango
• DFS complete and granted environmental permit
• Strong balance sheet support
• Highly regarded investment jurisdiction
Un-paralleled leverage driven by
• Historic low share price
• Project economies of scale
• Consensus view of mine incentivising price 60 – 70 % above current spot price
Value inflection point – heap leach demonstration program For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Corporate Snapshot as 1 May 2015
Share price A$0.058
Shares - currently on issue ~369m
Shares - fully diluted (for options, rights, convertible notes, Savanna settlement) ~528m
Market capitalisation (undiluted) ~A$21.4m
Top 20 shareholders ~60 %
Cash on hand (as at 31 March 2015) {excludes A$2m capital raising in April} A$1.7m
A$8m convertible note held by RCF Fund IV & A$4m convertible note held by RCF Fund VI. Key terms - interest rate 8% pa; conversion at A$0.095/share; expiry 30/9/2016
Etango Project Ownership BMN 80% | Clive Jones 20% (free
carried until the project is financed)
Major Shareholders RCF 21.1% | Global X 6.9% | Clive Jones
4.2% | New City Investments 3.1% | Regent Pacific 2.9%
Employee, Management & Director Shareholding
6.5%
3
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Demand – Asian & Middle East Growth Driven
4
Source: WNA Feb 2015 & Public Announcements March 2015
437 reactors operable in 30 countries,
65 under construction, 481 planned and proposed
China on track to increase nuclear capacity from
currently 23 GWe to 58 GWe by 2020
India has recently reiterated its plan to increase nuclear
capacity 14 fold to 63 GWe by 2032
Saudi Arabia proposes to build 16 reactors by 2030 & UAE
currently building 3 reactors.
# reactors
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
Proposed
Planned
Under Construction
Operable Reactors
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
RJL Global Uranium Supply-Demand Balance
Source: Raymond James Ltd., UxC, WNA, Company reports
150160170180190200210220230240250260270280290300310320
20
12A
20
13A
20
14A
20
15E
20
16E
20
17E
20
18E
20
19E
20
20E
20
21E
20
22E
20
23E
20
24E
20
25E
20
26E
20
27E
20
28E
20
29E
20
30E
Mlb
s/yr
U3
O8
RJL Total Supply RJL Total Demand
Falls into deficit in 2020E
5
Looming Deficit in Supply – Demand Balance
Source: Raymond James Ltd For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
6
Risky Global Supply Dynamics
• Recent growth primarily from Kazakhstan.
• Few producers.
• Development cycle of uranium mines longer than other mines.
Source: UxC
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
RJL Uranium Price Outlook
Source: Raymond James Ltd., UxC, WNA, Company reports
$33$38
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
20
05E
20
06E
20
07E
20
08E
20
09E
20
10E
20
11E
20
12E
20
13E
20
14E
20
15E
20
16E
20
17E
20
18E
Ura
niu
m P
rice
(US$
/lb
U3
O8
)
UxC Spot Price UxC LT Price RJL Price Forecast (Annual Average)
2017E$45
$60
2014A 2015E2016E
$70
2018E
We forecast prices to begin increasing towards mine-incentiving levels (~US$70/lb) later in 2015
20
05
A
20
06
A
20
07
A
20
08
A
20
09
A
20
10
A
20
11
A
20
12
A
20
13
A
20
14
A
7
Strong Outlook for Medium Term Uranium Price
Source: Raymond James Ltd
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Bannerman Highly Leveraged to the Uranium Price
8
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
75 80 85 90 95 100
Relative % change in pre-tax NPV against the U3O8 price
33% % c
han
ge
in p
re-t
ax N
PV
US$ U3O8 / lb
Period U3O8 Spot Price Movement Bannerman Share Price Move
Apr 05 – Jun 07 +490 % +7,900 %
Jun 10 – Feb 11 +80 % +240 %
Historical Bannerman share price movement v U3O8 spot price
500%
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
9
Significant Upside In Relative Valuation
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Namibia – A Premier Uranium Mining Jurisdiction
Windhoek Swakopmund Walvis Bay
Ranked most attractive African
investment jurisdiction in Fraser
Institute Mining Company Survey.
Political and social support of
uranium mining.
5th largest uranium producing
country – will jump to 2nd when
Husab commences production in
2016.
~ 40 years of uranium mining.
Etango
Uranium
Project
10
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
11
Favourable Location Relative to Infrastructure
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Etango Site Layout
N
Licence boundary
5km
12
Development Ready – DFS & environmental permitting completed F
or p
erso
nal u
se o
nly
Globally Significant Scale (uranium only projects)
13
0
100
200
300
400
53
McA
rth
ur
Riv
er
Cam
eco
/Are
va
2004 JORC / NI 43-101 Compliant Ore Reserves (Mlbs U3O8)
Hu
sab
C
GN
PC
Cig
ar L
ake
Cam
eco
/Are
va
Inka
i C
amec
o/K
azat
om
pro
m
Lan
ger
Hei
nri
ch
Pal
adin
Rö
ssin
g
Rio
Tin
to
Eta
ng
o
Ban
ner
man
Val
enci
a F
ors
ys
Do
rno
d
AR
MZ
Inka
i So
uth
A
RM
Z
361
320
217
91
119
88
34
Source: Bannerman & Company Reports, March 2015
(Reflects 100% project reserve) (Etango at 279.6Mt at 194ppm U3O8 reported above a 70ppm U3O8 lower cut-off).
119 104
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
14
Value Inflection Point
Completed Etango DFS in April 2012.
o 6 – 9 Mlbs U3O8 annual production over 15 year mine life.
o Etango is the fourth largest (based on ore reserves) uranium only project in the world.
Heap Leach Demonstration Plant value inflection point in project development and financing process.
o Showcase project - demonstrates heap leaching process
o Further de-risks Etango development path
o Attract JV / funding partners
o Value engineering
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
15
Conventional Sulphuric
Acid Heap Leaching
50 day on – off cycle
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
16
Heap Leach Demonstration Plant
40 tonne sample loaded
into crib 1 3,000 tonne ore stockpile
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
Why Invest in Bannerman ?
17
Strong outlook for medium term uranium price
Well positioned to develop Etango
• DFS complete and granted environmental permit
• Strong balance sheet support
• Highly regarded investment jurisdiction
Un-paralleled leverage driven by
• Historic low share price
• Project economies of scale
• Consensus view of mine incentivising price 60 – 70 % above current spot price
Value inflection point - heap leach demonstration program For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
18
Technical Disclosures and Forward-Looking Disclaimers This presentation should be read in conjunction with the release by Bannerman Resources Limited dated 10 April 2012 and entitled “Bannerman Reports Positive DFS Results and Milestone Agreement with Namibian State-Owned Mining Company”. All material assumptions detailed in this presentation and underpinning the production target and forecast financial information in the DFS continue to apply and have not materially changed.
Certain disclosures in this presentation, including management's assessment of Bannerman Resources Ltd’s plans and projects, constitute forward-looking statements that are subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and other factors relating to Bannerman’s operation as a mineral development company that may cause future results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. The following are important factors that could cause the Company's actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements: fluctuations in uranium prices and currency exchange rates; uncertainties relating to interpretation of drill results and the geology, continuity and grade of mineral deposits; uncertainty of estimates of capital and operating costs, recovery rates, production estimates and estimated economic return; general market conditions; the uncertainty of future profitability; and the uncertainty of access to additional capital. Full descriptions of these risks can be found in the Company’s various statutory reports, including its Annual Information Form available on the SEDAR website, sedar.com. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Bannerman Resources Ltd expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Mineral resources that are not ore reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
The information in this presentation relating to the Mineral Resources of the Etango Project is based on a resource estimate compiled or reviewed by Mr Brian Wolfe in April 2012. Mr Wolfe is a Member of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists. Mr Wolfe was employed by Coffey Mining as an independent consultant to the Company at the time of the studies and public release of results. As Mr Wolfe is now no longer employed by Coffey Mining, Coffey Mining has reviewed this presentation and consent to the inclusion, form and context of the relevant information herein as derived from the original reports for which Mr Wolfe’s consent has previously been given. Mr Wolfe has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which is being undertaken to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the JORC ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’ and a Qualified Person as defined by Canadian National Instrument 43-101.
The information in this presentation relating to the Ore Reserves of the Etango Project is based on information compiled or reviewed by Mr Harry Warries, a full time employee of Coffey Mining Pty Ltd. Mr Warries is a Fellow of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and types of deposits under consideration and to the activity which is being undertaken to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the “Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves”, and is an independent consultant to Bannerman and a Qualified Person as defined by Canadian National Instrument 43-101. Mr Warries consents, and provides corporate consent for Coffey Mining Pty Ltd, to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
The information in this report that relates to Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves was prepared and first disclosed under the 2004 JORC Code. It has not been updated since to comply with the 2012 JORC Code on the basis that the information has not materially changed since it was last reported. All material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates of mineral resources continue to apply and have not materially changed.
All material assumptions detailed in this presentation and underpinning the production target and forecast financial information in the DFS (as previously announced on 10 April 2012 and reported on 30 January 2014 in compliance with Listing Rule 5.16 and 5.17) continue to apply and have not materially changed.
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y
www.bannermanresources.com Scale, Simplicity, Substance
For
per
sona
l use
onl
y