Ethiopian Regional Conference on Capacity Development for Integrating Disaster Risk Management into Urban Settings in AfricaOctober 11, 2012, Addis Ababa

Nathalie Jean-Baptiste, UFZ, Leipzig, GermanyFatemeh Jalayer AMRA, Naples, Italy

CLUVA Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa

A Linear modular approach to vulnerability assessment

A modular approach to vulnerability and risk assessment

Emission

Hazard Assessment

Climate Change

Exposure

Risk

Climate change scenarios

Down-scaling climate change scenarios

Hazard assessment

Incorporating exposure

Risk assessment

Risk-based strategic climate change urban adaptation

Very High-Resolution Climate Change Data

Slide 3

Increase in temperatures

Increases in rainfall

Flood Hazard Assessment

Slide 4

Understand the hazards and how climate change will effect them

Assessing Vulnerability of Informal Settlements

Slide 5

Analyze local vulnerability based on flood hazard assessments

L

B

Development of strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas towards climate change

Slide 6

Understand the governance situation, develop mitigation strategies

An approach that considers vulnerability as a multifaceted entity

Vulnerability rather the ‚starting-point‘ for developing adaptation strategies (OʼBrien et al. 2007)

o Emerges from development

studies and hazard and disaster

o A product of different realities and causes external to natural hazards

o Examines current vulnerabilities and not prospective impacts

Integrated vulnerability assessment approach

Contextual vulnerability

Space of Vulnerability(Watts & Bohle 1993)

Pressure-and-Release Model (Blaikie et al. 1994)

Seite 8

Slide 10

Seite 11

Help Identify the vulnerable systems and population segments most affected

Vulnerability assessment Frameworks and Models

Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) (Chambers,1983)

• Development focused• Family of approaches and methods that

enable locals (rural or urban) to express, enhance, share and analyse their knowledge of life and conditions

Natural hazards

Participatory Action Research (PAR) (Chambers and Conway,1992)

Community-Based Participatory Research (CBPR) (Hatch et al.,1993)

• Involves the community in research process

• Combines knowledge with action• Seeks social change

Health

Participatory Climate Change adaptation appraisal (PCCAA)(Moser, 2009)

• Mechanism through which the perception of severe weather impact on household and community asset is highlighted

• Indentify current policies and institutions that help or constraints adaptive capacity

Climate Change

Seite 12

Stakeholders mapping and identifying the role of actors in adaptive strategies

Seite 13

Multidisciplinary & Interdisciplinary vulnerability knowledge production

The CLUVA project is an integrated effort between seven European

institutions and six African research establishments.

CLUVA develops context-centered methods to assess vulnerability and to

increase knowledge on managing climate related risks such as floods,

droughts and sea level rise.

Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa

www.cluva.eu

CLUVA Partners

Slide 14

European partners: AMRA, Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risks, Italy -

Project coordinator KU, University of Copenhagen, Danish Centre for Forest

Landscape and Planning, Denmark UM, University of Manchester, School of Environment and

Development, UK TUM, Technical University of Munich, Germany CMCC, Euromediterranean Center of Climate Changes, Italy UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Germany NIBR, Norwegian Institute of Urban and Regional Research,

Norway

African partners:

UGB, Université Gaston Berger, Sénégal UY1-ENSP, Ecole nationale Supérieure Polytechnique

Université Yaoundé 1, Cameroun UO, University of Ougadougou, Burkina Faso ARU, Ardhi University Tanzania, Tanzania EIABC AAU, Ethiopian Institute of Architecture, Building

Construction and City Development, EthiopiaCSIR, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, South

Africa

Cluva Case-Study Cities

CLUVA Objectives

• Develop methods and knowledge to be applied to African cities to

Slide 16

manage risks related to climate change

reduce vulnerabilities

improve cities’ coping capacity and resilience towards climate changes

An Outlook to CLUVA

Slide 17

Climate change and natural hazard models

Developing different climate change scenariosDownscaling climate change scenariosFlood hazard scenariosDesertification scenarios..

Vulnerability and risk assessment

Indentification of urban hotspots Vulnerability assessment for informal settlementsMaps of urban morphology typesFuture urban scenariosIdentify the multi-dimensional conditions

surrounding vulnerable groups A multi-risk framework

Improving the resilience of the urban systems towards climate change

Understanding the governance structure Developing land-use indicatorsDevelopment of innovative land use and governance

strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas towards climate change

Slide 18

Thank you!