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EU Market Situation for
PoultryPoultry
Committee for the Common
Organisation of the Agricultural Markets
19 February 2015
3.0
3.5
€€€€uro Exchange rate uro Exchange rate uro Exchange rate uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/
BRZ Real
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I 2015 I
source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm
USA $
1.400
1.500
1.600
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2013 & 2014)
01 Nearby
2015 Mar
2015 May
2015 Jul
Delivery:
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
90 0
1.000
1.10 0
1.200
1.300
Jan 2014| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct . | Nov . | Dec. |Jan 2015| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |
195
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2014 & 2015)
01 Nearby
2015 Mar
2015 May
2015 Jul
Delivery:
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
105
135
165
|Jan 2014| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2014| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |
€uro
/ Ton
n
200
220
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext ) (Nearby = 2014 - 2015)
Nearby
2015 Jan
2015 Jun
Delivery:
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
120
140
160
180
| 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun |
€/T
on
n
2015 Jun
2015 Aug
450
Price of Basic Ingredients 2012 - 2015
Soft wheat (EU)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
50
150
250
350
Jan Apri l Jui l Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
Euro
/ to
nne
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
300
350
400
Eu
ro/ 1
00
kg
(B
roile
r)
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015
Eu
ro/ T
(fe
ed
)
Eu
ro/ 1
00
kg
(B
roile
r)
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7 (2011) - 2.4 (2014))Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2009 - 2013 (93,99 €/100kg)
NB. Comp. Feed 2014 =Forecast as from December.Cereal mix and Poultry = Forecast as from February 2015.
115
125
uro
/ 100kg
100KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilersfeedconversionrate = 2,7 (2011) - 2,4 (2014)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
75
85
95
105
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
Rem
ain
der
€uro
/ 100kg
Marge Average10 - 14
Marge Broiler 2012 Marge Broiler 2013 Marge Broiler 2014 Marge Broiler 2015
200
uro/
100
kg
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broile r
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
185,39€/100 kg
170
180
190
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 100
kg
Moy. 10-14 2012 2013 2014 2015
185,39
165,24
150,00
175,00
200,00
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
103,08
75,00
100,00
125,00
150,00
| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
EU broiler
US broiler €uro
BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)
EU = weighted avg of MS prices Broiler 65%
US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago
BR = avg of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
600
750
900
600 000
750 000
Realised slaughter Fo
reca
st in
tonn
es
Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
0
150
300
450
0
150 000
300 000
450 000
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015
Realised slaughter in 1000 TFo
reca
st in
tonn
es
Forecast Production Broiler Broiler slaughter
Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2013 580 736 647 722 686 792 629 810 696 568 727 383 705 763 683 621 718 661 695 745 679 356 706 715
2014 573 133 675 908 692 293 650 324 706 511 733 263 720 550 710 849 733 848 680 168 688 525 531 597
2015 529 871 436 096
400 000
500 000
600 000
1 00
0 p
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2010 - 2013)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015
1 00
0 p
Placings Broiler (baseline= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) - Broiler chicks
Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2013 513 645 477 489 532 079 549 359 531 593 524 160 535 570 535 521 514 895 529 349 443 478 511 348
2014 518 996 490 967 534 351 551 180 545 726 536 031 552 421 513 339 525 981 519 933 404 549 371 829
2015
TRADETRADE
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Dec 13
Brazil 599 759 73.1% 615 837 71.9% 583 450 67.3% 513 537 63.2% 496 620 59.6% - 3%
Thailand 149 876 18.3% 155 790 18.2% 197 964 22.8% 228 243 28.1% 249 374 29.9% + 10%
Chile 34 403 4.2% 44 434 5.2% 42 192 4.9% 30 516 3.8% 25 801 3.1% - 15%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Dec 142013
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Chile 34 403 4.2% 44 434 5.2% 42 192 4.9% 30 516 3.8% 25 801 3.1% - 15%
Ukraine 2 0.0% 31 0.0% 276 0.0% 19 916 2.4% + 7111%
China 9 863 1.2% 13 875 1.6% 15 697 1.8% 18 184 2.2% 19 685 2.4% + 8%
Argentina 15 795 1.9% 15 700 1.8% 13 766 1.6% 10 783 1.3% 10 974 1.3% + 2%
Switzerland 673 0.1% 1 253 0.1% 3 817 0.4% 3 814 0.5% 4 195 0.5% + 10%
Israel 7 219 0.9% 7 144 0.8% 6 076 0.7% 6 306 0.8% 2 413 0.3% - 62%
Others 3 410 0.4% 3 037 0.4% 4 247 0.5% 1 385 0.2% 3 937 0.5% #N/A
EXTRA EU 28 820 999 857 100 867 209 813 044 832 915
% change + 4% + 1% - 6% + 2.4%
EU Poultry meat Imports
866 130813 180 832 915
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)
2 234 7652 097 413 2 154 090
2 000 000
2 500 000
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
583 357514 339 496 620
196 990227 589 249 374
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Jan-Dec 12 Jan-Dec 13 Jan-Dec 14
To
nn
es c
w
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins
1 217 3421 072 189 1 040 373
767 937806 810 870 581
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
Jan-Dec 12 Jan-Dec 13 Jan-Dec 14
10
00
EU
R
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins
80 000
100 000
120 000
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
Imports of selected Poultry products
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
2014
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
in Tonnes
cwe
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Japa
n (u
p to
Nov
)
Japa
n (u
p to
Nov
)
Mex
ico
(up
to O
ct)
Mex
ico
(up
to O
ct)
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
1 300
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es (
pw)
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to December)
Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl.: live animals)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
EU EU
Japa
n (u
p to
Nov
)
Japa
n (u
p to
Nov
)
Mex
ico
(up
to O
ct)
Mex
ico
(up
to O
ct)
Sout
h Af
rica
(up
to N
ov)
Sout
h Af
rica
(up
to N
ov)
Cana
da (u
p to
Nov
)
Cana
da (u
p to
Nov
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
Nov
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
Nov
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2013 (up to December) 2014 (up to December)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es (
pw)
Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Dec 13
South Africa 22 007 1.7% 94 084 6.7% 131 832 9.2% 158 481 11.1% 203 599 13.5% + 28%
Benin 115 066 9.1% 126 215 8.9% 139 820 9.8% 139 415 9.8% 163 801 10.9% + 18%
Hong Kong 151 729 12.0% 189 154 13.4% 126 074 8.8% 117 107 8.2% 136 118 9.0% + 16%
2010 2011 2012 Jan-Dec 142013
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Saudi Arabia 118 019 9.3% 151 520 10.7% 149 310 10.4% 154 775 10.9% 123 559 8.2% - 20%
Ukraine 86 009 6.8% 81 690 5.8% 103 429 7.2% 76 015 5.3% 80 570 5.4% + 6%
Russia 245 478 19.4% 115 138 8.1% 113 133 7.9% 95 183 6.7% 68 422 4.5% - 28%
Philippines 15 087 1.2% 30 341 2.1% 30 765 2.2% 35 674 2.5% 57 664 3.8% + 62%
Ghana 41 066 3.2% 68 979 4.9% 69 157 4.8% 75 125 5.3% 56 857 3.8% - 24%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 27 749 2.2% 29 973 2.1% 34 232 2.4% 28 600 2.0% 33 723 2.2% + 18%
For.JRep.Mac 14 323 1.1% 24 792 1.8% 32 748 2.3% 36 531 2.6% 33 577 2.2% - 8%
Switzerland 29 804 2.4% 29 411 2.1% 29 275 2.0% 30 709 2.2% 31 620 2.1% + 3%
Other Destinations 398 518 31.5% 472 361 33.4% 470 784 32.9% 478 856 33.6% 515 121 34.2%
Extra-EU 28 1 264 856 1 413 657 1 430 558 1 426 472 1 504 631
% change + 12% + 1% - 0% + 5.5%
EU Poultry meat Export
2 064 396 2 083 586 2 055 309
2 000 000
2 500 000
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
809 133
1 429 976 1 425 7561 504 631
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
148 572 136 917 163 181
231 559 247 078 190 798
190 099 185 824 211 661
1 169 717 1 214 696 1 206 509
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
Jan-Dec 12 Jan-Dec 13 Jan-Dec 14
10
00
EU
R
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 150 000 ('000 EUR)
126 055 117 123 136 118
203 599154 768
123 559139 817 139 246 163 801113 128 95 169
68 422
769 837 760 940809 133
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
Jan-Dec 12 Jan-Dec 13 Jan-Dec 14
To
nn
es c
w
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 81 000 Tons
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
IIIInnnn
Exports of selected Poultry products
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
2014
ttttoooonnnnssss
CCCCWWWWEEEE
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
20,0%
25,0%
Change in total EU 28 poultrymeat exports in
carcasse weight in 2014 6 MS represent
79% of the total EU
28 Poultrymeat
exports
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
NL FR PL BE DE UK other EU
13/12
14/13
0,0%
10,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : France4 destinations cover 59% of total exports in 2014
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : Netherlands4 destinations cover 52% of total exports in 2014
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
-40,0%
-30,0%
-20,0%
-10,0%
0,0%
France
Total
Saudi
Arabia
Benin Yemen Russia
13/12
14/13
-30,0%
-20,0%
-10,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
Netherlands
Total
South
Africa
Philippines Benin Ghana
13/12
14/13
10,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : Germany4 destinations cover 50% of total exports in 2014
100,0%
125,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : Poland4 destinations cover 61% of total exports in 2014
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
-20,0%
-10,0%
0,0%
Germany
Total
Ukraine South
Africa
Benin For.JRep.
Macedonia
13/12
14/13
-25,0%
0,0%
25,0%
50,0%
75,0%
100,0%
Poland
Total
Ukraine Benin Hong Kong Congo
13/12
14/13
150,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : Belgium4 destinations cover 43% of total exports in 2014
50,0%
75,0%
100,0%
Change in Exports 2012 - 2014 : United Kingdom4 destinations cover 82% of total exports in 2014
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
-50,0%
0,0%
50,0%
100,0%
Belgium
Total
Ghana Philippines Congo
(Dem. Rep.)
South
Africa
13/12
14/13
-75,0%
-50,0%
-25,0%
0,0%
25,0%
50,0%
United
Kingdom
Total
South
Africa
Hong Kong Benin Ukraine
13/12
14/13
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
1 017
1 101 1 116
1 153
1 114
1 275
1 0631 046
997 997 9821 016
1 265
1 4141 431 1 426
1 505
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
IMPORTS EXPORTS
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
302277 292
310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891
876
821857 867
813833
867
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Dec14
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
Bra
zil
Bra
zil
Uni
ted
Stat
es (u
p to
Nov
)
Uni
ted
Stat
es (u
p to
Nov
)
2 500
3 000
3 500
Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to December)
Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. live animals)
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Uni
ted
Stat
es (u
p to
Nov
)
Uni
ted
Stat
es (u
p to
Nov
)
EU EU
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
(up
to N
ov)
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
(up
to N
ov)
Thai
land
(up
to N
ov)
Thai
land
(up
to N
ov)
Turk
ey (u
p to
Oct
)
Turk
ey (u
p to
Oct
)
Arg
enti
na (u
p to
Nov
)
Arg
enti
na (u
p to
Nov
)
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
2013 (up to December) 2014 (up to December)
Qty
in 1
000
Tonn
es (
pw)
Parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers
BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK F I SE UKParameter 2013
Parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
ParameterNational Average Live
weight (kg) at
Slaughter
2.10 1.90 2.10 2.11 2.39 2.40 2.66 1.99 2.04 2.60 2.64 2.10 2.44 2.33 2.55 1.70 1.83 2.44 1.85 2.20 2.20 2.12 2.34 1.91 2.23
National Average
Carcass yield (%)
73.0% 74.0% 75.0% 70.0% 71.0% 75.0% 70.2% 69.4% 71.7% 70.1% 77.0% 74.4% 75.1% 70.1% 74.0% 66.0% 75.0% 69.9% 72.4% 70.5% 72.5% 72.5% 75.0% 69.0%
National Average
Mortality (%)
4.3% 4.0% 2.5%
3.0-3.5%
(l.w)
4.0% (h.w.)
2,5% - 3,0% 6.0% 5.2% 3.7% 2.9% 5.0% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 4.2% 6.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8%
National Average
Period of rearing
(days)51* 35.0 35.0 30 - 38 37 - 40 45.0 43.5 35.0 36.9 35/46 47.4 37.1 40.0 41.5 45.0 41.0 35.00 42.0 37.8 41.0 37.7 38.5 37.0 42.0
2013
15/01/2015
Import quota Ukraine
Poultrymeat
Allocated and available quantities (1)
(kgs)
Commission
Regulation
Product Order
Nr
Origin Annual volume Available volume
for the quarter
Allocated
quantity
Allocated part
of available
Available next
quarter
EU market situation for Poultry 19 February 2015
Regulation Nr for the quarter quantity of available
volume (%)
quarter
JANUARY - MARCH 2015
413/2014 Poultrymeat 09.4273Ukraine
16 000 000 4 000 000 3 999 992 100.0% 4 000 000
09.4274 20 000 000 5 000 000 900 000 18.0% 5 000 000
(1) Data mentioned in this table are just for information (only those published in the Official Journal are legally binding)
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